Estrategia de negociación cuantitativa de indicadores múltiples

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El autor:¿ Qué pasa?, Fecha: 2024-01-26 16:19:47
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Resumen general

Esta estrategia utiliza múltiples indicadores técnicos para la negociación cuantitativa. Utiliza principalmente indicadores que incluyen cruces EMA, SuperTrend, RSI, MACD, etc. para generar señales comerciales.

Estrategia lógica

La lógica central se basa en los siguientes aspectos:

VWMA: Computa VWMA. Cuando el cruce de precio cerrado por encima de VWMA, es una señal de compra. Cuando el cruce de precio cerrado por debajo de VWMA, es una señal de venta.
RSI: Computa el indicador RSI. Cuando el RSI está por encima del nivel de sobrecompra, es señal de venta. Cuando el RSI está por debajo del nivel de sobreventa, es señal de compra.
Cuando la línea MACD se cruza por encima de la línea de señal, se genera compra. Cuando la línea MACD se cruza por debajo de la línea de señal, se genera venta.

Ventajas

Esta estrategia combina múltiples indicadores para filtrar el mercado y evitar señales falsas.

La combinación de varios indicadores evita los errores de un solo indicador.
La combinación de indicador de tendencia y oscilador captura ganancias adicionales durante las tendencias.
El uso de la lógica de stop loss limita la pérdida máxima por operación.

Los riesgos

Principales riesgos:

La lógica de Martingale puede llevar a pérdidas significativas.
El uso inadecuado del stop loss puede llevar a un stop out innecesario.
La sintonización incorrecta de los parámetros puede llevar a más señales falsas.

Optimización

La estrategia se puede optimizar aún más en los siguientes aspectos:

Prueba diferentes parámetros para cada indicador.
Agregue la lógica de stop loss adaptativa.
Añadir un mecanismo dinámico de dimensionamiento de la posición.
Aprovechar el aprendizaje automático para optimizar parámetros y modelos.

Resumen de las actividades

En resumen, esta es una estrategia comercial cuantitativa muy práctica. Combina la fortaleza de múltiples indicadores técnicos clásicos para el análisis de mercado.

/*backtest
start: 2023-12-01 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/


//@version=5
strategy(title='Pinku Buy', overlay=true)

fromMonth = input.int(defval=1, title='From Month', minval=1, maxval=12)
fromDay = input.int(defval=1, title='From Day', minval=1, maxval=31)
fromYear = input.int(defval=2021, title='From Year', minval=1970)
thruMonth = input.int(defval=1, title='Thru Month', minval=1, maxval=12)
thruDay = input.int(defval=1, title='Thru Day', minval=1, maxval=31)
thruYear = input.int(defval=2112, title='Thru Year', minval=1970)

showDate = input(defval=true, title='Show Date Range')

start = timestamp(fromYear, fromMonth, fromDay, 00, 00)
finish = timestamp(thruYear, thruMonth, thruDay, 23, 59)
window() => true
// ema crossover
length1 = input.int(10)
length2 = input.int(20)
ema1 = ta.ema(close , length1)
ema2 = ta.ema(close , length2)
//vwap 
VWAP = ta.vwap(hlc3)
plot(VWAP, color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=3)
buy_1 = close > VWAP
sell_1 = close < VWAP
//vwma 
len = input.int(20, 'VWMA_len', minval=1)
ma = ta.vwma(close, len)
plot(ma, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), linewidth=2)
buy_2 = close > ma
sell_2 = close < ma
//super trend 
//inputs 
Periods = input(title='STR Period', defval=22)
Source = input(hl2, title='Source')
Multiplier = input.float(title='STR Multiplier', step=0.1, defval=5.0)



//Compute ATR Levels 
atr = ta.atr(Periods)


//Creating Upper Channel 

up = Source - Multiplier * atr
up1 = nz(up[1], up)
up := close[1] > up1 ? math.max(up, up1) : up

//Creating Down Channel 
dn = Source + Multiplier * atr
dn1 = nz(dn[1], dn)
dn := close[1] < dn1 ? math.min(dn, dn1) : dn


//Compute the Trend Stream +1/-1 
trend = 1
trend := nz(trend[1], trend)
trend := trend == -1 and close > dn1 ? 1 : trend == 1 and close < up1 ? -1 : trend

//Create Stoploss for Longs 
upPlot = plot(trend == 1 ? up : na, title='Up Trend', style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.new(color.green, 0))
//buy_a = close > upPlot 
//Buy Signal 
buy_3 = trend == 1 and trend[1] == -1

plotshape(buy_3 ? up : na, title='Go Long', location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=color.new(color.green, 0))

dnPlot = plot(trend == 1 ? na : dn, title='Down Trend', style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.new(color.red, 0))
//sell_a = close < dnPlot 
//Sell Signal 
sell_3 = trend == -1 and trend[1] == 1

plotshape(sell_3 ? dn : na, title='Go Short', location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=color.new(color.red, 0))
// //paraboloic sar 
// start = input(0.02)
// increment = input(0.02)
// maximum = input(0.2, 'Max Value')
// out = ta.sar(start, increment, maximum)


buy_4 = ema1 > ema2
//buy_4 = buy1 and not buy1[1] 
//plotshape(buy_4 , color = color.green , text = "Buy" , location = location.belowbar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labelup , size = size.small) 
sell_4 = close < ema2
//sell_4 = sell1 and not sell1[1] 
//plotshape(sell_4, color = color.red , text = "Sell" , location = location.abovebar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labeldown , size = size.small) 
plot(ema1, 'ema1', color=color.new(color.green, 0), linewidth=2)
plot(ema2, 'ema2', color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=2)

// rsi
lenr = input(14, title='Rsi Period')
rs = ta.rsi(close, lenr)

over_sold = input(44)
over_bought = input(56)

buy_5 = rs > over_bought 
sell_5 = rs < over_sold 
// macd
slow_len_macd = input.int(12)
fast_len_macd = input.int(26)
signal_len_macd = input.int(9)

ema3 = ta.ema(close , slow_len_macd)
ema4 = ta.ema(close , fast_len_macd)
ema5 = ta.ema(close , signal_len_macd)

buy_6 = ema5 > ema4
sell_6 = ema5 < ema4

// adx
adxlen = input(14, title="ADX Smoothing")
dilen = input(14, title="DI Length")
dirmov(len) =>
	up = ta.change(high)
	down = -ta.change(low)
	plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
	minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
	truerange = ta.rma(ta.tr, len)
	plus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(plusDM, len) / truerange)
	minus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(minusDM, len) / truerange)
	[plus, minus]
adx(dilen, adxlen) =>
	[plus, minus] = dirmov(dilen)
	sum = plus + minus
	adx = 100 * ta.rma(math.abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adxlen)
sig = adx(dilen, adxlen)
//plot(sig, color=color.red, title="ADX")
adx_Greater_than = input.int(25)

signal = sig > adx_Greater_than 
// volume ema 
volume_ema = input.int(10)

vema = ta.ema(volume,volume_ema)

signal_2 = volume > vema



//define buy sell 
g = buy_1 and buy_2 and buy_4 and trend == 1 and buy_5 and buy_6 and signal and signal_2 and window()
r = sell_1 and sell_2 and sell_4 and trend == -1 and sell_5 and sell_6 and signal and signal_2 and window()

rg = 0
rg := r ? 1 : g ? 2 : nz(rg[1])

buy11 = 0
buy11 := r ? 0 : g ? 1 : nz(buy11[1])
sell11 = 0
sell11 := r ? 1 : g ? 0 : nz(sell11[1])

buy = buy11 and not buy11[1]
sell = sell11 and not sell11[1]
multiple_signals = input(true)

if multiple_signals
    buy := g and not g[1] and  window()
    sell := r and not r[1] and  window()
    sell
else
    buy := buy and window()
    sell := sell and window()
    sell



//plotshape(long  , color = color.green , text = "Buy" , location = location.belowbar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labelup , size = size.small) 
//plotshape(short   , color = color.red , text = "Sell" , location = location.abovebar , textcolor = color.white , style = shape.labeldown , size = size.small) 
Stop = input(0.5, title='StopLoss') / 100

ProfitPerc = input(defval=1.5, title='Profit') / 100

rev = input(1024,title = "Reverse Limit")

Averaging_position_ = input(true , title = "Averaging position ? ")

qn = 1
qn := nz(qn[1])


long_short = 0
long_last = buy and (nz(long_short[1]) == 0 or nz(long_short[1]) == -1)
short_last = sell and (nz(long_short[1]) == 0 or nz(long_short[1]) == 1)
long_short := long_last ? 1 : short_last ? -1 : long_short[1]

long_entered = false
long_entered := long_entered[1]

short_entered = false
short_entered := short_entered[1]


longPrice = ta.valuewhen(long_last, close, 0)
shortPrice = ta.valuewhen(short_last, close, 0)


