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CCIとATRをベースにしたトレンド

作者: リン・ハーンチャオチャン, 日付: 2023-09-26 16:08:37
タグ:

概要

この戦略は,平均真値範囲 (ATR) とコモディティチャネルインデックス (CCI) を組み合わせて価格動向を特定し,入口および出口信号として過買い/過売りレベルを使用する.ATRは上下帯を計算し,CCIはトレンド方向を決定する.CCIが過買いレベルを下回るときは短く,CCIが過売りレベルを下回るときは長く,したがってトレンドに従う.

戦略の論理

  1. 2 期間の ATR が使われています.
  2. CCI値を計算します.ここでは10期間のCCIを使用します.
  3. 現在のCCI値に基づいて傾向の方向を決定する
    • CCI >= 0 アップトレンドとして定義
    • CCI < 0 ダウントレンドとして定義
  4. 上部帯と下部帯を計算する
    • 上部帯 = 最高高 + ATR * 倍数
    • 下帯 = 最低低値 - ATR * マルチプリキュア
  5. 異なるトレンド方向で,上部と下部帯を保存して更新する
    • CCI >= 0 で,上帯 < 前前上帯であれば,リセットします. CCI < 0 で,下帯 > 前下帯であれば,リセットします.
    • 価格に逆向きに動くチャンネルを回避する
  6. 入力信号としてCCI値に基づいて上または下帯で入力
  7. CCIが 0 を切ったときに出口
  8. ストップ・ロスを設定し,利益を出口を設定する.

利点

この戦略は,トレンドの特定とチャネルブレイクを組み合わせて,効果的にトレンドを追います.

  1. 価格傾向の方向性を決定するためにCCIを使用し,長/短トレンドを迅速に判断する
  2. ATRチャネルはリスクを制御するためにストップ・ロスを設定し,利益を取ります.
  3. チャンネルは,価格が逆転するときに方向性を迅速に調整し,元のトレンドチャネルに閉じ込められない
  4. CCI からの脱退は,トレンドを踏まえて失敗を回避する

リスク と 改善

  1. CCIとATRのパラメータは,期間とパラメータの間で最高の結果を得るために最適化する必要があります.
  2. チャンネル調整によって渋滞は回避されるが,深刻な逆転は依然として不十分な利益や損失を引き起こす可能性がある.
  3. ストップ・ロスの配置は最適化が必要で,過剰なストップを避けるためにストップをリラックスする
  4. 入力信号の追加フィルターは,入力の機会を最適化することができます
  5. 高いタイムフレームトレンドインジケーターと組み合わせると,より高いトレンドに対して取引を避けることができます.

概要

ストップ・ロスト・レンジは,市場状況に基づいて最適化が必要である.他の指標と組み合わせることで,戦略をさらに強化することができる.トレンドフォロー戦略の初心者として,学ぶ価値があり,参照する価値があります.


/*backtest
start: 2023-08-26 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-25 00:00:00
period: 3h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
strategy("Trend Trader Karan",overlay=true)
res = input(title="Resolution", type=input.resolution, defval="60",confirm = true)

ProfitPerc = input(title=" Take Profit (%)",type=input.float, minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=1.4) * 0.01

stoploss = input(title=" Stop Loss (%)",type=input.float, minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=0.7) * 0.01

CCI = input(10,title = "CCI")
ATR = input(2,title = "ATR")
Multiplier= 1
original = false
thisCCI = cci(close, CCI)
lastCCI = nz(thisCCI[1])


calcx()=> 
    bufferDn= high + Multiplier * wma(tr,ATR)
    bufferUp= low - Multiplier * wma(tr,ATR)
    if (thisCCI >= 0 and lastCCI < 0) 
        bufferUp := bufferDn[1]
    if (thisCCI <= 0 and lastCCI > 0) 
        bufferDn := bufferUp[1]

    if (thisCCI >= 0)
        if (bufferUp < bufferUp[1])
            bufferUp := bufferUp[1]
    else
        if (thisCCI <= 0)
            if (bufferDn > bufferDn[1])
                bufferDn := bufferDn[1]

   
    x = 0.0
    x := thisCCI >= 0 ?bufferUp:thisCCI <= 0 ?bufferDn:x[1]
    x

tempx = calcx()

calcswap() =>
    swap = 0.0
    swap := tempx>tempx[1]?1:tempx<tempx[1]?-1:swap[1]
    swap

tempswap = calcswap()

swap2=tempswap==1?color.green:color.red
swap3=thisCCI >=0 ?color.green :color.red
swap4=original?swap3:swap2

