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Tren Dinamis Mengikuti Strategi Perdagangan Multi-Periode ATR

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2024-12-12 16:00:56
Tag:ATREMAMA

Dynamic Trend Following ATR Multi-Period Trading Strategy

Gambaran umum

Strategi ini adalah sistem trend berikut yang dinamis berdasarkan indikator ATR (Average True Range), menggabungkan analisis multi-periode dan kemampuan manajemen portofolio. Strategi ini melacak posisi relatif antara harga dan saluran ATR untuk menangkap perubahan tren di berbagai jangka waktu sambil mengelola posisi secara dinamis sesuai dengan kuantitas perdagangan yang didefinisikan pengguna. Desain strategi menyeimbangkan stabilitas tren berikut dengan fleksibilitas waktu perdagangan.

Prinsip Strategi

Logika inti dari strategi ini didasarkan pada elemen kunci berikut: 1. Menggunakan indikator ATR untuk menetapkan saluran stop-loss dinamis, dengan lebar saluran ditentukan oleh periode ATR dan parameter sensitivitas 2. Menentukan sinyal beli/jual melalui crossover antara saluran EMA dan ATR 3. Mendukung operasi di beberapa kerangka waktu dari 5 menit sampai 2 jam 4. Menggabungkan mekanisme pelacakan portofolio untuk secara dinamis menyesuaikan jumlah pembelian/penjualan berdasarkan posisi saat ini 5. Penggunaan lilin Heikin Ashi untuk mengurangi sinyal palsu

Keuntungan Strategi

  1. Adaptabilitas tinggi - Secara dinamis menyesuaikan lebar saluran melalui ATR untuk beradaptasi dengan kondisi pasar yang berbeda
  2. Risiko terkontrol - Mekanisme stop loss internal menyediakan tingkat stop loss dinamis melalui saluran ATR
  3. Fleksibilitas Operasional - Mendukung analisis multi-periode, memungkinkan pemilihan kerangka waktu yang tepat untuk instrumen yang berbeda
  4. Manajemen Posisi - Mencapai manajemen posisi yang dinamis melalui pelacakan portofolio
  5. Stabilitas sinyal - Lilin halus opsional untuk mengurangi kebisingan dan meningkatkan kualitas sinyal

Risiko Strategi

  1. Trend Dependency - Dapat menghasilkan perdagangan yang sering di berbagai pasar
  2. Lag - Penggunaan rata-rata bergerak dan ATR memperkenalkan beberapa keterlambatan sinyal
  3. Sensitivitas Parameter - Kinerja strategi yang sangat dipengaruhi oleh pilihan periode ATR dan parameter sensitivitas
  4. Manajemen uang - Memerlukan pengaturan yang tepat dari jumlah perdagangan untuk menghindari posisi yang berlebihan
  5. Adaptabilitas pasar - Kinerja dapat bervariasi dalam kondisi pasar yang berbeda

Arah Optimasi Strategi

  1. Penyaringan Sinyal
  • Tambahkan indikator konfirmasi kekuatan tren
  • Memperkenalkan analisis volume
  • Pertimbangkan untuk menambahkan filter volatilitas
  1. Manajemen Posisi
  • Sesuaikan ukuran posisi secara dinamis berdasarkan volatilitas
  • Menerapkan masuk dan keluar berskala
  • Tambahkan kontrol penarikan maksimum
  1. Optimasi Stop Loss
  • Masukkan tingkat dukungan/resistensi untuk penempatan stop
  • Menerapkan trailing stop
  • Mengoptimalkan metode perhitungan jarak berhenti

Ringkasan

Strategi ini adalah sistem perdagangan lengkap yang menggabungkan analisis teknis dan manajemen portofolio. Ini menyediakan kemampuan mengikuti tren yang stabil melalui saluran dinamis ATR dan analisis multi-periode sambil mempertimbangkan kebutuhan manajemen posisi dalam perdagangan aktual. Optimasi strategi harus berfokus pada peningkatan kualitas sinyal dan peningkatan pengendalian risiko. Praktikalitas lebih lanjut dapat dicapai melalui optimasi parameter dan perluasan fitur.

/*backtest
start: 2019-12-23 08:00:00
end: 2024-12-10 08:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1d
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy(title='ADET GİRMELİ Trend İz Süren Stop Strategy', overlay=true, overlay=true,default_qty_type = strategy.fixed, default_qty_value = 1)

