Artikel ini memperkenalkan strategi perdagangan momentum berdasarkan corak candlestick. Strategi ini mengenal pasti trend pasaran dan peluang masuk dengan mengenali pembentukan candlestick.
Strategi momentum breakout terutamanya menilai isyarat pembalikan yang berpotensi dengan mengenal pasti corak bullish engulfing atau bearish engulfing untuk memasuki pasaran.
Logik teras strategi momentum breakout adalah berdasarkan mengenal pasti corak engulfing, termasuk engulf bullish dan engulf bearish.
Satu corak bullish engulfing terbentuk apabila harga penutupan tempoh semasa adalah lebih tinggi daripada harga pembukaan, dan harga penutupan tempoh sebelumnya adalah lebih rendah daripada harga pembukaan tempoh sebelumnya. corak ini sering menandakan pembalikan sentimen pasaran dari penurunan ke kenaikan, menjadikannya peluang yang baik untuk mengejar trend menaik.
Satu corak pengaliran menurun terbentuk apabila harga penutupan tempoh semasa lebih rendah daripada harga pembukaan, dan harga penutupan tempoh sebelumnya lebih tinggi daripada harga pembukaan tempoh sebelumnya.
Setelah mengenal pasti corak yang meluap, strategi momentum breakout dengan cepat menubuhkan kedudukan dengan leverage berlebihan untuk mengesan trend pembalikan yang berpotensi. Ia juga secara dinamik menyesuaikan stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan untuk mengawal risiko sambil mengunci keuntungan.
Strategi ini boleh dioptimumkan dengan cara berikut:
Strategi momentum breakout adalah strategi pembalikan purata yang biasa. Dengan menangkap isyarat candlestick utama, ia dengan cepat menilai dan mengesan pembalikan trend pasaran. Walaupun risiko ada, strategi ini dapat ditingkatkan dengan berkesan melalui pelbagai teknik pengoptimuman untuk mengawal nisbah risiko-balasan. Ia sesuai untuk pelabur agresif yang mencari pulangan seperti arbitrage.
/*backtest start: 2022-11-27 00:00:00 end: 2023-11-09 05:20:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //@version=5 strategy(title = "MomGulfing", shorttitle = "MomGulfing", overlay = true, initial_capital=10000, pyramiding=3, calc_on_order_fills=false, calc_on_every_tick=false, currency="USD", default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=1000, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.04) syear = input(2021) smonth = input(1) sday = input(1) fyear = input(2022) fmonth = input(12) fday = input(31) start = timestamp(syear, smonth, sday, 01, 00) finish = timestamp(fyear, fmonth, fday, 23, 59) date = time >= start and time <= finish ? true : false longs = input(true) shorts = input(true) rr = input(2.5) position_risk_percent = input(1)/100 signal_bar_check = input.string(defval="3", options=["1", "2", "3"]) margin_req = input(80) sl_increase_factor = input(0.2) tp_decrease_factor = input(0.0) check_for_volume = input(true) var long_sl = 0.0 var long_tp = 0.0 var short_sl = 0.0 var short_tp = 0.0 var long_lev = 0.0 var short_lev = 0.0 initial_capital = strategy.equity position_risk = initial_capital * position_risk_percent bullishEngulfing_st = close[1] < open[1] and close > open and high[1] < close and (check_for_volume ? volume[1]<volume : true) bullishEngulfing_nd = close[2] < open[2] and close[1] > open[1] and close > open and high[2] > close[1] and high[2] < close and (check_for_volume ? volume[2]<volume : true) bullishEngulfing_rd = close[3] < open[3] and close[2] > open[2] and close[1] > open[1] and close > open and high[3] > close[2] and high[3] > close[1] and high[3] < close and (check_for_volume ? volume[3]<volume : true) bullishEngulfing = signal_bar_check == "1" ? bullishEngulfing_st : signal_bar_check == "2" ? bullishEngulfing_st