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Strategi Peningkatan Trend Kuantitatif Multi-Layer AO

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2024-12-05 15:01:48
Tag:AOEMAWFWA

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Ringkasan

Strategi ini adalah sistem dagangan berlapis-lapis berdasarkan momentum dan trend berikut. Ia menggabungkan Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals, Awesome Oscillator (AO), dan Exponential Moving Average (EMA) untuk mengenal pasti peluang panjang kebarangkalian tinggi. Strategi ini menggunakan mekanisme penggunaan modal berlapis-lapis, secara beransur-ansur meningkatkan kedudukan apabila trend menguat, dengan keupayaan untuk memegang sehingga 5 kedudukan secara serentak, masing-masing menggunakan 10% modal.

Prinsip Strategi

Strategi ini menggunakan pelbagai mekanisme penapisan untuk memastikan ketepatan arah dagangan. Pertama, ia menggunakan EMA untuk penghakiman trend jangka panjang, mencari peluang jangka panjang hanya apabila harga di atas EMA. Kedua, ia menilai trend jangka pendek melalui gabungan Alligator Williams dan Fractals, mengesahkan trend menaik apabila pecah fraktal ke atas berlaku di atas garis gigi Alligator. Akhirnya, selepas pengesahan trend, strategi mencari isyarat panjang indikator AOsaucer untuk masa kemasukan tertentu. Sistem hanya menggunakan 10% modal setiap perdagangan dan boleh membuka sehingga 5 kedudukan panjang apabila trend menguat. Apabila kombinasi fraktal dan Alligator menunjukkan pembalikan trend, semua kedudukan ditutup.

Kelebihan Strategi

  1. Mekanisme penapisan berlapis-lapis berkesan mengurangkan isyarat palsu
  2. Pengurusan modal saintifik dengan pembinaan kedudukan progresif
  3. Ciri-ciri yang mengikuti trend membolehkan menangkap trend utama
  4. Tiada stop loss tetap, menggunakan penunjuk teknikal untuk penentuan akhir trend dinamik
  5. Sistem mempunyai konfigurasi yang baik untuk keadaan pasaran yang berbeza
  6. Ujian belakang menunjukkan faktor keuntungan yang baik dan pulangan purata

Risiko Strategi

  1. Boleh menghasilkan isyarat palsu berturut-turut di pasaran yang berbeza
  2. Potensi pengeluaran yang signifikan semasa pembalikan trend
  3. Keadaan penapisan berbilang mungkin kehilangan beberapa peluang perdagangan
  4. Dalam pengurusan modal, pembinaan kedudukan berturut-turut boleh membawa risiko semasa tempoh tidak menentu
  5. Pilihan parameter EMA memberi kesan yang ketara kepada prestasi strategi

Untuk mengurangkan risiko ini, disyorkan untuk:

  • Mengoptimumkan parameter untuk persekitaran pasaran yang berbeza
  • Pertimbangkan untuk menambah penapis turun naik
  • Menetapkan syarat pembinaan kedudukan yang lebih ketat
  • Tetapkan had pengeluaran maksimum

Arahan Pengoptimuman Strategi

  1. Memperkenalkan penunjuk ATR untuk penapisan turun naik
  2. Tambah analisis jumlah untuk meningkatkan kebolehpercayaan isyarat
  3. Membangunkan mekanisme penyesuaian parameter dinamik
  4. Mekanisme keuntungan yang sempurna untuk keluar tepat pada masanya apabila trend melemah
  5. Tambah modul pengiktirafan keadaan pasaran untuk set parameter yang berbeza dalam persekitaran pasaran yang berbeza

Ringkasan

Ini adalah strategi trend-mengikuti yang direka dengan baik yang mencapai pulangan yang baik sambil mengekalkan keselamatan melalui gabungan pelbagai penunjuk teknikal. Inovasi strategi terletak pada mekanisme pengesahan trend pelbagai lapisan dan kaedah pengurusan modal progresif. Walaupun terdapat bidang untuk pengoptimuman, secara keseluruhan ia adalah sistem perdagangan yang patut dicoba.


