The Multiple Moving Average Dynamic Trend Strategy is a quantitative trading strategy that utilizes multiple types of moving average indicators to determine the market trend and dynamically adjusts the stop loss line position. By combining different moving averages, this strategy can more comprehensively and accurately judge market trends and achieve high-win-rate trading.
This strategy mainly implements 8 different types of moving averages through custom functions, including Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Triangular Moving Average (TMA), Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA), Wilder’s Moving Average (WWMA), Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA) and True Strength Index (TSI). The strategy allows users to choose one of the 8 moving averages as the primary indicator.
The strategy first calculates the selected type of moving average, and then dynamically calculates the position of the upper and lower rails based on the set percentage parameter. A buy signal is triggered when the price breaks through the upper rail, and a sell signal is triggered when the price breaks through the lower rail. In addition, the strategy also tracks the crossovers between the moving average and the price as auxiliary judgment signals.
During the calculation, the strategy also judges the direction of the market trend, thereby dynamically adjusting the position of the upper and lower rails. Specifically, when an uptrend is determined, the lower rail will move up following the rising price so that the stop loss line can optimally track the rising price. When a downtrend is determined, the upper rail will move down following the falling price to reduce the stop loss point and minimize losses.
Solutions:
There is still much room to optimize this strategy:
The multiple moving average dynamic trend strategy determines market trends by combining multiple moving average indicators, and initiates trades based on price breakout signals while dynamically adjusting stop loss line positions for efficient profitability. This strategy successfully integrates the three major quantitative strategy concepts of trend following, price breakout trading, and dynamic stops, exhibiting strong stability and profitability. With further improvements in parameters optimization and pattern recognition, this strategy shows great potential for continued performance enhancement, making it a highly valuable advanced quantitative strategy worthy of focused research and application.
/*backtest start: 2022-11-16 00:00:00 end: 2023-11-22 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //@version=4 // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © KivancOzbilgic //created by: @Anil_Ozeksi //developer: ANIL ÖZEKŞİ //author: @kivancozbilgic strategy("Optimized Trend Tracker","OTTEx", overlay=true) src = input(close, title="Source") length=input(2, "OTT Period", minval=1) percent=input(1.4, "OTT Percent", type=input.float, step=0.1, minval=0) showsupport = input(title="Show Support Line?", type=input.bool, defval=true) showsignalsk = input(title="Show Support Line Crossing Signals?", type=input.bool, defval=true) showsignalsc = input(title="Show Price/OTT Crossing Signals?", type=input.bool, defval=false) highlight = input(title="Show OTT Color Changes?", type=input.bool, defval=false) showsignalsr = input(title="Show OTT Color Change Signals?", type=input.bool, defval=false) highlighting = input(title="Highlighter On/Off ?", type=input.bool, defval=true) mav = input(title="Moving Average Type", defval="VAR", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "TMA", "VAR", "WWMA", "ZLEMA", "TSF"]) Var_Func(src,length)=> valpha=2/(length+1) vud1=src>src[1] ? src-src[1] : 0 vdd1=src<src[1] ? src[1]-src : 0 vUD=sum(vud1,9) vDD=sum(vdd1,9) vCMO=nz((vUD-vDD)/(vUD+vDD)) VAR=0.0 VAR:=nz(valpha*abs(vCMO)*src)+(1-valpha*abs(vCMO))*nz(VAR[1]) VAR=Var_Func(src,length) Wwma_Func(src,length)=> wwalpha = 1/ length WWMA = 0.0 WWMA := wwalpha*src + (1-wwalpha)*nz(WWMA[1]) WWMA=Wwma_Func(src,length) Zlema_Func(src,length)=> zxLag = length/2==round(length/2) ? length/2 : (length - 1) / 2 zxEMAData = (src + (src - src[zxLag])) ZLEMA = ema(zxEMAData, length) ZLEMA=Zlema_Func(src,length) Tsf_Func(src,length)=> lrc = linreg(src, length, 0) lrc1 = linreg(src,length,1) lrs = (lrc-lrc1) TSF = linreg(src, length, 0)+lrs TSF=Tsf_Func(src,length) getMA(src, length) => ma = 0.0 if mav == "SMA" ma := sma(src, length) ma if mav == "EMA" ma := ema(src, length) ma if mav == "WMA" ma := wma(src, length) ma if mav == "TMA" ma := sma(sma(src, ceil(length / 2)), floor(length / 2) + 1) ma if mav == "VAR" ma := VAR ma if mav == "WWMA" ma := WWMA ma if mav == "ZLEMA" ma := ZLEMA ma if mav == "TSF" ma := TSF ma ma MAvg=getMA(src, length) fark=MAvg*percent*0.01 longStop = MAvg - fark longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop) longStop := MAvg > longStopPrev ? max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop shortStop = MAvg + fark shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop) shortStop := MAvg < shortStopPrev ? min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop dir = 1 dir := nz(dir[1], dir) dir := dir == -1 and MAvg > shortStopPrev ? 1 : dir == 1 and MAvg < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir MT = dir==1 ? longStop: shortStop OTT=MAvg>MT ? MT*(200+percent)/200 : MT*(200-percent)/200 plot(showsupport ? MAvg : na, color=#0585E1, linewidth=2, title="Support Line") OTTC = highlight ? OTT[2] > OTT[3] ? color.green : color.red : #B800D9 pALL=plot(nz(OTT[2]), color=OTTC, linewidth=2, title="OTT", transp=0) alertcondition(cross(OTT[2], OTT[3]), title="Color ALARM", message="OTT Has Changed Color!") alertcondition(crossover(OTT[2], OTT[3]), title="GREEN ALERT", message="OTT GREEN BUY SIGNAL!") alertcondition(crossunder(OTT[2], OTT[3]), title="RED ALERT", message="OTT RED SELL SIGNAL!") alertcondition(cross(MAvg, OTT[2]), title="Cross Alert", message="OTT - Support Line Crossing!") alertcondition(crossover(MAvg, OTT[2]), title="Crossover Alarm", message="Support Line BUY SIGNAL!") alertcondition(crossunder(MAvg, OTT[2]), title="Crossunder Alarm", message="Support Line SELL SIGNAL!") alertcondition(cross(src, OTT[2]), title="Price Cross Alert", message="OTT - Price Crossing!") alertcondition(crossover(src, OTT[2]), title="Price Crossover Alarm", message="PRICE OVER OTT - BUY SIGNAL!") alertcondition(crossunder(src, OTT[2]), title="Price Crossunder Alarm", message="PRICE UNDER OTT - SELL SIGNAL!") buySignalk = crossover(MAvg, OTT[2]) plotshape(buySignalk and showsignalsk ? OTT*0.995 : na, title="Buy", text="Buy", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) sellSignallk = crossunder(MAvg, OTT[2]) plotshape(sellSignallk and showsignalsk ? OTT*1.005 : na, title="Sell", text="Sell", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) buySignalc = crossover(src, OTT[2]) plotshape(buySignalc and showsignalsc ? OTT*0.995 : na, title="Buy", text="Buy", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) sellSignallc = crossunder(src, OTT[2]) plotshape(sellSignallc and showsignalsc ? OTT*1.005 : na, title="Sell", text="Sell", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) mPlot = plot(ohlc4, title="", style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=0,display=display.none) longFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg>OTT ? color.green : na) : na shortFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg<OTT ? color.red : na) : na fill(mPlot, pALL, title="UpTrend Highligter", color=longFillColor) fill(mPlot, pALL, title="DownTrend Highligter", color=shortFillColor) buySignalr = crossover(OTT[2], OTT[3]) plotshape(buySignalr and showsignalsr ? OTT*0.995 : na, title="Buy", text="Buy", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) sellSignallr = crossunder(OTT[2], OTT[3]) plotshape(sellSignallr and showsignalsr ? OTT*1.005 : na, title="Sell", text="Sell", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) showscr = input(true, title="Show Screener Label") posX_scr = input(20, title="Pos. Label x-axis") posY_scr = input(1, title="Pos. Size Label y-axis") colinput = input(title="Label Color", defval="Blue", options=["White", "Black", "Red", "Green", "Yellow", "Blue"]) col = color.gray if colinput=="White" col:=color.white if colinput=="Black" col:=color.black if colinput=="Red" col:=color.red if colinput=="Green" col:=color.green if colinput=="Yellow" col:=color.yellow if colinput=="Blue" col:=color.blue dummy0 = input(true, title = "=Backtest Inputs=") FromDay = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) FromMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) FromYear = input(defval = 2005, title = "From Year", minval = 2005) ToDay = input(defval = 1, title = "To Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) ToMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "To Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) ToYear = input(defval = 9999, title = "To Year", minval = 2006) Start = timestamp(FromYear, FromMonth, FromDay, 00, 00) Finish = timestamp(ToYear, ToMonth, ToDay, 23, 59) Timerange() => true if buySignalk strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long,when=Timerange()) if sellSignallk strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short,when=Timerange()) // t1=input('EURUSD', title='Symbol 01',type=input.symbol) // t2=input('XAUUSD', title='Symbol 02',type=input.symbol) // t3=input('AMZN', title='Symbol 03',type=input.symbol) // t4=input('TSLA', title='Symbol 04',type=input.symbol) // t5=input('BTCUSDT', title='Symbol 05',type=input.symbol) // t6=input('ETHBTC', title='Symbol 06',type=input.symbol) // t7=input('XBTUSD', title='Symbol 07',type=input.symbol) // t8=input('XRPBTC', title='Symbol 08',type=input.symbol) // t9=input('THYAO', title='Symbol 09',type=input.symbol) // t10=input('GARAN', title='Symbol 10',type=input.symbol) // t11=input('', title='Symbol 11',type=input.symbol) // t12=input('', title='Symbol 12',type=input.symbol) // t13=input('', title='Symbol 13',type=input.symbol) // t14=input('', title='Symbol 14',type=input.symbol) // t15=input('', title='Symbol 15',type=input.symbol) // t16=input('', title='Symbol 16',type=input.symbol) // t17=input('', title='Symbol 17',type=input.symbol) // t18=input('', title='Symbol 18',type=input.symbol) // t19=input('', title='Symbol 19',type=input.symbol) // t20=input('', title='Symbol 20',type=input.symbol) // OTTs(percent, length) => // Up=MAvg-MAvg*percent*0.01 // Dn=MAvg+MAvg*percent*0.01 // TrendUp = 0.0 // TrendUp := MAvg[1]>TrendUp[1] ? max(Up,TrendUp[1]) : Up // TrendDown = 0.0 // TrendDown := MAvg[1]<TrendDown[1]? min(Dn,TrendDown[1]) : Dn // Trend = 0.0 // Trend := MAvg > TrendDown[1] ? 