A estratégia de rastreamento de momento adaptativo multifator realiza negociação automatizada de ativos altamente voláteis como criptomoedas, identificando tendências de mercado e níveis de suporte / resistência principais através da integração de vários indicadores técnicos.
O núcleo da estratégia de acompanhamento do ímpeto adaptativo multifator consiste na integração de múltiplos indicadores técnicos.
Diferentes parâmetros podem ser usados para identificar sinais regulares do RSI ou os sinais ajustados do RSI de Connors para determinar se existem oportunidades de reversão.
Os sinais de compra e venda são gerados quando a linha MACD cruza acima ou abaixo da linha de sinal.
As combinações de cruz de ouro e cruz de morte das linhas K e D indicam se podem ocorrer reversões.
Calcula a mudança percentual do preço no preço mais alto, preço mais baixo, preço de fechamento, etc. durante um determinado período para determinar se ocorreu uma verdadeira ruptura.
A evolução da taxa de variação da EMA é mais rápida do que a da taxa de variação da EMA, que é mais baixa do que a da EMA.
A estratégia escolhe ir longo ou curto com base nas condições do mercado, e define stop loss e take profit depois de entrar em posições para controlar efetivamente os riscos.
As vantagens desta estratégia incluem:
Em comparação com indicadores únicos, a combinação de vários indicadores permite a verificação mútua e resultados mais fiáveis, poupando custos comerciais desnecessários.
A estratégia estabelece requisitos rigorosos para os sinais de compra/venda, exigindo múltiplos sinais simultâneos para filtrar o ruído e evitar maus negócios.
Os parâmetros adaptáveis reduzem a interferência manual. A capacidade incorporada de calcular dinamicamente os parâmetros do indicador evita a subjetividade da seleção manual dos parâmetros, tornando os parâmetros mais científicos e objetivos.
A estratégia calcula e traça continuamente os níveis de stop loss/take profit após a abertura de posições, limitando efetivamente a perda por negociação e evitando chamadas de margem.
Entre os riscos que devem ser evitados estão:
Probabilidade de sinais incorretos de indicadores. Embora o processo de verificação múltipla reduza muito os sinais errados, alguma probabilidade permanece. Isso pode levar a perdas desnecessárias.
Em condições de mercado extremas, os preços podem mergulhar no penhasco e penetrar facilmente as perdas de stop originalmente estabelecidas, levando a perdas acima da média.
Optimização excessiva do ajuste de parâmetros. Embora os parâmetros dinâmicos reduzam a subjetividade, eles também podem levar ao excesso de ajuste e perda de generalização.
Soluções:
Esta estratégia pode ser melhorada através de:
Aumentar os fatores de julgamento: combinar sinais de mais indicadores de diferentes tipos, por exemplo, volatilidade, volume, etc., para facilitar o julgamento.
Introduzir algoritmos de stop loss mais avançados, como trailing stop loss, volatility stop loss, etc., para reduzir ainda mais a probabilidade de o stop loss ser atingido.
Introdução de modelos de aprendizagem de máquina. Modelagem de dados históricos utilizando RNN, LSTM etc. para ajudar nas decisões de compra/venda.
Adotar múltiplas sub-estratégias e utilizar métodos de conjunto para integrar para um desempenho global mais robusto.
A estratégia de rastreamento de momentum adaptativo multifator integra vários indicadores técnicos para identificar oportunidades de negociação. Em comparação com indicadores únicos, esta estratégia tem julgamentos mais precisos, juntamente com adaptação de parâmetros e mecanismos de stop loss para controlar riscos.
