Diese Strategie verwendet den Relative Strength Index (RSI) oder den Money Flow Index (MFI), um zu beurteilen, ob der Markt Bullen oder Bären ist, kombiniert mit dem Bullen-Bären-Koeffizienten aus der Dow Theory, um die angepasste Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilung zu berechnen.
Das Gesamt-Backtest-Ergebnis dieser Strategie ist gut und hat einen gewissen praktischen Wert. Aber weitere Tests und Anpassungen sind noch erforderlich, insbesondere für die Stop-Loss-Logik.
/*backtest start: 2022-12-05 00:00:00 end: 2023-03-11 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //@version=4 //MIT License //Copyright (c) 2019 user-Noldo //Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy //of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal //in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights //to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell //copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is //furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: //The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all //copies or substantial portions of the Software. //THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR //IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, //FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE //AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER //LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, //OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE //SOFTWARE. strategy("Dow Factor RSI/MFI and Dependent Variable Odd Generator Strategy",shorttitle = "Dow_Factor RSI/MFI & DVOG Strategy", overlay = false, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity,commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.125, default_qty_value=100 ) src = close lights = input(title="Barcolor I / 0 ? ", options=["ON", "OFF"], defval="OFF") method = input(title="METHOD", options=["MFI", "RSI"], defval="RSI") length = input(5, minval=2,maxval = 14, title = "Strategy Period") // Essential Functions // Function Sum f_sum(_src , _length) => _output = 0.00 _length_adjusted = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length for i = 0 to _length_adjusted-1 _output := _output + _src[i] f_sma(_src, _length)=> _length_adjusted = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length float _sum = 0 for _i = 0 to (_length_adjusted - 1) _sum := _sum + _src[_i] _return = _sum / _length_adjusted // Unlocked Exponential Moving Average Function f_ema(_src, _length)=> _length_adjusted = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length _multiplier = 2 / (_length_adjusted + 1) _return = 0.00 _return := na(_return[1]) ? _src : ((_src - _return[1]) * _multiplier) + _return[1] // Function Standard Deviation f_stdev(_src,_length) => float _output = na _length_adjusted = _length < 2 ? 2 : _length _avg = f_ema(_src , _length_adjusted) evar = (_src - _avg) * (_src - _avg) evar2 = ((f_sum(evar,_length_adjusted))/_length_adjusted) _output := sqrt(evar2) // Linear Regression Channels : f_pearson_corr(_src1, _src2, _length) => _length_adjusted = _length < 2 ? 2 : _length _ema1 = f_ema(_src1, _length_adjusted) _ema2 = f_ema(_src2, _length_adjusted) isum = 0.0 for i = 0 to _length_adjusted - 1 isum := isum + (_src1[i] - _ema1) * (_src2[i] - _ema2) isumsq1 = 0.0 for i = 0 to _length_adjusted - 1 isumsq1 := isumsq1 + pow(_src1[i] - _ema1, 2) isumsq2 = 0.0 for i = 0 to _length_adjusted - 1 isumsq2 := isumsq2 + pow(_src2[i] - _ema2, 2) pcc = isum/(sqrt(isumsq1*isumsq2)) pcc // Dow Theory Cycles dow_coeff = f_pearson_corr(src,volume,length) dow_bull_factor = (1 + dow_coeff) dow_bear_factor = (1 - dow_coeff) // MONEY FLOW INDEX =====> FOR BULL OR BEAR MARKET (CLOSE) upper_s = f_sum(volume * (change(src) <= 0 ? 0 : src), length) lower_s = f_sum(volume * (change(src) >= 0 ? 0 : src), length) _market_index = rsi(upper_s, lower_s) // RSI (Close) // Function RMA f_rma(_src, _length) => _length_adjusted = _length < 1 ? 1 : _length alpha = _length_adjusted sum = 0.0 sum := (_src + (alpha - 1) * nz(sum[1])) / alpha // Function Relative Strength Index (RSI) f_rsi(_src, _length) => _output = 0.00 _length_adjusted = _length < 0 ? 