Ini adalah strategi kuantitatif sederhana yang menggunakan crossover rata-rata bergerak ganda sebagai sinyal beli dan jual. Ini menggunakan dua garis MA dengan periode yang berbeda. Ketika MA periode pendek melintasi MA periode panjang dari bawah, sinyal beli dihasilkan. Ketika MA periode pendek melintasi di bawah MA periode panjang, sinyal jual dihasilkan.
Strategi ini menghitung EMA 8 periode dan EMA 72 periode dari harga penutupan dan memetakan mereka pada grafik. Ketika 8EMA melintasi 72EMA, sinyal beli dihasilkan. Ketika 8EMA melintasi di bawah 72EMA, sinyal jual dihasilkan.
Asumsi dasar dari strategi ini adalah: MA jangka pendek mewakili tren dan momentum harga baru-baru ini, sementara MA jangka panjang mewakili tren jangka panjang. Ketika MA jangka pendek melintasi MA jangka panjang, itu menunjukkan tren jangka pendek menguat, mendorong harga untuk menembus MA jangka panjang, sehingga kita dapat membeli. Ketika MA jangka pendek melintasi di bawah MA jangka panjang, itu menunjukkan tren kenaikan jangka pendek telah berakhir, dukungan jangka panjang telah rusak, jadi kita harus mempertimbangkan untuk menjual.
Strategi ini juga menggunakan indikator William %R untuk menentukan area overbought dan oversold, dan indikator MACD untuk menentukan arah momentum harga sebagai referensi.
Keuntungan terbesar dari strategi crossover dual MA adalah bahwa itu sederhana dan mudah dipahami dan diimplementasikan.
Keuntungan lain adalah bahwa strategi silang MA berkinerja baik di pasar tren. Ketika harga saham menunjukkan tren naik atau turun yang jelas, strategi silang MA dapat menangkap tren besar dan menghasilkan pengembalian yang baik.
Strategi crossover MA ganda juga memiliki beberapa risiko yang perlu dicatat. Pertama, di pasar yang bergolak, crossover garis MA sering terjadi, yang dapat dengan mudah menghasilkan sinyal palsu dan kerugian berantai. Kedua, sinyal crossover MA sering tertinggal, dan tidak dapat merespon tepat waktu terhadap dampak peristiwa mendadak.
Risiko dapat dikurangi dengan menggabungkan indikator lain untuk mengkonfirmasi sinyal, mengoptimalkan parameter MA, atau beroperasi di pasar tren yang jelas.
Strategi MA ganda yang sederhana ini dapat dioptimalkan dalam aspek berikut:
Uji kombinasi yang berbeda dari parameter periode MA untuk menemukan parameter yang optimal;
Tambahkan indikator lain untuk penyaringan sinyal, seperti MACD, KDJ dll untuk membuat strategi lebih stabil;
Membangun mekanisme keluar yang dinamis untuk melacak stop loss terbaik dan mengambil tingkat keuntungan, daripada hanya menggunakan nilai tetap;
Mengadopsi periode MA adaptatif sesuai dengan kondisi pasar untuk mengoptimalkan parameter;
Menggabungkan pembelajaran mesin canggih dan model pembelajaran mendalam untuk prediksi untuk meningkatkan akurasi sinyal.
Sebagai strategi crossover dual MA yang sederhana, meskipun memiliki beberapa masalah keterlambatan dan sinyal palsu, mudah dipahami dan diimplementasikan.
