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  2. Multi-MA Trend Intensity Trading Strategy - A Flexible Smart Trading System Based on MA Deviation

Multi-MA Trend Intensity Trading Strategy - A Flexible Smart Trading System Based on MA Deviation

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-12-11 17:46:33
Tags: MAATRHTFRRTPSL

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Overview

This strategy is an intelligent trading system based on multiple moving averages and trend intensity. It measures market trend strength by analyzing the deviation between price and moving averages of different periods, combined with ATR volatility indicator for position management and risk control. The strategy offers high customizability and can flexibly adjust parameters according to different market environments and trading needs.

Strategy Principle

The core logic of the strategy is based on the following aspects:

  1. Uses two moving averages (fast and slow) of different periods to identify trend direction and crossing signals
  2. Quantifies trend strength by calculating the deviation between price and moving averages (in points)
  3. Incorporates candlestick patterns (engulfing, hammer, shooting star, doji) as confirmation signals
  4. Uses ATR indicator to dynamically calculate stop loss and profit targets
  5. Employs partial profits and trailing stops for order management

Strategy Advantages

  1. System has strong adaptability through parameter adjustment for different market environments
  2. Quantifies trend strength through deviation measurement to avoid frequent trading in weak trends
  3. Combines multiple technical indicators and patterns for improved signal reliability
  4. Uses ATR-based dynamic stop loss for reasonable risk control
  5. Supports both compound and fixed position sizing methods
  6. Features partial profit-taking and trailing stops to protect profits effectively

Strategy Risks

  1. May generate false signals in ranging markets, consider adding oscillator filters
  2. Multiple indicator combinations might miss some trading opportunities
  3. Over-optimization of parameters can lead to overfitting risk
  4. Large trades in less liquid markets may face slippage risk
  5. Requires proper stop loss settings to avoid excessive single losses

Strategy Optimization

  1. Can add volume indicators as supplementary trend confirmation
  2. Consider introducing volatility indicators to dynamically adjust trading frequency
  3. Filter signals based on trend consistency across different timeframes
  4. Add more stop loss options, such as time-based stops
  5. Develop adaptive parameter optimization mechanisms to improve strategy adaptability

Summary

This strategy builds a comprehensive trading system by combining moving averages, trend strength quantification, candlestick patterns, and dynamic risk management. It maintains strategic simplicity while enhancing trading reliability through multiple confirmation mechanisms. The strategy’s high customizability allows it to adapt to different trading styles and market environments, but attention must be paid to parameter optimization and risk control during implementation.

/*backtest
start: 2024-12-03 00:00:00
end: 2024-12-10 00:00:00
period: 10m
basePeriod: 10m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy("Customizable Strategy with Signal Intensity Based on Pips Above/Below MAs", overlay=true)

// Customizable Inputs
// Account and Risk Management
account_size = input.int(100000, title="Account Size (USD)", minval=1)
compounded_results = input.bool(true, title="Compounded Results")
risk_per_trade = input.float(1.0, title="Risk per Trade (%)", minval=0.1, maxval=100) / 100

// Moving Averages Settings
ma1_length = input.int(50, title="Moving Average 1 Length", minval=1)
ma2_length = input.int(200, title="Moving Average 2 Length", minval=1)

// Higher Time Frame for Moving Averages
ma_htf = input.timeframe("D", title="Higher Time Frame for MA Delay")

// Signal Intensity Range based on pips
signal_intensity_min = input.int(0, title="Signal Intensity Start (Pips)", minval=0, maxval=1000)
signal_intensity_max = input.int(1000, title="Signal Intensity End (Pips)", minval=0, maxval=1000)

// ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit
atr_length = input.int(14, title="ATR Length", minval=1)
atr_multiplier_stop = input.float(1.5, title="Stop Loss Size (ATR Multiplier)", minval=0.1)
atr_multiplier_take_profit = input.float(2.5, title="Take Profit Size (ATR Multiplier)", minval=0.1)

// Trailing Stop and Partial Profit
trailing_stop_rr = input.float(2.0, title="Trailing Stop (R:R)", minval=0)
partial_profit_percentage = input.float(50, title="Take Partial Profit (%)", minval=0, maxval=100)

// Trend Filter Settings
trend_filter_enabled = input.bool(true, title="Trend Filter Enabled")
trend_filter_sensitivity = input.float(50, title="Trend Filter Sensitivity", minval=0, maxval=100)

// Candle Pattern Type for Entry
entry_candle_type = input.string("Any", title="Entry Candle Type", options=["Any", "Engulfing", "Hammer", "Shooting Star", "Doji"])

// Moving Average Entry Conditions
ma_entry_condition = input.string("Both", title="MA Entry", options=["Fast Above Slow", "Fast Below Slow", "Both"])

// Trade Direction (Long, Short, or Both)
trade_direction = input.string("Both", title="Trade Direction", options=["Long", "Short", "Both"])

// ATR Calculation
atr_value = ta.atr(atr_length)

// Moving Average Calculations (using Higher Time Frame)
ma1_htf = ta.sma(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, ma_htf, close), ma1_length)
ma2_htf = ta.sma(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, ma_htf, close), ma2_length)

// Candle Pattern Conditions
is_engulfing = close[1] < open[1] and close > open and high > high[1] and low < low[1]
is_hammer = (high - low) > 3 * (close - open) and (close > open) and (low == ta.lowest(low, 5))
is_shooting_star = (high - low) > 3 * (open - close) and (open > close) and (high == ta.highest(high, 5))
is_doji = (close - open) <= ((high - low) * 0.1)

