この戦略は,相対強度指数 (RSI) と重度の移動平均 (WMA) という2つのよく知られた指標に基づいています.市場傾向を特定し,その方向性を追います.RSIは過買い/過売値を判断し,WMAは価格傾向を決定します.両者の組み合わせは,無関係な信号を効果的にフィルターし,収益性を向上させることができます.これは,利益/損失に基づいてポジションサイズを調整するマネーマネジメント方法と組み合わせた中長期戦略です.
RSI は,最もよく知られる過買い/過売り指標の1つである.その式は:
$$RSI=100 - \frac{100}{1+\frac{AvgGain}{AvgLoss}}$$
AvgGain は過去 x 日間の 閉店がオープンより高い日の平均であり,AvgLoss は過去 x 日間の 閉店がオープンより低い日の絶対値の平均である.
この戦略では,傾向を判断するためにRSI期間を20に設定します.60を超えるRSIはロング信号を生成し,40以下のRSIはショート信号を生成します.
SMAと比較して,WMAは最近の価格をより重く評価する.その公式は:
$$WMA = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^n w_i x_i}{\sum_{i=1}^n w_i}$$
この戦略では,次の重量式を使用します.
$$w = \begin{cases} 100/(4+(n-4)1.3), i <= 3 \ 1.3 となっている.w, & i > 3 \end{case}$$
体重は過去3日間で同じで,1日ごとに1.3倍も下がっています. これは最近の価格の影響を示しています.
この戦略におけるWMAの長さは20です
長期信号:RSI > 60 と WMA の20 日 ROC < -1 短信号: RSI < 40 と WMA の 20 日 ROC > 1
WMAの20日ROCは以下のように計算される.
$$ROC = (WMA_{today}/WMA_{20_days_ago} - 1) \×100$$
この戦略は,RSIとWMAを組み合わせて,中長期間の主要なトレンドから利益を得ることを目的として,トレンド方向を決定する.マネーマネジメントと利益採取戦略もリスク制御に使用される.これは実用的な価値がありますが,パラメータ設定とストップロスのメカニズムはより良い結果のために継続的なテストと最適化が必要です.投資家は状況を評価し,必要に応じて手動で介入し,制御可能なリスクを確保する必要があります.
/*backtest start: 2022-12-24 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-06 05:20:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © gsanson66 //This code is based on RSI and a backed weighted MA //@version=5 strategy("RSI + MA BACKTESTING", overlay=true, initial_capital=1000, default_qty_type=strategy.fixed, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.18, slippage=3) //------------------------TOOL TIPS---------------------------// t1 = "Choice between a Standard MA (SMA) or a backed-weighted MA (RWMA) which permits to minimize the impact of short term reversal. Default is RWMA." t2 = "Value of RSI to send a LONG or a SHORT signal. RSI above 60 is a LONG signal and RSI below 40 is a SHORT signal." t3 = "Rate of Change Value of selected MA to send a LONG or a SHORT signal. By default : ROC MA below -1 is a LONG signal and ROC MA above 1 is a SHORT signal" t4 = "Threshold value to trigger trailing Take Profit. This threshold is calculated as a multiple of the ATR (Average True Range)." t5 = "Percentage value of trailing Take Profit. This Trailing TP follows the profit if it increases, remaining selected percentage below it, but stops if the profit decreases." t6 = "Each gain or losse (relative to the previous reference) in an amount equal to this fixed ratio will change quantity of orders." t7 = "The amount of money to be added to or subtracted from orders once the fixed ratio has been reached." //------------------------FUNCTIONS---------------------------// //@function which calculate a retro weighted moving average to minimize the impact of short term reversal rwma(source, length) => sum = 0.0 denominator = 0.0 weight = 0.0 weight_x = 100/(4+(length-4)*1.30) weight_y = 1.30*weight_x for i=0 to length - 1 if i <= 3 weight := weight_x else weight := weight_y sum := sum + source[i] * weight denominator := denominator + weight rwma = sum/denominator //@function which permits the user to choose a moving average type ma(source, length, type) => switch type "SMA" => ta.sma(source, length) "RWMA" => rwma(source, length) //@function Displays text passed to `txt` when called. debugLabel(txt, color) => label.new(bar_index, high, text = txt, color=color, style = label.style_label_lower_right, textcolor = color.black, size = size.small) //@function which looks if the close date of the current bar falls inside the date range inBacktestPeriod(start, end) => (time >= start) and (time <= end) //--------------------------------USER INPUTS-------------------------------// //Technical parameters rsiLengthInput = input.int(20, minval=1, title="RSI Length", group="RSI Settings") maTypeInput = input.string("RWMA", title="MA Type", options=["SMA", "RWMA"], group="MA Settings", inline="1", tooltip=t1) maLenghtInput = input.int(20, minval=1, title="MA Length", group="MA Settings", inline="1") rsiLongSignalValue = input.int(60, minval=1, maxval=99, title="RSI Long Signal", group="Strategy parameters", inline="3") rsiShortSignalValue = input.int(40, minval=1, maxval=99, title="RSI Short Signal", group="Strategy parameters", inline="3", tooltip=t2) rocMovAverLongSignalValue = input.float(-1, maxval=0, title="ROC MA Long Signal", group="Strategy parameters", inline="4") rocMovAverShortSignalValue = input.float(1, minval=0, title="ROC MA Short Signal", group="Strategy parameters", inline="4", tooltip=t3) //TP Activation and Trailing TP takeProfitActivationInput = input.float(5, minval=1.0, title="TP activation in multiple of ATR", group="Strategy parameters", tooltip=t4) trailingStopInput = input.float(3, minval=0, title="Trailing TP in percentage", group="Strategy parameters", tooltip=t5) //Money Management fixedRatio = input.int(defval=400, minval=1, title="Fixed Ratio Value ($)", group="Money Management", tooltip=t6) increasingOrderAmount = input.int(defval=200, minval=1, title="Increasing Order Amount ($)", group="Money Management", tooltip=t7) //Backtesting period startDate = input(title="Start Date", defval=timestamp("1 Jan 2018 00:00:00"), group="Backtesting Period") endDate = input(title="End Date", defval=timestamp("1 