/*backtest start: 2023-12-04 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-11 00:00:00 period: 3m basePeriod: 1m exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ //@version=4 // ██████╗██████╗ ███████╗ █████╗ ████████╗███████╗██████╗ ██████╗ ██╗ ██╗ //██╔════╝██╔══██╗██╔════╝██╔══██╗╚══██╔══╝██╔════╝██╔══██╗ ██╔══██╗╚██╗ ██╔╝ //██║ ██████╔╝█████╗ ███████║ ██║ █████╗ ██║ ██║ ██████╔╝ ╚████╔╝ //██║ ██╔══██╗██╔══╝ ██╔══██║ ██║ ██╔══╝ ██║ ██║ ██╔══██╗ ╚██╔╝ //╚██████╗██║ ██║███████╗██║ ██║ ██║ ███████╗██████╔╝ ██████╔╝ ██║ // ╚═════╝╚═╝ ╚═╝╚══════╝╚═╝ ╚═╝ ╚═╝ ╚══════╝╚═════╝ ╚═════╝ ╚═╝ //███████╗ ██████╗ ██╗ ██╗ ██╗████████╗██╗ ██████╗ ███╗ ██╗███████╗ ██╗ █████╗ ███████╗ █████╗ //██╔════╝██╔═══██╗██║ ██║ ██║╚══██╔══╝██║██╔═══██╗████╗ ██║██╔════╝███║██╔══██╗╚════██║██╔══██╗ //███████╗██║ ██║██║ ██║ ██║ ██║ ██║██║ ██║██╔██╗ ██║███████╗╚██║╚██████║ ██╔╝╚█████╔╝ //╚════██║██║ ██║██║ ██║ ██║ ██║ ██║██║ ██║██║╚██╗██║╚════██║ ██║ ╚═══██║ ██╔╝ ██╔══██╗ //███████║╚██████╔╝███████╗╚██████╔╝ ██║ ██║╚██████╔╝██║ ╚████║███████║ ██║ █████╔╝ ██║ ╚█████╔╝ //╚══════╝ ╚═════╝ ╚══════╝ ╚═════╝ ╚═╝ ╚═╝ ╚═════╝ ╚═╝ ╚═══╝╚══════╝ ╚═╝ ╚════╝ ╚═╝ ╚════╝ strategy(shorttitle='Ain1 No Label',title='All in One Strategy no RSI Label', overlay=true, scale=scale.left, initial_capital = 1000, process_orders_on_close=true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.18, calc_on_every_tick=true) kcolor = color.new(#0094FF, 60) dcolor = color.new(#FF6A00, 60) // ----------------- Strategy Inputs ------------------------------------------------------------- //Backtest dates with auto finish date of today start = input(defval = timestamp("01 April 2021 00:00 -0500"), title = "Start Time", type = input.time) finish = input(defval = timestamp("31 December 2021 00:00 -0600"), title = "End Time", type = input.time) window() => true // create function "within window of time" // Strategy Selection - Long, Short, or Both stratinfo = input(true, "Long/Short for Mixed Market, Long for Bull, Short for Bear") strat = input(title="Trade Types", defval="Long/Short", options=["Long Only", "Long/Short", "Short Only"]) strat_val = strat == "Long Only" ? 1 : strat == "Long/Short" ? 0 : -1 // Risk Management Inputs sl= input(10.0, "Stop Loss %", minval = 0, maxval = 100, step = 0.01) stoploss = sl/100 tp = input(20.0, "Target Profit %", minval = 0, maxval = 100, step = 0.01) TargetProfit = tp/100 useXRSI = input(false, "Use RSI crossing back, select only one strategy") useCRSI = input(false, "Use Tweaked Connors RSI, select only one") RSIInfo = input(true, "These are the RSI Strategy Inputs, RSI Length applies to MACD, set OB and OS to 45 for using Stoch and EMA strategies.") length = input(14, "RSI Length", minval=1) overbought= input(62, "Overbought") oversold= input(35, "Oversold") cl1 = input(3, "Connor's MA Length 1", minval=1, step=1) cl2 = input(20, "Connor's MA Lenght 2", minval=1, step=1) cl3 = input(50, "Connor's MA Lenght 3", minval=1, step=1) // MACD and EMA Inputs useMACD = input(false, "Use MACD Only, select only one strategy") useEMA = input(false, "Use EMA Only, select only one strategy (EMA uses Stochastic inputs too)") MACDInfo=input(true, "These are the MACD strategy variables") fastLength = input(5, minval=1, title="EMA Fast Length") slowLength = input(10, minval=1, title="EMA Slow Length") ob_min = input(52, "Overbought Lookback Minimum Value", minval=0, maxval=200) ob_lb = input(25, "Overbought Lookback Bars", minval=0, maxval=100) os_min = input(50, "Oversold Lookback Minimum Value", minval=0, maxval=200) os_lb = input(35, "Oversold Lookback Bars", minval=0, maxval=100) source = input(title="Source", type=input.source, defval=close) RSI = rsi(source, length) // Price Movement Inputs PriceInfo = input(true, "Price Change Percentage Cross Check Inputs for all Strategies, added logic to avoid early