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En el caso de las empresas de servicios de telecomunicaciones, el número de unidades de transporte será igual al número de unidades de transporte.

El autor:¿ Qué pasa?, Fecha: 2023-12-05 11:03:37
Las etiquetas:

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Una estrategia de negociación cuantitativa que utiliza un sistema EMA para determinar la dirección de la tendencia, el indicador ADX para determinar la fuerza de la tendencia e incorpora el filtrado del volumen de negociación para la entrada

Principio

La estrategia utiliza primero 5 EMAs de diferentes períodos para juzgar la dirección de la tendencia del precio. Cuando todas las 5 EMAs suben, se juzga como una formación de tendencia alcista. Cuando todas las 5 EMAs caen, se juzga como una formación de tendencia bajista.

Cuando la línea DI+ es superior a la línea DI- y el valor de ADX excede el umbral establecido, se juzga como una fuerte tendencia alcista.

Al mismo tiempo, los avances en el volumen de negociación se utilizan para una confirmación adicional, lo que requiere que el volumen de negociación de la línea K actual sea mayor que un cierto múltiplo del volumen medio durante un período, evitando así entradas erróneas en posiciones de bajo volumen.

Combinado con el juicio integral de la dirección de la tendencia, la fuerza de la tendencia y el volumen de operaciones, se forma la lógica de apertura larga y corta de esta estrategia.

Ventajas

  1. El uso de un sistema EMA para juzgar la dirección de la tendencia es más confiable que un único EMA.

  2. El uso del indicador ADX para juzgar la fuerza de la tendencia evita entradas erróneas cuando no hay una tendencia clara.

  3. El mecanismo de filtro del volumen de operaciones garantiza un apoyo suficiente del volumen de operaciones y mejora la fiabilidad de la estrategia.

  4. El juicio integral de múltiples condiciones hace que las señales de apertura sean más precisas y confiables.

  5. El número relativamente grande de parámetros de estrategia permite mejoras de rendimiento a través de la optimización continua de parámetros.

Riesgos y soluciones

  1. En los mercados de rango limitado, la EMA, el ADX y otros juicios pueden dar señales erróneas, lo que resulta en pérdidas innecesarias.

  2. Las condiciones del filtro de volumen de negociación pueden ser demasiado estrictas, perdiendo oportunidades de mercado.

  3. La frecuencia de negociación generada por la estrategia puede ser relativamente alta. Se debe prestar atención a la gestión del dinero y controlar adecuadamente el tamaño de las posiciones individuales.

Direcciones de optimización

  1. Prueba diferentes combinaciones de parámetros para encontrar parámetros óptimos para mejorar el rendimiento de la estrategia.

  2. Añadir otros indicadores como MACD, KDJ para combinarse con EMA y ADX para formar un juicio de posición abierta más potente y completo.

  3. Añadir estrategias de stop loss para controlar aún más los riesgos.

  4. Optimizar las estrategias de gestión de posiciones para lograr una gestión del capital más científica.

Resumen de las actividades

Al considerar de manera integral la dirección de la tendencia de los precios, la fuerza de la tendencia y la información sobre el volumen de operaciones, esta estrategia forma reglas de apertura para evitar algunas trampas comunes hasta cierto punto y tiene una fiabilidad relativamente fuerte.


/*backtest
start: 2022-11-28 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-04 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © BabehDyo


//@version=4


strategy("EMA/ADX/VOL-CRYPTO KILLER [15M]", overlay = true, pyramiding=1,initial_capital = 10000, default_qty_type= strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, calc_on_order_fills=false, slippage=0,commission_type=strategy.commission.percent,commission_value=0.03)

//SOURCE =============================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

src                 =                   input(open,                             title="  Source")

// Inputs ========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

//ADX --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ADX_options         =                   input("MASANAKAMURA",                   title="  Adx Type",                                       options = ["CLASSIC", "MASANAKAMURA"],                                            group="ADX")
ADX_len             =                   input(21,                               title="  Adx Length",                                     type=input.integer, minval = 1,                                                   group="ADX")
th                  =                   input(20,                               title="  Adx Treshold",                                   type=input.float, minval = 0, step = 0.5,                                         group="ADX")

