Sumber daya yang dimuat... Pemuatan...

Multi-EMA Cross dengan Volume-Price Momentum Trading Strategy

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2025-01-06 16:07:59
Tag:EMAVWAPSMASLORSIHLC3MOL

img

Ini adalah strategi perdagangan momentum yang komprehensif berdasarkan beberapa crossover rata-rata bergerak eksponensial (EMA) dan indikator volume-harga. Strategi ini menghasilkan sinyal perdagangan dengan menggabungkan berbagai indikator termasuk EMA cepat dan lambat, Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), dan SuperTrend, sementara menggabungkan jendela perdagangan intraday dan ambang pergerakan harga untuk mengontrol titik masuk dan keluar.

Prinsip Strategi

Strategi ini menggunakan EMA 5 hari dan 13 hari sebagai indikator tren utama. Posisi panjang dipicu ketika EMA cepat melintasi EMA lambat dengan harga penutupan di atas VWAP, sementara posisi pendek dipicu ketika EMA cepat melintasi EMA lambat dengan harga penutupan di bawah VWAP. Strategi ini juga menggabungkan indikator SuperTrend untuk konfirmasi tren dan penentuan stop-loss. Kondisi masuk yang berbeda ditetapkan untuk hari perdagangan yang berbeda, termasuk pergerakan harga relatif terhadap penutupan hari sebelumnya dan kisaran tinggi-rendah hari itu.

Keuntungan Strategi

  1. Berbagai indikator teknis meningkatkan keandalan sinyal perdagangan
  2. Kondisi masuk yang berbeda untuk hari perdagangan yang berbeda lebih sesuai dengan karakteristik pasar
  3. Mekanisme profit-taking dan stop-loss yang dinamis secara efektif mengendalikan risiko
  4. Pembatasan jendela perdagangan intraday menghindari periode volatilitas tinggi
  5. Titik-titik rendah tinggi sebelumnya dan kendala pergerakan harga mengurangi risiko mengejar titik tinggi dan rendah

Risiko Strategi

  1. Sinyal palsu dapat terjadi di pasar yang berfluktuasi dengan cepat
  2. Potensi keterlambatan selama pembalikan tren awal
  3. Optimasi parameter dapat menghadapi risiko overfitting
  4. Biaya perdagangan dapat mempengaruhi hasil strategi
  5. Penarikan yang signifikan yang mungkin terjadi selama periode pasar yang sangat volatile

Arah Optimasi Strategi

  1. Pertimbangkan untuk memasukkan indikator analisis volume untuk lebih mengkonfirmasi kekuatan tren
  2. Mengoptimalkan parameter untuk hari perdagangan yang berbeda untuk meningkatkan fleksibilitas strategi
  3. Tambahkan lebih banyak indikator sentimen pasar untuk meningkatkan akurasi prediksi
  4. Memperbaiki mekanisme pengambilan keuntungan dan stop loss untuk meningkatkan efisiensi modal
  5. Pertimbangkan untuk menambahkan indikator volatilitas untuk mengoptimalkan manajemen posisi

Ringkasan

Strategi ini mencapai kombinasi dari mengikuti tren dan momentum trading melalui penggunaan komprehensif dari beberapa indikator teknis. Desain strategi sepenuhnya mempertimbangkan keragaman pasar dengan mengadopsi aturan perdagangan yang berbeda untuk hari perdagangan yang berbeda. Melalui kontrol risiko yang ketat dan mekanisme pengambilan keuntungan dan stop-loss yang fleksibel, strategi menunjukkan nilai aplikasi praktis yang baik. Peningkatan di masa depan dapat meningkatkan stabilitas dan profitabilitas strategi dengan memperkenalkan indikator teknis tambahan dan mengoptimalkan pengaturan parameter.


/*backtest
start: 2019-12-23 08:00:00
end: 2025-01-04 08:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1d
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
//@version=6
strategy("S1", overlay=true)
fastEMA = ta.ema(close, 5)
slowEMA = ta.ema(close,13)
ema9 = ta.ema(close, 9)
ema100 = ta.ema(close, 100)
ema5 = ta.ema(close, 5)
ema200 = ta.ema(close, 200)

ma = ta.sma(close, 50)

mult = input.float(defval=3)
len = input.int(defval=11)
[superTrend, dir] = ta.supertrend(mult, len)
vwap1= ta.vwap(hlc3)

