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Strategi Crossover EMA Dual

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2023-12-06 18:22:16
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Gambaran umum

Strategi Dual EMA Crossover adalah strategi trend following yang umum digunakan. Strategi ini menggunakan dua garis EMA dengan periode yang berbeda dan menghasilkan sinyal beli ketika EMA periode yang lebih pendek melintasi EMA periode yang lebih lama dan sinyal jual ketika sebaliknya terjadi, untuk menangkap perubahan tren.

Logika Strategi

Logika inti dari strategi ini didasarkan pada prinsip golden cross dan death cross dari garis EMA. EMA dapat meluruskan data harga secara efektif dan menunjukkan arah tren. EMA jangka pendek merespons lebih cepat terhadap perubahan harga sementara EMA jangka panjang kurang sensitif terhadap kebisingan dan mencerminkan tren jangka panjang. Ketika EMA jangka pendek melintasi EMA jangka panjang, itu dipandang sebagai sinyal bahwa momentum naik semakin kuat. Ketika sebaliknya terjadi, itu menandakan percepatan momentum turun. Strategi menghasilkan sinyal perdagangan berdasarkan alasan ini.

Secara khusus, strategi ini menggunakan panjang1 dan panjang2 parameter untuk mengatur periode dua garis EMA. demaVal1 adalah panjang1 periode EMA dan demaVal2 adalah panjang2 periode EMA. Mereka dihitung sebagai:

demaVal1 = EMA(close, length1)
demaVal2 = EMA(close, length2)

Ketika demaVal1 melintasi demaVal2, sinyal beli demaCrossover dihasilkan. Ketika sebaliknya terjadi, sinyal jual demaCrossunder dihasilkan. Strategi mengirim pesanan perdagangan berdasarkan kedua sinyal ini.

Keuntungan

Keuntungan dari strategi ini meliputi:

Logika sederhana dan mudah diterapkan.
Teori yang matang dari EMA crossovers dengan aplikasi yang luas.
Pengaturan parameter yang fleksibel yang dapat disesuaikan dengan lingkungan pasar yang berbeda.
Optimasi lebih lanjut mungkin untuk meningkatkan kinerja strategi.

Risiko dan Peningkatan

Ada juga beberapa risiko yang terkait dengan strategi ini:

Sinyal palsu yang sering dapat terjadi ketika pasar tidak sedang tren.
Parameter default mungkin tidak sesuai dengan semua instrumen dan optimasi historis diperlukan.

Berdasarkan risiko di atas, aspek-aspek berikut dapat dioptimalkan:

Sesuaikan parameter periode EMA untuk menyesuaikan dengan kondisi pasar dengan siklus yang berbeda.
Tambahkan kondisi filter untuk menghindari sinyal palsu, misalnya skor kebugaran, indikator volume.
Masukkan teknik lain seperti tren, level support/resistance untuk meningkatkan kinerja strategi.

Kesimpulan

Sebagai kesimpulan, Dual EMA Crossover Strategy adalah sistem trend following yang sederhana namun praktis. Dengan mewarisi teori analisis EMA yang matang dan dengan penyesuaian parameter yang tepat dan peningkatan kondisi filter, strategi ini dapat diterapkan pada perdagangan tren di berbagai instrumen dengan prospek aplikasi yang baik.

/*backtest
start: 2022-11-29 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-05 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © zeguela
//@version=4
strategy(title="ZEGUELA DEMABOT", commission_value=0.063, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, initial_capital=100, default_qty_value=90, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, overlay=true, process_orders_on_close=true)

// Step 1. Script settings

// Input options
srcData = input(title="Source Data", type=input.source, defval=close)

// Length settings
len1 = input(title="Length DEMA #1", type=input.integer, defval=8, minval=1)
len2 = input(title="Length DEMA #2", type=input.integer, defval=24, minval=0)
len3 = input(title="Length DEMA #3", type=input.integer, defval=0, minval=0)

// Step 2. Calculate indicator values
// Function that calculates the DEMA
DEMA(series, length) =>
    if (length > 0)
        emaValue = ema(series, length)
        2 * emaValue - ema(emaValue, length)
    else
        na

// Calculate the DEMA values
demaVal1 = DEMA(srcData, len1)
demaVal2 = DEMA(srcData, len2)
demaVal3 = DEMA(srcData, len3)