//EMA--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Length_ema1 = input(8,  title="  1-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema2 = input(13, title="  2-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema3 = input(21, title="  3-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema4 = input(34, title="  4-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema5 = input(55, title="  5-EMA Length", minval=1)


// Range Filter ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

per_                =                   input(15,                               title="  Period",                                             minval=1,                                                                       group = "Range Filter")
mult                =                   input(2.6,                              title="  mult.",                                              minval=0.1, step = 0.1,                                                         group = "Range Filter")


// Volume ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

volume_f            =                   input(3.2,                              title="  Volume mult.",                                       minval = 0, step = 0.1,                                                         group="Volume")
sma_length          =                   input(20,                               title="  Volume lenght",                                      minval = 1,                                                                     group="Volume")

volume_f1            =                   input(1.9,                              title="  Volume mult. 1",                                       minval = 0, step = 0.1,                                                         group="Volume")
sma_length1          =                   input(22,                               title="  Volume lenght 1",                                      minval = 1,                                                                     group="Volume")


//TP PLOTSHAPE -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

tp_long0            =                   input(0.9,                              title="  % TP Long",                                        type = input.float,     minval = 0,     step = 0.1,                           group="Target Point") 
tp_short0           =                   input(0.9,                              title="  % TP Short",                                       type = input.float,     minval = 0,     step = 0.1,                           group="Target Point") 

// SL PLOTSHAPE ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

sl0                 =                   input(4.2,                              title="  % Stop loss",                                        type = input.float,     minval = 0,     step = 0.1,                             group="Stop Loss")

//INDICATORS =======================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

//ADX-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

calcADX(_len) =>
    up              =                                                                                                                       change(high)
	down            =                                                                                                                      -change(low)
	plusDM          =                                                                                                                       na(up)   ? na : (up > down and up > 0   ? up   : 0)
    minusDM         =                                                                                                                       na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
	truerange       =                                                                                                                       rma(tr, _len)
	_plus           =                                                                                                                       fixnan(100 * rma(plusDM, _len)  / truerange)
	_minus          =                                                                                                                       fixnan(100 * rma(minusDM, _len) / truerange)
	sum             =                                                                                                                       _plus + _minus
	_adx            =                                                                                                                       100 * rma(abs(_plus - _minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), _len)
    [_plus,_minus,_adx]
calcADX_Masanakamura(_len) =>
    SmoothedTrueRange                   =                                                                                                   0.0
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus     =                                                                                                   0.0
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus    =                                                                                                   0.0
    TrueRange                           =                                                                                                   max(max(high - low, abs(high - nz(close[1]))), abs(low - nz(close[1])))
    DirectionalMovementPlus             =                                                                                                   high - nz(high[1]) > nz(low[1]) - low ? max(high - nz(high[1]), 0) : 0
    DirectionalMovementMinus            =                                                                                                   nz(low[1]) - low > high - nz(high[1]) ? max(nz(low[1]) - low, 0)   : 0
    SmoothedTrueRange                   :=                                                                                                  nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) - (nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) /_len) + TrueRange
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus     :=                                                                                                  nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1])  - (nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1])  / _len) + DirectionalMovementPlus
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus    :=                                                                                                  nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) - (nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) / _len) + DirectionalMovementMinus
    DIP                                 =                                                                                                   SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus  / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
    DIM                                 =                                                                                                   SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
    DX                                  =                                                                                                   abs(DIP-DIM) / (DIP+DIM)*100
    adx                                 =                                                                                                   sma(DX, _len)
    [DIP,DIM,adx]
[DIPlusC,DIMinusC,ADXC] =                                                                                                                   calcADX(ADX_len) 
[DIPlusM,DIMinusM,ADXM] =                                                                                                                   calcADX_Masanakamura(ADX_len)

DIPlus                  =                                                                                                                   ADX_options == "CLASSIC" ? DIPlusC    : DIPlusM
DIMinus                 =                                                                                                                   ADX_options == "CLASSIC" ? DIMinusC   : DIMinusM
ADX                     =                                                                                                                   ADX_options == "CLASSIC" ? ADXC       : ADXM
L_adx                   =                                                       DIPlus > DIMinus and ADX > th
S_adx                   =                                                       DIPlus < DIMinus and ADX > th

