The first stage is to study some of the traditional technical analysis indicators such as MACD, KDJ, RSI etc.
The second stage, learning to program with Flyfox, downloading an indicator compiled by many people, and also learning Vb, found that the uncertainty is high, although it seems endless, but in essence it is no different from traditional technical analysis indicators, which are based on a variety of simple averages of historical data.
The third stage, pursuing stronger statistical analysis, learned SPASS, played with ARIMA time series analysis. The uncertainty was high.
The fourth stage, learning GARCH, the damned SPASS doesn't have this tool, just learn MATLAB7;; GARCH, after playing it well, finds that there is a lot of uncertainty. Originally, GARCH was still essentially a linear estimate, but the residual of ARIMA continued ARIMA once again.
Stage 5 is when some network N people ignore artificial neural networks and start playing with BP, RBF, and find that the uncertainty is high. The fit of BP, RBF to historical data is perfect, but the generalization of the future is bullshit.
Stage 6, listening to an AI expert from South Korea say that the SVM is the most NB at the moment, continue to learn, it's hard to play, finally get it done, the result is to find a lot of uncertainty.
Stage 7, in the midst of the silence, there are also N people who say that it is said that small waves may be useful, to find a book to flip over, it feels very difficult. But at this time, the confidence in technical analysis has been shaken. One day I met a friend, a real-world expert, a conversation demonstration, and discovered that relying on the traditional indicators in real-world warfare is the best, the key is to use it well.
The eighth stage, the current stage, is to replay the old, old indicators of the tradition.
momoxIt's been a decade.
wsnragStage 9, after NDO TEST, suddenly finds out that the indicator of old teeth is the most profitable, then again, the real fight, so it is, and then finds out that his old JJ is not hard, and then thinks that he is better at work.