Strategi Trading Reversal dengan Bollinger Bands, RSI, ADX dan ATR
Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2024-02-21 14:13:47Tag:
Gambaran umum
Strategi ini mengintegrasikan beberapa indikator teknis. Ini mencari peluang perdagangan pembalikan probabilitas tinggi ketika indikator Bollinger Bands menghasilkan sinyal pembalikan harga, dikombinasikan dengan penilaian struktur pasar dari indikator RSI, ADX dan ATR.
Logika Strategi
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Gunakan Bollinger Band 20 periode dan tunggu pola lilin pembalikan ketika harga mencapai band tertinggi atau terendah.
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Indikator RSI menilai apakah pasar berada dalam mode rentang, dengan RSI di atas 60 menunjukkan rentang bullish dan di bawah 40 rentang bearish.
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ADX di bawah 20 menunjukkan kondisi pasar yang bervariasi, sedangkan di atas 20 menunjukkan kondisi tren.
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ATR mengatur stop loss dan trailing stop loss.
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Filter tambahan dari garis EMA.
Analisis Keuntungan
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Beberapa indikator yang dikombinasikan memberikan sinyal perdagangan dengan probabilitas tinggi.
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Parameter yang dapat dikonfigurasi beradaptasi dengan lingkungan pasar yang berbeda.
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Aturan stop loss yang ketat secara efektif mengendalikan risiko.
Analisis Risiko
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Pengaturan parameter yang tidak benar dapat menyebabkan perdagangan yang terlalu sering.
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Kemungkinan kegagalan pembalikan masih ada.
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Trailing stop loss mungkin gagal di pasar tertentu.
Arahan Optimasi
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Uji lebih banyak kombinasi indikator untuk menemukan konfigurasi parameter yang lebih baik.
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Mengidentifikasi kesempatan pembalikan lanjutan tepat waktu setelah kegagalan awal.
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Uji metode stop loss yang berbeda untuk membuat stop lebih cerdas.
Kesimpulan
Strategi ini menggunakan Bollinger Bands untuk sinyal perdagangan inti, dan beberapa indikator tambahan membentuk sistem penyaringan probabilitas tinggi. Aturan stop loss juga cukup lengkap. Peningkatan kinerja lebih lanjut dapat dicapai melalui penyesuaian parameter dan optimasi indikator. Secara keseluruhan, strategi ini membentuk sistem perdagangan pembalikan yang andal.
/*backtest
start: 2024-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
//@version=4
strategy(shorttitle="BB + EMA + RSI + ADX + ATR Reversal", title="Bollinger Bands Reversal", overlay=true)
// Inputs
ema1Input = input(title = "EMA1 Input", defval = 200, minval = 10, maxval = 400, step = 10, group = "Indicators")
ema2Input = input(title = "EMA2 Input", defval = 100, minval = 10, maxval = 400, step = 10, group = "Indicators")
length = input(title = "BB Length", defval = 20, minval=1, group = "Bollinger Band Indicator")
bbsrc = input(title = "BB Source", defval = close, group = "Bollinger Band Indicator")
mult = input(title = "BB Standard Deviation", type = input.float, defval = 2.0, minval=0.001, maxval=50, group = "Bollinger Band Indicator")
offset = input(title = "BB Offset", defval = 0, minval = -500, maxval = 500, group = "Bollinger Band Indicator")
rsilen = input(title = "RSI Length", defval = 14, minval=1, group = "RSI Indicator")
rsisrc = input(title = "RSI Source", defval = close, group = "RSI Indicator")
rsiMaxEntry = input(title = "RSI Maximum Value", defval = 60, minval = 50, maxval = 100, group = "RSI Indicator")
rsiMinEntry = input(title = "RSI Minimum Value", defval = 40, minval = 0, maxval = 50, group = "RSI Indicator")
rsiMaxExit = input(title = "RSI Max Exit Value", defval = 70, minval = 50, maxval = 100, group = "RSI Indicator")
rsiMinExit = input(title = "RSI Min Exit Value", defval = 30, minval = 0, maxval = 50, group = "RSI Indicator")
atrLength = input(title = "ATR Length", defval = 14, minval = 1, group = "ATR Indicator")