//EMA-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

xPrice = close
EMA1 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema1)
EMA2 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema2)
EMA3 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema3)
EMA4 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema4)
EMA5 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema5)
L_ema			=							EMA1 < close and  EMA2 < close and  EMA3  < close and  EMA4  < close and  EMA5  < close
S_ema			=							EMA1 > close and  EMA2 > close and  EMA3  > close and  EMA4  > close and  EMA5  > close


// Range Filter ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

var bool L_RF = na,  var bool S_RF = na

Range_filter(_src, _per_, _mult)=>
    var float _upward   =                                                                                                                   0.0
    var float _downward =                                                                                                                   0.0
    wper                =                                                                                                                   (_per_*2) - 1
    avrng               =                                                                                                                   ema(abs(_src - _src[1]), _per_)
    _smoothrng          =                                                                                                                   ema(avrng, wper)*_mult
    _filt               =                                                                                                                   _src
    _filt               :=                                                                                                                  _src > nz(_filt[1]) ? ((_src-_smoothrng) < nz(_filt[1]) ? nz(_filt[1]) : (_src-_smoothrng)) : ((_src+_smoothrng) > nz(_filt[1]) ? nz(_filt[1]) : (_src+_smoothrng))
    _upward             :=                                                                                                                  _filt > _filt[1] ? nz(_upward[1]) + 1 : _filt < _filt[1] ? 0 : nz(_upward[1])
    _downward           :=                                                                                                                  _filt < _filt[1] ? nz(_downward[1]) + 1 : _filt > _filt[1] ? 0 : nz(_downward[1])
    [_smoothrng,_filt,_upward,_downward]
[smoothrng, filt, upward, downward] = Range_filter(src, per_, mult)
hband                   =                                                                                                                   filt + smoothrng
lband                   =                                                                                                                   filt - smoothrng
L_RF                    :=                                                      high > hband and upward > 0
S_RF                    :=                                                      low < lband and downward > 0


// Volume -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Volume_condt            =                                                       volume > sma(volume,sma_length)*volume_f
Volume_condt1           =                                                       volume > sma(volume,sma_length1)*volume_f1


//STRATEGY ==========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

var bool longCond = na, var bool shortCond = na
var int CondIni_long = 0, var int CondIni_short = 0
var bool _Final_longCondition = na, var bool _Final_shortCondition = na
var float last_open_longCondition = na, var float last_open_shortCondition = na
var int last_longCondition = na, var int last_shortCondition = na
var int last_Final_longCondition = na, var int last_Final_shortCondition = na
var int nLongs = na, var int nShorts = na

L_1     =                                                                       L_adx and Volume_condt  and L_RF and L_ema
S_1     =                                                                       S_adx and Volume_condt  and S_RF and S_ema

L_2     =                                                                       L_adx and  L_RF and L_ema and Volume_condt1
S_2     =                                                                       S_adx and  S_RF and S_ema and Volume_condt1

L_basic_condt       =         L_1 or L_2
S_basic_condt       =         S_1 or S_2

longCond                :=                                                      L_basic_condt
shortCond               :=                                                      S_basic_condt

CondIni_long                := longCond[1]              ? 1 :                   shortCond[1] ? -1 :                             nz(CondIni_long[1]                                          )
CondIni_short               := longCond[1]              ? 1 :                   shortCond[1] ? -1 :                             nz(CondIni_short[1]                                         )
longCondition               = (longCond[1]              and                                                                     nz(CondIni_long[1])                 == -1                   )
shortCondition              = (shortCond[1]             and                                                                     nz(CondIni_short[1])                ==  1                   )