// Step 3. Determine indicator signals
// See if there's a DEMA crossover
demaCrossover = if (len2 > 0) and (len3 > 0)
    crossover(demaVal1, demaVal2) and (demaVal3 > demaVal3[1])
else
    if (len2 > 0) and (len3 == 0)
        crossover(demaVal1, demaVal2)
    else
        if (len3 > 0) and (len2 == 0)
            crossover(demaVal1, demaVal3)
        else
            crossover(close, demaVal1)

// Check if there's a DEMA crossunder
demaCrossunder = if (len2 > 0) and (len3 > 0)
    crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal2) and (demaVal3 < demaVal3[1])
else
    if (len2 > 0) and (len3 == 0)
        crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal2)
    else
        if (len3 > 0) and (len2 == 0)
            crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal3)
        else
            crossunder(close, demaVal1)

// Step 4. Output indicator data
// Plot DEMAs on the chart
plot(series=demaVal1, color=color.green, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #1")
plot(series=demaVal2, color=color.red, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #2")
plot(series=demaVal3, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #3")

//TRAILING STOP CODE
a = input(title="Usar Trailing Stop?", type=input.bool, defval=false)

stopPerlong = input(9.0, title='Stop Loss Long %', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
stopPershort = input(6.0, title='Stop Loss Short %', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
take1Perlong = input(25.0, title='Take Profit Long % 1', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
take1Pershort = input(6.0, title='Take Profit Short % 1', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100

// Determine stop loss price
longStopPrice  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stopPerlong)
shortStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stopPershort)
longTake1Price = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take1Perlong)
shortTake1Price = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - take1Pershort)

// Determine trail stop loss prices

longStopPriceTrail = 0.0

longStopPriceTrail := if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    stopValue = close * (1 - stopPerlong)
    max(stopValue, longStopPriceTrail[1])
else
    0

// Determine trailing short price
shortStopPriceTrail = 0.0

shortStopPriceTrail := if (strategy.position_size < 0)
    stopValue = close * (1 + stopPershort)
    min(stopValue, shortStopPriceTrail[1])
else
    999999

//calcular qual stop usar
longStop = a ? longStopPriceTrail : longStopPrice
shortStop = a ? shortStopPriceTrail : shortStopPrice


//calcula o valor do stop e TP pra lançar no alerta
longStopEntrada = close  * (1 - stopPerlong)
shortStopEntrada = close  * (1 + stopPershort) 
longTPEntrada = close * (1 + take1Perlong)
shortTPEntrada = close * (1 - take1Pershort)

//armazena o preço de entrada e valor do SL e TP

price_entryL = 0.0
price_entryL := na(price_entryL) ? na : price_entryL[1]
price_entryS = 0.0
price_entryS := na(price_entryS) ? na : price_entryS[1]
stopL = 0.0
stopL := na(stopL) ? na : stopL[1]
stopS = 0.0
stopS := na(stopS) ? na : stopS[1]
takeL = 0.0
takeL := na(takeL) ? na : takeL[1]
takeS = 0.0
takeS := na(takeS) ? na : takeS[1]

if (demaCrossover)
    price_entryL := close
    stopL := close  * (1 - stopPerlong)
    takeL := close * (1 + take1Perlong)
    
if (demaCrossunder)
    price_entryS := close
    stopS := close  * (1 + stopPershort)
    takeS := close * (1 - take1Pershort)

resultadoL = ((close - price_entryL)/price_entryL) * 100
resultadoLexit = "(SL = 1% e TP = 0,5%)"
resultadoS = ((price_entryS - close)/price_entryS) * 100
resultadoSexit = "(SL = 1% e TP = 0,5)%"
// Make input options that configure backtest date range
_startDate = input(title="Start Date", type=input.integer,
     defval=1, minval=1, maxval=31, group="BackTest Period")
_startMonth = input(title="Start Month", type=input.integer,
     defval=1, minval=1, maxval=12, group="BackTest Period")
_startYear = input(title="Start Year", type=input.integer,
     defval=2018, minval=1800, maxval=2100, group="BackTest Period")

_endDate = input(title="End Date", type=input.integer,
     defval=31, minval=1, maxval=31, group="BackTest Period")
_endMonth = input(title="End Month", type=input.integer,
     defval=12, minval=1, maxval=12, group="BackTest Period")
_endYear = input(title="End Year", type=input.integer,
     defval=2031, minval=1800, maxval=2100, group="BackTest Period")