// Inputs
a = input(9, title='Key Value. "This changes the sensitivity"')
c = input(3, title='ATR Period')
h = input(false, title='Signals from Heikin Ashi Candles')

xATR = ta.atr(c)
nLoss = a * xATR

src = h ? request.security(ticker.heikinashi(syminfo.tickerid), timeframe.period, close, lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) : close

xATRTrailingStop = 0.0
iff_1 = src > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? src - nLoss : src + nLoss
iff_2 = src < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src[1] < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? math.min(nz(xATRTrailingStop[1]), src + nLoss) : iff_1
xATRTrailingStop := src > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src[1] > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? math.max(nz(xATRTrailingStop[1]), src - nLoss) : iff_2

pos = 0
iff_3 = src[1] > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? -1 : nz(pos[1], 0)
pos := src[1] < nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) and src > nz(xATRTrailingStop[1], 0) ? 1 : iff_3

xcolor = pos == -1 ? color.red : pos == 1 ? color.green : color.blue

ema = ta.ema(src, 1)
above = ta.crossover(ema, xATRTrailingStop)
below = ta.crossover(xATRTrailingStop, ema)

buy = src > xATRTrailingStop and above
sell = src < xATRTrailingStop and below

barbuy = src > xATRTrailingStop
barsell = src < xATRTrailingStop
// Alım ve Satım Sinyalleri
buySignal = src > xATRTrailingStop and above
sellSignal = src < xATRTrailingStop and below

// Kullanıcı girişi
sell_quantity = input.int(1, title="Sell Quantity", minval=1)
buy_quantity = input.int(1, title="Buy Quantity", minval=1)

// Portföy miktarı (örnek simülasyon verisi)
var portfolio_quantity = 0

// Sinyal üretimi (örnek sinyal, gerçek stratejinizle değiştirin)
indicator_signal = (src > xATRTrailingStop and above) ? "buy" : 
                   (src < xATRTrailingStop and below) ? "sell" : "hold"

// Şartlara göre al/sat
if indicator_signal == "buy" and portfolio_quantity < buy_quantity
    strategy.entry("Buy Order", strategy.long, qty=buy_quantity)
    portfolio_quantity := portfolio_quantity + buy_quantity

if indicator_signal == "sell" and portfolio_quantity >= sell_quantity
    strategy.close("Buy Order", qty=sell_quantity)
    portfolio_quantity := portfolio_quantity - sell_quantity
// Plot buy and sell signals
plotshape(buy, title='Buy', text='Buy', style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.green, 0), textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), size=size.tiny)
plotshape(sell, title='Sell', text='Sell', style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.red, 0), textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), size=size.tiny)

// Bar coloring
barcolor(barbuy ? color.rgb(6, 250, 14) : na)
barcolor(barsell ? color.red : na)

// Alerts
alertcondition(buy, 'UT Long', 'UT Long')
alertcondition(sell, 'UT Short', 'UT Short')

// Strategy Entry and Exit
if buy
    strategy.entry('Long', strategy.long)
if sell
    strategy.entry('Short', strategy.short)

// Optional Exit Conditions
if sell
    strategy.close('Long')
if buy
    strategy.close('Short')

// ///TARAMA///


// gurupSec = input.string(defval='1', options=['1', '2', '3', '4', '5','6','7'], group='Taraması yapılacak 40\'arlı gruplardan birini seçin', title='Grup seç')
// per = input.timeframe(defval='', title='PERİYOT',group = "Tarama yapmak istediğiniz periyotu seçin")
// loc = input.int(defval=20, title='Konum Ayarı', minval = -100,maxval = 200 , step = 5,  group='Tablonun konumunu belirleyin')




// func() =>
//     //ÖRNEK BİR FONKSİYON AŞAĞIDA YAZILMIŞTIR. SİZ DE İSTEDİĞİNİZ KOŞULLAR İÇİN TARAMA YAZABİLİRSİNİZ.
//     //rsi = ta.rsi(close,14)
//     //cond = rsi <= 30
//     //[close,cond]

     
//     ////value = ta.cci(close,length23)
//     cond = buySignal or sellSignal
//     [close,cond]


// c1 = input.symbol(title='1', defval='BIST:BRYAT',group = "1. Grup Hisseleri")
// c2 = input.symbol(title='2', defval='BIST:TARKM')
// c3 = input.symbol(title='3', defval='BIST:TNZTP')
// c4 = input.symbol(title='4', defval='BIST:ERBOS')
// c5 = input.symbol(title='5', defval='BIST:BFREN')
// c6 = input.symbol(title='6', defval='BIST:ALARK')
// c7 = input.symbol(title='7', defval='BIST:ISMEN')
// c8 = input.symbol(title='8', defval='BIST:CVKMD')
// c9 = input.symbol(title='9', defval='BIST:TTRAK')
// c10 = input.symbol(title='10', defval='BIST:ASELS')
// c11 = input.symbol(title='11', defval='BIST:ATAKP')
// c12 = input.symbol(title='12', defval='BIST:MGROS')
// c13 = input.symbol(title='13', defval='BIST:BRSAN')
// c14 = input.symbol(title='14', defval='BIST:ALFAS')
// c15 = input.symbol(title='15', defval='BIST:CWENE')
// c16 = input.symbol(title='16', defval='BIST:THYAO')
// c17 = input.symbol(title='17', defval='BIST:EREGL')
// c18 = input.symbol(title='18', defval='BIST:TUPRS')
// c19 = input.symbol(title='19', defval='BIST:YYLGD')
// c20 = input.symbol(title='20', defval='BIST:KLSER')
// c21 = input.symbol(title='21', defval='BIST:MIATK')
// c22 = input.symbol(title='22', defval='BIST:ASTOR')
// c23 = input.symbol(title='23', defval='BIST:DOAS')
// c24 = input.symbol(title='24', defval='BIST:ERCB')
// c25 = input.symbol(title='25', defval='BIST:REEDR')
// c26 = input.symbol(title='26', defval='BIST:DNISI')
// c27 = input.symbol(title='27', defval='BIST:ARZUM')
// c28 = input.symbol(title='28', defval='BIST:EBEBK')
// c29 = input.symbol(title='29', defval='BIST:KLKIM')
// c30 = input.symbol(title='30', defval='BIST:ONCSM')
// c31 = input.symbol(title='31', defval='BIST:SOKE')
// c32 = input.symbol(title='32', defval='BIST:GUBRF')
// c33 = input.symbol(title='33', defval='BIST:KONTR')
// c34 = input.symbol(title='34', defval='BIST:DAPGM')
// c35 = input.symbol(title='35', defval='BIST:BVSAN')
// c36 = input.symbol(title='36', defval='BIST:ODAS')
// c37 = input.symbol(title='37', defval='BIST:OYAKC')
// c38 = input.symbol(title='38', defval='BIST:KRPLS')
// c39 = input.symbol(title='39', defval='BIST:BOBET')