sell") lkbk = input(5,"Max Lookback Period") // EMA and SMA Background Inputs useStoch = input(false, "Use Stochastic Strategy, choose only one") StochInfo = input(true, "Stochastic Strategy Inputs") smoothK = input(3, "K", minval=1) smoothD = input(3, "D", minval=1) k_mode = input("SMA", "K Mode", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA"]) high_source = input(high,"High Source") low_source= input(low,"Low Source") HTF = input("","Curernt or Higher time frame only", type=input.resolution) // Selections to show or hide the overlays showZones = input(true, title="Show Bullish/Bearish Zones") showStoch = input(true, title="Show Stochastic Overlays") showRSIBS = input(true, title="Show RSI Buy Sell Zones") showMACD = input(true, title="Show MACD") color_bars=input(true, "Color Bars") // ------------------ Dynamic RSI Calculation ---------------------------------------- AvgHigh(src,cnt,val) => total = 0.0 count = 0 for i = 0 to cnt if src[i] > val count := count + 1 total := total + src[i] round(total / count) RSI_high = AvgHigh(RSI, ob_lb, ob_min) AvgLow(src,cnt,val) => total = 0.0 count = 0 for i = 0 to cnt if src[i] < val count := count + 1 total := total + src[i] round(total / count) RSI_low = AvgLow(RSI, os_lb, os_min) // ------------------ Price Percentage Change Calculation ----------------------------------------- perc_change(lkbk) => overall_change = ((close[0] - open[lkbk]) / open[lkbk]) * 100 highest_high = 0.0 lowest_low = 0.0 for i = lkbk to 0 highest_high := i == lkbk ? high : high[i] > high[(i + 1)] ? high[i] : highest_high[1] lowest_low := i == lkbk ? low : low[i] < low[(i + 1)] ? low[i] : lowest_low[1] start_to_high = ((highest_high - open[lkbk]) / open[lkbk]) * 100 start_to_low = ((lowest_low - open[lkbk]) / open[lkbk]) * 100 previous_to_high = ((highest_high - open[1])/open[1])*100 previous_to_low = ((lowest_low-open[1])/open[1])*100 previous_bar = ((close[1]-open[1])/open[1])*100 [overall_change, start_to_high, start_to_low, previous_to_high, previous_to_low, previous_bar] // Call the function [overall, to_high, to_low, last_high, last_low, last_bar] = perc_change(lkbk) // Plot the function //plot(overall*50, color=color.white, title='Overall Percentage Change', linewidth=3) //plot(to_high*50, color=color.green,title='Percentage Change from Start to High', linewidth=2) //plot(to_low*50, color=color.red, title='Percentage Change from Start to Low', linewidth=2) //plot(last_high*100, color=color.teal, title="Previous to High", linewidth=2) //plot(last_low*100, color=color.maroon, title="Previous to Close", linewidth=2) //plot(last_bar*100, color=color.orange, title="Previous Bar", linewidth=2) //hline(0, title='Center Line', color=color.orange, linewidth=2) true_dip = overall < 0 and to_high > 0 and to_low < 0 and last_high > 0 and last_low < 0 and last_bar < 0 true_peak = overall > 0 and to_high > 0 and to_low > 0 and last_high > 0 and last_low < 0 and last_bar > 0 alertcondition(true_dip, title='True Dip', message='Dip') alertcondition(true_peak, title='True Peak', message='Peak') // ------------------ Background Colors based on EMA Indicators ----------------------------------- // Uses standard lengths of 9 and 21, if you want control delete the constant definition and uncomment the inputs haClose(gap) => (open[gap] + high[gap] + low[gap] + close[gap]) / 4 rsi_ema = rsi(haClose(0), length) v2 = ema(rsi_ema, length) v3 = 2 * v2 - ema(v2, length) emaA = ema(rsi_ema, fastLength) emaFast = 2 * emaA - ema(emaA, fastLength) emaB = ema(rsi_ema, slowLength) emaSlow = 2 * emaB - ema(emaB, slowLength) //plot(rsi_ema, color=color.white, title='RSI EMA', linewidth=3) //plot(v2, color=color.green,title='v2', linewidth=2) //plot(v3, color=color.red, title='v3', linewidth=2) //plot(emaFast, color=color.teal, title="EMA Fast", linewidth=2) //plot(emaSlow, color=color.maroon, title="EMA Slow", linewidth=2) EMABuy = crossunder(emaFast, v2) and window() EMASell = crossover(emaFast, emaSlow) and window() alertcondition(EMABuy, title='EMA Buy', message='EMA Buy Condition') alertcondition(EMASell, title='EMA Sell', message='EMA Sell Condition') // bullish signal rule: bullishRule =emaFast > emaSlow // bearish signal rule: bearishRule =emaFast < emaSlow // current trading State ruleState = 0 ruleState := bullishRule ? 