//display current timeframe's Trend



plot(tempx,color=swap4 == color.green ? color.green : swap4,transp=0,linewidth=4)


htfx = security(syminfo.tickerid,res,tempx[1],lookahead = barmerge.lookahead_on)
htfswap4 = security(syminfo.tickerid,res,swap4[1],lookahead = barmerge.lookahead_on)

plot(htfx,color=htfswap4,transp=0,linewidth=3)


//plotarrow( ? 1 : swap4[1] == color.yellow and swap4 == color.blue ? -1 :0 , title="Up Entry Arrow", colorup=color.green,colordown = color.blue, maxheight=10, minheight=10, transp=0)

plotshape( swap4[1] == color.red and swap4 == color.green ? 1 : na , style = shape.triangleup , color = color.blue , location = location.belowbar , size = size.tiny )
plotshape( swap4[1] == color.green and swap4 == color.red ? 1 : na , style = shape.triangledown , color = color.red , location = location.abovebar , size = size.tiny)




buy =  swap4[1] == color.red and swap4 == color.green and htfswap4 == color.green

sell =  swap4[1] == color.green and swap4 == color.red and htfswap4 == color.red


if(buy)
    strategy.entry("buy",true)
    
if(sell)
    strategy.entry("sell",false)
    
if(swap4[1] == color.red and swap4 == color.green)
    strategy.close("sell")
    
if(swap4[1] == color.green and swap4 == color.red )
    strategy.close("buy")
    
    
longExitPrice  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + ProfitPerc)
shortExitPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - ProfitPerc)

stop_buy = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stoploss)
stop_sell = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stoploss)
    
    
if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    strategy.exit(id="Target", limit=longExitPrice , stop = stop_buy)

if (strategy.position_size < 0)
    strategy.exit(id="Target", limit=shortExitPrice , stop = stop_sell)
    
    
///////////////study("EMA ", overlay=true)
plot(ema(close, 200), color=#FF7000, linewidth=2, title='200 Day EMA')
plot(ema(close, 20), color=#0088FA, linewidth=2, title='20 Day EMA')
plot(ema(close, 50), color=#FA00D0, linewidth=2, title='50 Day EMA')


//////////////////study("Trend Lines+++", overlay=true)
//
src = input(low)
len0 = input(100)

calcSlope(src, len0) =>
    if not barstate.islast
        [float(na), float(na), float(na)]
    else
        sumX = 0.0
        sumY = 0.0
        sumXSqr = 0.0
        sumXY = 0.0
        for i = 0 to len0 - 1
            val = src[i]
            per = i + 1.0
            sumX := sumX + per
            sumY := sumY + val
            sumXSqr := sumXSqr + per * per
            sumXY := sumXY + val * per
        slope = (len0 * sumXY - sumX * sumY) / (len0 * sumXSqr - sumX * sumX)
        average = sumY / len0
        intercept = average - slope * sumX / len0 + slope
        [slope, average, intercept]

[s, a, i] = calcSlope(src, len0)

startPrice = i + s * (len0 - 1)
endPrice = i
// var line baseLine = na
// if na(baseLine)
//     baseLine := line.new(bar_index - len0 + 1, startPrice, bar_index, endPrice, width=4, extend=extend.right)
// else
//     line.set_xy1(baseLine, bar_index - len0 + 1, startPrice)
//     line.set_xy2(baseLine, bar_index, endPrice)
//     na 
//

mx = input(100, "Range", minval=1)
mn = max(2, round(mx / 10) + 1)

LN(B, CLR) =>
    s1 = B == 1 ? highest(src, mx) : lowest(src, mx)
    s2 = B == 1 ? highest(src, mn) : lowest(src, mn)
    c1 = s1 == src
    c2 = s2 == src
    b1 = barssince(c1)
    b2 = barssince(c2)
    v1 = valuewhen(c1, s1, 0)
    v2 = valuewhen(c2, s2, 0)
    // line.new(bar_index - b1, v1, bar_index - b2, v2, extend=extend.both, color=CLR, width=2)