July 2024 00:00:00"), group="Backtesting Period") //------------------------------VARIABLES INITIALISATION-----------------------------// float rsi = ta.rsi(close, rsiLengthInput) float ma = ma(close, maLenghtInput, maTypeInput) float roc_ma = ((ma/ma[maLenghtInput]) - 1)*100 float atr = ta.atr(20) var float trailingStopOffset = na var float trailingStopActivation = na var float trailingStop = na var float stopLoss = na var bool long = na var bool short = na var bool bufferTrailingStopDrawing = na float theoreticalStopPrice = na bool inRange = na equity = math.abs(strategy.equity - strategy.openprofit) strategy.initial_capital = 50000 var float capital_ref = strategy.initial_capital var float cashOrder = strategy.initial_capital * 0.95 //------------------------------CHECKING SOME CONDITIONS ON EACH SCRIPT EXECUTION-------------------------------// //Checking if the date belong to the range inRange := true //Checking performances of the strategy if equity > capital_ref + fixedRatio spread = (equity - capital_ref)/fixedRatio nb_level = int(spread) increasingOrder = nb_level * increasingOrderAmount cashOrder := cashOrder + increasingOrder capital_ref := capital_ref + nb_level*fixedRatio if equity < capital_ref - fixedRatio spread = (capital_ref - equity)/fixedRatio nb_level = int(spread) decreasingOrder = nb_level * increasingOrderAmount cashOrder := cashOrder - decreasingOrder capital_ref := capital_ref - nb_level*fixedRatio //Checking if we close all trades in case where we exit the backtesting period if strategy.position_size!=0 and not inRange debugLabel("END OF BACKTESTING PERIOD : we close the trade", color=color.rgb(116, 116, 116)) strategy.close_all() bufferTrailingStopDrawing := false stopLoss := na trailingStopActivation := na trailingStop := na short := false long := false //------------------------------STOP LOSS AND TRAILING STOP ACTIVATION----------------------------// // We handle the stop loss and trailing stop activation if (low <= stopLoss or high >= trailingStopActivation) and long if high >= trailingStopActivation bufferTrailingStopDrawing := true else if low <= stopLoss long := false stopLoss := na trailingStopActivation := na if (low <= trailingStopActivation or high >= stopLoss) and short if low <= trailingStopActivation bufferTrailingStopDrawing := true else if high >= stopLoss short := false stopLoss := na trailingStopActivation := na //-------------------------------------TRAILING STOP--------------------------------------// // If the traling stop is activated, we manage its plotting with the bufferTrailingStopDrawing if bufferTrailingStopDrawing and long theoreticalStopPrice := high - trailingStopOffset * syminfo.mintick if na(trailingStop) trailingStop := theoreticalStopPrice else if theoreticalStopPrice > trailingStop trailingStop := theoreticalStopPrice else if low <= trailingStop trailingStop := na bufferTrailingStopDrawing := false long := false if bufferTrailingStopDrawing and short theoreticalStopPrice := low + trailingStopOffset * syminfo.mintick if na(trailingStop) trailingStop := theoreticalStopPrice else if theoreticalStopPrice < trailingStop trailingStop := theoreticalStopPrice else if high >= trailingStop trailingStop := na bufferTrailingStopDrawing := false short := false //---------------------------------LONG CONDITION--------------------------// if rsi >= 60 and roc_ma <= rocMovAverLongSignalValue and inRange and not long if short bufferTrailingStopDrawing := false stopLoss := na trailingStopActivation := na trailingStop := na short := false trailingStopActivation := close + takeProfitActivationInput*atr trailingStopOffset := (trailingStopActivation * trailingStopInput/100) / syminfo.mintick stopLoss := close - 3*atr long := true qty = cashOrder/close strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty) strategy.exit("Exit Long", "Long", stop = stopLoss, trail_price = trailingStopActivation, trail_offset = trailingStopOffset) //--------------------------------SHORT CONDITION-------------------------------// if rsi <= 40 and roc_ma >= rocMovAverShortSignalValue and inRange and not short if long bufferTrailingStopDrawing := false stopLoss := na trailingStopActivation := na trailingStop := na long := false trailingStopActivation := close - takeProfitActivationInput*atr trailingStopOffset := (trailingStopActivation * trailingStopInput/100) / syminfo.mintick stopLoss := close + 3*atr short := true qty = cashOrder/close strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty) strategy.exit("Exit Short", "Short", stop = stopLoss, trail_price = trailingStopActivation, trail_offset = trailingStopOffset) //--------------------------------PLOTTING ELEMENT---------------------------------// // Plotting of element in the graph plotchar(rsi, "RSI", "", location.top, color.rgb(0, 214, 243)) plot(ma, "MA", color.rgb(219, 219, 18)) plotchar(roc_ma, "ROC MA", "", location.top, color=color.orange) // Visualizer trailing stop and stop loss movement plot(stopLoss, "SL", color.red, 3, plot.style_linebr) plot(trailingStopActivation, "Trigger Trail", color.green, 3, plot.style_linebr) plot(trailingStop, "Trailing Stop", color.blue, 3, plot.style_linebr)