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MA Trendline Breakthrough Strategy

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2023-10-30 11:39:31
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This strategy realizes continuous profitability in volatile markets by tracking moving average line breakthroughs.

Strategy Logic

The core logic of this strategy is to open positions based on moving average line breakthroughs. It uses MA to aggregate multiple moving averages to form the main moving average line. Trading signals are generated when the price breaks through the main moving average line.

Specifically, the strategy adopts a 60-period WMA double moving average as the main moving average line. At the same time, it calculates the true range of the price and draws upper and lower bands. Go long when the price breaks through the upper band, and go short when it breaks through the lower band.

On top of the breakthrough signals, the strategy also incorporates RSI and EMA as auxiliary indicators. It requires RSI>50 and price above EMA to go long, and RSI<50 and price below EMA to go short, so as to avoid false breakouts.

In addition, the strategy uses triple moving average formations to determine exit points. When the triple moving averages are in a weak formation (-1), the exit point is chosen as the reverse breakthrough of the channel.

Advantage Analysis

Using MA to smooth price changes, it can effectively identify trend directions
Trading based on channel breakouts can generate decent profits in range-bound markets
Combining RSI and EMA avoids false breakout signals
Using triple MA formations to determine exit points avoids exhausted trends

Risk Analysis

MA lines may generate many false breakouts in wildly fluctuating markets
Triple MA exit timings may not be very accurate
Improper RSI parameters can lead to over-trading

These risks can be reduced by optimizing MA periods, tuning triple MA settings, using RSI cautiously etc.

Optimization Directions

Optimize MA periods to find better settings for the main moving average line
Try different auxiliary indicators to replace RSI, e.g. KDJ, MACD etc.
Adjust triple MA parameters to identify reversal points more precisely
Add stop loss to control risk per trade

Summary

In summary, this is an excellent breakout strategy for range-bound markets. The core idea is to open positions based on MA breakouts, filtered by trend indicators, and realize steady profits in non-trending markets. Exits are determined earlier using triple MA formations. There is ample room for optimizing parameters, improving entry/exit logic etc. to maximize performance in ranging markets.

/*backtest
start: 2022-10-23 00:00:00
end: 2023-03-15 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/



//@version=5

//exapple bot
strategy('RIPO BOT', shorttitle='RIPO BOT', overlay=true, process_orders_on_close=true, calc_on_order_fills=false, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100)
sl_inp = input(0.1, title='Stop Loss %') / 100
tp_inp = input(0.33, title='Take Profit %') / 100

length = input(defval=21)
upper = ta.highest(length)
lower = ta.lowest(length)

lengthChop = input.int(14, minval=1)
ci = 100 * math.log10(math.sum(ta.atr(1), lengthChop) / (ta.highest(lengthChop) - ta.lowest(lengthChop))) / math.log10(lengthChop)
offset = input.int(0, "Offset",  minval = -500, maxval = 500)
plot(ci, "CHOP", color=#2962FF, offset = offset)
band1 = hline(61.8, "Upper Band", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
hline(50, "Middle Band", color=color.new(#787B86, 50))
band0 = hline(38.2, "Lower Band", color=#787B86, linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
fill(band1, band0, color = color.rgb(33, 150, 243, 90), title = "Background")

rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14)

var float entry_price = na

output = 100 * (close - upper) / (upper - lower)
ema = ta.ema(output, input(defval=13, title='EMA'))

ma(src, len) =>
    ta.wma(2 * ta.wma(src, len / 2) - ta.wma(src, len), math.round(math.sqrt(len)))
BBMC = ma(close, 60)
rangema = ta.ema(ta.tr, 60)
upperk = BBMC + rangema * 0.2
lowerk = BBMC - rangema * 0.2
color_bar = close > upperk ? color.blue : close < lowerk ? color.fuchsia : color.gray

ExitHigh = ma(high, 15)
ExitLow = ma(low, 15)
Hlv3 = int(na)
Hlv3 := close > ExitHigh ? 1 : close < ExitLow ? -1 : Hlv3[1]
sslExit = Hlv3 < 0 ? ExitHigh : ExitLow
base_cross_Long = ta.crossover(close, sslExit)
base_cross_Short = ta.crossover(sslExit, close)
codiff = base_cross_Long ? 1 : base_cross_Short ? -1 : na
entry_long = false

entry_short = false

    
if ta.crossover(close, BBMC) and output > ema
    entry_long := true
    
if ta.crossunder(close, BBMC) and output < ema
    entry_short := true

if entry_long and strategy.position_size == 0
    entry_price := close
    strategy.entry('enter long', strategy.long, comment='ENTER-LONG_BYBIT_MATICUSDT_BOT-NAME_1M_85915e4dc80fb663')
if strategy.position_size > 0
    strategy.exit('Stop Loss/TP long', 'enter long', limit=entry_price * (1 + tp_inp), stop = color_bar == color.fuchsia ? BBMC : na, comment='EXIT-LONG_BYBIT_MATICUSDT_BOT-NAME_1M_85915e4dc80fb663')
plot(entry_price * (1 + tp_inp), color=color.new(color.green, 0))


//if entry_short and strategy.position_size == 0
    //entry_price := close
    //strategy.entry('enter short', strategy.short, comment='ENTER-SHORT_BYBIT_MATICUSDT_BOT-NAME_1M_85915e4dc80fb663')
if strategy.position_size < 0
    strategy.exit('Stop Loss/TP short', 'enter short', limit=entry_price * (1 - tp_inp), stop = color_bar == color.blue ? BBMC : na, comment='EXIT-SHORT_BYBIT_MATICUSDT_BOT-NAME_1M_85915e4dc80fb663')
plot(entry_price * (1 + tp_inp), color=color.new(color.green, 0))
// plot(entry_price * (1 - sl_inp), color=color.new(color.red, 0))

plot(rsi, color=color.yellow)

plot(output, title='%R', color=color.new(color.yellow, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ema, title='EMA', color=color.new(color.aqua, 0), linewidth=2)

plotarrow(codiff, colorup=color.new(color.blue, 35), colordown=color.new(color.fuchsia, 35), title='Exit Arrows', maxheight=20, offset=0)
plot(BBMC, color=color_bar, linewidth=4, title='MA Trendline')

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