Triple supertrend breakout strategy adalah strategi yang biasa digunakan yang menggunakan beberapa garis supertrend dengan tetapan parameter yang berbeza dan EMA yang menentukan trend untuk mengenal pasti arah trend dan perdagangan.
Strategi ini menggunakan tiga garis supertrend dengan parameter yang berbeza dan garis EMA yang menentukan trend utama untuk menentukan kemasukan dan keluar:
Tetapkan tiga garis supertrend - supertrend1, supertrend2, supertrend3, dengan warna hijau yang menunjukkan trend menaik dan warna merah yang menunjukkan trend menurun.
Tetapkan garis EMA ematrend untuk menentukan trend utama. Apabila ketiga-tiga garis supertrend berada di atas EMA ini, pasaran ditakrifkan sebagai berada dalam trend menaik, dan sebaliknya untuk trend menurun.
Apabila sekurang-kurangnya dua garis supertrend menunjukkan trend menaik (hijau) secara serentak di bawah keadaan pasaran trend menaik utama, iaitu, nilai arah kurang daripada 0, ia dinilai sebagai isyarat panjang; apabila sekurang-kurangnya dua garis supertrend menunjukkan trend menurun (merah) secara serentak di bawah keadaan pasaran trend menaik utama, iaitu, nilai arah lebih besar daripada 0, ia dinilai sebagai isyarat pendek.
Kemudian, buka kedudukan panjang/pendek apabila isyarat dicetuskan.
Tetapkan syarat stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan. Pendapatan mengambil keuntungan tetap ditetapkan pada nisbah risiko / ganjaran 3; Stop loss yang berturut-turut ditetapkan pada penurunan satu ATR.
Penutupan kedudukan apabila keadaan stop loss atau mengambil keuntungan diaktifkan.
Kelebihan strategi ini termasuk:
Menggunakan tiga garis supertrend digabungkan dengan EMA yang menilai trend dapat mengenal pasti isyarat trend dengan berkesan.
Syarat panjang dan pendek jelas dan mudah difahami dan dilaksanakan.
Menetapkan penangguhan kerugian dan mengambil keuntungan tetap secara berkesan menguruskan risiko.
Hyperparameter boleh diselaraskan seperti yang diperlukan untuk mengoptimumkan strategi.
Terdapat juga beberapa risiko untuk strategi ini:
Tetapan parameter yang tidak betul boleh menyebabkan peluang perdagangan yang baik hilang. Tempoh yang berbeza, kelipatan untuk ATR, dan tempoh untuk EMA boleh diuji.
Terdapat beberapa kemungkinan kegagalan, ini boleh dikurangkan dengan menyesuaikan parameter.
Stop loss atau mengambil keuntungan yang ditetapkan terlalu luas boleh meningkatkan kebarangkalian kerugian.
Data backtest boleh dengan mudah membawa kepada masalah overfit.
Beberapa cara strategi ini boleh dioptimumkan:
Uji kombinasi parameter yang optimum. Gabungan yang berbeza dari tempoh ATR, kelipatan, dan tempoh EMA boleh diuji untuk mencari yang terbaik.
Meningkatkan jenis dagangan. Boleh menambah saham, cryptocurrency dan lain-lain untuk menguji keberkesanan di seluruh pasaran.
Gabungkan dengan penunjuk lain untuk penapisan isyarat. Sebagai contoh, RSI, MACD dan lain-lain boleh ditambah untuk mengelakkan salah membaca isyarat trend.
Mengoptimumkan mekanisme stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan.
Ringkasnya, strategi terobosan supertrend tiga kali adalah strategi trend yang agak mudah dan praktikal. Ia menggabungkan beberapa garis supertrend dan EMA menilai trend untuk menemui peluang dan menguruskan risiko dengan berkesan. Melalui parameter dan pengoptimuman logik, hasil yang lebih baik dapat dicapai. Strategi ini mudah difahami dan patut dipelajari.