//POSITION PRICE-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

var float sum_long = 0.0, var float sum_short = 0.0
var float Position_Price = 0.0

last_open_longCondition     :=                      longCondition               ? close[1]      : nz(last_open_longCondition[1]                     )
last_open_shortCondition    :=                      shortCondition              ? close[1]      : nz(last_open_shortCondition[1]                    )
last_longCondition          :=                      longCondition               ? time          : nz(last_longCondition[1]                          )
last_shortCondition         :=                      shortCondition              ? time          : nz(last_shortCondition[1]                         )
in_longCondition            =                       last_longCondition          >           last_shortCondition
in_shortCondition           =                       last_shortCondition         >           last_longCondition
last_Final_longCondition    :=                      longCondition               ? time                                                  :    nz(last_Final_longCondition[1]                 )
last_Final_shortCondition   :=                      shortCondition              ? time                                                  :    nz(last_Final_shortCondition[1]                )
nLongs                      :=                      nz(nLongs[1]                                                                                                                            )
nShorts                     :=                      nz(nShorts[1]                                                                                                                           )
if longCondition
    nLongs                  :=                      nLongs                      + 1
    nShorts                 := 0
    sum_long                :=                      nz(last_open_longCondition) +           nz(sum_long[1])
    sum_short               := 0.0
if shortCondition
    nLongs                  := 0
    nShorts                 :=                      nShorts + 1
    sum_short               :=                      nz(last_open_shortCondition)+ nz(sum_short[1])
    sum_long                := 0.0
    
Position_Price              :=                      nz(Position_Price[1])

Position_Price              :=                      longCondition               ?       sum_long/nLongs         :       shortCondition      ?       sum_short/nShorts       :       na

//TP---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

var bool long_tp = na, var bool short_tp = na
var int last_long_tp = na, var int last_short_tp = na
var bool Final_Long_tp = na, var bool Final_Short_tp = na
var bool Final_Long_sl0 = na, var bool Final_Short_sl0 = na
var bool Final_Long_sl = na, var bool Final_Short_sl = na
var int last_long_sl = na, var int last_short_sl = na

tp_long             =       ((nLongs  > 1)              ?                       tp_long0  / nLongs              :           tp_long0)                       / 100
tp_short            =       ((nShorts > 1)              ?                       tp_short0 / nShorts             :           tp_short0)                      / 100
long_tp             := high                             >                       (fixnan(Position_Price)         *           (1 + tp_long))                  and                 in_longCondition
short_tp            := low                              <                       (fixnan(Position_Price)         *           (1 - tp_short))                 and                 in_shortCondition
last_long_tp        :=      long_tp                     ?                       time : nz(last_long_tp[1])
last_short_tp       :=      short_tp                    ?                       time : nz(last_short_tp[1])
Final_Long_tp       :=      (long_tp                    and                     last_longCondition              >           nz(last_long_tp[1])             and                 last_longCondition  > nz(last_long_sl[1]))
Final_Short_tp      :=      (short_tp                   and                     last_shortCondition             >           nz(last_short_tp[1])            and                 last_shortCondition > nz(last_short_sl[1]))
L_tp                 =      iff(Final_Long_tp,                                  fixnan(Position_Price)          *           (1 + tp_long)                   ,                   na) 
S_tp                 =      iff(Final_Short_tp,                                 fixnan(Position_Price)          *           (1 - tp_short)                  ,                   na) 

//TP SIGNALS--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

tplLevel            = (in_longCondition                 and 
                      (last_longCondition               >                       nz(last_long_tp[1]))            and 
                      (last_longCondition               >                       nz(last_long_sl[1]))            and not Final_Long_sl[1])                   ? 
                      (nLongs > 1)                      ? 
                      (fixnan(Position_Price)           *                       (1 + tp_long))                  :               (last_open_longCondition    *              (1 + tp_long)) : na
tpsLevel            = (in_shortCondition                and 
                      (last_shortCondition              >                       nz(last_short_tp[1]))           and 
                      (last_shortCondition              >                       nz(last_short_sl[1]))           and not Final_Short_sl[1])                  ? 
                      (nShorts > 1)                     ? 
                      (fixnan(Position_Price)           *                       (1 - tp_short))                 :               (last_open_shortCondition   *             (1 - tp_short)) : na

//SL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Risk                = sl0
Percent_Capital     = 99

sl                  =  in_longCondition  ?  min(sl0,(((Risk) * 100) / (Percent_Capital *  max(1, nLongs))))  : 
                       in_shortCondition ?  min(sl0,(((Risk) * 100) / (Percent_Capital *  max(1, nShorts)))) : sl0
                       