plot(slowEMA,color = color.green)
plot(fastEMA,color = color.black)
plot(vwap1, color = color.blue)

var dailyTaskDone = false
var gapdown = false
var gapup = false
var runup = 0.0
var biggapdown = false
var biggapup = false
var prevDayClose = 0.0
var todayLow = 0.0
var todayHigh = 0.0
var noBuyNow = false
var noSellNow = false
var buyPrice = 0.0
var sellPrice = 0.0
var todayBuyDone = false
var todaySellDone = false
var dragonflyDoji = false
var candleCount = 0
var candleCount1 = 0
var lastTrade = 9
var lastFiveCandles = false
var lastSevenCandlesS = false
var fiveEMACC = 0
candleCount := candleCount + 1
candleCount1 := candleCount1 + 1

if fiveEMACC > 0
    fiveEMACC := fiveEMACC + 1

if fiveEMACC == 6
    fiveEMACC := 0

if strategy.openprofit == 0
    candleCount := 0

if hour == 9 and minute ==15
    prevDayClose := close[1]
    todayLow := low
    todayHigh := high
    lastTrade := 9
    
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (open - close[1]) >  close*0.01
    gapup := true
    
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (open - close[1]) <  close*0.005*-1
    gapdown := true

if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (close - close[1]) > 200
    biggapup := true
    
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (close - close[1]) < 200
    biggapdown := true

if low < todayLow
    todayLow := low
    candleCount1 := 0
if high > todayHigh
    todayHigh := high

if close > todayLow + 200
    noBuyNow := true
    
if close < todayHigh - 200//0.01*close
    noSellNow := false

lastFiveCandles := (close[4]<open[4] or close[3]<open[3] or close[2] < open[2] or close[1]<open[1])
lastSevenCandlesS := (close[6]>open[6] or close[5]>open[5] or close[4]>open[4] or close[3]>open[3] or close[2] > open[2] or close[1]>open[1])
if hour == 15
    dailyTaskDone := false
    gapdown := false
    gapup := false
    biggapup := false
    biggapdown := false
    noBuyNow := false
    noSellNow := false
    todayLow := 0.0
    todayHigh := 0.0
    buyPrice  := 0.0
    sellPrice := 0.0
    todayBuyDone := false
    todaySellDone := false
    dragonflyDoji := false
    lastTrade := 9

// if fastEMA < slowEMA and lastTrade == 1 and strategy.openprofit==0
//     lastTrade := 9


if fastEMA > slowEMA and lastTrade == 0 and strategy.openprofit==0
    lastTrade := 9
    
buy =  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.011) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and lastFiveCandles  and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001))and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and (hour!=9 or minute>=35))
       
sell=  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1  and lastSevenCandlesS and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.008 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01 ) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and  (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and (open - low < 2*(high-close)) and (close-open<10)  and not dragonflyDoji  and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]  and prevDayClose-close<close*0.012 and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday  and  (hour!=9 or minute>=40) and close<open and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (close-todayLow>30 or candleCount1<1) ) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (hour!=9 or minute>=55) ) 

// buy =  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.011) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and lastFiveCandles  and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((fastEMA > slowEMA))and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and (hour!=9 or minute>=35))
       
// sell=  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1  and lastSevenCandlesS and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.008 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01 ) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and  (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and (open - low < 2*(high-close)) and (close-open<10)  and not dragonflyDoji  and (slowEMA > fastEMA) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]  and prevDayClose-close<close*0.012 and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday  and  (hour!=9 or minute>=40) and close<open and (slowEMA > fastEMA) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (close-todayLow>30 or candleCount1<1) ) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (hour!=9 or minute>=55) ) 

dragonflyDoji:= false

// (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089 or (slowEMA-fastEMA>close*0.00049 and (high[2]>vwap or high[1]>vwap)))
if sellPrice != 0 and runup < sellPrice - low
    runup := sellPrice - low


if buyPrice != 0 and runup < high - buyPrice
    //ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(runup), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
    runup := high - buyPrice
    