or bullishEngulfing_nd : bullishEngulfing_st or bullishEngulfing_nd or bullishEngulfing_rd long_stop_level = bullishEngulfing_st ? math.min(low[1], low) : bullishEngulfing_nd ? math.min(low[2], low[1], low) : bullishEngulfing_rd ? math.min(low[3], low[2], low[1], low) : na rr_amount_long = close-long_stop_level long_exit_level = close + rr*rr_amount_long long_leverage = math.floor(margin_req/math.floor((rr_amount_long/close)*100)) bearishEngulfing_st = close[1] > open[1] and close < open and low[1] > close and (check_for_volume ? volume[1]<volume : true) bearishEngulfing_nd = close[2] > open[2] and close[1] < open[1] and close < open and low[2] < close[1] and low[2] > close and (check_for_volume ? volume[2]<volume : true) bearishEngulfing_rd = close[3] > open[3] and close[2] < open[2] and close[1] < open[1] and close < open and low[3] < close[2] and low[3] < close[1] and low[3] > close and (check_for_volume ? volume[3]<volume : true) bearishEngulfing = signal_bar_check == "1" ? bearishEngulfing_st : signal_bar_check == "2" ? bearishEngulfing_st or bearishEngulfing_nd : bearishEngulfing_st or bearishEngulfing_nd or bearishEngulfing_rd short_stop_level = bearishEngulfing_st ? math.max(high[1], high) : bearishEngulfing_nd ? math.max(high[2], high[1], high) : bearishEngulfing_rd ? math.max(high[3], high[2], high[1], high) : na rr_amount_short = short_stop_level-close short_exit_level = close - rr*rr_amount_short short_leverage = math.floor(margin_req/math.floor((rr_amount_short/short_stop_level)*100)) long = longs and date and bullishEngulfing short = shorts and date and bearishEngulfing bgcolor(long[1] ? color.new(color.teal, 80) : (short[1] ? color.new(color.purple, 80) : na)) if long and strategy.position_size <= 0 long_lev := long_leverage if short and strategy.position_size >= 0 short_lev := short_leverage long_pos_size = long_lev * position_risk long_pos_qty = long_pos_size/close short_pos_size = short_lev * position_risk short_pos_qty = short_pos_size/close if long if strategy.position_size <= 0 long_sl := long_stop_level long_tp := long_exit_level else if strategy.position_size > 0 long_sl := long_stop_level + sl_increase_factor*rr_amount_long long_tp := long_exit_level - tp_decrease_factor*rr_amount_long strategy.entry("L"+str.tostring(long_lev)+"X", strategy.long, qty=long_pos_qty) label_text = str.tostring(long_lev)+"X\nSL:"+str.tostring(long_sl)+"\nTP:"+str.tostring(long_tp) label.new(bar_index+1, na, text=label_text, color=color.green, style=label.style_label_up, xloc=xloc.bar_index, yloc=yloc.belowbar) else if short if strategy.position_size >= 0 short_sl := short_stop_level short_tp := short_exit_level else if strategy.position_size < 0 short_sl := short_stop_level - sl_increase_factor*rr_amount_short short_tp := short_exit_level + tp_decrease_factor*rr_amount_short strategy.entry("S"+str.tostring(short_lev)+"X", strategy.short, qty=short_pos_qty) label_text = str.tostring(short_lev)+"X\nSL:"+str.tostring(short_sl)+"\nTP:"+str.tostring(short_tp) label.new(bar_index+1, na, text=label_text, color=color.red, style=label.style_label_down, xloc=xloc.bar_index, yloc=yloc.abovebar) if (strategy.position_size > 0) strategy.exit(id="L TP/SL", stop=long_sl, limit=long_tp) if (strategy.position_size < 0) strategy.exit(id="S TP/SL", stop=short_sl, limit=short_tp) sl_level = strategy.position_size > 0 ? long_sl : strategy.position_size < 0 ? short_sl : na plot(sl_level, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr) tp_level = strategy.position_size > 0 ? long_tp : strategy.position_size < 0 ? short_tp : na plot(tp_level, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr)