该策略将布林带和相对强弱指标(RSI)组合使用,识别出布林带收缩期配合RSI上升的机会,采取趋势跟踪止损以控制风险。
本策略的交易逻辑核心在于识别布林带的收缩,并在RSI呈上升态势时判断趋势处于上涨初期。具体来说,当20日布林带中轨上的标准差小于ATR*2时,我们判定布林带发生收缩;同时,若10日和14日的RSI都呈上升趋势,那么我们预测价格即将突破布林带上轨,采取做多策略。
进入场内后,我们采用ATR安全距离+随价格上涨的止损方式来锁定利润并控制风险。当价格超过止损线或RSI过热(14日RSI超过70,10日RSI超过14日RSI)时平仓。
本策略最大优势在于利用布林带收缩来判断行情整理期,结合RSI指标预测价格的突破方向。此外,采用适应性止损而不是固定止损,可以根据市场波动程度来灵活调整,从而在保证风险可控的前提下获得更大收益。
本策略的主要风险在于识别布林带收缩和RSI上升时,行情可能是假突破。此外,在止损方面,波动过大时适应性止损可能无法及时止损。可以通过改进止损方式(例如曲线止损)来降低此风险。
本策略可以从以下几个方面进行优化:
改进布林带参数设置,优化判断收缩效果
尝试不同的RSI周期参数
测试其他止损方式(曲线止损、回看止损等)的效果
根据不同品种特性调整参数
本策略综合利用布林带和RSI的互补性,在控制风险的前提下获得较好回撤收益比。后续可从止损方式、参数选择等方面进行优化,使策略更适用于不同交易品种。
/*backtest start: 2023-12-01 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-31 23:59:59 period: 1h basePeriod: 15m exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © DojiEmoji // //@version=4 strategy("[KL] BOLL + RSI Strategy",overlay=true,pyramiding=1) // Timeframe { backtest_timeframe_start = input(defval = timestamp("01 Apr 2016 13:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest Start Time", type = input.time) USE_ENDTIME = input(false,title="Define backtest end-time (If false, will test up to most recent candle)") backtest_timeframe_end = input(defval = timestamp("01 May 2021 19:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest End Time (if checked above)", type = input.time) within_timeframe = true // } // Bollinger bands (sdv=2, len=20) { BOLL_length = 20, BOLL_src = close, SMA20 = sma(BOLL_src, BOLL_length), BOLL_sDEV_x2 = 2 * stdev(BOLL_src, BOLL_length) BOLL_upper = SMA20 + BOLL_sDEV_x2, BOLL_lower = SMA20 - BOLL_sDEV_x2 plot(SMA20, "Basis", color=#872323, offset = 0) BOLL_p1 = plot(BOLL_upper, "BOLL Upper", color=color.navy, offset = 0, transp=50) BOLL_p2 = plot(BOLL_lower, "BOLL Lower", color=color.navy, offset = 0, transp=50) fill(BOLL_p1, BOLL_p2, title = "Background", color=#198787, transp=85) // } // Volatility Indicators { ATR_x2 = atr(BOLL_length) * 2 // multiplier aligns with BOLL avg_atr = sma(ATR_x2, input(1,title="No. of candles to lookback when determining ATR is decreasing")) plot(SMA20+ATR_x2, "SMA20 + ATR_x2", color=color.gray, offset = 0, transp=50) plot(SMA20-ATR_x2, "SMA20 - ATR_x2", color=color.gray, offset = 0, transp=50) plotchar(ATR_x2, "ATR_x2", "", location = location.bottom) //} // Trailing stop loss { TSL_source = low var entry_price = float(0), var stop_loss_price = float(0) trail_profit_line_color = color.green if strategy.position_size == 0 or not within_timeframe trail_profit_line_color := color.black stop_loss_price := TSL_source - ATR_x2 else if strategy.position_size > 0 stop_loss_price := max(stop_loss_price, TSL_source - ATR_x2) plot(stop_loss_price, color=trail_profit_line_color) if strategy.position_size > 0 and stop_loss_price > stop_loss_price[1] alert("Stop loss limit raised", alert.freq_once_per_bar) // } end of Trailing stop loss //Buy setup - Long positions { is_squeezing = ATR_x2 > BOLL_sDEV_x2 if is_squeezing and within_timeframe and not is_squeezing[1] alert("BOLL bands are squeezing", alert.freq_once_per_bar) else if not is_squeezing and within_timeframe and is_squeezing[1] alert("BOLL bands stopped squeezing", alert.freq_once_per_bar) ema_trend = ema(close, 20) concat(a, b) => concat = a if a != "" concat := concat + ", " concat := concat + b concat // } // Sell setup - Long position { rsi_10 = rsi(close, 10), rsi_14 = rsi(close, 14) overbought = rsi_14 > input(70,title="[Exit] RSI(14) value considered as overbought") and rsi_10 > rsi_14 // } end of Sell setup - Long position // MAIN: { if within_timeframe entry_msg = "" exit_msg = "" // ENTRY { conf_count = 0 volat_decr = avg_atr <= avg_atr[1] rsi_upslope = rsi_10 > rsi_10[1] and rsi_14 > rsi_14[1] if volat_decr and rsi_upslope and is_squeezing and strategy.position_size == 0 strategy.entry("Long",strategy.long, comment=entry_msg) entry_price := close stop_loss_price := TSL_source - ATR_x2 // } // EXIT { if strategy.position_size > 0 bExit = false if close <= entry_price and TSL_source <= stop_loss_price exit_msg := concat(exit_msg, "stop loss [TSL]") bExit := true else if close > entry_price and TSL_source <= stop_loss_price exit_msg := concat(exit_msg, "take profit [TSL]") bExit := true else if overbought exit_msg := concat(exit_msg, "overbought") bExit := true strategy.close("Long", when=bExit, comment=exit_msg) // } // } // CLEAN UP: if strategy.position_size == 0 and not is_squeezing entry_price := 0 stop_loss_price := float(0)