Normal_long_sl      =               ((in_longCondition                and low                             <= ((1 - (sl / 100))    *               (fixnan(Position_Price)))))
Normal_short_sl     =               ((in_shortCondition               and high                            >= ((1 + (sl / 100))    *               (fixnan(Position_Price)))))  
last_long_sl        :=              Normal_long_sl      ? time : nz(last_long_sl[1])
last_short_sl       :=              Normal_short_sl     ? time : nz(last_short_sl[1])
Final_Long_sl       :=              Normal_long_sl      and last_longCondition              > nz(last_long_sl[1])               and last_longCondition  > nz(last_long_tp[1])  and not Final_Long_tp
Final_Short_sl      :=              Normal_short_sl     and last_shortCondition             > nz(last_short_sl[1])              and last_shortCondition > nz(last_short_tp[1]) and not Final_Short_tp

//RE-ENTRY ON TP-HIT-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

if Final_Long_tp                    or                                          Final_Long_sl
    CondIni_long    :=                                                          -1
    sum_long        :=                                                          0.0
    nLongs          :=                                                          na
    
if Final_Short_tp                   or                                          Final_Short_sl
    CondIni_short   :=                                                          1
    sum_short       :=                                                          0.0
    nShorts         :=                                                          na


// Colors ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bar_color = in_longCondition ? #009688 : in_shortCondition ? #f06292 : color.orange
barcolor                                                                        (color = Bar_color)

//PLOTS==============================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

plot(L_tp,                                                  title = "TP_L",                 style = plot.style_cross,                                                                 color = color.fuchsia,                          linewidth = 7   )
plot(S_tp,                                                  title = "TP_S",                 style = plot.style_cross,                                                                 color = color.fuchsia,                          linewidth = 7   )

//Price plots ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

plot((nLongs > 1) or (nShorts > 1) ? Position_Price : na, title = "Price", color = in_longCondition ? color.aqua : color.orange, linewidth = 2, style = plot.style_cross)
plot(tplLevel,                      title="Long TP ",               style = plot.style_cross,                                                                   color=color.fuchsia,                                                                                      linewidth = 1               )
plot(tpsLevel,                      title="Short TP ",              style = plot.style_cross,                                                                   color=color.fuchsia,                                                                                        linewidth = 1               )

//PLOTSHAPES----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


plotshape(Final_Long_tp,            title="TP Long Signal",         style = shape.triangledown,                     location=location.abovebar,                         color=color.red,            size=size.tiny ,          text="TP",             textcolor=color.red,               transp = 0                  ) 
plotshape(Final_Short_tp,           title="TP Short Signal",        style = shape.triangleup,                     location=location.belowbar,                         color=color.green,          size=size.tiny ,            text="TP",           textcolor=color.green,             transp = 0                  ) 

plotshape(longCondition,            title="Long",                   style=shape.triangleup,                 location=location.belowbar,                         color=color.blue,           size=size.tiny ,                                                           transp = 0                  )
plotshape(shortCondition,           title="Short",                  style=shape.triangledown,               location=location.abovebar,                         color=color.red,            size=size.tiny ,                                                           transp = 0                  )


// Backtest  ==================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

if                                                                              L_basic_condt
    strategy.entry                                                              ("LONG", strategy.long )
if                                                                              S_basic_condt
    strategy.entry                                                              ("SHORT", strategy.short )
    
    
strategy.exit("TP_L", "LONG", profit = (abs((last_open_longCondition  * (1 + tp_long)) - last_open_longCondition) / syminfo.mintick), limit = nLongs >= 1 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp_long) : na, loss = (abs((last_open_longCondition*(1-(sl/100)))-last_open_longCondition)/syminfo.mintick))

strategy.exit("TP_S", "SHORT", profit = (abs((last_open_shortCondition * (1 - tp_short)) - last_open_shortCondition) / syminfo.mintick), limit = nShorts >= 1 ? strategy.position_avg_price*(1-(tp_short)) : na, loss     = (abs((last_open_shortCondition*(1+(sl/100)))-last_open_shortCondition)/syminfo.mintick))



//By BabehDyo











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