0 : _length u = _length_adjusted < 1 ? max(_src - _src[_length_adjusted], 0) : max(_src - _src[1] , 0) // upward change d = _length_adjusted < 1 ? max(_src[_length_adjusted] - _src, 0) : max(_src[1] - _src , 0) // downward change rs = f_rma(u, _length) / f_rma(d, _length) res = 100 - 100 / (1 + rs) res _rsi = f_rsi(src, length) // Switchable Method Codes _method = 0.00 if (method=="MFI") _method:= _market_index if (method=="RSI") _method:= _rsi // Conditions _bull_gross = (_method ) _bear_gross = (100 - _method ) _price_stagnant = ((_bull_gross * _bear_gross ) / 100) _price_bull = (_bull_gross - _price_stagnant) _price_bear = (_bear_gross - _price_stagnant) _coeff_price = (_price_stagnant + _price_bull + _price_bear) / 100 _bull = _price_bull / _coeff_price _bear = _price_bear / _coeff_price _stagnant = _price_stagnant / _coeff_price // Market Types with Dow Factor _temp_bull_gross = _bull * dow_bull_factor _temp_bear_gross = _bear * dow_bear_factor // Addition : Odds with Stagnant Market _coeff_normal = (_temp_bull_gross + _temp_bear_gross) / 100 // ********* OUR RSI / MFI VALUE *********** _value = _temp_bull_gross / _coeff_normal // Temporary Pure Odds _temp_stagnant = ((_temp_bull_gross * _temp_bear_gross) / 100) _temp_bull = _temp_bull_gross - _temp_stagnant _temp_bear = _temp_bear_gross - _temp_stagnant // Now we ll do venn scheme (Probability Cluster) // Pure Bull + Pure Bear + Pure Stagnant = 100 // Markets will get their share in the Probability Cluster _coeff = (_temp_stagnant + _temp_bull + _temp_bear) / 100 _odd_bull = _temp_bull / _coeff _odd_bear = _temp_bear / _coeff _odd_stagnant = _temp_stagnant / _coeff _positive_condition = crossover (_value,50) _negative_condition = crossunder(_value,50) _stationary_condition = ((_odd_stagnant > _odd_bull ) and (_odd_stagnant > _odd_bear)) // Strategy closePosition = _stationary_condition if (_positive_condition) strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, comment="Long") strategy.close(id = "Long", when = closePosition ) if (_negative_condition) strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, comment="Short") strategy.close(id = "Short", when = closePosition ) // Plot Data // Plotage oversold = input(25 , type = input.integer , title = "Oversold") overbought = input(75 , type = input.integer , title = "Overbought") zero = 0 hundred = 100 limit = 50 // Plot Data stagline = hline(limit , color=color.new(color.white,0) , linewidth=1, editable=false) zeroline = hline(zero , color=color.new(color.silver,100), linewidth=0, editable=false) hundredline = hline(hundred , color=color.new(color.silver,100), linewidth=0, editable=false) oversoldline = hline(oversold , color=color.new(color.silver,100), linewidth=0, editable=false) overboughtline = hline(overbought , color=color.new(color.silver,100), linewidth=0, editable=false) // Filling Borders fill(zeroline , oversoldline , color=color.maroon , transp=88 , title = "Oversold Area") fill(oversoldline , stagline , color=color.red , transp=80 , title = "Bear Market") fill(stagline , overboughtline , color=color.green , transp=80 , title = "Bull Market") fill(overboughtline , hundredline , color=color.teal , transp=88 , title = "Overbought Market") // Plot DOW Factor Methods plot(_value, color = #F4C430 , linewidth = 2 , title = "DOW F-RSI" , transp = 0) // Plot border lines plot(oversold ,style = plot.style_line,color = color.new(color.maroon,30),linewidth = 1) plot(overbought,style = plot.style_line,color = color.new(color.teal,30) ,linewidth = 1) plot(zero ,style = plot.style_line , color = color.new(color.silver,30) , linewidth = 1 ,editable = false) plot(hundred ,style = plot.style_line , color = color.new(color.silver,30) , linewidth = 1 ,editable = false) // Switchable Barcolor ( On / Off) _lights = 0.00 if (lights=="ON") _lights:= 1.00 if (lights=="OFF") _lights:= -1.00 bcolor_on = _lights == 1.00 bcolor_off = _lights == -1.00 barcolor((_positive_condition and bcolor_on) ? color.green : (_negative_condition and bcolor_on) ? color.red : (_stationary_condition and bcolor_on) ? color.yellow : na) // Alerts alertcondition(_positive_condition , title='Strong Buy !', message='Strong Buy Signal ') alertcondition(crossover(_value,overbought) , title='Gradual Buy', message='Gradual Buy Signal') alertcondition(crossover(_value,oversold) , title='Gradual Buy', message='Gradual Buy Signal') alertcondition(crossunder(_value,overbought) , title='Gradual Sell', message='Gradual Sell Signal') alertcondition(crossunder(_value,oversold) , title='Gradual Sell', message='Gradual Sell Signal') alertcondition(_negative_condition , title='Strong Sell !', message='Strong Sell Signal ')