/*backtest start: 2022-12-14 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-20 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // @version=5 // author=theasgard and moonshot-indicator (ms) // year 2021 // // This is a well knowen strategy by using 3 different Supertrends and a trend-defining EMA, // feel free to play around with the settings, a backtest on 8h ETHUSDT pair brought some good results using // the 233EMA and investing 75% of a 10k start capital // // the idea is to have at least 2 supertrnds going green above the trend-EMA to go long and exit by turning // 2 supertrends red (idea: 1 supertrend in red could initialize a take profit) // shorts work vice versa // The EMA shows in green for uptrends and in red for downtrends, if it is blue no Signal will be taken because // the 3 supertrends are not all above or below the trendline(EMA) // // Update 1: // Fixed a minor input error // Added ATR stoploss, and commented out the percentage stop loss // Added time window to backtest // Added exit on risk/revard is met // This version is only buy...wait for next update adding shorts strategy("ms hypertrender", overlay=true) // set up 3 supertrendlines and colour the direction up/down atrPeriod1 = input(10, "ATR Length 1") factor1 = input.float(1.0, "ATR Factor 1", step = 0.01) [supertrend1, direction1] = ta.supertrend(factor1, atrPeriod1) upTrend1 = plot(direction1 < 0 ? supertrend1 : na, "Up Trend 1", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr) downTrend1 = plot(direction1 < 0? na : supertrend1, "Down Trend 1", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr) atrPeriod2 = input(11, "ATR Length 2") factor2 = input.float(2.0, "ATR Factor 2", step = 0.01) [supertrend2, direction2] = ta.supertrend(factor2, atrPeriod2) upTrend2 = plot(direction2 < 0 ? supertrend2 : na, "Up Trend 2", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr) downTrend2 = plot(direction2 < 0? na : supertrend2, "Down Trend 2", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr) atrPeriod3 = input(12, "ATR Length 3") factor3 = input.float(3.0, "ATR Factor 3", step = 0.01) [supertrend3, direction3] = ta.supertrend(factor3, atrPeriod3) upTrend3 = plot(direction3 < 0 ? supertrend3 : na, "Up Trend 3", color = color.green, style=plot.style_linebr) downTrend3 = plot(direction3 < 0? na : supertrend3, "Down Trend 3", color = color.red, style=plot.style_linebr) //set up the trend dividing EMA and color uptrend nutreal downtrend len = input.int(233, minval=1, title="Trend-EMA Length") src = input(close, title="Source") offset = input.int(title="Offset", defval=0, minval=-500, maxval=500) //general Bull or Bear Trend? Visualized by ema ematrend = ta.ema(src, len) generaluptrend = supertrend1 > ematrend and supertrend2 > ematrend and supertrend3 > ematrend generaldowntrend = supertrend1 < ematrend and supertrend2 < ematrend and supertrend3 < ematrend emacolor = if generaluptrend color.green else if generaldowntrend color.red else color.blue plot(ematrend, title="EMA", color=emacolor, linewidth=3, offset=offset) // Bullish? min 2 supertrends green bullish = (direction1 < 0 and direction2 < 0) or (direction1 < 0 and direction3 < 0) or (direction2 < 0 and direction3 < 0) and generaluptrend extremebullish = direction1 < 0 and direction2 < 0 and direction3 < 0 and generaluptrend //all 3 green // Bearish? min 2 supertrends red bearish = (direction1 > 0 and direction2 > 0) or (direction1 > 0 and direction3 > 0) or (direction2 > 0 and direction3 > 0) and generaldowntrend extremebearish = direction1 > 0 and direction2 > 0 and direction3 > 0 and generaldowntrend //all 3 red // Open Long //plotchar(((bullish and not bullish[1]) or (extremebullish and not extremebullish[1])) and (emacolor==color.green)? close : na, title = 'Start Long', char='▲', color = #80eb34, location = location.belowbar, size = size.small) // TP 10% Long TP10long = ((generaluptrend and bullish[1]) or (generaluptrend and extremebullish[1])) and (direction1 > 0 or direction2 > 0 or direction3 > 0) //plotchar(TP10long and not TP10long[1]? close : na, title = 'TP on Long', char='┼', color = #ffd000, location = location.abovebar, size = size.tiny) // Exit Long //plotchar(extremebearish and not extremebearish[1] or bearish and not bearish[1]? close : na, title = 'Close all Longs', char='Ꭓ', color = #ff0037, location = location.abovebar, size = size.tiny) stopsupertrendup = if supertrend1 < supertrend2 and supertrend1 < supertrend3 (supertrend1) else if supertrend2 < supertrend1 and supertrend2 < supertrend3 (supertrend2) else if supertrend3 < supertrend1 and supertrend3 < supertrend2 (supertrend3) lowestLows = ta.lowest(low, 1) // Open Short //plotchar(((bearish and not bearish[1]) or (extremebearish and not extremebearish[1])) and (emacolor==color.red)? close : na, title = 'Start Short', char='▼', color = #0547e3, location = location.abovebar, size = size.small) // TP 10% Short TP10short = ((generaldowntrend and bearish[1]) or (generaldowntrend and extremebearish[1])) and (direction1 < 0 or direction2 < 0 or direction3 < 0) //plotchar(TP10short and not TP10short[1]? close : na, title = 'TP on Short', char='┼', color = #ffd000, location = location.belowbar, size = size.tiny) // Exit Short //plotchar(extremebullish and not extremebullish[1] or bullish and not bullish[1]? close : na, title = 'Close all Shorts', char='Ꭓ', color = #ff0037, location = location.belowbar, size = size.tiny) stopsupertrenddown = if supertrend1 > supertrend2 and supertrend1 > supertrend3 (supertrend1) else if supertrend2 > supertrend1 and supertrend2 > supertrend3 (supertrend2) else if supertrend3 > supertrend1 and supertrend3 > supertrend2 (supertrend3) highestHighs = ta.highest(high,1) // Set stop loss level with input options (optional) //longLossPerc = input.float(title="Long Stop Loss (%)", // minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=1) * 0.01 //shortLossPerc = input.float(title="Short Stop Loss (%)", // minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=1) * 0.01 // Determine stop loss price //longStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - longLossPerc) //shortStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + shortLossPerc) openlong = (extremebullish and not extremebullish[1]) and (emacolor==color.green)//(((bullish and not bullish[1]) or openshort = (extremebearish and not extremebearish[1]) and (emacolor==color.red)//(((bearish and not bearish[1]) or exitlong = lowestLows<(stopsupertrendup - ((stopsupertrendup / 100) * 0.1)) //(extremebearish and not extremebearish[1] or bearish and not bearish[1]) or TP10long or exitshort = highestHighs>(stopsupertrenddown - ((stopsupertrenddown / 100) * 0.1)) //(extremebullish and not extremebullish[1] or bullish and not bullish[1]) or TP10short //strategy.entry("buy", strategy.long, when=openlong) //strategy.entry("sell", strategy.short, when=openshort) //strategy.close("buy", when=exitlong) //strategy.close("sell", when=exitshort) // Submit exit orders based on calculated stop loss price //if (strategy.position_size > 0) // strategy.exit(id="Long Stop", stop=longStopPrice) //if (strategy.position_size < 0) // strategy.exit(id="Short Stop", stop=shortStopPrice) backtest_timeframe_start = input(defval = timestamp("01 Apr 2016 13:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest Start Time") USE_ENDTIME = input(false,title="Define the ending period for backtests (If false, will test up to most recent candle)") backtest_timeframe_end = input(defval = timestamp("19 Mar 2021 19:30 +0000"), title = "Backtest End Time") TARGET_PROFIT_MODE = input(false,title="Exit when Risk:Reward met") REWARD_RATIO = input(3,title="Risk:[Reward] (i.e. 3) for exit") // Trailing stop loss { TSL_ON = input(true,title="Use trailing stop loss") var entry_price = float(0) ATR_multi_len = 26 ATR_multi = input(2, "ATR multiplier for stop loss") ATR_buffer = ta.atr(ATR_multi_len) * ATR_multi plotchar(ATR_buffer, "ATR Buffer", "A", location = location.top) risk_reward_buffer = (ta.atr(ATR_multi_len) * ATR_multi) * REWARD_RATIO take_profit_long = low > entry_price + risk_reward_buffer take_profit_short = low < entry_price - risk_reward_buffer var trailing_SL_buffer = float(0) var stop_loss_price = float(0) stop_loss_price := math.max(stop_loss_price, close - trailing_SL_buffer) // plot TSL line trail_profit_line_color = color.green if strategy.position_size == 0 or not TSL_ON trail_profit_line_color := color.black stop_loss_price := close - trailing_SL_buffer plot(stop_loss_price,color=trail_profit_line_color) // } if true buy_condition = openlong exit_condition = exitlong //ENTRY: if buy_condition if strategy.position_size == 0 entry_price := close trailing_SL_buffer := ATR_buffer stop_loss_price := close - ATR_buffer msg = "entry" if strategy.position_size > 0 msg := "pyramiding" strategy.entry("Long",strategy.long, comment=msg) //EXIT: // Case (A) hits trailing stop if TSL_ON and strategy.position_size > 0 and close <= stop_loss_price if close > entry_price strategy.close("Long", comment="take profit [trailing]") else if close <= entry_price strategy.close("Long", comment="stop loss") // Case (B) take targeted profit relative to risk if strategy.position_size > 0 and TARGET_PROFIT_MODE if take_profit_long strategy.close("Long", comment="take profits [risk:reward]") // Case (C) if strategy.position_size > 0 and exit_condition if take_profit_long strategy.close("Long", comment="exit[rsi]")