This strategy combines Hull MA smooth moving average and STC indicator to precisely track the trend. It goes long when Hull MA line turns green and STC indicator turns from red to green and is below 25; it goes short when Hull MA line turns red and STC indicator turns from green to red and is above 75. Meanwhile, the strategy also integrates UT Bot indicator to further confirm trend signals.
The strategy uses Hull MA smooth moving average line to determine the price trend direction. The color change of Hull MA line from green to red or vice versa can be used to judge the trend reversal.
The STC indicator is similar to MACD indicator. Its indicator line can be used to determine bullish/bearish reversals. When the indicator line breaks above 25 from below, it’s a buy signal; when it breaks below 75 from above, it’s a sell signal.
By combining Hull MA and STC indicators, when both indicators concurrently generate buy/sell signals, it indicates a trend reversal for trade entry.
In addition, the strategy also incorporates the UT Bot indicator, which outputs bullish/bearish bias based on the price’s relationship with the dynamic stop loss line based on ATR, to further confirm trend signals.
Specifically, the strategy logic is:
When Hull MA line turns green and STC indicator line turns from red to green, below 25, it’s a long signal.
When Hull MA line turns red and STC indicator line turns from green to red, above 75, it’s a short signal.
When above criteria are met, require UT Bot shows bullish to open long position.
When above criteria are met, require UT Bot shows bearish to open short position.
The strategy combines 3 indicators to determine the trend, which can improve the reliability of signals.
The smooth Hull MA curve can accurately determine the trend direction and avoid whipsaws. The STC indicator can capture trend reversal points to enhance the real-time performance of the strategy. UT Bot can further filter out false signals.
The combination of the 3 indicators enables precise trend tracking while enhancing stability. This is the biggest strength of the strategy.
Main risks of the strategy:
STC indicator tends to generate false signals, causing unnecessary entries.
Incorrect Hull MA parameter settings may also misjudge the trend.
Improper combination of the 3 indicators may interfere with each other.
Risks can be mitigated by optimizing Hull MA parameters, adjusting STC parameter mix, testing UT Bot parameters.
In addition, stop loss can be used to control single trade loss. More indicators can be introduced for combo verification to reduce false signal rates.
The strategy can be optimized in the following aspects:
Optimize Hull MA parameters to find the optimal length for the smooth curve to fit the trend better.
Adjust STC parameter mix to find more accurate combinations for detecting reversals.
Optimize UT Bot parameters to improve trend judgment accuracy.
Test introducing other indicators for combo verification to further improve signal reliability.
Optimize stop loss strategy to keep profits while controlling single trade loss within acceptable range.
Optimize position sizing strategy for higher reward/risk ratios.
The strategy precisely tracks the trend by combining Hull MA, STC and UT Bot indicators. It has the advantage of indicator diversity, which reduces misjudgment risks and enhances stability. The strategy can be further improved by continuously optimizing parameters, introducing other indicators, perfecting stop loss strategies etc.
