Breakthrough of Daily High-low Price Based on Fibonacci Levels

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-01-17 15:59:17
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Overview

This strategy calculates the highest and lowest prices of each day, combined with Fibonacci retracement levels, to find breakthrough trading opportunities within the current trading day. When the price breaks through the highest price of the day, take a bullish strategy; when the price breaks through the lowest price of the day, take a bearish strategy.

Strategy Principle

The core logic of this strategy is as follows:

  1. Record the highest price dayHigh and the lowest price dayLow of the day at market open each day.

  2. Calculate two Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.236 and 0.786:

    fib236High = dayLow + 0.236 * (dayHigh - dayLow)
    fib786High = dayLow + 0.786 * (dayHigh - dayLow)

  3. If the closing price breaks through dayHigh upwards, a buy signal is generated; if the closing price breaks through dayLow downwards, a sell signal is generated.

  4. Take corresponding bullish or bearish strategies according to buy and sell signals.

This strategy ingeniously combines the highest price, the lowest price and Fibonacci levels to find trading opportunities when breakthroughs occur during the day. It is a kind of trend tracking strategy that can capture trend reversals during the midday trading session.

Advantage Analysis

The main advantages of this strategy are:

  1. High intraday trading frequency to capture price breakthroughs during midday trading sessions.

  2. With certain technical indicator support of Fibonacci retracement, it is not simply chasing new highs or new lows.

  3. Using the highest and lowest prices as reference levels has some supporting strength.

  4. The trading logic is simple and clear, easy to understand and implement, suitable for quantitative trading.

  5. Displaying the highest price, lowest price and Fibonacci levels is configurable for visual analysis.

Risk Analysis

There are also some risks to this strategy:

  1. Frequent intraday operations may increase transaction costs and slippage risks.

  2. Intraday breakthroughs may be false breakouts, with the risk of getting wrong bullish or bearish signals.

  3. There is no stop loss logic, with the risk of expanding losses.

  4. It is purely technically driven without combining fundamental analysis.

Countermeasures:

  1. Adjust position size appropriately to reduce cost impact.

  2. Combine more technical indicators to filter out false breakout signals.

  3. Increase moving stop loss strategies to control single loss.

  4. Combine fundamental data analysis to avoid impacts of market reversals.

Optimization Direction

The main optimization directions for this strategy:

  1. Increase the combination of multiple technical indicators to improve signal reliability.

  2. Add automatic stop loss strategies to control losses.

  3. Optimize buy and sell strategy parameters, adjust position management.

  4. Based on high frequency factors, combine volatility, volume ratio and other filtering signals.

  5. Use machine learning methods to find better parameter combinations.

  6. Establish a dynamic exit mechanism, rather than a simple crossover of highest or lowest prices.

Summary

This intraday high-low price squeeze Fibonacci strategy is relatively simple, profiting by capturing short-term breakthroughs of price levels. There is large room for strategy optimization in areas like indicator optimization, stop loss management, parameter adjustment to make it a stable profitable high frequency intraday strategy.


/*backtest
start: 2024-01-09 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-16 00:00:00
period: 10m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
strategy("Day High/Low Fibonacci Levels Strategy", shorttitle="DHL Fibonacci", overlay=true)

// Calculate the day's high and low
var float dayHigh = na
var float dayLow = na
if change(time("D"))
    dayHigh := high
    dayLow := low

// Define input for plotting lines
showLines = input(true, title="Show Day High/Low Lines")
showFibLevels = input(true, title="Show Fibonacci Levels")

// Plot the day's high and low as lines
plot(showLines ? dayHigh : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1, title="Day High")
plot(showLines ? dayLow : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1, title="Day Low")

// Calculate buy and sell conditions
buyCondition = crossover(close, dayHigh)
sellCondition = crossunder(close, dayLow)

// Plot buy and sell signals
plotshape(buyCondition, style=shape.triangleup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, size=size.small, title="Buy Signal")
plotshape(sellCondition, style=shape.triangledown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, size=size.small, title="Sell Signal")

// Calculate Fibonacci levels for the day's high and low
fib236High = dayLow + (0.236 * (dayHigh - dayLow))
fib786High = dayLow + (0.786 * (dayHigh - dayLow))

// Plot Fibonacci levels
plot(showFibLevels ? fib236High : na, color=color.blue, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1, title="Fib 0.236 Day High")
plot(showFibLevels ? fib786High : na, color=color.purple, style=plot.style_line, linewidth=1, title="Fib 0.786 Day High")

// Strategy
strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long, when=buyCondition)
strategy.close("Buy", when=sellCondition)


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