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DEMA Crossover Trend Following Strategy

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-02-21 14:10:51
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Overview

This strategy is based on the crossover of double exponential moving average (DEMA) as trading signals and adopts a trend following approach with automated stop loss and take profit setting. The advantages of this strategy are clear trading signals, flexible stop loss/take profit configuration and effective risk control.

Strategy Logic

Calculate fast DEMA line (8-day), slow DEMA line (24-day) and auxiliary DEMA line (configurable).
When fast line crosses above slow line and a gold cross signal is generated, go long. When fast line crosses below slow line and a dead cross signal is generated, go short.
Add signal filter that signals are only triggered when the current value of auxiliary line is higher than previous day, avoiding false breakout.
Adopt trend following stop loss mechanism where stop loss line keeps adjusting based on price movement, locking in partial profits.
At the same time set fixed percentage stop loss and take profit to limit maximum loss and profit per trade.

Advantages

Clear trading signals, easy to determine entry and exit timing.
Double DEMA algorithm is smoother, avoids overfitting, more reliable signals.
Auxiliary line filter improves signal accuracy, reducing false signals.
Trend following stop loss locks in partial profits, effectively controlling risks.
Fixed percentage stop loss/take profit limits maximum loss per trade, avoids exceeding risk tolerance.

Risks

Frequent trading could occur in ranging market, increasing exposure and causing losses.
Overly large fixed stop loss percentage may trigger unwanted big stop loss in extreme price swings.
DEMA crossover signals lag and long entries at peak may increase loss risks in fast-moving market.
In live trading slippage affects profitability, parameter tuning needed.

Enhancement

DEMA parameters can be optimized for different market conditions.
Consider widening fixed stop loss in live trading to account for slippage costs.
Other indicators like MACD can be added to improve signal quality.
Fine tune tracking stop loss stepping value to improve logic.

Conclusion

This strategy leverages DEMA’s trend detection capability and combines it with trend following risk control methodologies. It is a very typical example in the Determine Trend Direction strategy system. In general this is a strategy with clear signals, sensible stop loss/profit taking configuration and controllable risks. When optimized for slippage costs and added with supplemental indicators in live trading, it can achieve good investment returns.

/*backtest
start: 2024-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © zeguela
//@version=4
strategy(title="ZEGUELA DEMABOT", commission_value=0.063, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, initial_capital=100, default_qty_value=90, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, overlay=true, process_orders_on_close=true)

// Step 1. Script settings

// Input options
srcData = input(title="Source Data", type=input.source, defval=close)

// Length settings
len1 = input(title="Length DEMA #1", type=input.integer, defval=8, minval=1)
len2 = input(title="Length DEMA #2", type=input.integer, defval=24, minval=0)
len3 = input(title="Length DEMA #3", type=input.integer, defval=0, minval=0)

// Step 2. Calculate indicator values
// Function that calculates the DEMA
DEMA(series, length) =>
    if (length > 0)
        emaValue = ema(series, length)
        2 * emaValue - ema(emaValue, length)
    else
        na

// Calculate the DEMA values
demaVal1 = DEMA(srcData, len1)
demaVal2 = DEMA(srcData, len2)
demaVal3 = DEMA(srcData, len3)

// Step 3. Determine indicator signals
// See if there's a DEMA crossover
demaCrossover = if (len2 > 0) and (len3 > 0)
    crossover(demaVal1, demaVal2) and (demaVal3 > demaVal3[1])
else
    if (len2 > 0) and (len3 == 0)
        crossover(demaVal1, demaVal2)
    else
        if (len3 > 0) and (len2 == 0)
            crossover(demaVal1, demaVal3)
        else
            crossover(close, demaVal1)

// Check if there's a DEMA crossunder
demaCrossunder = if (len2 > 0) and (len3 > 0)
    crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal2) and (demaVal3 < demaVal3[1])
else
    if (len2 > 0) and (len3 == 0)
        crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal2)
    else
        if (len3 > 0) and (len2 == 0)
            crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal3)
        else
            crossunder(close, demaVal1)