1 : bearishRule ? -1 : nz(ruleState[1]) ruleColor = ruleState==1 ? color.new(color.blue, 90) : ruleState == -1 ? color.new(color.red, 90) : ruleState == 0 ? color.new(color.gray, 90) : na bgcolor(showZones ? ruleColor : na, title="Bullish/Bearish Zones") // ------------------ Stochastic Indicator Overlay ----------------------------------------------- // Calculation // Use highest highs and lowest lows h_high = highest(high_source ,lkbk) l_low = lowest(low_source ,lkbk) stoch = stoch(RSI, RSI_high, RSI_low, length) k = k_mode=="EMA" ? ema(stoch, smoothK) : k_mode=="WMA" ? wma(stoch, smoothK) : sma(stoch, smoothK) d = sma(k, smoothD) k_c = change(k) d_c = change(d) kd = k - d // Plot signalColor = k>oversold and d<overbought and k>d and k_c>0 and d_c>0 ? kcolor : k<overbought and d>oversold and k<d and k_c<0 and d_c<0 ? dcolor : na kp = plot(showStoch ? k : na, "K", color=kcolor) dp = plot(showStoch ? d : na, "D", color=dcolor) fill(kp, dp, color = signalColor, title="K-D") signalUp = showStoch ? not na(signalColor) and kd>0 : na signalDown = showStoch ? not na(signalColor) and kd<0 : na //plot(signalUp ? kd : na, "Signal Up", color=kcolor, transp=90, style=plot.style_columns) //plot(signalDown ? (kd+100) : na , "Signal Down", color=dcolor, transp=90, style=plot.style_columns, histbase=100) //StochBuy = crossover(k, d) and kd>0 and to_low<0 and window() //StochSell = crossunder(k,d) and kd<0 and to_high>0 and window() StochBuy = crossover(k, d) and window() StochSell = crossunder(k, d) and window() alertcondition(StochBuy, title='Stoch Buy', message='K Crossing D') alertcondition(StochSell, title='Stoch Sell', message='D Crossing K') // -------------- Add Price Movement ------------------------- // Calculations h1 = vwma(high, length) l1 = vwma(low, length) hp = h_high[1] lp = l_low[1] // Plot var plot_color=#353535 var sig = 0 if (h1 >hp) sig:=1 plot_color:=color.lime else if (l1 <lp) sig:=-1 plot_color:=color.maroon //plot(1,title = "Price Movement Bars", style=plot.style_columns,color=plot_color) //plot(sig,title="Signal 1 or -1",display=display.none) // --------------------------------------- RSI Plot ---------------------------------------------- // Plot Oversold and Overbought Lines over = hline(oversold, title="Oversold", color=color.green) under = hline(overbought, title="Overbought", color=color.red) fillcolor = color.new(#9915FF, 90) fill(over, under, fillcolor, title="Band Background") // Show RSI and EMA crosses with arrows and RSI Color (tweaked Connors RSI) // Improves strategy setting ease by showing where EMA 5 crosses EMA 10 from above to confirm overbought conditions or trend reversals // This shows where you should enter shorts or exit longs // Tweaked Connors RSI Calculation connor_ob = overbought connor_os = oversold ma1 = sma(close,cl1) ma2 = sma(close, cl2) ma3 = sma(close, cl3) // Buy Sell Zones using tweaked Connors RSI (RSI values of 80 and 20 for Crypto as well as ma3, ma20, and ma50 are the tweaks) RSI_SELL = ma1 > ma2 and open > ma3 and RSI >= connor_ob and true_peak and window() RSI_BUY = ma2 < ma3 and ma3 > close and RSI <= connor_os and true_dip and window() alertcondition(RSI_BUY, title='Connors Buy', message='Connors RSI Buy') alertcondition(RSI_SELL, title='Connors Sell', message='Connors RSI Sell') // Color Definition col = useCRSI ? (close > ma2 and close < ma3 and RSI <= connor_os ? color.lime : close < ma2 and close > ma3 and RSI <= connor_ob ? color.red : color.yellow ) : color.yellow // Plot colored RSI Line plot(RSI, title="RSI", linewidth=3, color=col) //------------------- MACD Strategy ------------------------------------------------- [macdLine, signalLine, _] = macd(close, fastLength, slowLength, length) bartrendcolor = macdLine > signalLine and k > 50 and RSI > 50 ? color.teal : macdLine < signalLine and k < 50 and RSI < 50 ? color.maroon : macdLine < signalLine ? color.yellow : color.gray barcolor(color = color_bars ? bartrendcolor : na) MACDBuy = macdLine>signalLine and RSI<RSI_low and overall<0 and window() MACDSell = macdLine<signalLine and RSI>RSI_high and overall>0 and window() //plotshape(showMACD ? MACDBuy: na, title = "MACD Buy", style = shape.arrowup, text = "MACD Buy", color=color.green, textcolor=color.green, size=size.small) //plotshape(showMACD ? MACDSell: na, title = "MACD Sell", style = shape.arrowdown, text = "MACD Sell", color=color.red, textcolor=color.red, size=size.small) MACColor = MACDBuy ? color.new(color.teal, 50) : MACDSell ? color.new(color.maroon, 50) : na bgcolor(showMACD ? MACColor : na, title ="MACD Signals") // -------------------------------- Entry and Exit Logic ------------------------------------ // Entry Logic XRSI_OB = crossunder(RSI, overbought) and overall<0 and window() RSI_OB = RSI>overbought and true_peak and window() XRSI_OS = crossover(RSI, oversold) and overall>0 and window() RSI_OS = RSI<oversold and true_dip and window() alertcondition(XRSI_OB, title='Reverse RSI Sell', message='RSI Crossing back under OB') alertcondition(XRSI_OS, title='Reverse RSI Buy', message='RSI Crossing back over OS') alertcondition(RSI_OS, title='RSI Buy', message='RSI Crossover OS') alertcondition(RSI_SELL, title='RSI Sell', message='RSI Crossunder OB') // Strategy Entry and Exit with built in Risk Management GoLong = strategy.position_size==0 and strat_val > -1 and rsi_ema > RSI and k < d ? (useXRSI ? XRSI_OS : useMACD ? MACDBuy : useCRSI ? RSI_BUY : useStoch ? StochBuy : RSI_OS) : false GoShort = strategy.position_size==0 and strat_val < 1 and rsi_ema < RSI and d < k ? (useXRSI ? XRSI_OB : useMACD ? MACDSell : useCRSI ? RSI_SELL : useStoch ? StochSell : RSI_OB) : false if (GoLong) strategy.entry("LONG", strategy.long) if (GoShort) strategy.entry("SHORT", strategy.short) longStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stoploss) longTakePrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + TargetProfit) shortStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stoploss) shortTakePrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - TargetProfit) //plot(series=(strategy.position_size > 0) ? longTakePrice : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=3, title="Long Take Profit") //plot(series=(strategy.position_size < 0) ? shortTakePrice : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=3, title="Short Take Profit") //plot(series=(strategy.position_size > 0) ? longStopPrice : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Long Stop Loss") //plot(series=(strategy.position_size < 0) ? shortStopPrice : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Stop Loss") if (strategy.position_size > 0) strategy.exit(id="Exit Long", from_entry = "LONG", stop = longStopPrice, limit = longTakePrice) if (strategy.position_size < 0) strategy.exit(id="Exit Short", from_entry = "SHORT", stop = shortStopPrice, limit = shortTakePrice) CloseLong = strat_val > -1 and strategy.position_size > 0 and rsi_ema > RSI and d > k ? (useXRSI ? XRSI_OB : useMACD ? MACDSell : useCRSI ? RSI_SELL : RSI_OB) : false if(CloseLong) strategy.close("LONG") CloseShort = strat_val < 1 and strategy.position_size < 0 and rsi_ema < RSI and k > d ? (useXRSI ? XRSI_OS : useMACD ? MACDBuy : useCRSI ? RSI_BUY : RSI_OS) : false if(CloseShort) strategy.close("SHORT")