/*backtest start: 2023-09-06 00:00:00 end: 2023-10-06 00:00:00 period: 1h basePeriod: 15m exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © myn //@version=5 strategy('Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull+ [MYN]', max_bars_back=5000, overlay=true, pyramiding=0, initial_capital=20000, currency='USD', default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100.0, commission_value=0.075) ///////////////////////////////////// //* Put your strategy logic below *// ///////////////////////////////////// //2oVDibie_bk /// UT Bot Alerts by QuantNomad - https://www.tradingview.com/script/n8ss8BID-UT-Bot-Alerts/ // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ //study(title="UT Bot Alerts", overlay = true) // Inputs a = input(2, title='Key Vaule. \'This changes the sensitivity\'') c = input(6, title='ATR Period') h = input(false, title='Signals from Heikin Ashi Candles') xATR = ta.atr(c) nLoss = a * xATR src = h ? request.security(ticker.heikinashi(syminfo.tickerid), timeframe.period, close, lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) : close xATRTrailingStop = 0.0 iff_1 = src > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? src - nLoss : src + nLoss iff_2 = src < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src[1] < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? math.min(nz(xATRTrailingStop[1]), src + nLoss) : iff_1 xATRTrailingStop := src > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src[1] > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? math.max(nz(xATRTrailingStop[1]), src - nLoss) : iff_2 pos = 0 iff_3 = src[1] > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? -1 : nz(pos[1], 0) pos := src[1] < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? 1 : iff_3 xcolor = pos == -1 ? color.red : pos == 1 ? color.green : color.blue ema = ta.ema(src, 1) above = ta.crossover(ema, xATRTrailingStop) below = ta.crossover(xATRTrailingStop, ema) buy = src > xATRTrailingStop and above sell = src < xATRTrailingStop and below barbuy = src > xATRTrailingStop barsell = src < xATRTrailingStop //plotshape(buy, title = "Buy", text = 'Buy', style = shape.labelup, location = location.belowbar, color= color.green, textcolor = color.white, transp = 0, size = size.tiny) //plotshape(sell, title = "Sell", text = 'Sell', style = shape.labeldown, location = location.abovebar, color= color.red, textcolor = color.white, transp = 0, size = size.tiny) barcolor(barbuy ? color.green : na) barcolor(barsell ? color.red : na) alertcondition(buy, 'UT Long', 'UT Long') alertcondition(sell, 'UT Short', 'UT Short') /////////////////////////////////////////////// //======[ Position Check (long/short) ]======// /////////////////////////////////////////////// last_longCondition = float(na) last_shortCondition = float(na) last_longCondition := buy ? time : nz(last_longCondition[1]) last_shortCondition := sell ? time : nz(last_shortCondition[1]) in_longCondition = last_longCondition > last_shortCondition in_shortCondition = last_shortCondition > last_longCondition UTBotBuyZone = in_longCondition UTBotSellZone = in_shortCondition /// STC Indicator - A Better MACD [SHK] By shayankm - https://www.tradingview.com/script/WhRRThMI-STC-Indicator-A-Better-MACD-SHK/ // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ //[SHK] STC colored indicator //https://www.tradingview.com/u/shayankm/ //indicator(title='[SHK] Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)', shorttitle='STC', overlay=false) STCDivider = input(false, '░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░') EEEEEE = input(80, 'Length') BBBB = input(27, 'FastLength') BBBBB = input(50, 'SlowLength') AAAA(BBB, BBBB, BBBBB) => fastMA = ta.ema(BBB, BBBB) slowMA = ta.ema(BBB, BBBBB) AAAA = fastMA - slowMA AAAA AAAAA(EEEEEE, BBBB, BBBBB) => AAA = input(0.5) var CCCCC = 0.0 var DDD = 0.0 var DDDDDD = 0.0 var EEEEE = 0.0 BBBBBB = AAAA(close, BBBB, BBBBB) CCC = ta.lowest(BBBBBB, EEEEEE) CCCC = ta.highest(BBBBBB, EEEEEE) - CCC CCCCC := CCCC > 0 ? (BBBBBB - CCC) / CCCC * 100 : nz(CCCCC[1]) DDD := na(DDD[1]) ? CCCCC : DDD[1] + AAA * (CCCCC - DDD[1]) DDDD = ta.lowest(DDD, EEEEEE) DDDDD = ta.highest(DDD, EEEEEE) - DDDD DDDDDD := DDDDD > 0 ? (DDD - DDDD) / DDDDD * 100 : nz(DDDDDD[1]) EEEEE := na(EEEEE[1]) ? DDDDDD : EEEEE[1] + AAA * (DDDDDD - EEEEE[1]) EEEEE mAAAAA = AAAAA(EEEEEE, BBBB, BBBBB) mColor = mAAAAA > mAAAAA[1] ? color.new(color.green, 20) : color.new(color.red, 20) if mAAAAA[3] <= mAAAAA[2] and mAAAAA[2] > mAAAAA[1] and mAAAAA > 75 alert('Red', alert.freq_once_per_bar) if mAAAAA[3] >= mAAAAA[2] and mAAAAA[2] < mAAAAA[1] and mAAAAA < 25 alert('Green', alert.freq_once_per_bar) //plot(mAAAAA, color=mColor, title='STC', linewidth=2) //ul = plot(25, color=color.new(color.white, 0 )) //ll = plot(75, color=color.new(color.purple, 0)) //fill(ul, ll, color=color.new(color.gray, 96)) STCGreenAndBelow25AndRising = mAAAAA > mAAAAA[1] and mAAAAA < 25 STCRedAndAndAbove75AndFalling = mAAAAA < mAAAAA[1] and mAAAAA > 75 /// Hull Suite by InSilico // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ //Basic Hull Ma Pack tinkered by InSilico - https://www.tradingview.com/script/hg92pFwS-Hull-Suite/ //study("Hull Suite by InSilico", overlay=true) HullDivider = input(false, '░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░') //INPUT srcHull = input(close, title='Source') modeSwitch = input.string('Hma', title='Hull Variation', options=['Hma', 'Thma', 'Ehma']) length = input(55, title='Length(180-200 for floating S/R , 55 for swing entry)') lengthMult = input(1.0, title='Length multiplier (Used to view higher timeframes with straight band)') useHtf = input(false, title='Show Hull MA from X timeframe? (good for scalping)') htf = input.timeframe('240', title='Higher timeframe') switchColor = input(true, 'Color Hull according to trend?') candleCol = input(false, title='Color candles based on Hull\'s Trend?') visualSwitch = input(true, title='Show as a Band?') thicknesSwitch = input(1, title='Line Thickness') transpSwitch = input.int(40, title='Band Transparency', step=5) //FUNCTIONS //HMA HMA(_src, _length) => ta.wma(2 * ta.wma(_src, _length / 2) - ta.wma(_src, _length), math.round(math.sqrt(_length))) //EHMA EHMA(_src, _length) => ta.ema(2 * ta.ema(_src, _length / 2) - ta.ema(_src, _length), math.round(math.sqrt(_length))) //THMA THMA(_src, _length) => ta.wma(ta.wma(_src, _length / 3) * 3 - ta.wma(_src, _length / 2) - ta.wma(_src, _length), _length) //SWITCH Mode(modeSwitch, src, len) => modeSwitch == 'Hma' ? HMA(src, len) : modeSwitch == 'Ehma' ? EHMA(src, len) : modeSwitch == 'Thma' ? THMA(src, len / 2) : na //OUT _hull = Mode(modeSwitch, srcHull, int(length * lengthMult)) HULL = useHtf ? request.security(syminfo.ticker, htf, _hull) : _hull MHULL = HULL[0] SHULL = HULL[2] //COLOR hullColor = switchColor ? HULL > HULL[2] ? #00ff00 : #ff0000 : #ff9800 //PLOT ///< Frame Fi1 = plot(MHULL, title='MHULL', color=hullColor, linewidth=thicknesSwitch, transp=50) Fi2 = plot(visualSwitch ? SHULL : na, title='SHULL', color=hullColor, linewidth=thicknesSwitch, transp=50) alertcondition(ta.crossover(MHULL, SHULL), title='Hull trending up.', message='Hull trending up.') alertcondition(ta.crossover(SHULL, MHULL), title='Hull trending down.', message='Hull trending down.') ///< Ending Filler fill(Fi1, Fi2, title='Band Filler', color=hullColor, transp=transpSwitch) ///BARCOLOR barcolor(color=candleCol ? switchColor ? hullColor : na : na) HullGreen = hullColor == #00ff00 HullRed = hullColor == #ff0000 ////////////////////////////////////// //* Put your strategy rules below *// ///////////////////////////////////// longCondition = STCGreenAndBelow25AndRising and HullGreen and UTBotBuyZone shortCondition = STCRedAndAndAbove75AndFalling and HullRed and UTBotSellZone //define as 0 if do not want to use closeLongCondition = 0 closeShortCondition = 0 //░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ useStartPeriodTime = input.bool(true, 'Start', group='Date Range', inline='Start Period') startPeriodTime = input(timestamp('1 Jan 2019'), '', group='Date Range', inline='Start Period') useEndPeriodTime = input.bool(true, 'End', group='Date Range', inline='End