/*backtest
start: 2019-12-23 08:00:00
end: 2024-12-04 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1d
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This Pine Script™ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © Skyrexio

//@version=6
//_______ <licence>
strategy(title = "MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy [Skyrexio]", 
         shorttitle = "AO Saucer", 
         overlay = true, 
         format = format.inherit, 
         pyramiding = 5, 
         calc_on_order_fills = false, 
         calc_on_every_tick = false, 
         default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, 
         default_qty_value = 10, 
         initial_capital = 10000, 
         currency = currency.NONE,  
         commission_type = strategy.commission.percent, 
         commission_value = 0.1,
         slippage = 5,
         use_bar_magnifier = true)


//_______ <constant_declarations>
var const color skyrexGreen               = color.new(#2ECD99, 0)
var const color skyrexGray                = color.new(#F2F2F2, 0)
var const color skyrexWhite               = color.new(#FFFFFF, 0)


//________<variables declarations>
var int trend                             = 0
var float upFractalLevel                  = na
var float upFractalActivationLevel        = na
var float downFractalLevel                = na
var float downFractalActivationLevel      = na
var float saucerActivationLevel           = na
bool highCrossesUpfractalLevel            = ta.crossover(high, upFractalActivationLevel)
bool lowCrossesDownFractalLevel           = ta.crossunder(low, downFractalActivationLevel)
var int signalsQtyInRow                   = 0


//_______ <inputs>
// Trading bot settings
sourceUuid               = input.string(title = "sourceUuid:", defval = "yourBotSourceUuid", group = "🤖Trading Bot Settings🤖")
secretToken              = input.string(title = "secretToken:", defval = "yourBotSecretToken", group = "🤖Trading Bot Settings🤖")


// Trading period settings
lookBackPeriodStart      = input(title = "Trade Start Date/Time", defval = timestamp('2023-01-01T00:00:00'), group = "🕐Trading Period Settings🕐")
lookBackPeriodStop       = input(title = "Trade Stop Date/Time", defval = timestamp('2025-01-01T00:00:00'), group = "🕐Trading Period Settings🕐")


// Strategy settings
EMaLength                = input.int(100, minval = 10, step = 10, title = "EMA Length", group = "📈Strategy settings📈")


//_______ <function_declarations>
//@function       Used to calculate Simple moving average for Alligator
//@param src      Sourse for smma Calculations
//@param length   Number of bars to calculate smma
//@returns        The calculated smma value 
smma(src, length) =>
    var float smma = na
    sma_value = ta.sma(src, length)
    smma := na(smma) ? sma_value : (smma * (length - 1) + src) / length
    smma

//_______ <calculations>


//Upfractal calculation 
upFractalPrice = ta.pivothigh(2, 2)
upFractal = not na(upFractalPrice) 


//Downfractal calculation 
downFractalPrice = ta.pivotlow(2, 2)
downFractal = not na(downFractalPrice)


//Calculating Alligator's teeth 
teeth = smma(hl2, 8)[5]


//Calculating upfractal and downfractal levels
if upFractal 
    upFractalLevel := upFractalPrice
else
    upFractalLevel := upFractalLevel[1]


if downFractal
    downFractalLevel := downFractalPrice
else
    downFractalLevel := downFractalLevel[1]


//Calculating upfractal activation level, downfractal activation level to approximate the trend and this current trend 
if upFractalLevel > teeth
    upFractalActivationLevel := upFractalLevel

if highCrossesUpfractalLevel
    trend := 1
    upFractalActivationLevel := na 
    downFractalActivationLevel := downFractalLevel


if downFractalLevel < teeth
    downFractalActivationLevel := downFractalLevel

if lowCrossesDownFractalLevel
    trend := -1
    downFractalActivationLevel := na 
    upFractalActivationLevel := upFractalLevel


if trend == 1
    upFractalActivationLevel := na

if trend == -1
    downFractalActivationLevel := na


//Calculating filter EMA 
filterEMA = ta.ema(close, EMaLength)


//Сalculating AO saucer signal
ao = ta.sma(hl2,5) - ta.sma(hl2,34)
diff = ao - ao[1]
saucerSignal = ao > ao[1] and ao[1] < ao[2] and ao > 0 and ao[1] > 0 and ao[2] > 0 and trend == 1 and close > filterEMA


//Calculating sauser activation level
if saucerSignal
    saucerActivationLevel := high    
else 
    saucerActivationLevel := saucerActivationLevel[1]


if not na(saucerActivationLevel[1]) and high < saucerActivationLevel[1] and diff > 0
    saucerActivationLevel := high
    saucerSignal := true
    

if (high > saucerActivationLevel[1] and not na(saucerActivationLevel)) or diff < 0
    saucerActivationLevel := na 


