Strategi triple supertrend breakout adalah strategi yang umum digunakan yang memanfaatkan beberapa garis supertrend dengan pengaturan parameter yang berbeda dan EMA yang menentukan tren untuk mengidentifikasi arah tren dan perdagangan.
Strategi ini menggunakan tiga garis supertrend dengan parameter yang berbeda dan garis EMA yang mendefinisikan tren utama untuk menentukan entri dan keluar:
Atur tiga garis supertrend - supertrend1, supertrend2, supertrend3, dengan warna hijau menunjukkan tren naik dan warna merah menunjukkan tren turun.
Menetapkan garis EMA ematrend untuk menentukan tren utama. Ketika ketiga garis supertrend berada di atas EMA ini, pasar didefinisikan sebagai berada dalam tren naik, dan sebaliknya untuk tren turun.
Ketika setidaknya dua garis supertrend menunjukkan tren naik (hijau) secara bersamaan di bawah kondisi pasar tren naik utama, yaitu, nilai arah kurang dari 0, itu dinilai sebagai sinyal panjang; ketika setidaknya dua garis supertrend menunjukkan tren turun (merah) secara bersamaan di bawah kondisi pasar tren turun utama, yaitu, nilai arah lebih besar dari 0, itu dinilai sebagai sinyal pendek.
Selanjutnya, buka posisi panjang/pendek ketika sinyal dipicu.
Tetapkan kondisi stop loss dan take profit. Fixed take profit ditetapkan pada rasio risiko/imbalan 3; trailing stop loss ditetapkan pada penurunan satu ATR.
Tutup posisi ketika kondisi stop loss atau take profit dipicu.
Keuntungan dari strategi ini meliputi:
Menggunakan tiga garis supertrend yang dikombinasikan dengan EMA yang menilai tren dapat secara efektif mengidentifikasi sinyal tren.
Kondisi panjang dan pendek jelas dan mudah dimengerti dan diterapkan.
Menetapkan stop loss trailing dan fixed take profit secara efektif mengelola risiko.
Hyperparameter dapat disesuaikan sesuai kebutuhan untuk mengoptimalkan strategi.
Ada juga beberapa risiko untuk strategi ini:
Pengaturan parameter yang tidak benar dapat menyebabkan kehilangan peluang perdagangan yang baik. periode yang berbeda, kelipatan untuk ATR, dan periode untuk EMA dapat diuji.
Ada beberapa kemungkinan gagal breakouts. ini dapat dikurangi dengan menyesuaikan parameter.
Stop loss atau take profit yang diatur terlalu luas dapat meningkatkan probabilitas kerugian.
Data backtest dapat dengan mudah menyebabkan masalah overfitting.
Beberapa cara strategi ini dapat dioptimalkan:
Uji kombinasi parameter yang optimal. Kombinasi periode ATR, kelipatan, dan periode EMA yang berbeda dapat diuji untuk menemukan yang terbaik.
Dapat menambahkan saham, cryptocurrency dll untuk menguji efektivitas di seluruh pasar.
Kombinasi dengan indikator lain untuk penyaringan sinyal. Misalnya, RSI, MACD dll dapat ditambahkan untuk menghindari salah membaca sinyal tren.
Memoptimalkan mekanisme stop loss dan take profit. Trailing stop loss, atau stop loss berdasarkan perubahan ATR/volatilitas dapat diuji.
Singkatnya, strategi triple supertrend breakout adalah strategi yang relatif sederhana dan praktis mengikuti tren. Ini menggabungkan beberapa garis supertrend dan EMA yang menilai tren untuk menemukan peluang dan mengelola risiko secara efektif. Melalui optimasi parameter dan logika, hasil yang lebih baik dapat dicapai. Strategi ini mudah dimengerti dan layak dipelajari.