// Look if the close time of the current bar
// falls inside the date range
_inDateRange = (time >= timestamp(syminfo.timezone, _startYear,
         _startMonth, _startDate, 0, 0)) and
     (time < timestamp(syminfo.timezone, _endYear, _endMonth, _endDate, 0, 0))
  
//Alert configuration     

_alertMessageOpenLong="OpenLong"
_alertMessageCloseLong="CloseLong"
_alertmessageExitLong="ExitLong - TP/SL"

_alertMessageOpenShort="OpenShort"
_alertMessageCloseShort="CloseShort"
_alertMessageExitShort="ExitShort - TP/SL"

if (_inDateRange)
    //ENTER SOME SETUP TRADES FOR TSL EXAMPLE
    if (demaCrossover)
        strategy.entry("LONG", strategy.long, comment = _alertMessageOpenLong)
    if (demaCrossunder)
        strategy.entry("SHORT", strategy.short, comment = _alertMessageOpenShort)
    //EXIT TRADE @ TSL
    if strategy.position_size > 0
        strategy.exit("TP/SL", "LONG", stop=longStop, limit=longTake1Price, comment=_alertmessageExitLong, alert_message=_alertmessageExitLong)
    if strategy.position_size < 0
        strategy.exit("TP/SL", "SHORT", stop=shortStop, limit=shortTake1Price, comment =_alertMessageExitShort, alert_message=_alertMessageExitShort)


//Look & Feel - Plot stop loss and take profit areas
p1=plot(strategy.position_avg_price, color=color.blue, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Preço de entrada")
p2=plot(series=strategy.position_size > 0 ? longStop : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Long Stop")
p3=plot(series=strategy.position_size > 0 ? longTake1Price : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Long TP")
p4=plot(series=strategy.position_size < 0 ? shortStop : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Short Stop")
p5=plot(series=strategy.position_size < 0 ? shortTake1Price : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Short TP")
fill(p1, p2, color=color.red)
fill(p1, p3, color=color.green)
fill(p1, p4, color=color.red)
fill(p1, p5, color=color.green)

// Insert label with value
stopLossOnLong = "Stop Loss = " + tostring(longStop)
stopLossOnShort = "Stop Loss = " + tostring(shortStop)
takeprofitOnLong = "Take Profit = " + tostring(longTake1Price)
takeprofitOnShort = "Take Profit = " + tostring(shortTake1Price)
precoentrada = "Entrada = " + tostring(strategy.position_avg_price)

var label FinalLabelpriceL = na
var label FinalLabelpriceS = na
var label slFinalLabelL = na
var label slFinalLabelS = na
var label slFinalLabelTPL = na
var label slFinalLabelTPS = na


//Draw entry and stop loss lines and labels

if strategy.position_size > 0   
    
    //write the price above the end of the stoploss line
    slFinalLabelL := label.new(bar_index, longStop, stopLossOnLong, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.red)
    slFinalLabelTPL := label.new(bar_index, longTake1Price, takeprofitOnLong, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.green)
    FinalLabelpriceL := label.new(bar_index, strategy.position_avg_price, precoentrada, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.blue)
    
    // Delete previous label when there is a consecutive new high, as there's no line plot in that case.
    if strategy.position_size > 0[1]
        label.delete(slFinalLabelL[1])
        label.delete(slFinalLabelTPL[1])
        label.delete(FinalLabelpriceL[1])

if strategy.position_size < 0   
    
    //write the price above the end of the stoploss line
    slFinalLabelS := label.new(bar_index, shortStop, stopLossOnShort, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.red)
    slFinalLabelTPS := label.new(bar_index, shortTake1Price, takeprofitOnShort, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.green)
    FinalLabelpriceS := label.new(bar_index, strategy.position_avg_price, precoentrada, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.blue)
    
    // Delete previous label when there is a consecutive new high, as there's no line plot in that case.
    if strategy.position_size < 0[1]
        label.delete(slFinalLabelS[1])
        label.delete(slFinalLabelTPS[1]) 
        label.delete(FinalLabelpriceS[1])

    
// Exit open market position when date range ends
if (not _inDateRange)
    strategy.close_all()

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