Period') endPeriodTime = input(timestamp('31 Dec 2030'), '', group='Date Range', inline='End Period') start = useStartPeriodTime ? startPeriodTime >= time : false end = useEndPeriodTime ? endPeriodTime <= time : false calcPeriod = not start and not end // Trade Direction // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ tradeDirection = input.string('Long and Short', title='Trade Direction', options=['Long and Short', 'Long Only', 'Short Only'], group='Trade Direction') // Percent as Points // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ per(pcnt) => strategy.position_size != 0 ? math.round(pcnt / 100 * strategy.position_avg_price / syminfo.mintick) : float(na) // Take profit 1 // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ tp1 = input.float(title='Take Profit 1 - Target %', defval=100, minval=0.0, step=0.5, group='Take Profit', inline='Take Profit 1') q1 = input.int(title='% Of Position', defval=100, minval=0, group='Take Profit', inline='Take Profit 1') // Take profit 2 // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ tp2 = input.float(title='Take Profit 2 - Target %', defval=100, minval=0.0, step=0.5, group='Take Profit', inline='Take Profit 2') q2 = input.int(title='% Of Position', defval=100, minval=0, group='Take Profit', inline='Take Profit 2') // Take profit 3 // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ tp3 = input.float(title='Take Profit 3 - Target %', defval=100, minval=0.0, step=0.5, group='Take Profit', inline='Take Profit 3') q3 = input.int(title='% Of Position', defval=100, minval=0, group='Take Profit', inline='Take Profit 3') // Take profit 4 // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ tp4 = input.float(title='Take Profit 4 - Target %', defval=100, minval=0.0, step=0.5, group='Take Profit') /// Stop Loss // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ stoplossPercent = input.float(title='Stop Loss (%)', defval=15, minval=0.01, group='Stop Loss') * 0.01 slLongClose = close < strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stoplossPercent) slShortClose = close > strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stoplossPercent) /// Leverage // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ leverage = input.float(1, 'Leverage', step=.5, group='Leverage') contracts = math.min(math.max(.000001, strategy.equity / close * leverage), 1000000000) /// Trade State Management // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ isInLongPosition = strategy.position_size > 0 isInShortPosition = strategy.position_size < 0 /// ProfitView Alert Syntax String Generation // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ alertSyntaxPrefix = input.string(defval='PV-AccountNameHere_Strategy-Name-Here', title='Alert Syntax Prefix', group='ProfitView Alert Syntax') alertSyntaxBase = alertSyntaxPrefix + '\n#' + str.tostring(open) + ',' + str.tostring(high) + ',' + str.tostring(low) + ',' + str.tostring(close) + ',' + str.tostring(volume) + ',' /// Trade Execution // ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ if calcPeriod if longCondition and tradeDirection != 'Short Only' and isInLongPosition == false strategy.entry('Long', strategy.long, qty=contracts) alert(message=alertSyntaxBase + 'side:long', freq=alert.freq_once_per_bar_close) if shortCondition and tradeDirection != 'Long Only' and isInShortPosition == false strategy.entry('Short', strategy.short, qty=contracts) alert(message=alertSyntaxBase + 'side:short', freq=alert.freq_once_per_bar_close) //Inspired by Multiple %% profit exits example By adolgo https://www.tradingview.com/script/kHhCik9f-Multiple-profit-exits-example/ strategy.exit('TP1', qty_percent=q1, profit=per(tp1)) strategy.exit('TP2', qty_percent=q2, profit=per(tp2)) strategy.exit('TP3', qty_percent=q3, profit=per(tp3)) strategy.exit('TP4', profit=per(tp4)) strategy.close('Long', qty_percent=100, comment='SL Long', when=slLongClose) strategy.close('Short', qty_percent=100, comment='SL Short', when=slShortClose) strategy.close_all(when=closeLongCondition or closeShortCondition, comment='Close Postion')