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Trend Trading Strategy Based on Triple Hull Moving Averages and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2023-12-25 13:40:10
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Overview

This strategy combines the Hull Moving Average and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicators to implement a trend-following trading system. The system can capture medium-term trends for trend trading.

Strategy Logic

This strategy uses the Hull Moving Average to determine the direction of the price trend. The Hull MA is an optimized version of the moving average that can respond more quickly to price changes. The strategy here employs a triple Hull MA system, containing 6-period, 3-period and 1.5-period Hull MAs.

In addition, the strategy also incorporates the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo conversion and lagging span lines. These two indicators reflect the medium to long term trend of the prices. The strategy combines the triple Hull MA and Ichimoku indicators to generate trading signals.

Specifically, the strategy calculates the triple Hull MA: n1, n2, n2ma. As well as two Ichimoku indicators: leadLine1 and leadLine2. It then computes post1 and post2 as the final trading metrics.

When post1 crosses over post2 upward, go long. When post1 crosses below post2, go short. This allows us to track and capture price medium-term trends for trend trading.

Advantage Analysis

The advantages of this strategy include:

  1. Combining dual indicators improves system stability.
  2. Hull MA responds fast and can capture trend changes.
  3. Ichimoku filters out false breakouts.
  4. The multiple Hull MAs can effectively track medium-term price trends.
  5. The strategy logic is simple and easy to understand and optimize.

Risk Analysis

There are also some risks with this strategy:

  1. It may generate multiple false signals during ranging markets.
  2. Inadequate parameter settings can lead to poor performance.
  3. Avoid using this strategy around major news events.

Countermeasures:

  1. Adjust parameters to filter out noise.
  2. Optimize parameters to find the best combination.
  3. Avoid trading around significant news releases.

Optimization Directions

This strategy can also be improved in the following aspects:

  1. Test Hull MA combinations of different lengths.
  2. Add or reduce Ichimoku indicators.
  3. Smooth optimizations for trading metrics post1 and post2.
  4. Incorporate stop loss to limit per trade loss.

Conclusion

This strategy combines the Hull MA and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicators to build a simple and practical trend following system. With fast responses, it can effectively capture medium-term price trends. Further testing and optimization, through parameter tuning and adding filters, can lead to better trading performance. ]

/*backtest
start: 2023-12-17 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-24 00:00:00
period: 30m
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=3
//                                                HULL & ICHIMOKU & MATHS
strategy("3 HULLs & ICHIMOKU divided by PRICE", shorttitle="3H&I/P", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, max_bars_back=720, default_qty_value=100, calc_on_order_fills=true, calc_on_every_tick=true, pyramiding=0)
keh=input(title="Hull MA period",defval=6)
p=ohlc4[1]
n2ma=2*wma(p,round(keh/2))
nma=wma(p,keh)
diff=n2ma-nma
sqn=round(sqrt(keh))
n2ma1=2*wma(p[1],round(keh/2))
nma1=wma(p[1],keh)
diff1=n2ma1-nma1
sqn1=round(sqrt(keh))
n1=wma(diff,sqn)
n2=wma(diff1,sqn)
conversionPeriods = input(9, minval=1, title="Conversion Line Periods")
basePeriods = input(26, minval=1, title="Base Line Periods")
laggingSpan2Periods = input(52, minval=1, title="Lagging Span 2 Periods")
displacement = input(26, minval=1, title="Displacement")
donchian(len) => avg(lowest(len), highest(len))
conversionLine = donchian(conversionPeriods)
baseLine = donchian(basePeriods)
leadLine1 = avg(conversionLine, baseLine)
leadLine2 = donchian(laggingSpan2Periods)
post1=((n1[1]*3)+leadLine1)/p
post2=((n2[1]*3)+leadLine2)/p
if (post1<post2)
    strategy.entry("buy", strategy.long, comment="BUY")
if (post1>post2)
    strategy.entry("sell", strategy.short, comment="SELL")
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