// Step 4. Output indicator data
// Plot DEMAs on the chart
plot(series=demaVal1, color=color.green, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #1")
plot(series=demaVal2, color=color.red, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #2")
plot(series=demaVal3, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #3")

//TRAILING STOP CODE
a = input(title="Usar Trailing Stop?", type=input.bool, defval=false)

stopPerlong = input(9.0, title='Stop Loss Long %', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
stopPershort = input(6.0, title='Stop Loss Short %', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
take1Perlong = input(25.0, title='Take Profit Long % 1', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
take1Pershort = input(6.0, title='Take Profit Short % 1', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100

// Determine stop loss price
longStopPrice  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stopPerlong)
shortStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stopPershort)
longTake1Price = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take1Perlong)
shortTake1Price = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - take1Pershort)

// Determine trail stop loss prices

longStopPriceTrail = 0.0

longStopPriceTrail := if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    stopValue = close * (1 - stopPerlong)
    max(stopValue, longStopPriceTrail[1])
else
    0

// Determine trailing short price
shortStopPriceTrail = 0.0

shortStopPriceTrail := if (strategy.position_size < 0)
    stopValue = close * (1 + stopPershort)
    min(stopValue, shortStopPriceTrail[1])
else
    999999

//calcular qual stop usar
longStop = a ? longStopPriceTrail : longStopPrice
shortStop = a ? shortStopPriceTrail : shortStopPrice


//calcula o valor do stop e TP pra lançar no alerta
longStopEntrada = close  * (1 - stopPerlong)
shortStopEntrada = close  * (1 + stopPershort) 
longTPEntrada = close * (1 + take1Perlong)
shortTPEntrada = close * (1 - take1Pershort)

//armazena o preço de entrada e valor do SL e TP

price_entryL = 0.0
price_entryL := na(price_entryL) ? na : price_entryL[1]
price_entryS = 0.0
price_entryS := na(price_entryS) ? na : price_entryS[1]
stopL = 0.0
stopL := na(stopL) ? na : stopL[1]
stopS = 0.0
stopS := na(stopS) ? na : stopS[1]
takeL = 0.0
takeL := na(takeL) ? na : takeL[1]
takeS = 0.0
takeS := na(takeS) ? na : takeS[1]

if (demaCrossover)
    price_entryL := close
    stopL := close  * (1 - stopPerlong)
    takeL := close * (1 + take1Perlong)
    
if (demaCrossunder)
    price_entryS := close
    stopS := close  * (1 + stopPershort)
    takeS := close * (1 - take1Pershort)

resultadoL = ((close - price_entryL)/price_entryL) * 100
resultadoLexit = "(SL = 1% e TP = 0,5%)"
resultadoS = ((price_entryS - close)/price_entryS) * 100
resultadoSexit = "(SL = 1% e TP = 0,5)%"
// Make input options that configure backtest date range
_startDate = input(title="Start Date", type=input.integer,
     defval=1, minval=1, maxval=31, group="BackTest Period")
_startMonth = input(title="Start Month", type=input.integer,
     defval=1, minval=1, maxval=12, group="BackTest Period")
_startYear = input(title="Start Year", type=input.integer,
     defval=2018, minval=1800, maxval=2100, group="BackTest Period")

_endDate = input(title="End Date", type=input.integer,
     defval=31, minval=1, maxval=31, group="BackTest Period")
_endMonth = input(title="End Month", type=input.integer,
     defval=12, minval=1, maxval=12, group="BackTest Period")
_endYear = input(title="End Year", type=input.integer,
     defval=2031, minval=1800, maxval=2100, group="BackTest Period")

// Look if the close time of the current bar
// falls inside the date range
_inDateRange = (time >= timestamp(syminfo.timezone, _startYear,
         _startMonth, _startDate, 0, 0)) and
     (time < timestamp(syminfo.timezone, _endYear, _endMonth, _endDate, 0, 0))
  