/*backtest start: 2022-12-14 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-20 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // @version=5 // author=theasgard and moonshot-indicator (ms) // year 2021 // // This is a well knowen strategy by using 3 different Supertrends and a trend-defining EMA, // feel free to play around with the settings, a backtest on 8h ETHUSDT pair brought some good results using // the 233EMA and investing 75% of a 10k start capital // // the idea is to have at least 2 supertrnds going green above the trend-EMA to go long and exit by turning // 2 supertrends red (idea: 1 supertrend in red could initialize a take profit) // shorts work vice versa // The EMA shows in green for uptrends and in red for downtrends, if it is blue no Signal will be taken because // the 3 supertrends are not all above or below the trendline(EMA) // // Update 1: // Fixed a minor input error // Added ATR stoploss, and commented out the percentage stop loss // Added time window to backtest // Added exit on risk/revard is met // This version is only buy...wait for next update adding shorts strategy("ms hypertrender", overlay=true) // set up 3 supertrendlines and colour the direction up/down atrPeriod1 = input(10, "ATR Length 1") factor1 = input.float(1.0, "ATR Factor 1", step = 0.01) [supertrend1, direction1] = ta.supertrend(factor1, atrPeriod1) upTrend1 = plot(direction1 < 0 ? supertrend1 : na, "Up Trend 1", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr) downTrend1 = plot(direction1 < 0? na : supertrend1, "Down Trend 1", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr) atrPeriod2 = input(11, "ATR Length 2") factor2 = input.float(2.0, "ATR Factor 2", step = 0.01) [supertrend2, direction2] = ta.supertrend(factor2, atrPeriod2) upTrend2 = plot(direction2 < 0 ? supertrend2 : na, "Up Trend 2", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr) downTrend2 = plot(direction2 < 0? na : supertrend2, "Down Trend 2", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr) atrPeriod3 = input(12, "ATR Length 3") factor3 = input.float(3.0, "ATR Factor 3", step = 0.01) [supertrend3, direction3] = ta.supertrend(factor3, atrPeriod3) upTrend3 = plot(direction3 < 0 ? supertrend3 : na, "Up Trend 3", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr) downTrend3 = plot(direction3 < 0? na : supertrend3, "Down Trend 3", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr) //set up the trend dividing EMA and color uptrend nutreal downtrend len = input.int(233, minval=1, title="Trend-EMA Length") src = input(close, title="Source") offset = input.int(title="Offset", defval=0, minval=-500, maxval=500) //general Bull or Bear Trend? Visualized by ema ematrend = ta.ema(src, len) generaluptrend = supertrend1 > ematrend and supertrend2 > ematrend and supertrend3 > ematrend generaldowntrend = supertrend1 < ematrend and supertrend2 < ematrend and supertrend3 < ematrend emacolor = if generaluptrend color.green else if generaldowntrend color.red else color.blue plot(ematrend, title="EMA", color=emacolor, linewidth=3, offset=offset) // Bullish? min 2 supertrends green bullish = (direction1 < 0 and direction2 < 0) or (direction1 < 0 and direction3 < 0) or (direction2 < 0 and direction3 < 0) and generaluptrend extremebullish = direction1 < 0 and direction2 < 0 and direction3 < 0 and generaluptrend //all 3 green // Bearish? min 2 supertrends red bearish = (direction1 > 0 and direction2 > 0) or (direction1 > 0 and direction3 > 0) or (direction2 > 0 and direction3 > 0) and generaldowntrend extremebearish = direction1 > 0 and direction2 > 0 and direction3 > 0 and generaldowntrend //all 3 red // Open Long //plotchar(((bullish and not bullish[1]) or (extremebullish and not extremebullish[1])) and (emacolor==color.green)? close : na, title = 'Start Long', char='▲', color = #80eb34, location = location.belowbar, size = size.small) // TP 10% Long TP10long = ((generaluptrend and bullish[1]) or (generaluptrend and extremebullish[1])) and (direction1 > 0 or direction2 > 0 or direction3 > 0) //plotchar(TP10long and not TP10long[1]? close : na, title = 'TP on Long', char='┼', color = #ffd000, location = location.abovebar, size = size.tiny) // Exit Long //plotchar(extremebearish and not extremebearish[1] or bearish and not bearish[1]? close : na, title = 'Close all Longs', char='Ꭓ', color = #ff0037, location = location.abovebar, size = size.tiny) stopsupertrendup = if supertrend1 < supertrend2 and supertrend1 < supertrend3 (supertrend1) else if supertrend2 < supertrend1 and supertrend2 < supertrend3 (supertrend2) else if supertrend3 < supertrend1 and supertrend3 < supertrend2 (supertrend3) lowestLows = ta.lowest(low, 1) // Open Short //plotchar(((bearish and not bearish[1]) or (extremebearish and not extremebearish[1])) and (emacolor==color.red)? close : na, title = 'Start Short', char='▼', color = #0547e3, location = location.abovebar, size = size.small) // TP 10% Short TP10short = ((generaldowntrend and bearish[1]) or (generaldowntrend and extremebearish[1])) and (direction1 < 0 or direction2 < 0 or direction3 < 0) //plotchar(TP10short and not TP10short[1]? close : na, title = 'TP on Short', char='┼', color = #ffd000, location = location.belowbar, size = size.tiny) // Exit Short //plotchar(extremebullish and not extremebullish[1] or bullish and not bullish[1]? close : na, title = 'Close all Shorts', char='Ꭓ', color = #ff0037, location = location.belowbar, size = size.tiny) stopsupertrenddown = if supertrend1 > supertrend2 and supertrend1 > supertrend3 (supertrend1) else if supertrend2 > supertrend1 and supertrend2 > supertrend3 (supertrend2) else if supertrend3 > supertrend1 and supertrend3 > supertrend2 (supertrend3) highestHighs = ta.highest(high,1) // Set stop loss level with input options (optional) //longLossPerc = input.float(title="Long Stop Loss (%)", // minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=1) * 0.01 //shortLossPerc = input.float(title="Short Stop Loss (%)", // minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=1) * 0.01 // Determine stop loss price //longStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - longLossPerc) //shortStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + shortLossPerc) openlong = (extremebullish and not extremebullish[1]) and (emacolor==color.green)//(((bullish and not bullish[1]) or openshort = (extremebearish and not extremebearish[1]) and (emacolor==color.red)//(((bearish and not bearish[1]) or exitlong = lowestLows<(stopsupertrendup - ((stopsupertrendup / 100) * 0.1)) //(extremebearish and not extremebearish[1] or bearish and not bearish[1]) or TP10long or exitshort = highestHighs>(stopsupertrenddown - ((stopsupertrenddown / 100) * 0.1)) //(extremebullish and not extremebullish[1] or bullish and not bullish[1]) or TP10short //strategy.entry("buy", strategy.long, when=openlong) //strategy.entry("sell", strategy.short, when=openshort) //strategy.close("buy", when=exitlong) //strategy.close("sell", when=exitshort) // Submit exit orders based on calculated stop loss price //if (strategy.position_size > 0) // strategy.exit(id="Long Stop", stop=longStopPrice) //if (strategy.position_size < 0) // strategy.exit(id="Short Stop", stop=shortStopPrice) backtest_timeframe_start = input(defval = timestamp("01 Apr 2016 13:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest Start Time") USE_ENDTIME = input(false,title="Define the ending period for backtests (If false, will test up to most recent candle)") backtest_timeframe_end = input(defval = timestamp("19 Mar 2021 19:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest End Time") TARGET_PROFIT_MODE = input(false,title="Exit when Risk:Reward met") REWARD_RATIO = input(3,title="Risk:[Reward] (i.e. 3) for exit") // Trailing stop loss { TSL_ON = input(true,title="Use trailing stop loss") var entry_price = float(0) ATR_multi_len = 26 ATR_multi = input(2, "ATR multiplier for stop loss") ATR_buffer = ta.atr(ATR_multi_len) * ATR_multi plotchar(ATR_buffer, "ATR Buffer", "A", location = location.top) risk_reward_buffer = (ta.atr(ATR_multi_len) * ATR_multi) * REWARD_RATIO take_profit_long = low > entry_price + risk_reward_buffer take_profit_short = low < entry_price - risk_reward_buffer var trailing_SL_buffer = float(0) var stop_loss_price = float(0) stop_loss_price := math.max(stop_loss_price, close - trailing_SL_buffer) // plot TSL line trail_profit_line_color = color.green if strategy.position_size == 0 or not TSL_ON trail_profit_line_color := color.black stop_loss_price := close - trailing_SL_buffer plot(stop_loss_price,color=trail_profit_line_color) // } if true buy_condition = openlong exit_condition = exitlong //ENTRY: if buy_condition if strategy.position_size == 0 entry_price := close trailing_SL_buffer := ATR_buffer stop_loss_price := close - ATR_buffer msg = "entry" if strategy.position_size > 0 msg := "pyramiding" strategy.entry("Long",strategy.long, comment=msg) //EXIT: // Case (A) hits trailing stop if TSL_ON and strategy.position_size > 0 and close <= stop_loss_price if close > entry_price strategy.close("Long", comment="take profit [trailing]") else if close <= entry_price strategy.close("Long", comment="stop loss") // Case (B) take targeted profit relative to risk if strategy.position_size > 0 and TARGET_PROFIT_MODE if take_profit_long strategy.close("Long", comment="take profits [risk:reward]") // Case (C) if strategy.position_size > 0 and exit_condition if take_profit_long strategy.close("Long", comment="exit[rsi]")