// Apply the selected candle pattern
candle_condition = false
if entry_candle_type == "Any"
    candle_condition := true
if entry_candle_type == "Engulfing"
    candle_condition := is_engulfing
if entry_candle_type == "Hammer"
    candle_condition := is_hammer
if entry_candle_type == "Shooting Star"
    candle_condition := is_shooting_star
if entry_candle_type == "Doji"
    candle_condition := is_doji

// Moving Average Entry Conditions
ma_cross_above = ta.crossover(ma1_htf, ma2_htf)
ma_cross_below = ta.crossunder(ma1_htf, ma2_htf)

// Calculate pips distance to MAs and normalize it for signal intensity
pip_size = syminfo.mintick * 10  // Assuming Forex; for other asset classes, modify as needed

// Calculate distances in pips between price and MAs
distance_to_ma1_pips = math.abs(close - ma1_htf) / pip_size
distance_to_ma2_pips = math.abs(close - ma2_htf) / pip_size

// Calculate signal intensity based on the pips distance
// Normalize the signal intensity between the user-specified min and max
signal_intensity = math.min(math.max((distance_to_ma1_pips + distance_to_ma2_pips), signal_intensity_min), signal_intensity_max)

// Trend Filter Condition (Optional)
trend_condition = false
if trend_filter_enabled
    trend_condition := ta.sma(close, ma2_length) > ta.sma(close, ma2_length + int(trend_filter_sensitivity))

// Entry Conditions Based on MA, Candle Patterns, and Trade Direction
long_condition = (trade_direction == "Long" or trade_direction == "Both") and (ma_entry_condition == "Fast Above Slow" or ma_entry_condition == "Both") and ma_cross_above and candle_condition and (not trend_filter_enabled or trend_condition) and signal_intensity > signal_intensity_min
short_condition = (trade_direction == "Short" or trade_direction == "Both") and (ma_entry_condition == "Fast Below Slow" or ma_entry_condition == "Both") and ma_cross_below and candle_condition and (not trend_filter_enabled or not trend_condition) and signal_intensity > signal_intensity_min

// Position Sizing Based on Risk Per Trade and ATR for Stop Loss
risk_amount = account_size * risk_per_trade
stop_loss_atr = atr_multiplier_stop * atr_value

// Calculate the position size based on the risk amount and ATR stop loss
position_size = risk_amount / stop_loss_atr

// If compounded results are not enabled, adjust position size for non-compounded returns
if not compounded_results
    position_size := position_size / account_size * 100000  // Adjust for non-compounded results

// Convert take profit and stop loss from ATR to USD
pip_value = syminfo.mintick * 10  // Assuming Forex; for other asset classes, modify as needed
take_profit_atr = atr_multiplier_take_profit * atr_value
take_profit_usd = (take_profit_atr * pip_value) * position_size
stop_loss_usd = (stop_loss_atr * pip_value) * position_size

// Trailing Stop
trail_stop_level = trailing_stop_rr * stop_loss_atr

// Initialize long_box_id and short_box_id as boxes (not ints)
var box long_box_id = na
var box short_box_id = na

// Track Monthly Profit
var float monthly_profit = 0.0
if (month(timenow) != month(timenow[1]))  // New month
    monthly_profit := 0

// Long Trade Management
if long_condition
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty=position_size)
    // Partial Profit at 50% position close when 1:1 risk/reward
    strategy.exit("Partial Profit", from_entry="Long", limit=strategy.position_avg_price + stop_loss_atr, qty_percent=partial_profit_percentage / 100)
    // Full take profit and stop loss with trailing stop
    strategy.exit("Take Profit Long", from_entry="Long", limit=strategy.position_avg_price + take_profit_atr, stop=strategy.position_avg_price - stop_loss_atr, trail_offset=trail_stop_level)

    // Delete the old box if it exists
    if not na(long_box_id)
        box.delete(long_box_id)
    
    // Plot Take Profit and Stop Loss for Long Positions
    // long_box_id := box.new(left=bar_index - 1, top=strategy.position_avg_price + take_profit_atr, right=bar_index, bottom=strategy.position_avg_price - stop_loss_atr, bgcolor=color.new(color.green, 90), border_width=1, border_color=color.new(color.green, 0))

// Short Trade Management
if short_condition
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty=position_size)
    // Partial Profit at 50% position close when 1:1 risk/reward
    strategy.exit("Partial Profit", from_entry="Short", limit=strategy.position_avg_price - stop_loss_atr, qty_percent=partial_profit_percentage / 100)
    // Full take profit and stop loss with trailing stop
    strategy.exit("Take Profit Short", from_entry="Short", limit=strategy.position_avg_price - take_profit_atr, stop=strategy.position_avg_price + stop_loss_atr, trail_offset=trail_stop_level)

    // Delete the old box if it exists
    // if not na(short_box_id)
    //     box.delete(short_box_id)

    // Plot Take Profit and Stop Loss for Short Positions
    // short_box_id := box.new(left=bar_index - 1, top=strategy.position_avg_price + stop_loss_atr, right=bar_index, bottom=strategy.position_avg_price - take_profit_atr, bgcolor=color.new(color.red, 90), border_width=1, border_color=color.new(color.red, 0))

// Plot MAs and Signals
plot(ma1_htf, color=color.blue, title="MA1 (HTF)")
plot(ma2_htf, color=color.red, title="MA2 (HTF)")
plotshape(series=long_condition, location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, style=shape.labelup, title="Buy Signal", text="BUY")
plotshape(series=short_condition, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, style=shape.labeldown, title="Sell Signal", text="SELL")
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