1: MAvg< TrendUp[1]? -1: nz(Trend[1],1) // Tsl = Trend==1? TrendUp: TrendDown // S_Buy = Trend == 1 ? 1 : 0 // S_Sell = Trend != 1 ? 1 : 0 // [Trend, Tsl] // [Trend, Tsl] = OTTs(percent, length) // TrendReversal = Trend != Trend[1] // [t01, s01] = security(t1, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t02, s02] = security(t2, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t03, s03] = security(t3, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t04, s04] = security(t4, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t05, s05] = security(t5, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t06, s06] = security(t6, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t07, s07] = security(t7, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t08, s08] = security(t8, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t09, s09] = security(t9, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t010, s010] = security(t10, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t011, s011] = security(t11, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t012, s012] = security(t12, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t013, s013] = security(t13, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t014, s014] = security(t14, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t015, s015] = security(t15, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t016, s016] = security(t16, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t017, s017] = security(t17, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t018, s018] = security(t18, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t019, s019] = security(t19, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t020, s020] = security(t20, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // tr01 = t01 != t01[1], up01 = t01 == 1, dn01 = t01 == -1 // tr02 = t02 != t02[1], up02 = t02 == 1, dn02 = t02 == -1 // tr03 = t03 != t03[1], up03 = t03 == 1, dn03 = t03 == -1 // tr04 = t04 != t04[1], up04 = t04 == 1, dn04 = t04 == -1 // tr05 = t05 != t05[1], up05 = t05 == 1, dn05 = t05 == -1 // tr06 = t06 != t06[1], up06 = t06 == 1, dn06 = t06 == -1 // tr07 = t07 != t07[1], up07 = t07 == 1, dn07 = t07 == -1 // tr08 = t08 != t08[1], up08 = t08 == 1, dn08 = t08 == -1 // tr09 = t09 != t09[1], up09 = t09 == 1, dn09 = t09 == -1 // tr010 = t010 != t010[1], up010 = t010 == 1, dn010 = t010 == -1 // tr011 = t011 != t011[1], up011 = t011 == 1, dn011 = t011 == -1 // tr012 = t012 != t012[1], up012 = t012 == 1, dn012 = t012 == -1 // tr013 = t013 != t013[1], up013 = t013 == 1, dn013 = t013 == -1 // tr014 = t014 != t014[1], up014 = t014 == 1, dn014 = t014 == -1 // tr015 = t015 != t015[1], up015 = t015 == 1, dn015 = t015 == -1 // tr016 = t016 != t016[1], up016 = t016 == 1, dn016 = t016 == -1 // tr017 = t017 != t017[1], up017 = t017 == 1, dn017 = t017 == -1 // tr018 = t018 != t018[1], up018 = t018 == 1, dn018 = t018 == -1 // tr019 = t019 != t019[1], up019 = t019 == 1, dn019 = t019 == -1 // tr020 = t020 != t020[1], up020 = t020 == 1, dn020 = t020 == -1 // pot_label = 'Potential Reversal: \n' // pot_label := tr01 ? pot_label + t1 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr02 ? pot_label + t2 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr03 ? pot_label + t3 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr04 ? pot_label + t4 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr05 ? pot_label + t5 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr06 ? pot_label + t6 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr07 ? pot_label + t7 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr08 ? pot_label + t8 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr09 ? pot_label + t9 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr010 ? pot_label + t10 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr011 ? pot_label + t11 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr012 ? pot_label + t12 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr013 ? pot_label + t13 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr014 ? pot_label + t14 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr015 ? pot_label + t15 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr016 ? pot_label + t16 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr017 ? pot_label + t17 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr018 ? pot_label + t18 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr019 ? pot_label + t19 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr020 ? pot_label + t20 + '\n' : pot_label // scr_label = 'Confirmed Reversal: \n' // scr_label := tr01[1] ? scr_label + t1 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr02[1] ? scr_label + t2 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr03[1] ? scr_label + t3 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr04[1] ? scr_label + t4 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr05[1] ? scr_label + t5 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr06[1] ? scr_label + t6 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr07[1] ? scr_label + t7 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr08[1] ? scr_label + t8 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr09[1] ? scr_label + t9 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr010[1] ? scr_label + t10 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr011[1] ? scr_label + t11 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr012[1] ? scr_label + t12 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr013[1] ? scr_label + t13 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr014[1] ? scr_label + t14 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr015[1] ? scr_label + t15 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr016[1] ? scr_label + t16 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr017[1] ? scr_label + t17 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr018[1] ? scr_label + t18 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr019[1] ? scr_label + t19 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr020[1] ? scr_label + t20 + '\n' : scr_label // up_label = 'Uptrend: \n' // up_label := up01[1] ? up_label + t1 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up02[1] ? up_label + t2 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up03[1] ? up_label + t3 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up04[1] ? up_label + t4 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up05[1] ? up_label + t5 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up06[1] ? up_label + t6 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up07[1] ? up_label + t7 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up08[1] ? up_label + t8 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up09[1] ? up_label + t9 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up010[1] ? up_label + t10 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up011[1] ? up_label + t11 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up012[1] ? up_label + t12 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up013[1] ? up_label + t13 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up014[1] ? up_label + t14 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up015[1] ? up_label + t15 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up016[1] ? up_label + t16 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up017[1] ? up_label + t17 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up018[1] ? up_label + t18 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up019[1] ? up_label + t19 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up020[1] ? up_label + t20 + '\n' : up_label // dn_label = 'Downtrend: \n' // dn_label := dn01[1] ? dn_label + t1 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn02[1] ? dn_label + t2 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn03[1] ? dn_label + t3 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn04[1] ? dn_label + t4 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn05[1] ? dn_label + t5 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn06[1] ? dn_label + t6 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn07[1] ? dn_label + t7 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn08[1] ? dn_label + t8 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn09[1] ? dn_label + t9 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn010[1] ? dn_label + t10 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn011[1] ? dn_label + t11 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn012[1] ? dn_label + t12 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn013[1] ? dn_label + t13 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn014[1] ? dn_label + t14 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn015[1] ? dn_label + t15 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn016[1] ? dn_label + t16 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn017[1] ? dn_label + t17 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn018[1] ? dn_label + t18 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn019[1] ? dn_label + t19 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn020[1] ? dn_label + t20 + '\n' : dn_label // f_colorscr (_valscr ) => // _valscr ? #00000000 : na // f_printscr (_txtscr ) => // var _lblscr = label(na), // label.delete(_lblscr ), // _lblscr := label.new( // time + (time-time[1])*posX_scr , // ohlc4[posY_scr], // _txtscr , // xloc.bar_time, // yloc.price, // f_colorscr ( showscr ), // textcolor = showscr ? col : na, // size = size.normal, // style=label.style_label_center // ) // f_printscr ( scr_label + '\n' + pot_label +'\n' + up_label + '\n' + dn_label)