超趋动量波动双重指标择时策略

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-02-04 15:53:48
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超趋动量波动双重指标择时策略

概述

该策略融合了超趋动指标和艾略特波浪理论,构建了一个稳健的技术交易工具。它采用多层次的趋势分析来提供更全面的市场视角,可以 Early Capture 市场的潜在趋势反转和重要的价格变动。

策略原理

核心思想在于其多层次的方法:

  1. 采用 4 个超趋动指标,每个指标使用不同的 ATR 长度和乘数,从短期到长期对趋势进行判断
  2. 通过指标的融合,可以找出稳健的做多做空信号
  3. 参考艾略特波浪的模式识别方法,识别类似的市场行为模式,确认交易信号

这样,既利用了多个指标,又增加了模式识别,使策略更稳健。

优势分析

  1. 多指标设计,提供全方位判断
  2. 波浪理论启发,模式识别增加稳定性
  3. 实时调整方向,适应市场变化
  4. 参数可配置,适用于不同品种和时间周期

风险分析

  1. 参数设置依赖经验,需要调整确定最佳参数组合
  2. 多指标设计较复杂,增加计算负载
  3. 无法完全回避错误信号的产生

可以通过参数优化,逐步确定最优参数;采用云计算提高计算性能;设置止损以控制风险。

优化方向

可以从以下几个方面进行优化:

  1. 增加自适应参数调整模块,根据市场情况动态调整参数
  2. 增加机器学习模型,辅助判断交易信号可靠性
  3. 结合情绪指标、新闻事件等外部因素判断市场模式
  4. 支持多品种参数模板,减少测试工作量

这将使策略参数更加智能化,判断更加准确,实际应用更加方便。

总结

该策略综合考虑了趋势、模式两个维度,既保证判断的稳健性,又增加策略的灵活性。多指标和参数设置保证了全市场适用性。如果进一步引入智能化、自动化的方法,将大大增强策略的实战水平。它为技术交易的发展提供了有益的启发和借鉴。


/*backtest
start: 2024-01-27 00:00:00
end: 2024-02-03 00:00:00
period: 5m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy("Elliott's Quadratic Momentum - Strategy [presentTrading]",shorttitle = "EQM Strategy [presentTrading]", overlay=true )

// Inputs for selecting trading direction
tradingDirection = input.string("Both", "Select Trading Direction", options=["Long", "Short", "Both"])


// SuperTrend Function
supertrend(src, atrLength, multiplier) =>
    atr = ta.atr(atrLength)
    up = hl2 - (multiplier * atr)
    dn = hl2 + (multiplier * atr)
    trend = 1
    trend := nz(trend[1], 1)
    up := src > nz(up[1], 0) and src[1] > nz(up[1], 0) ?   math.max(up, nz(up[1], 0)) : up
    dn := src < nz(dn[1], 0) and src[1] < nz(dn[1], 0) ? math.min(dn, nz(dn[1], 0)) : dn
    trend := src > nz(dn[1], 0) ?  1 : src < nz(up[1], 0)? -1 : nz(trend[1], 1)
    [up, dn, trend]

// Inputs for SuperTrend settings
atrLength1 = input(7, title="ATR Length for SuperTrend 1")
multiplier1 = input(4.0, title="Multiplier for SuperTrend 1")
atrLength2 = input(14, title="ATR Length for SuperTrend 2")
multiplier2 = input(3.618, title="Multiplier for SuperTrend 2")
atrLength3 = input(21, title="ATR Length for SuperTrend 3")
multiplier3 = input(3.5, title="Multiplier for SuperTrend 3")
atrLength4 = input(28, title="ATR Length for SuperTrend 3")
multiplier4 = input(3.382, title="Multiplier for SuperTrend 3")

// Calculate SuperTrend
[up1, dn1, trend1] = supertrend(close, atrLength1, multiplier1)
[up2, dn2, trend2] = supertrend(close, atrLength2, multiplier2)
[up3, dn3, trend3] = supertrend(close, atrLength3, multiplier3)
[up4, dn4, trend4] = supertrend(close, atrLength4, multiplier4)


// Entry Conditions based on SuperTrend and Elliott Wave-like patterns
longCondition = trend1 == 1 and trend2 == 1 and trend3 == 1 and trend4 == 1
shortCondition = trend1 == -1 and trend2 == -1 and trend3 == -1 and trend4 == - 1

// Strategy Entry logic based on selected trading direction
if tradingDirection == "Long" or tradingDirection == "Both"
    if longCondition
        strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
        // [Any additional logic for long entry]

if tradingDirection == "Short" or tradingDirection == "Both"
    if shortCondition
        strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)
        // [Any additional logic for short entry]


// Exit conditions - Define your own exit strategy
// Example: Exit when any SuperTrend flips
if trend1 != trend1[1] or trend2 != trend2[1] or trend3 != trend3[1] or trend4 != trend4[1] 
    strategy.close_all()

// Function to apply gradient effect
gradientColor(baseColor, length, currentBar) =>
    var color res = color.new(baseColor, 100)
    if currentBar <= length
        res := color.new(baseColor, int(100 * currentBar / length))
    res

// Apply gradient effect
color1 = gradientColor(color.blue, atrLength1, bar_index % atrLength1)
color4 = gradientColor(color.blue, atrLength4, bar_index % atrLength3)


// Plot SuperTrend with gradient for upward trend
plot1Up = plot(trend1 == 1 ? up1 : na, color=color1, linewidth=1, title="SuperTrend 1 Up")
plot4Up = plot(trend4 == 1 ? up4 : na, color=color4, linewidth=1, title="SuperTrend 3 Up")

// Plot SuperTrend with gradient for downward trend
plot1Down = plot(trend1 == -1 ? dn1 : na, color=color1, linewidth=1, title="SuperTrend 1 Down")
plot4Down = plot(trend4 == -1 ? dn4 : na, color=color4, linewidth=1, title="SuperTrend 3 Down")

// Filling the area between the first and third SuperTrend lines for upward trend
fill(plot1Up, plot4Up, color=color.new(color.green, 80), title="SuperTrend Upward Band")

// Filling the area between the first and third SuperTrend lines for downward trend
fill(plot1Down, plot4Down, color=color.new(color.red, 80), title="SuperTrend Downward Band")



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