/*backtest start: 2022-12-18 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-24 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © DalmarSantos //@version=4 //Entry and Exit points to TRADE ==> Pontos de Entrada e Saida de TRADE //Functions in use ==> Funções em uso //(1) DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average 08/17/34/72 ==> Média Móvel Exponencial Dupla //(2) ema() - Exponential Moving Averge 72/ochl4 ==> Média Móvel Exponencial //(3) plot() //(4) barcolor() //(5) cross() //(6) pivots() //(7) William R% Md //(8) Maximum and Minimum Value //(9) fill() //(10) macd() - Moving Average Convergence Divergence //(11) tsi() - Trading Strenght Indicator==> Índice de Força Real (IFR) //(12) Buy and Sell TRADE Points //(13) Strategy Buy and Sell TRADE Points strategy("[DS]Entry_Exit_TRADE.V01-Strategy", overlay=true) //variable ==> variáveis return = input(title="Return Candels ?", type=input.integer, defval=190) //quantity of candles to analise ==> quantidade de candles para analise // //**************************** //Function==> Função | (1)DEMA //**************************** //Dema 08 e1 = ema(close,8) e2 = ema(e1,8) dema08 = 2 * e1 - e2 // //Dema 17 e1 := ema(close,17) e2 := ema(e1,17) dema17 = 2 * e1 - e2 // //Dema 34 e1 := ema(close,34) e2 := ema(e1,34) dema34 = 2 * e1 - e2 // //Dema 72 e1 := ema(close,72) e2 := ema(e1,72) dema72 = 2 * e1 - e2 // //****************************** //Function==> Função | (2) ema() //****************************** ema72 = ema(close,72) emaOhlc4=ema(ohlc4,8) // //****************************** //Function==> Função | (3)plot() //****************************** // ////Show the avareges ==> Apresenta as médias //plot(dema17, title="DEMA 17", color=color.new(color.lime,0), linewidth=1, style=plot.style_line, transp=0, show_last=return) // Doble Exponential Moving Avarage 17 //plot(dema34, title="DEMA 34", color=color.new(color.black,0), linewidth=1, style=plot.style_line, transp=0, show_last=return) // Doble Exponential Moving Avarage 34 plot(dema72, title="DEMA 72", color=color.orange, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_line, transp=0, show_last=return) // Doble Exponential Moving Avarage 72 plot(emaOhlc4, title="EMA ohlc4", color=emaOhlc4>dema72 ? color.new(color.green,0) : color.new(color.red,0), linewidth=2, style=plot.style_line, transp=0, show_last=return) // Doble Exponential Moving Avarage 72 // //*********************************** //Function==> Função | (4) barcolor() //*********************************** //Show color TRADE bar if emaOhlc4>dema72 green (Buy) if not red (Red) ==> Mostra a cor da barra de TRADE se emaOhlc4>dema72 verde (Compra) se não vermelha (Venda) barcolor(close>dema34 and close>dema72 or close>close[1] ? color.new(color.green,0) : color.new(color.red,0), show_last=return) // //******************************** //Function==> Função | (5) cross() //******************************** // Show the intersections crossing average on the graph ==> Apresenta no gráfico o local dos cruzamentos das médias //UP ==> para CIMA plot(crossover(emaOhlc4,dema72) ? dema72 : na, title="Cross UP", color=color.green, transp=0, style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=5, show_last=return) //DOWM ==> para BAIXO plot(crossunder(emaOhlc4,dema72) ? dema72 : na, title="Cross DOWN", color=color.red, transp=50, style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=5, show_last=return) // //******************************** //Function==> Função | (6) pivot() //Reference: Pine Script Manual //******************************** _Pivots = input(title = "══════ Pivots ══════", type = input.bool, defval = false) leftBars = input(4) rightBars=input(4) pivotHigh = pivothigh(leftBars, rightBars) //pivot de alta plot(pivotHigh>ema72[rightBars] ? pivotHigh : na, title="Pivot High", style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=3, color= color.purple, transp=50, offset=-rightBars, show_last=return) pivotLow = pivotlow(leftBars, rightBars) //pivot de baixa plot(pivotLow<ema72[rightBars] ? pivotLow : na, title="Pivot Low", style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=3, color= color.blue, transp=50, offset=-rightBars, show_last=return) // //*************************************** //Function==> Função | (7) WILLIAM R% MOD //Reference: Pine Script Manual //*************************************** // Getting inputs _WilliamR = input(title = "══════ William R% Mod ══════", type = input.bool, defval = false) SOB_William = input(title="OverBought Area", type=input.integer, defval=-7) //OverBought area ==> Area de SobreCompra SOS_William = input(title="OverSold Area", type=input.integer, defval=-93) //OverSold area ==> Area de SobreVenda length_William = input(17, minval=1) //interval ==> intervalo highestHigh_William = highest(length_William) //maximum value ==> valor máximo highestLow_William = lowest(length_William) //minumum value ==> valor mínimo R_William = (highestHigh_William - close) / (highestHigh_William - highestLow_William) * -100 //Show the position ==> mostra a posição //plotshape(R_William > SOS_William ? na : high, text="+R%", title="+r(+)%R Up", location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, transp=30, style=shape.triangleup, size=size.tiny, show_last=return) //plotshape(R_William < SOB_William ? na : low, text="-R%", title="(-)%R DN", location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, transp=30, style=shape.triangledown, size=size.tiny, show_last=return) // // Show label with William %R value ==> Mostra a etiqueta com o valor do William %R // The color label red is when the value arrive on OverBought Area and green on OverSold Area, be careful with these areas ==> O rótulo de cor vermelha é quando o valor chega na área de SobreCompra e verde na área de SobreVenda, cuidado com estas áreas // corTest=color.white colorText = color.white estilo = label.style_label_upper_left textW="" if R_William>SOB_William corTest := color.new(color.red,0) //vermelho escuro estilo := label.style_label_lower_left textW:="OB" if R_William>-30 and R_William<=SOB_William corTest := #f5948e //vermelho intermediário estilo := label.style_label_lower_left if R_William>-50 and R_William<=-30 corTest := #f5d5d3 //vermelho claro colorText := color.black if R_William>-70 and R_William<=-50 corTest := #e7f5d3 //verde claro colorText := color.black if R_William>=SOS_William and R_William<=-70 corTest := color.lime //verde intermediario estilo := label.style_label_upper_left colorText := color.black if R_William<SOS_William corTest := color.new(color.green,0) // verde escuro estilo := label.style_label_upper_left textW:="OS" // Make a label at the high of the current bar myLabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=close, style= estilo, color=corTest, text=tostring(R_William,"#.#")+"% "+textW, textcolor=colorText, size=size.normal) // Get the label text labelText = label.get_text(id=myLabel) // Then set the label's text to a new string that // includes its current text label.set_text(id=myLabel, text=labelText) label.delete(myLabel[1]) // //************************************************** //Function==> Função | (8) MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM VALUE //Reference: Pine Script Manual //************************************************** //Maximum High and Minimum Low close position ==> Posição Máxima e Minima de fechamento ExtremoHigh=high+(highestHigh_William-high) ExtremoLow=low-(low-highestLow_William) plot(ExtremoHigh, color=color.new(color.red,70), style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1, show_last=return) plot(ExtremoLow, color=color.new(color.green,70), style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1, show_last=return) //Show the Extreme High and Low close position ==> Mostra a extrema posicao alta e baixa do fechamento lH1 = 0.0 lHInt = close lL1 = close lLInt = close Vr_LinhaH=0.0 Vr_LinhaL=0.0 Vr_LinhaC=0.0 if emaOhlc4<dema72 Vr_LinhaH := high+(highestHigh_William-high) lH1 := Vr_LinhaH>dema72 ? Vr_LinhaH : dema72 lHInt:=emaOhlc4<dema72 ? dema72 : emaOhlc4 lLInt := lHInt==emaOhlc4 ? dema72 : emaOhlc4 Vr_LinhaL:= low-(low-highestLow_William) lL1 := Vr_LinhaL>lLInt ? lLInt : Vr_LinhaL if emaOhlc4>dema72 Vr_LinhaH := high+(highestHigh_William-high) lH1 := Vr_LinhaH>dema72 ? Vr_LinhaH : dema72 lHInt:=dema72>emaOhlc4 ? dema72 : emaOhlc4 lLInt := lHInt==dema72 ? emaOhlc4 : dema72 Vr_LinhaL:= low-(low-highestLow_William) lL1 := Vr_LinhaL>lLInt ? lLInt : Vr_LinhaL // //******************************* //Function==> Função | (9) fill() //Reference: Pine Script Manual //******************************* //Show TRADE area in red (Sell) and green (Buy) ==> Mostra a área de trade em vermelho (Venda) e verde (Compra) Line1 = plot(emaOhlc4, title="Dema ohlc4", color=color.new(color.white,100), linewidth=1, transp=0, show_last=return) Line2 = plot(dema72, title="Dema 72", color=color.new(color.white,100), linewidth=1,transp=0, show_last=return) fill(Line1, Line2, color=emaOhlc4>dema72 ? color.new(color.green,90) : color.new(color.red,90), transp=70, show_last=return) //High area ==> Area de alta HighlH1 = plot(lH1, title="HighlH1", color=color.green, linewidth=1, transp=90, show_last=return, style=plot.style_linebr) HighlHInt = plot(lHInt, title="HighlHInt", color=color.green, linewidth=1, transp=100, show_last=return, style=plot.style_linebr) fill(HighlH1, HighlHInt, color=color.new(color.purple,90), transp=0, show_last=return) //Low area ==> Area de baixa LowlL1 = plot(lL1, title="LowlL1", color=color.red, linewidth=1, transp=90, show_last=return, style=plot.style_linebr) LowlLInt = plot(lLInt, title="LowlLInt", color=color.red, linewidth=1, transp=100, show_last=return, style=plot.style_linebr) fill(LowlL1, LowlLInt, color=color.new(color.blue,90), transp=0, show_last=return) // //*************************************************************************** //Function==> Função | (10) macd() - Moving