// L1 = LN(1, #ff0088), line.delete(L1[1])
// L2 = LN(0, #00ff88), line.delete(L2[1])
//
// Input variables
len=input(30,title="loockback length pivots")
wicks=input(true,title="Draw lines from wicks (checked) or real bodies (unchecked)?")
disp_select=input(true,title="Display only falling 'high' and rising 'low' trendlines?")
do_mono=input(false,title="checked = monochrome lines, unchecked = direction colored lines?")
limit_extension=input(0,title="Limit extensions of the lines? 0 = infinite, other values x 100 bars",minval=0)
do_alerts=input(true,title="show trendline breaks")
trendline_nr=input(5,title="number of past trendlines to check for breaks (max = 10)",minval=0,maxval=10)
select_breaks=input(true,title="only display 'long' breaks on trendlines connecting 'highs' and 'short' for 'lows'")
log_chart=input(false,title="USING A LOG CHART? MAKE SURE TO CHECK THIS BOX!!")


// Calculating the 'time value' of one bar
bar_time=time-time[1]

// Initialising color scheme
var color color_rising=do_mono?color.teal:color.lime
var color color_falling=do_mono?color.teal:color.fuchsia


/////// Function declarations ///////

// Declaration of trendline function
f_trendline(_input_function,_delay,_only_up,_extend) =>
    // Calculate line coordinates (Ax,Ay) - (Bx,By)
    var int Ax = 0
    var int Bx = 0
    var float By = 0.0
    var float slope = 0.0
    Ay = fixnan(_input_function)
    if change(Ay)!=0
        Ax := time[_delay]
        By:= Ay[1]
        Bx := Ax[1]
        slope:=log_chart?((log(Ay)-log(By))/(Ax-Bx)):((Ay-By)/(Ax-Bx))
    else
        Ax := Ax[1]
        Bx := Bx[1]
        By := By[1]
    // Draw trendlines
    var line trendline=na
    var int Axbis=0
    var float Aybis=0.0
    var bool _xtend=true
    extension_time = limit_extension*bar_time*100
    Axbis := Ax + extension_time
    Aybis := log_chart?(Ay*exp(extension_time*slope)):(Ay + extension_time*slope)
    if limit_extension!=0
        _xtend:=false
    if change(Ay)!=0
        line_color = slope*time<0?(_only_up?(disp_select?na:color_rising):color_rising):(_only_up?color_falling:(disp_select?na:color_falling))
        if not na(line_color)
            trendline = line.new(Bx,By,Axbis, Aybis, xloc.bar_time, extend=_xtend?extend.right:extend.none, color=line_color, style=line.style_dotted, width=1)

    [Bx,By,Axbis,Aybis,slope]

// Function to get trendline price for X bars ago ("0" = current value)
line_get_price(_start_time,_start_price,_slope,_lookback_period,_log_chart) =>
    var float current_price=0.0
    elapsed_time = (time-_start_time)
    current_price := _log_chart?(_start_price*exp((elapsed_time-(_lookback_period*bar_time))*_slope)):(_start_price + (elapsed_time-(_lookback_period*bar_time))*_slope)

// Function to check for trendline crosses
line_cross(_check_value,_start_time,_start_price,_slope,_log_chart) =>
    var float current_value=0.0
    var float previous_value=0.0
    // Get current and previous price for the trendline
    current_value := line_get_price(_start_time,_start_price,_slope,0,_log_chart)
    previous_value := line_get_price(_start_time,_start_price,_slope,1,_log_chart)
    // Return 1 for crossover, -1 for crossunder and 0 for no cross detected
    cross =
     _check_value[1]<previous_value and _check_value>current_value?1:
     _check_value[1]>previous_value and _check_value<current_value?-1:0


/////// Start of main script ///////

// Calculate pivot points    
high_point=pivothigh(wicks?high:(close>open?close:open),len,len/2)
low_point=pivotlow(wicks?low:(close>open?open:close),len,len/2)

// Call trendline function for high and low pivot points
[phx1,phy1,phx2,phy2,slope_high]=f_trendline(high_point,len/2,false,true)
[plx1,ply1,plx2,ply2,slope_low]=f_trendline(low_point,len/2,true,true)