longStop = longPrice * (1 - Stop)
shortStop = shortPrice * (1 + Stop)
longTake = longPrice * (1 + ProfitPerc)
shortTake = shortPrice * (1 - ProfitPerc)
plot(long_short == 1 ? longStop : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=1, title='Long Fixed SL')
plot(long_short == -1 ? shortStop : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.red, 0), linewidth=1, title='Short Fixed SL')
plot(long_short == 1 ? longTake : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), linewidth=1, title='Long Fixed TP')


plot(long_short == -1 ? shortTake : na, style=plot.style_linebr, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), linewidth=1, title='Short Fixed TP')


longBar1 = ta.barssince(long_last)
longBar2 = longBar1 >= 1 ? true : false
shortBar1 = ta.barssince(short_last)
shortBar2 = shortBar1 >= 1 ? true : false

longSLhit = long_short == 1 and longBar2 and low < longStop

if long_entered and sell
    longSLhit := true
    longSLhit

plotshape(longSLhit and not(sell and not short_entered and long_entered), style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.gray, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Stop Loss', text='Long SL', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))
shortSLhit = long_short == -1 and shortBar2 and high > shortStop


if short_entered and buy
    shortSLhit := true
    shortSLhit

plotshape(shortSLhit and not(buy and not long_entered and short_entered), style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.gray, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Stop Loss', text='Short SL', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))


longTPhit = long_short == 1 and longBar2 and high > longTake
plotshape(longTPhit, style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Target', text='Long TP', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))
shortTPhit = long_short == -1 and shortBar2 and low < shortTake
plotshape(shortTPhit, style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.navy, 0), size=size.tiny, title='Target', text='Short TP', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0))

long_short := (long_short == 1 or long_short == 0) and longBar2 and (longSLhit or longTPhit) ? 0 : (long_short == -1 or long_short == 0) and shortBar2 and (shortSLhit or shortTPhit) ? 0 : long_short

if(shortSLhit or longSLhit or (long_entered[1] and sell) or (short_entered[1] and buy ))
    qn := qn*2
 
if(longTPhit or shortTPhit or qn > rev)
    qn := 1
    
if Averaging_position_
    qn := 1
 
plotshape(buy and not long_entered, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=shape.labelup, text='Buy', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.belowbar)
plotshape(sell and not short_entered, color=color.new(color.red, 0), style=shape.labeldown, text='Sell', textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.abovebar)


// plotshape(buy and not(long_entered) and (short_entered), color = color.green , style = shape.labelup , text = "FA Buy" , textcolor = color.white , location = location.belowbar) 
// plotshape(sell and not(short_entered)  and (long_entered), color = color.red , style = shape.labeldown , text = "FA Sell" , textcolor = color.white , location = location.abovebar) 


// alertcondition(condition=buy and  not(long_entered)  and (short_entered), title="Fully Algo Buy") 
// alertcondition(condition=sell and  not(short_entered)  and (long_entered), title="Fully Algo sell") 

alertcondition(condition=buy and not long_entered, title='Buy')
alertcondition(condition=sell and not short_entered, title='Sell')

if long_last
    long_entered := true
    short_entered := false
    short_entered
if short_last
    short_entered := true
    long_entered := false
    long_entered

alertcondition(condition=longSLhit and not(sell and not short_entered and long_entered), title='Long SL')
alertcondition(condition=shortSLhit and not(buy and not long_entered and short_entered), title='Short SL')

alertcondition(condition=longTPhit, title='Long TP')
alertcondition(condition=shortTPhit, title='Short TP')

if longSLhit or longTPhit
    long_entered := false
    long_entered

if shortSLhit or shortTPhit
    short_entered := false
    short_entered

// if buy
//     strategy.entry('buy', strategy.long)
//     strategy.exit('exit', 'buy', limit=longTake, stop=longStop)


// if sell
//     strategy.entry('sell', strategy.short)
//     strategy.exit('exit', 'sell', limit=shortTake, stop=shortStop)
if(buy)
    strategy.entry("buy",strategy.long,qty = qn)
    strategy.exit("Stop","buy",limit = longTake,stop = longStop)
 
if(sell)
    strategy.entry("sell",strategy.short,qty = qn)
    strategy.exit("Stop","sell",limit = shortTake,stop = shortStop)
 
strategy.close("buy",when =  longTPhit or sell or longSLhit, comment = "Target")
strategy.close("sell",when =  shortSLhit or shortTPhit or buy , comment = "Stop Loss")
 
strategy.cancel("buy",when =  longTPhit or sell or longSLhit)
strategy.cancel("sell",when =  shortSLhit or shortTPhit or buy )

Más.