        
NoBuySellTime = (hour == 15) or ((hour==14 and minute>=25)) or (hour==9 and minute<=35) or hour >= 14
//(fiveEMACC > 0 and low < fastEMA and close < vwap1)
buyexit     =  fastEMA<slowEMA or (close<superTrend and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000
sellexit =  slowEMA<fastEMA or (close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close>superTrend) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000

exitPosition =  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > 50) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 80) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and buyPrice !=0.0 and high-buyPrice > 30) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 30) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday  and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > 30) or  (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday  and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 30)
//code such that 2 fastema is > than 2 slowema
//exitPosition =  (sellPrice!=0 and runup >21 and strategy.openprofit < -2000) or (candleCount > 18 and strategy.openprofit > 50 and strategy.openprofit < 1000) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > buyPrice * 0.007) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > sellPrice * 0.007) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and buyPrice !=0.0 and high-buyPrice > 30) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday  and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > buyPrice * 0.002) or  (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday  and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > sellPrice * 0.002)
//(runup >21 and strategy.openprofit < -2000) or
if  buy and fastEMA>vwap1 and (not todayBuyDone or lastTrade != 1) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (close-prevDayClose)<150)//and not biggapup
    strategy.entry("buy", strategy.long)
    //dailyTaskDone := true
    if buyPrice == 0.0 
        fiveEMACC := 1

    buyPrice := close
    //ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(todayLow + 500), yloc=yloc.belowbar9
    todayBuyDone := true
    lastTrade := 1
    runup := 0.0

if  sell and (not todaySellDone or lastTrade != 0) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone // and dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (prevDayClose-close)<150)//and not biggapdown
    strategy.entry("sell", strategy.short)
    //dailyTaskDone := true
    if sellPrice == 0.0 
        fiveEMACC := 1
    sellPrice := close
    todaySellDone := true
    lastTrade := 0
    runup := 0.0

// if ((fastEMA-slowEMA>18 and close>vwap and close[1]>vwap[1] and (not todayBuyDone or candleCount>12)) or (slowEMA-fastEMA>10 and close < vwap and close[1]<vwap[1] and (not todaySellDone or candleCount > 12))) and strategy.openprofit==0
// ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(abs(prevDayClose-close)), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
    
IntraDay_SquareOff = minute >=15 and hour >= 15
if true and (IntraDay_SquareOff or exitPosition)
    strategy.close("buy")
    strategy.close("sell")
    buyPrice := 0
    sellPrice := 0
    runup := 0.0
if  buyexit
    strategy.close("buy")
    buyPrice := 0
if sellexit
    strategy.close("sell")
    sellPrice := 0

buy1 =  ((dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and not gapup) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.0085) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close - todayLow < close*0.012))
       and dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday and (not todayBuyDone or lastTrade != 1) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (close-prevDayClose)<150)//and not biggapup


       
sell1=  ((dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.01 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not gapdown and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and prevDayClose-close < 0.005*close) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and prevDayClose-close < 0.005*close)) and 
       dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday and (not todaySellDone or lastTrade != 0) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone
        
// if buy1 and strategy.openprofit==0
//     ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(fastEMA - slowEMA), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
// if sell1 and strategy.openprofit==0
//     ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(slowEMA - fastEMA), yloc=yloc.belowbar)

// buy =  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 10) or  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 20) 
// sell=  ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] ) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 10) or ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] > slowEMA[2]) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 20)

// buy =  (fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) 
// sell=  (fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] )


// buy =  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 10) or  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 1) 
// sell=  ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] ) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 5)


// buy =  fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]
// sell=  fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] > slowEMA[2]

//Daily chart
// buyexit = (close + 40 < slowEMA)//rsi > 65 and fastEMA > ema9 // fastEMA > ema9// close < fastEMA//(rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA and fastEMA > ema3 and close > ema200)  //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and slowEMA > ema3 and slowEMA[1] < ema3[1] and 1==2
// sellexit = (close - 40  > slowEMA)//rsi < 35 // and close > ema200) or (rsi < 35 and close < ema200 and fastEMA < ema3) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and fastEMA < ema3 and fastEMA[1] > ema3[1] and 1==2


// buyexit = (close < superTrend)// and (close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and close < close[1])//and close[2] < vwap1[2]//rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA// fastEMA > ema9// close < fastEMA//(rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA and fastEMA > ema3 and close > ema200)  //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and slowEMA > ema3 and slowEMA[1] < ema3[1] and 1==2
// sellexit = (close > superTrend)// and (close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close > close[1]) //and close[2] > vwap1[2]//rsi < 35// and close > ema200) or (rsi < 35 and close < ema200 and fastEMA < ema3) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and fastEMA < ema3 and fastEMA[1] > ema3[1] and 1==2

// buyexit = (close < superTrend and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and close[1] < superTrend[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000
// sellexit =  (close > superTrend and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close[1] > superTrend[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000



Berkaitan

Lebih banyak