// Initialition of pseudo array to keep track of last 10 high and 10 low trendline values
var int high_x0=0, var float high_y0=0.0, var float high_sl0=0.0
var int high_x1=0, var float high_y1=0.0, var float high_sl1=0.0 
var int high_x2=0, var float high_y2=0.0, var float high_sl2=0.0 
var int high_x3=0, var float high_y3=0.0, var float high_sl3=0.0 
var int high_x4=0, var float high_y4=0.0, var float high_sl4=0.0
var int high_x5=0, var float high_y5=0.0, var float high_sl5=0.0
var int high_x6=0, var float high_y6=0.0, var float high_sl6=0.0
var int high_x7=0, var float high_y7=0.0, var float high_sl7=0.0
var int high_x8=0, var float high_y8=0.0, var float high_sl8=0.0
var int high_x9=0, var float high_y9=0.0, var float high_sl9=0.0

var int low_x0=0,  var float low_y0=0.0,  var float low_sl0=0.0
var int low_x1=0,  var float low_y1=0.0,  var float low_sl1=0.0 
var int low_x2=0,  var float low_y2=0.0,  var float low_sl2=0.0 
var int low_x3=0,  var float low_y3=0.0,  var float low_sl3=0.0 
var int low_x4=0,  var float low_y4=0.0,  var float low_sl4=0.0
var int low_x5=0,  var float low_y5=0.0,  var float low_sl5=0.0
var int low_x6=0,  var float low_y6=0.0,  var float low_sl6=0.0
var int low_x7=0,  var float low_y7=0.0,  var float low_sl7=0.0
var int low_x8=0,  var float low_y8=0.0,  var float low_sl8=0.0
var int low_x9=0,  var float low_y9=0.0,  var float low_sl9=0.0

// If a new trendline is formed, shift all values in the array one place up and forget the last values
if change(fixnan(high_point))!=0
    high_x9:=high_x8, high_y9:=high_y8, high_sl9:=high_sl8
    high_x8:=high_x7, high_y8:=high_y7, high_sl8:=high_sl7
    high_x7:=high_x6, high_y7:=high_y6, high_sl7:=high_sl6
    high_x6:=high_x5, high_y6:=high_y5, high_sl6:=high_sl5
    high_x5:=high_x4, high_y5:=high_y4, high_sl5:=high_sl4
    high_x4:=high_x3, high_y4:=high_y3, high_sl4:=high_sl3
    high_x3:=high_x2, high_y3:=high_y2, high_sl3:=high_sl2
    high_x2:=high_x1, high_y2:=high_y1, high_sl2:=high_sl1
    high_x1:=high_x0, high_y1:=high_y0, high_sl1:=high_sl0
    high_x0:=phx1, high_y0:=phy1, high_sl0:=slope_high
if change(fixnan(low_point))!=0
    low_x9:=low_x8, low_y9:=low_y8, low_sl9:=low_sl8
    low_x8:=low_x7, low_y8:=low_y7, low_sl8:=low_sl7
    low_x7:=low_x6, low_y7:=low_y6, low_sl7:=low_sl6
    low_x6:=low_x5, low_y6:=low_y5, low_sl6:=low_sl5
    low_x5:=low_x4, low_y5:=low_y4, low_sl5:=low_sl4
    low_x4:=low_x3, low_y4:=low_y3, low_sl4:=low_sl3
    low_x3:=low_x2, low_y3:=low_y2, low_sl3:=low_sl2
    low_x2:=low_x1, low_y2:=low_y1, low_sl2:=low_sl1
    low_x1:=low_x0, low_y1:=low_y0, low_sl1:=low_sl0
    low_x0:=plx1, low_y0:=ply1, low_sl0:=slope_low
    
// Check Trendline crosses for last X nr. of trendlines
cross_high0=
 disp_select and high_sl0*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x0,high_y0,high_sl0,log_chart)
cross_low0=
 disp_select and low_sl0*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x0,low_y0,low_sl0,log_chart)

cross_high1=
 disp_select and high_sl1*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x1,high_y1,high_sl1,log_chart)
cross_low1=
 disp_select and low_sl1*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x1,low_y1,low_sl1,log_chart)

cross_high2=
 disp_select and high_sl2*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x2,high_y2,high_sl2,log_chart)
cross_low2=
 disp_select and low_sl2*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x2,low_y2,low_sl2,log_chart)

