多因子组合交易策略

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2023-09-12 16:05:10
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本策略通过结合使用多种不同类型的技术指标,形成一个综合的量化交易策略。该策略汇集多个因子的优势,提高交易决策的准确性。

策略原理:

  1. 计算123反转指标,判断价格是否出现了三日反转形态。

  2. 计算Elder熊力指标,判断价格是否出现了超卖现象。

  3. 当两者同时发出买入信号时,进行做多操作。当两者同时发出卖出信号时,进行做空操作。

  4. 通过指标因子的验证,可有效过滤掉部分噪音交易信号。

  5. 不同类型指标的组合,可提高对市场情况的判断力。

该策略的优势:

  1. 多因子组合验证,可减少错误交易的概率。

  2. 提高了对复杂市场情况的识别能力。

  3. 组合策略参数优化难度较大,具有一定优势。

该策略的风险:

  1. 多指标组合需要费时优化参数,以达到最佳匹配。

  2. 不同指标间可能存在信号不一致情况。

  3. 组合策略整体稳定性可能低于单一指标策略。

总之,该策略通过汇集多个因子的优势进行交易,可在一定程度上提高决策的准确性。但需要注意不同指标间的匹配问题,通过严格的参数优化以获得稳定的超额回报。


/*backtest
start: 2022-09-05 00:00:00
end: 2023-02-03 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
//  Copyright by HPotter v1.0 27/05/2020
// This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal. 
//
// First strategy
// This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The 
// Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
// The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close 
// during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50. 
// The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price 
// during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
//
// Second strategy
// Developed by Dr Alexander Elder, the Elder-ray indicator measures buying 
// and selling pressure in the market. The Elder-ray is often used as part 
// of the Triple Screen trading system but may also be used on its own.
// Dr Elder uses a 13-day exponential moving average (EMA) to indicate the 
// market consensus of value. Bull Power measures the ability of buyers to 
// drive prices above the consensus of value. Bear Power reflects the ability 
// of sellers to drive prices below the average consensus of value.
// Bull Power is calculated by subtracting the 13-day EMA from the day's High. 
// Bear power subtracts the 13-day EMA from the day's Low.
// You can use in the xPrice any series: Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4 and ect...
//
// WARNING:
// - For purpose educate only
// - This script to change bars colors.
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level) =>
    vFast = sma(stoch(close, high, low, Length), KSmoothing) 
    vSlow = sma(vFast, DLength)
    pos = 0.0
    pos := iff(close[2] < close[1] and close > close[1] and vFast < vSlow and vFast > Level, 1,
	         iff(close[2] > close[1] and close < close[1] and vFast > vSlow and vFast < Level, -1, nz(pos[1], 0))) 
	pos

BP(Trigger,Length) =>
    pos = 0
    DayHigh = 0.0
    xPrice = close
    xMA = ema(xPrice,Length)
    DayHigh := iff(dayofmonth != dayofmonth[1], high, max(high, nz(DayHigh[1])))
    nRes = DayHigh - xMA
    pos := iff(nRes > Trigger, 1,
    	     iff(nRes < Trigger, -1, nz(pos[1], 0))) 
    pos

strategy(title="Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Elder Ray (Bear Power) ", shorttitle="Combo", overlay = true)
Length = input(14, minval=1)
KSmoothing = input(1, minval=1)
DLength = input(3, minval=1)
Level = input(50, minval=1)
//-------------------------
LengthBP = input(13, minval=1)
Trigger = input(0)
reverse = input(false, title="Trade reverse")
posReversal123 = Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level)
posBP = BP(Trigger,LengthBP)
pos = iff(posReversal123 == 1 and posBP == 1 , 1,
	   iff(posReversal123 == -1 and posBP == -1, -1, 0)) 
possig = iff(reverse and pos == 1, -1,
          iff(reverse and pos == -1 , 1, pos))	   
if (possig == 1) 
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if (possig == -1)
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)	 
if (possig == 0) 
    strategy.close_all()
barcolor(possig == -1 ? #b50404: possig == 1 ? #079605 : #0536b3 )

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