//Alert configuration     

_alertMessageOpenLong="OpenLong"
_alertMessageCloseLong="CloseLong"
_alertmessageExitLong="ExitLong - TP/SL"

_alertMessageOpenShort="OpenShort"
_alertMessageCloseShort="CloseShort"
_alertMessageExitShort="ExitShort - TP/SL"

if (_inDateRange)
    //ENTER SOME SETUP TRADES FOR TSL EXAMPLE
    if (demaCrossover)
        strategy.entry("LONG", strategy.long, comment = _alertMessageOpenLong)
    if (demaCrossunder)
        strategy.entry("SHORT", strategy.short, comment = _alertMessageOpenShort)
    //EXIT TRADE @ TSL
    if strategy.position_size > 0
        strategy.exit("TP/SL", "LONG", stop=longStop, limit=longTake1Price, comment=_alertmessageExitLong, alert_message=_alertmessageExitLong)
    if strategy.position_size < 0
        strategy.exit("TP/SL", "SHORT", stop=shortStop, limit=shortTake1Price, comment =_alertMessageExitShort, alert_message=_alertMessageExitShort)


//Look & Feel - Plot stop loss and take profit areas
p1=plot(strategy.position_avg_price, color=color.blue, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Preço de entrada")
p2=plot(series=strategy.position_size > 0 ? longStop : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Long Stop")
p3=plot(series=strategy.position_size > 0 ? longTake1Price : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Long TP")
p4=plot(series=strategy.position_size < 0 ? shortStop : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Short Stop")
p5=plot(series=strategy.position_size < 0 ? shortTake1Price : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Short TP")
fill(p1, p2, color=color.red)
fill(p1, p3, color=color.green)
fill(p1, p4, color=color.red)
fill(p1, p5, color=color.green)

// Insert label with value
stopLossOnLong = "Stop Loss = " + tostring(longStop)
stopLossOnShort = "Stop Loss = " + tostring(shortStop)
takeprofitOnLong = "Take Profit = " + tostring(longTake1Price)
takeprofitOnShort = "Take Profit = " + tostring(shortTake1Price)
precoentrada = "Entrada = " + tostring(strategy.position_avg_price)

var label FinalLabelpriceL = na
var label FinalLabelpriceS = na
var label slFinalLabelL = na
var label slFinalLabelS = na
var label slFinalLabelTPL = na
var label slFinalLabelTPS = na


//Draw entry and stop loss lines and labels

if strategy.position_size > 0   
    
    //write the price above the end of the stoploss line
    slFinalLabelL := label.new(bar_index, longStop, stopLossOnLong, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.red)
    slFinalLabelTPL := label.new(bar_index, longTake1Price, takeprofitOnLong, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.green)
    FinalLabelpriceL := label.new(bar_index, strategy.position_avg_price, precoentrada, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.blue)
    
    // Delete previous label when there is a consecutive new high, as there's no line plot in that case.
    if strategy.position_size > 0[1]
        label.delete(slFinalLabelL[1])
        label.delete(slFinalLabelTPL[1])
        label.delete(FinalLabelpriceL[1])

if strategy.position_size < 0   
    
    //write the price above the end of the stoploss line
    slFinalLabelS := label.new(bar_index, shortStop, stopLossOnShort, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.red)
    slFinalLabelTPS := label.new(bar_index, shortTake1Price, takeprofitOnShort, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.green)
    FinalLabelpriceS := label.new(bar_index, strategy.position_avg_price, precoentrada, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.blue)
    
    // Delete previous label when there is a consecutive new high, as there's no line plot in that case.
    if strategy.position_size < 0[1]
        label.delete(slFinalLabelS[1])
        label.delete(slFinalLabelTPS[1]) 
        label.delete(FinalLabelpriceS[1])

    
// Exit open market position when date range ends
if (not _inDateRange)
    strategy.close_all()

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