本策略是一种综合性的交易策略,其目的是在中短期内获利。它整合了123反转策略和神奇振荡器策略,以发挥两者的优势,获取更可靠的交易信号。
该策略由两部分组成:
123反转策略
这部分策略基于书籍“我如何在期货市场上使资金增长三倍”第183页所述的反转策略改编。它在以下情况下做多:如果收盘价连续2天高于前一日收盘价,且9日随机慢线低于50时;它在以下情况下做空:如果收盘价连续2天低于前一日收盘价,且9日随机快线高于50时。
神奇振荡器策略
该部分策略使用神奇振荡器指标,它将AO当前值与上一期的值进行对比。如果当前AO值高于上一期,则视为适合做多,柱形显示为蓝色;如果当前AO值不高于上一期,则视为适合做空,柱形显示为红色。
综合信号生成规则是:如果123反转策略和神奇振荡器策略同时发出买入信号,则采取做多策略;如果两者同时发出卖出信号,则采取做空策略。
该综合策略最大的优势在于整合了两种不同类型策略的优点,可以提高信号的可靠性和稳定性。
具体来说,123反转策略在中短期内较为适用,可以捕捉反转机会。而神奇振荡器策略则更注重短期趋势,灵敏度较高。两者互为补充,可以过滤掉一些假信号,同时也可以在不同阶段捕捉较优的入场时机。
另外,该策略综合利用K线信息和振荡器指标,兼顾了价格行情本身的信息和量价关系,比较全面和立体。
该策略最大的风险在于,综合多个策略也意味着综合了各自的风险。
123反转策略本身并不能完全避免被困于震荡市场的风险。神奇振荡器策略对短期市场波动也较为敏感。如果两者发出错误信号,则会乘二为害。
此外,参数设置也会影响策略效果。需要反复测试和优化,找到最佳参数组合。
要规避风险,可以适当调整策略持仓规模,降低单笔交易的风险敞口。另外,可设置止损线,避免损失进一步扩大。
可以从以下几个方面进一步优化该策略:
测试并优化参数,找到最优参数组合
增加其他指标或过滤条件,进一步提高信号质量
结合不同时间周期进行多时间框架优化
增加动态止损策略,更好控制风险
考虑实际交易成本,设定进入和退出的条件
考虑大级别趋势方向,避免逆势操作
本策略综合运用123反转和神奇振荡器两大策略的优点,在提高信号可靠性的同时,保留了一定的灵活性和对市场变化的敏感度。但仍需进一步优化参数,严格控制风险,方能在实盘中稳定获利。整体来说,该策略具有很好的中短期交易潜力,值得进一步研究与应用。
/*backtest start: 2023-10-01 00:00:00 end: 2023-10-31 00:00:00 period: 1h basePeriod: 15m exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //@version=4 //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// // Copyright by HPotter v1.0 09/08/2021 // This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal. // // First strategy // This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The // Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies. // The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close // during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50. // The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price // during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50. // // Second strategy // This indicator plots the oscillator as a histogram where blue denotes // periods suited for buying and red . for selling. If the current value // of AO (Awesome Oscillator) is above previous, the period is considered // suited for buying and the period is marked blue. If the AO value is not // above previous, the period is considered suited for selling and the // indicator marks it as red. // // WARNING: // - For purpose educate only // - This script to change bars colors. //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level) => vFast = sma(stoch(close, high, low, Length), KSmoothing) vSlow = sma(vFast, DLength) pos = 0.0 pos := iff(close[2] < close[1] and close > close[1] and vFast < vSlow and vFast > Level, 1, iff(close[2] > close[1] and close < close[1] and vFast > vSlow and vFast < Level, -1, nz(pos[1], 0))) pos BWAC(nLengthSlow,nLengthFast) => pos = 0.0 xSMA1_hl2 = sma(hl2, nLengthFast) xSMA2_hl2 = sma(hl2, nLengthSlow) xSMA1_SMA2 = xSMA1_hl2 - xSMA2_hl2 xSMA_hl2 = sma(xSMA1_SMA2, nLengthFast) nRes = xSMA1_SMA2 - xSMA_hl2 pos:= iff(nRes > nRes[1], 1, iff(nRes < nRes[1], -1, nz(pos[1], 0))) pos strategy(title="Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Awesome Oscillator (AC)", shorttitle="Combo", overlay = true) line1 = input(true, "---- 123 Reversal ----") Length = input(14, minval=1) KSmoothing = input(1, minval=1) DLength = input(3, minval=1) Level = input(50, minval=1) //------------------------- line2 = input(true, "---- Awesome Oscillator (AC) ----") nLengthSlow = input(34, minval=1, title="Length Slow") nLengthFast = input(5, minval=1, title="Length Fast") reverse = input(false, title="Trade reverse") posReversal123 = Reversal123(Length, KSmoothing, DLength, Level) posBWAC = BWAC(nLengthSlow,nLengthFast) pos = iff(posReversal123 == 1 and posBWAC == 1 , 1, iff(posReversal123 == -1 and posBWAC == -1, -1, 0)) possig = iff(reverse and pos == 1, -1, iff(reverse and pos == -1 , 1, pos)) if (possig == 1 ) strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) if (possig == -1 ) strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short) if (possig == 0) strategy.close_all() barcolor(possig == -1 ? #b50404: possig == 1 ? #079605 : #0536b3 )