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Estrategia de seguimiento de tendencias basada en velas MA y supertrend

El autor:¿ Qué pasa?, Fecha: 2023-09-13 18:07:54
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Esta estrategia se llama Trend Following Strategy Based on MA Candles and Supertrend. Utiliza promedios móviles para construir velas de tendencia e incorpora un mecanismo de supertrend para generar señales comerciales para seguir la tendencia.

Específicamente, la lógica de negociación es:

  1. Calcule los precios de apertura, alto, bajo y cerrado con promedios móviles para trazar velas de tendencia.

  2. Aplicar la técnica de supertrend en las velas de tendencia para derivar paradas largas y cortas.

  3. Cuando los precios se rompen por encima de la parada larga, se generan señales de compra.

  4. Incorporar precios altos/bajos anuales de plazos más largos para evitar señales inválidas excesivas durante los mercados de rango.

  5. Cuando la supertrend se invierte, las posiciones se cierran con stop loss.

La ventaja de esta estrategia es la integración de múltiples indicadores técnicos mejora la precisión. Pero los parámetros para las medias móviles y la necesidad de la optimización de supertrend. Stop loss también es indispensable.

En general, la integración de indicadores y modelos compensa parcialmente las limitaciones de los indicadores individuales, pero ninguna estrategia puede ser perfecta.


/*backtest
start: 2023-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-04-14 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © HeWhoMustNotBeNamed

//@version=4
strategy("MA Candles Supertrend Strategy", shorttitle="MACSTS", overlay=true, initial_capital = 20000, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, commission_type = strategy.commission.percent, pyramiding = 1, commission_value = 0.01)

MAType = input(title="Moving Average Type", defval="rma", options=["ema", "sma", "hma", "rma", "vwma", "wma"])
LoopbackBars = input(20, step=10)

AtrMAType = input(title="Moving Average Type", defval="rma", options=["ema", "sma", "hma", "rma", "vwma", "wma"])
AtrLength = input(30, step=10)
AtrMult = input(1)
adoptiveWicks = false // does not work
wicks = input(true)

dThreshold = input(0.2, step=0.1, maxval=1)
rThreshold = input(0.7, step=0.1, maxval=1)
tradeDirection = input(title="Trade Direction", defval=strategy.direction.long, options=[strategy.direction.all, strategy.direction.long, strategy.direction.short])
i_startTime = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2010 00:00 +0000"), title = "Start Time", type = input.time)
i_endTime = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2099 00:00 +0000"), title = "End Time", type = input.time)
inDateRange = true
strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(tradeDirection)

f_getMovingAverage(source, MAType, length)=>
    ma = sma(source, length)
    if(MAType == "ema")
        ma := ema(source,length)
    if(MAType == "hma")
        ma := hma(source,length)
    if(MAType == "rma")
        ma := rma(source,length)
    if(MAType == "vwma")
        ma := vwma(source,length)
    if(MAType == "wma")
        ma := wma(source,length)
    ma

f_secureSecurity(_symbol, _res, _src, _offset) => security(_symbol, _res, _src[_offset], lookahead = barmerge.lookahead_on)

f_getYearlyHighLowCondition()=>
    yhighrange = f_secureSecurity(syminfo.tickerid, '12M', high, 1) 
    ylowrange = f_secureSecurity(syminfo.tickerid, '12M', low, 1)
    yearlyHighCondition = close > yhighrange*(1-dThreshold) or close > ylowrange*(1+rThreshold)
    yearlyLowCondition = close < ylowrange*(1+dThreshold) or close < yhighrange*(1-rThreshold)
    [yearlyHighCondition, yearlyLowCondition]


f_getSupertrend(oOpen, oClose, oHigh, oLow, AtrMAType, AtrLength, AtrMult, wicks)=>
    truerange = max(oHigh, oClose[1]) - min(oLow, oClose[1])
    
    averagetruerange = f_getMovingAverage(truerange, AtrMAType, AtrLength)
    atr = averagetruerange * AtrMult

    longWicks = (adoptiveWicks and (close < oClose)) or wicks
    shortWicks = (adoptiveWicks and (close > oClose)) or wicks
    longStop = oClose - atr
    longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop)
    longStop := (longWicks ? oLow[1] : oClose[1]) > longStopPrev ? max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop
    
    shortStop = oClose + atr
    shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop)
    shortStop := (shortWicks ? oHigh[1] : oClose[1]) < shortStopPrev ? min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop
    
    dir = 1
    dir := nz(dir[1], dir)
    dir := dir == -1 and (longWicks ? oHigh : oClose) > shortStopPrev ? 1 : dir == 1 and (shortWicks[1]? oLow : oClose) < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir
    

    [dir, longStop, shortStop]

oOpen = f_getMovingAverage(open, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oClose = f_getMovingAverage(close, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oHigh = f_getMovingAverage(high, MAType, LoopbackBars)
oLow = f_getMovingAverage(low, MAType, LoopbackBars)

colorByPreviousClose = false
candleColor = colorByPreviousClose ?
                 (oClose[1] < oClose ? color.green : oClose[1] > oClose ? color.red : color.silver) : 
                 (oOpen < oClose ? color.green : oOpen > oClose ? color.red : color.silver)
plotcandle(oOpen, oHigh, oLow, oClose, 'Oscilator Candles', color = candleColor)

[yearlyHighCondition, yearlyLowCondition] =  f_getYearlyHighLowCondition()
[dir, longStop, shortStop] = f_getSupertrend(oOpen, oClose, oHigh, oLow, AtrMAType, AtrLength, AtrMult, wicks)
trailingStop = dir == 1? longStop : shortStop
trendColor = dir == 1? color.green: color.red
plot(trailingStop, title="TrailingStop", color=trendColor, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)

longCondition = close > shortStop and dir == 1 and yearlyHighCondition
shortCondition = close < longStop and dir == -1 and yearlyLowCondition

exitLongCondition = dir == -1
exitShortCondition = dir == 1

strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(tradeDirection)
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, when=longCondition, oca_name="oca_buy")
strategy.close("Long", when=exitLongCondition)
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, when=shortCondition, oca_name="oca_sell")
strategy.close("Short", when=exitShortCondition)


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