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Post-Open Breakout Trading Strategy with Dynamic ATR-Based Position Management

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-11-12 14:26:23
Tags: BBEMARSIADXATR

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Overview

This strategy is a market opening trading system based on multiple technical indicators, primarily targeting German and US market opening sessions. It identifies consolidation phases using Bollinger Bands, confirms trend direction with short and long-term exponential moving averages, filters trading signals using RSI and ADX, and manages positions dynamically using ATR.

Strategy Principles

The strategy uses 14-period Bollinger Bands (1.5 standard deviations) to identify low volatility phases, considering consolidation when price is near the middle band. It employs 10 and 200-period EMAs to confirm bullish trends, requiring price above both averages. A 7-period RSI ensures non-oversold conditions (>30), while 7-period ADX confirms trend strength (>10). The strategy analyzes highs of the last 20 candles for resistance levels, requiring at least two touches. Entry occurs on resistance breakout with other conditions met, using 2x ATR for stop-loss and 4x ATR for take-profit.

Strategy Advantages

  1. Multiple technical indicators cross-validation reduces false signals
  2. ATR-based dynamic stop-loss and take-profit adapts to market volatility
  3. Focuses on high-volatility opening sessions
  4. Captures strong trends through consolidation-breakout patterns
  5. Comprehensive risk control mechanisms

Strategy Risks

  1. Multiple indicators might miss some trading opportunities
  2. Volatile opening sessions may trigger stop-losses
  3. Rapid market reversals could cause significant losses Recommended to implement proper position sizing, strict stop-loss execution, and avoid overtrading.

Optimization Directions

  1. Adjust indicator parameters for different markets
  2. Consider adding volume indicators to verify breakout validity
  3. Incorporate additional technical indicators for signal reliability
  4. Optimize entry timing to reduce slippage impact
  5. Enhance profit/loss management for better risk-reward ratios

Summary

This strategy captures trading opportunities during market opening sessions through multi-dimensional technical analysis, employing dynamic stop-loss and take-profit for risk management. With clear logic and robust risk control, it demonstrates good practicality. Continuous optimization and adjustment can further enhance strategy performance.

/*backtest
start: 2024-10-01 00:00:00
end: 2024-10-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy("Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-based Stop Loss and Take Profit (Separate Alerts)", overlay=true)

// Parametri per Bande di Bollinger ed EMA
lengthBB = 14
mult = 1.5  // Bande di Bollinger più strette per timeframe inferiori
emaLength = 10  // EMA più breve per una rilevazione di trend più rapida
emaLongLength = 200  // EMA a lungo termine per il filtraggio del trend

// Parametri per RSI
lengthRSI = 7
rsiThreshold = 30

// Parametri per ADX
adxLength = 7
adxSmoothing = 7
adxThreshold = 10

// Filtro temporale - Solo durante l'apertura dei mercati tedesco e USA
daxOpen = (hour >= 8 and hour < 12)
usOpen = (hour == 15 and minute >= 30) or (hour >= 16 and hour < 19)

// Calcolo delle Bande di Bollinger
smaBB = ta.sma(close, lengthBB)
basis = smaBB
dev = mult * ta.stdev(close, lengthBB)
upperBand = basis + dev
lowerBand = basis - dev

// Calcolo delle EMA (breve e lungo termine)
ema = ta.ema(close, emaLength)  // EMA più breve
emaLong = ta.ema(close, emaLongLength)  // EMA a lungo termine per il filtraggio del trend

// Calcolo RSI
rsi = ta.rsi(close, lengthRSI)

// Calcolo ADX
[plusDI, minusDI, adx] = ta.dmi(adxLength, adxSmoothing)

// Calcolo ATR per Stop Loss e Take Profit dinamici
atrLength = 14
atrStopLossMultiplier = 2.0  // Moltiplicatore per Stop Loss
atrTakeProfitMultiplier = 4.0  // Moltiplicatore per Take Profit modificato a 4.0
atrValue = ta.atr(atrLength)  // Valore ATR calcolato qui

// Condizione di lateralizzazione - Prezzo vicino alla SMA delle Bande di Bollinger
lateralization = math.abs(close - smaBB) < (0.01 * close) and (daxOpen or usOpen)

// Identificazione della resistenza e del breakout
var float resistanceLevel = na
resistanceTouches = 0

for i = 1 to 20
    if high[i] > high[i+1] and high[i] > high[i-1]
        resistanceLevel := high[i]
        resistanceTouches := resistanceTouches + 1

// Condizione di Breakout: Il prezzo attuale supera la resistenza identificata
breakoutCondition = close > resistanceLevel and resistanceTouches >= 2

// Filtro di mercato rialzista a lungo termine - Entrare solo se il prezzo è sopra la EMA a 200 periodi
bullMarket = close > emaLong

// Filtro di trend a breve termine
trendFilter = ta.ema(close, emaLength)  // Filtro di trend a breve termine
trendDown = close < trendFilter  // Condizione di downtrend basata sul trend a breve termine

// Evitare l'entrata durante un pullback - Verifica se le due candele precedenti sono rosse
firstRedCandle = close[1] < open[1]  // La prima candela precedente è rossa
secondRedCandle = close[2] < open[2]  // La seconda candela precedente è rossa
avoidPullbackCondition = not (firstRedCandle and secondRedCandle)  // Entrare solo se non entrambe sono rosse

// Condizione Panic Candle - La candela deve chiudere negativa
panicCandle = close < open and (daxOpen or usOpen)

// Condizione di Entrata Long
longCondition = breakoutCondition and lateralization and close > ema and rsi > rsiThreshold and adx > adxThreshold and not trendDown and avoidPullbackCondition and bullMarket and panicCandle

// Stop Loss e Take Profit dinamici basati su ATR
atrStopLoss = close - (atrValue * atrStopLossMultiplier)  // Stop Loss dinamico usando ATR con moltiplicatore 2.0
atrTakeProfit = close + (atrValue * atrTakeProfitMultiplier)  // Take Profit dinamico usando ATR con moltiplicatore 4.0

// Entrata Long: Ordine eseguito alla chiusura della candela
if (longCondition and strategy.opentrades == 0 and barstate.isconfirmed)
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

// Disegna linee per Stop Loss e Take Profit
// line.new(x1=bar_index, y1=atrStopLoss, x2=bar_index + 1, y2=atrStopLoss, color=color.red, width=2, style=line.style_solid)  // Linea di Stop Loss (rossa)
// line.new(x1=bar_index, y1=atrTakeProfit, x2=bar_index + 1, y2=atrTakeProfit, color=color.green, width=2, style=line.style_solid)  // Linea di Take Profit (verde)

// Uscita: Stop Loss o Take Profit raggiunti
if (strategy.opentrades > 0)
    strategy.exit("Exit Long", "Long", stop=atrStopLoss, limit=atrTakeProfit)

// Alert: Differenziati per Entrata e Uscita utilizzando strategy.order.action
alert_message = "Azione: {{strategy.order.action}}, Prezzo: {{close}}, Dimensione Posizione: {{strategy.position_size}}"
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