Average Convergence Divergence //Reference: Pine Script Manual - adapted TradingView version - Dalmar Santos //*************************************************************************** // Getting inputs _Macd = input(title = "═════ Macd ══════════", type = input.bool, defval = false) fast_length_Macd = input(title="Fast Length", type=input.integer, defval=12) slow_length_Macd = input(title="Slow Length", type=input.integer, defval=26) src_Macd = input(title="Source", type=input.source, defval=close) signal_length_Macd = input(title="Signal Smoothing", type=input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 50, defval = 9) // Calculating fast_ma_Macd = ema(src_Macd, fast_length_Macd) slow_ma_Macd = ema(src_Macd, slow_length_Macd) macd_Macd = fast_ma_Macd - slow_ma_Macd signal_Macd = ema(macd_Macd, signal_length_Macd) hist_Macd = macd_Macd - signal_Macd //cross Macd MacdUp = crossover(macd_Macd,signal_Macd) ? 1 : 0 MacdDown = crossunder (macd_Macd,signal_Macd) ? 1 : 0 plotshape(MacdUp, text="+Md", title="(+)MACD UP", location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, transp=30, style=shape.triangleup, size=size.tiny, show_last=return) plotshape(MacdDown, text="-Md", title="(-)MACD DN", location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, transp=30, style=shape.triangledown, size=size.tiny, show_last=return) // //***************************************************************************************** //Function==> Função | (11) tsi() - Trading Strenght Indicator ==> Indice de Força do Trading //Reference: Pine Script Manual - adapted TradingView version - Dalmar Santos //***************************************************************************************** _Tsi = input(title = "═════ Tsi ══════════", type = input.bool, defval = false) long_tsi = input(title="Long Length", type=input.integer, defval=72) short_tsi = input(title="Short Length", type=input.integer, defval=17) signal_tsi = input(title="Signal Length", type=input.integer, defval=17) price_tsi = close double_smooth(src_tsi, long_tsi, short_tsi) => fist_smooth_tsi = ema(src_tsi, long_tsi) ema(fist_smooth_tsi, short_tsi) pc_tsi = change(price_tsi) double_smoothed_pc_tsi = double_smooth(pc_tsi, long_tsi, short_tsi) double_smoothed_abs_pc_tsi = double_smooth(abs(pc_tsi), long_tsi, short_tsi) tsi_value_tsi = 100 * (double_smoothed_pc_tsi / double_smoothed_abs_pc_tsi) //TSI signal ==> Signal do TSI TsiUp = crossover(tsi_value_tsi,ema(tsi_value_tsi, signal_tsi)) ? 1 : 0 TsiDown = crossunder(tsi_value_tsi,ema(tsi_value_tsi, signal_tsi)) ? 1 : 0 //Show the Position ==> Mostra a posicao plotshape(TsiUp==1 ? low : na, text="+Tsi", title="(+)TSI Up", location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, transp=30, style=shape.triangleup, size=size.tiny, show_last=return) plotshape(TsiDown==1 ? high : na, text="-Tsi", title="(-)TSI DN", location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, transp=30, style=shape.triangledown, size=size.tiny, show_last=return) // //*************************************************************************** //Function==> Função | (12) Buy and Sell TRADE Points //Reference: Pine Script Manual - adapted TradingView version - Dalmar Santos //*************************************************************************** //Cross Point ==> pontos de cruzamento crossUP=crossover(emaOhlc4,dema34) crossDN=crossunder(emaOhlc4,dema34) //Show de Buy and Sell points ==> mostra pontos de compra e venda tradeColor=crossUP ? color.red : crossDN ? color.green : na //line buy or sell ==> linha de compra ou venda plot(crossUP ? dema34 : crossDN ? dema34: na, color=tradeColor, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=4, editable=false, show_last=return) //Buy point ==> pontos de compra plotshape(crossUP ? dema34 : na, style=shape.labelup, location=location.absolute, text="Buy", transp=0, textcolor = color.white, color=color.green, editable=false, show_last=return) //Sell points ==> pontos de venda plotshape(crossDN ? dema34: na, style=shape.labeldown, location=location.absolute, text="Sell", transp=0, textcolor = color.white, color=color.red, editable=false, show_last=return) // //************************************************************ //Function==> Função | (13) Strategy Buy and Sell TRADE Points //Reference: Pine Script Manual - Dalmar Santos //************************************************************ //Start backtest year, month, day, hour, minute, second ==> Inicio do backtest ano, mês, dia, hora, minuto, segundo start = timestamp(2021,01,01,1,00,00) //***************** //BUY ==> COMPRA //***************** if time>= start if crossUP strategy.close("Short", comment="Close Sell") strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, 1, comment="Open Buy") //***************** //SELL ==> Venda //***************** if crossDN strategy.close("Long", comment="Close Buy") strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, 1, comment="Open Sell")