cross_high3=
 disp_select and high_sl3*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x3,high_y3,high_sl3,log_chart)
cross_low3=
 disp_select and low_sl3*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x3,low_y3,low_sl3,log_chart)

cross_high4=
 disp_select and high_sl4*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x4,high_y4,high_sl4,log_chart)
cross_low4=
 disp_select and low_sl4*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x4,low_y4,low_sl4,log_chart)

cross_high5=
 disp_select and high_sl5*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x5,high_y5,high_sl5,log_chart)
cross_low5=
 disp_select and low_sl5*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x5,low_y5,low_sl5,log_chart)

cross_high6=
 disp_select and high_sl6*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x6,high_y6,high_sl6,log_chart)
cross_low6=
 disp_select and low_sl6*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x6,low_y6,low_sl6,log_chart)

cross_high7=
 disp_select and high_sl7*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x7,high_y7,high_sl7,log_chart)
cross_low7=
 disp_select and low_sl7*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x7,low_y7,low_sl7,log_chart)

cross_high8=
 disp_select and high_sl8*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x8,high_y8,high_sl8,log_chart)
cross_low8=
 disp_select and low_sl8*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x8,low_y8,low_sl8,log_chart)

cross_high9=
 disp_select and high_sl9*time>0?0:
  line_cross(close,high_x9,high_y9,high_sl9,log_chart)
cross_low9=
 disp_select and low_sl9*time<0?0:
  line_cross(close,low_x9,low_y9,low_sl9,log_chart)
  
long_break=
 (trendline_nr>9?cross_high9==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low9==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>8?cross_high8==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low8==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>7?cross_high7==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low7==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>6?cross_high6==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low6==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>5?cross_high5==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low5==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>4?cross_high4==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low4==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>3?cross_high3==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low3==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>2?cross_high2==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low2==1):false) or
 (trendline_nr>1?cross_high1==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low1==1):false) or
 cross_high0==1 or (select_breaks?false:cross_low0==1)

short_break=
 (trendline_nr>9?(select_breaks?false:cross_high9==-1) or cross_low9==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>8?(select_breaks?false:cross_high8==-1) or cross_low8==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>7?(select_breaks?false:cross_high7==-1) or cross_low7==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>6?(select_breaks?false:cross_high6==-1) or cross_low6==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>5?(select_breaks?false:cross_high5==-1) or cross_low5==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>4?(select_breaks?false:cross_high4==-1) or cross_low4==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>3?(select_breaks?false:cross_high3==-1) or cross_low3==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>2?(select_breaks?false:cross_high2==-1) or cross_low2==-1:false) or
 (trendline_nr>1?(select_breaks?false:cross_high1==-1) or cross_low1==-1:false) or
 (select_breaks?false:cross_high0==-1) or cross_low0==-1

// Plot and connect pivot points
color_high=slope_high*time<0?color_rising:(disp_select?na:color_falling)
color_low=slope_low*time>0?color_falling:(disp_select?na:color_rising)
plot(high_point,color=color_high,offset=-len/2)
plot(low_point,color=color_low,offset=-len/2)
//
// Function outputs 1 when it's the first bar of the D/W/M/Y
is_newbar(res) =>
    ch = 0
    if(res == 'Y')
        t  = year(time('D'))
        ch := change(t) != 0 ? 1 : 0
    else
        t = time(res)
        ch := change(t) != 0 ? 1 : 0
    ch

////////////
// INPUTS //
////////////

pp_period = input(title = "Period", type=input.string, defval="Day", options = ['Day', 'Week', 'Month', 'Year'])

pp_res = pp_period == 'Day' ? 'D' : pp_period == 'Week' ? 'W' : pp_period == 'Month' ? 'M' : 'Y' 

/////////////////////
// Get HLC from HT //

// Calc High
high_cur = 0.0
high_cur := is_newbar(pp_res) ? high : max(high_cur[1], high)

phigh = 0.0
phigh := is_newbar(pp_res) ? high_cur[1] : phigh[1]

// Calc Low
low_cur = 0.0
low_cur := is_newbar(pp_res) ? low : min(low_cur[1], low)

plow = 0.0
plow := is_newbar(pp_res) ? low_cur[1] : plow[1]

// Calc Close
pclose = 0.0
pclose := is_newbar(pp_res) ? close[1] : pclose[1]


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