This strategy uses the Adaptive Zero Lag EMA indicator for trend determination and trade signals. The adaptive EMA dynamically tunes parameters to eliminate lag. It aims for trend following.
Strategy Logic:
Calculate Adaptive Zero Lag EMA with cosine and I-Q adaptive algorithms.
EMA is normal EMA, EC is adaptive zero lag EMA.
Go long when EC crosses above EMA, and short when crossing below.
Compute error curve and set threshold to filter false signals.
Use fixed points for stop loss and take profit for risk control.
Advantages:
Adaptive EMA significantly reduces indicator lag.
Threshold filtering improves signal quality and avoids false breakouts.
Simple stops and targets are easy to implement.
Risks:
Adaptive EMA parameters can become unstable.
Fixed stops/targets fail to adapt to changing market conditions.
No limit on loss size, risks large losing trades.
In summary, this strategy uses adaptive EMA for trend following, reducing lag to some extent. But parameter stability and optimized stops are needed to control risks.
/*backtest start: 2023-09-05 00:00:00 end: 2023-09-12 00:00:00 period: 2h basePeriod: 15m exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //@version=3 strategy(title="Adaptive Zero Lag EMA v2 (w/ Backtest Date Range)", shorttitle="AZLEMA", overlay = true, commission_type=strategy.commission.cash_per_contract, slippage = 5, pyramiding=1, calc_on_every_tick=true) src = input(title="Source", defval=close) secType = input(title="Security Type", options=["Forex", "Metal Spot", "Cryptocurrency","Custom"], defval="Forex") contracts = input(title="Custom # of Contracts", defval=1, step=1) limit = input(title="Max Lots", defval=100) Period = input(title="Period", defval = 20) adaptive = input(title="Adaptive Method", options=["Off", "Cos IFM", "I-Q IFM", "Average"], defval="Cos IFM") GainLimit = input(title="Gain Limit", defval = 8) Threshold = input(title="Threshold", defval=0.05, step=0.01) fixedSL = input(title="SL Points", defval=70) fixedTP = input(title="TP Points", defval=10) risk = input(title='Risk', defval=0.01, step=0.01) // === INPUT BACKTEST RANGE === FromMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) FromDay = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) FromYear = input(defval = 2019, title = "From Year", minval = 2015) ToMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "To Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) ToDay = input(defval = 1, title = "To Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) ToYear = input(defval = 9999, title = "To Year", minval = 2015) // === FUNCTION EXAMPLE === start = timestamp(FromYear, FromMonth, FromDay, 00, 00) // backtest start window finish = timestamp(ToYear, ToMonth, ToDay, 23, 59) // backtest finish window window() => true range = 50 //input(title="Max Period", defval=60, minval=8, maxval=100) PI = 3.14159265359 lenIQ = 0.0 lenC = 0.0 //############################################################################## //I-Q IFM //############################################################################## if(adaptive=="I-Q IFM" or adaptive=="Average") imult = 0.635 qmult = 0.338 inphase = 0.0 quadrature = 0.0 re = 0.0 im = 0.0 deltaIQ = 0.0 instIQ = 0.0 V = 0.0 P = src - src[7] inphase := 1.25*(P[4] - imult*P[2]) + imult*nz(inphase[3]) quadrature := P[2] - qmult*P + qmult*nz(quadrature[2]) re := 0.2*(inphase*inphase[1] + quadrature*quadrature[1]) + 0.8*nz(re[1]) im := 0.2*(inphase*quadrature[1] - inphase[1]*quadrature) + 0.8*nz(im[1]) if (re!= 0.0) deltaIQ := atan(im/re) for i=0 to range V := V + deltaIQ[i] if (V > 2*PI and instIQ == 0.0) instIQ := i if (instIQ == 0.0) instIQ := nz(instIQ[1]) lenIQ := 0.25*instIQ + 0.75*nz(lenIQ[1]) //############################################################################## //COSINE IFM //############################################################################## if(adaptive == "Cos IFM" or adaptive == "Average") s2 = 0.0 s3 = 0.0 deltaC = 0.0 instC = 0.0 v1 = 0.0 v2 = 0.0 v4 = 0.0 v1 := src - src[7] s2 := 0.2*(v1[1] + v1)*(v1[1] + v1) + 0.8*nz(s2[1]) s3 := 0.2*(v1[1] - v1)*(v1[1] - v1) + 0.8*nz(s3[1]) if (s2 != 0) v2 := sqrt(s3/s2) if (s3 != 0) deltaC := 2*atan(v2) for i = 0 to range v4 := v4 + deltaC[i] if (v4 > 2*PI and instC == 0.0) instC := i - 1 if (instC == 0.0) instC := instC[1] lenC := 0.25*instC + 0.75*nz(lenC[1]) if (adaptive == "Cos IFM") Period := round(lenC) if (adaptive == "I-Q IFM") Period := round(lenIQ) if (adaptive == "Average") Period := round((lenC + lenIQ)/2) //############################################################################## //ZERO LAG EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE //############################################################################## LeastError = 1000000.0 EC = 0.0 Gain = 0.0 EMA = 0.0 Error = 0.0 BestGain = 0.0 alpha =2/(Period + 1) EMA := alpha*src + (1-alpha)*nz(EMA[1]) for i = -GainLimit to GainLimit Gain := i/10 EC := alpha*(EMA + Gain*(src - nz(EC[1]))) + (1 - alpha)*nz(EC[1]) Error := src - EC if(abs(Error)<LeastError) LeastError := abs(Error) BestGain := Gain EC := alpha*(EMA + BestGain*(src - nz(EC[1]))) + (1-alpha)*nz(EC[1]) plot(EC, title="EC", color=orange, linewidth=2) plot(EMA, title="EMA", color=red, linewidth=2) //############################################################################## //Trade Logic & Risk Management //############################################################################## buy = crossover(EC,EMA) and 100*LeastError/src > Threshold sell = crossunder(EC,EMA) and 100*LeastError/src > Threshold secScaler = secType == "Forex" ? 100000 : secType == "Metal Spot" ? 100 : secType == "Cryptocurrency" ? 10000 : secType == "Custom" ? contracts : 0 strategy.initial_capital = 50000 balance = strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit if (time>timestamp(2016, 1, 1 , 0, 0) and balance > 0) //LONG lots = ((risk * balance)/fixedSL)*secScaler lots := lots > limit * secScaler ? limit * secScaler : lots strategy.entry("BUY", strategy.long, oca_name="BUY", when=buy and window()) strategy.exit("B.Exit", "BUY", qty_percent = 100, loss=fixedSL, trail_offset=15, trail_points=fixedTP) //SHORT strategy.entry("SELL", strategy.short, oca_name="SELL",when=sell and window()) strategy.exit("S.Exit", "SELL", qty_percent = 100, loss=fixedSL, trail_offset=15, trail_points=fixedTP)