// [v1,s1] = request.security(c1, per, func())
// [v2,s2] = request.security(c2, per, func())
// [v3,s3] = request.security(c3, per, func())
// [v4,s4] = request.security(c4, per, func())
// [v5,s5] = request.security(c5, per, func())
// [v6,s6] = request.security(c6, per, func())
// [v7,s7] = request.security(c7, per, func())
// [v8,s8] = request.security(c8, per, func())
// [v9,s9] = request.security(c9, per, func())
// [v10,s10] = request.security(c10, per, func())
// [v11,s11] = request.security(c11, per, func())
// [v12,s12] = request.security(c12, per, func())
// [v13,s13] = request.security(c13, per, func())
// [v14,s14] = request.security(c14, per, func())
// [v15,s15] = request.security(c15, per, func())
// [v16,s16] = request.security(c16, per, func())
// [v17,s17] = request.security(c17, per, func())
// [v18,s18] = request.security(c18, per, func())
// [v19,s19] = request.security(c19, per, func())
// [v20,s20] = request.security(c20, per, func())
// [v21,s21] = request.security(c21, per, func())
// [v22,s22] = request.security(c22, per, func())
// [v23,s23] = request.security(c23, per, func())
// [v24,s24] = request.security(c24, per, func())
// [v25,s25] = request.security(c25, per, func())
// [v26,s26] = request.security(c26, per, func())
// [v27,s27] = request.security(c27, per, func())
// [v28,s28] = request.security(c28, per, func())
// [v29,s29] = request.security(c29, per, func())
// [v30,s30] = request.security(c30, per, func())
// [v31,s31] = request.security(c31, per, func())
// [v32,s32] = request.security(c32, per, func())
// [v33,s33] = request.security(c33, per, func())
// [v34,s34] = request.security(c34, per, func())
// [v35,s35] = request.security(c35, per, func())
// [v36,s36] = request.security(c36, per, func())
// [v37,s37] = request.security(c37, per, func())
// [v38,s38] = request.security(c38, per, func())
// [v39,s39] = request.security(c39, per, func())


// roundn(x, n) =>
//     mult = 1
//     if n != 0
//         for i = 1 to math.abs(n) by 1
//             mult *= 10
//             mult

//     n >= 0 ? math.round(x * mult) / mult : math.round(x / mult) * mult


// scr_label = 'A/G İZSÜREN\n'
// scr_label := s1 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c1) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v1, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s2 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c2) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v2, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s3 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c3) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v3, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s4 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c4) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v4, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s5 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c5) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v5, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s6 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c6) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v6, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s7 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c7) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v7, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s8 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c8) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v8, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s9 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c9) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v9, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s10 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c10) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v10, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s11 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c11) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v11, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s12 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c12) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v12, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s13 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c13) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v13, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s14 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c14) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v14, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s15 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c15) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v15, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s16 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c16) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v16, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s17 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c17) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v17, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s18 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c18) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v18, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s19 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c19) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v19, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s20 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c20) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v20, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s21 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c21) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v21, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s22 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c22) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v22, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s23 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c23) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v23, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s24 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c24) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v24, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s25 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c25) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v25, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s26 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c26) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v26, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s27 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c27) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v27, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s28 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c28) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v28, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s29 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c29) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v29, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s30 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c30) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v30, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s31 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c31) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v31, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s32 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c32) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v32, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s33 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c33) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v33, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s34 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c34) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v34, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s35 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c35) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v35, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s36 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c36) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v36, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s37 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c37) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v37, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s38 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c38) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v38, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label
// scr_label := s39 ? scr_label + syminfo.ticker(c39) + ' ' + str.tostring(roundn(v39, 2)) + '\n' : scr_label


// var panel = table.new(position = position.top_right,columns = 10,rows = 10,bgcolor = color.green,frame_color = color.white,border_color = color.red)



// if barstate.islast
//     table.cell(panel,0,0,text = str.tostring(scr_label))
// //------------------------------------------------------
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