//Calculating number of valid saucer signal in current trading cycle 
if saucerSignal and not saucerSignal[1]
    signalsQtyInRow := signalsQtyInRow + 1


if not na(saucerActivationLevel[1]) and diff < 0 and na(saucerActivationLevel) and not (strategy.opentrades[1] <= strategy.opentrades - 1)
    signalsQtyInRow := signalsQtyInRow - 1


if trend == -1 and trend[1] == 1 
    signalsQtyInRow := 0


//_______ <strategy_calls>
//Defining trade close condition
closeCondition =  trend[1] == 1 and trend == -1


//Cancel stop buy order if current Awesome oscillator column lower, than prevoius 
if diff < 0 
    strategy.cancel_all()

//Strategy entry
if (signalsQtyInRow == 1 and not na(saucerActivationLevel)) 
    strategy.entry(id = "entry1", direction = strategy.long, stop = saucerActivationLevel + syminfo.mintick,  alert_message = '{\n"base": "' + syminfo.basecurrency + '",\n"quote": "' + syminfo.currency + '",\n"position": "entry1",\n"price": "' + str.tostring(close) + '",\n"sourceUuid": "' + sourceUuid + '",\n"secretToken": "' + secretToken + '",\n"timestamp": "' + str.tostring(timenow) + '"\n}')

if (signalsQtyInRow == 2 and not na(saucerActivationLevel)) 
    strategy.entry(id = "entry2", direction = strategy.long, stop = saucerActivationLevel + syminfo.mintick,  alert_message = '{\n"base": "' + syminfo.basecurrency + '",\n"quote": "' + syminfo.currency + '",\n"position": "entry2",\n"price": "' + str.tostring(close) + '",\n"sourceUuid": "' + sourceUuid + '",\n"secretToken": "' + secretToken + '",\n"timestamp": "' + str.tostring(timenow) + '"\n}')

if (signalsQtyInRow == 3 and not na(saucerActivationLevel)) 
    strategy.entry(id = "entry3", direction = strategy.long, stop = saucerActivationLevel + syminfo.mintick,  alert_message = '{\n"base": "' + syminfo.basecurrency + '",\n"quote": "' + syminfo.currency + '",\n"position": "entry3",\n"price": "' + str.tostring(close) + '",\n"sourceUuid": "' + sourceUuid + '",\n"secretToken": "' + secretToken + '",\n"timestamp": "' + str.tostring(timenow) + '"\n}')

if (signalsQtyInRow == 4 and not na(saucerActivationLevel)) 
    strategy.entry(id = "entry4", direction = strategy.long, stop = saucerActivationLevel + syminfo.mintick,  alert_message = '{\n"base": "' + syminfo.basecurrency + '",\n"quote": "' + syminfo.currency + '",\n"position": "entry4",\n"price": "' + str.tostring(close) + '",\n"sourceUuid": "' + sourceUuid + '",\n"secretToken": "' + secretToken + '",\n"timestamp": "' + str.tostring(timenow) + '"\n}')

if (signalsQtyInRow == 5 and not na(saucerActivationLevel)) 
    strategy.entry(id = "entry5", direction = strategy.long, stop = saucerActivationLevel + syminfo.mintick,  alert_message = '{\n"base": "' + syminfo.basecurrency + '",\n"quote": "' + syminfo.currency + '",\n"position": "entry5",\n"price": "' + str.tostring(close) + '",\n"sourceUuid": "' + sourceUuid + '",\n"secretToken": "' + secretToken + '",\n"timestamp": "' + str.tostring(timenow) + '"\n}')

//Strategy exit 
if (closeCondition)
    strategy.close_all(alert_message = '{\n"base": "' + syminfo.basecurrency + '",\n"quote": "' + syminfo.currency + '",\n"position": "close",\n"price": "' + str.tostring(close) + '",\n"sourceUuid": "' + sourceUuid + '",\n"secretToken": "' + secretToken + '",\n"timestamp": "' + str.tostring(timenow) + '"\n}')


//_______ <visuals>
//Plotting shapes for adding to current long trades
gradPercent = if strategy.opentrades == 2
    90
else if strategy.opentrades == 3
    80
else if strategy.opentrades == 4
    70
else if strategy.opentrades == 5
    60

pricePlot = plot(close, title="Price", color=color.new(color.blue, 100))
teethPlot = plot(strategy.opentrades > 1 ? teeth : na, title="Teeth", color= skyrexGreen, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth = 2)
fill(pricePlot, teethPlot, color = color.new(skyrexGreen, gradPercent))
if strategy.opentrades != 1 and  strategy.opentrades[1] == strategy.opentrades - 1
    label.new(bar_index, teeth, style = label.style_label_up, color = color.lime, size = size.tiny, text="Buy More", textcolor = color.black, text_formatting = text.format_bold)


//_______ <alerts>


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