useStructure = input(title = "Use Trailing Stop?", type = input.bool, defval = true, group = "ATR Indicator")
atrlookback = input(title = "ATR Lookback Period", defval = 7, minval = 1, group = "ATR Indicator")
atrMultiplier = input(title = "ATR Multiplier", type = input.float, defval = 1.0, minval = 0.1, group = "ATR Indicator")
sigMaxValue = input(title = "ADX Max Value", type = input.float, defval = 20.0, minval = 0, maxval = 100, step = 0.1, group = "ADX Indicator")
adxlen = input(title = "ADX Smoothing", defval = 14, group = "ADX Indicator")
dilen = input(title = "DI Length", defval = 14, group = "ADX Indicator")
// Date input
fromMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12, group = "Backtest Date Range")
fromDay = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31, group = "Backtest Date Range")
fromYear = input(defval = 2000, title = "From Year", minval = 1970, group = "Backtest Date Range")
thruMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "Thru Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12, group = "Backtest Date Range")
thruDay = input(defval = 1, title = "Thru Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31, group = "Backtest Date Range")
thruYear = input(defval = 2099, title = "Thru Year", minval = 1970, group = "Backtest Date Range")
inDataRange = true
// Built in Bollinger Band
basis = sma(bbsrc, length)
dev = mult * stdev(bbsrc, length)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev
// Built in RSI
up = rma(max(change(rsisrc), 0), rsilen)
down = rma(-min(change(rsisrc), 0), rsilen)
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))
// Built in ADX
dirmov(len) =>
up = change(high)
down = -change(low)
plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
truerange = rma(tr, len)
plus = fixnan(100 * rma(plusDM, len) / truerange)
minus = fixnan(100 * rma(minusDM, len) / truerange)
[plus, minus]
adx(dilen, adxlen) =>
[plus, minus] = dirmov(dilen)
sum = plus + minus
adx = 100 * rma(abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adxlen)
sig = adx(dilen, adxlen)
// Custom variables
ema1 = ema(close, ema1Input)
ema2 = ema(close, ema2Input)
atr = atr(atrLength)
// Entry and exit signals
CrossLongEntry = (close <= lower or close[1] <= lower[1]) and close > open and close[1] < open[1] and close > ema1 and close > ema2 and strategy.position_size == 0 and inDataRange and rsi > rsiMinEntry and rsi < rsiMaxEntry and sig < sigMaxValue
CrossShortEntry = (close >= upper or close[1] >= upper[1]) and close < open and close[1] > open[1] and close < ema1 and close < ema2 and strategy.position_size == 0 and inDataRange and rsi > rsiMinEntry and rsi < rsiMaxEntry and sig < sigMaxValue
CrossLongExit = (close >= upper or close[1] >= upper[1]) and close < open and close[1] > open[1] and strategy.position_size > 0 and inDataRange or rsi < rsiMinExit or rsi > rsiMaxExit
CrossShortExit = (close <= lower or close[1] <= lower[1]) and close > open and close[1] < open[1] and strategy.position_size < 0 and inDataRange or rsi < rsiMinExit or rsi > rsiMaxExit
// Determining the stop loss based on ATR
StopLossLong = (useStructure ? lowest(low, atrlookback) : close) - atr * atrMultiplier
StopLossShort = (useStructure ? highest(high, atrlookback) : close) + atr * atrMultiplier
// Custom variables used to store the stoploss value
var StopLong = 0.0
var StopShort = 0.0
// Telling my script to store the stoploss value in the corresponding variables
if CrossLongEntry
StopLong := StopLossLong
if CrossShortEntry
StopShort := StopLossShort
// Strategy
strategy.entry("Entry Long", strategy.long, when = CrossLongEntry, comment = "Entry Long")
strategy.close("Entry Long", when = CrossLongExit or close < StopLong, comment = "Long Exit")
strategy.entry("Entry Short", strategy.short, when = CrossShortEntry, comment = "Entry Short")
strategy.close("Entry Short", when = CrossShortExit or close > StopShort, comment = "Short Exit")
// Plots the Bollinger Band
plot(basis, "Basis", color=#872323, offset = offset)
p1 = plot(upper, "Upper", color=color.teal, offset = offset)
p2 = plot(lower, "Lower", color=color.teal, offset = offset)
fill(p1, p2, title = "Background", color=#198787, transp=95)
// Use this if you want to see the stoploss visualised, be aware though plotting these can be confusing
// plot(StopLong)
// plot(StopShort)
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