Artikel ini menjelaskan secara rinci strategi perdagangan kuantitatif yang menggabungkan indikator Stoch dan rata-rata bergerak EMA.
I. Logika Strategi
Alat dan logika utama adalah:
Menghitung indikator Stoch dengan nilai K dan D, di mana K mencerminkan perubahan harga yang cepat dan D adalah sinyal yang halus.
Tentukan zona overbought/oversold untuk saham.
Menghitung EMA selama periode untuk mengukur tren harga arus utama.
Hanya mengambil perdagangan ketika sinyal saham setuju dengan arah EMA.
Menetapkan posisi panjang/pendek pada sinyal dengan stop loss dan mengambil keuntungan.
Bersama-sama, Stoch menangkap peluang overbought/oversold dan EMA menyaring sinyal yang tidak valid, membentuk strategi yang kuat.
II. Keuntungan dari Strategi
Keuntungan terbesarnya adalah komplementaritas indikator. Stoch menilai tingkat O/S dan EMA tren utama, menggabungkan untuk mengurangi kesalahan.
Juga, nilai K/D yang dapat disesuaikan memungkinkan optimasi di berbagai produk.
Akhirnya, stop loss/take profit dengan jelas mendefinisikan risiko/pemberian untuk pengelolaan uang yang bijaksana.
III. Kemunduran Potensial
Namun, beberapa masalah potensial adalah:
Pertama, baik Stoch dan EMA dapat tertinggal, menyebabkan entri optimal terlewatkan.
Kedua, penghentian yang ketat dapat memicu banyak pembatalan dini.
Akhirnya, optimasi parameter yang luas diperlukan untuk menghindari overfit.
IV. Ringkasan
Singkatnya, artikel ini telah menjelaskan strategi kuantitatif yang menggabungkan Stoch dan EMA. Ini mengidentifikasi peluang pembalikan overbought / oversold, dengan EMA menyaring sinyal yang tidak valid. Dengan penyesuaian yang tepat, strategi ini dapat mencapai keuntungan yang stabil tetapi perlu mengelola risiko yang disebutkan.
/*backtest
start: 2023-08-15 00:00:00
end: 2023-08-26 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
//@version=5
strategy(title="EMA Stoch Strategy For ProfitView", overlay=true, calc_on_every_tick=true, process_orders_on_close=true, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.1, initial_capital=1000)
// take profit e stop loss
TakeProfitPercent = input.float(defval = 0.0, title="Take Profit (%) [0 = Disabled]",minval = 0, step=.25,group='TP / SL')
StopLossPercent = input.float(defval = 0.0, title="Stop Loss (%) [0 = Disabled]",minval = 0, step=.25,group='TP / SL')
// Stoch
smoothK = input.int(1, title="K Smoothing", minval=1,group='Stochastic')
periodD = input.int(3, title="D Smoothing", minval=1,group='Stochastic')
lenghtRSI= input.int(14, "RSI Length", minval=1)
lenghtStoch = input.int(14, "Stochastic Length", minval=1)
src = input(close, title="RSI Source")
rsi1 = ta.rsi(src, lenghtRSI)
k = ta.sma(ta.stoch(rsi1, rsi1, rsi1, lenghtStoch), smoothK)
d = ta.sma(k, periodD)
plot(k, title="K", color=#2962FF)
plot(d, title="D", color=#FF6D00)
// bgcolor(color=color.from_gradient(k, 0, 100, color.new(#2962FF, 100), color.new(#2962FF, 95)), title="K BG")
// bgcolor(color=color.from_gradient(d, 0, 100, color.new(#FF6D00, 100), color.new(#FF6D00, 95)), title="D BG")
// ema
src1= input(close,title='Source EMA ',group='EMA')
len1= input(200,title='Length EMA ',group='EMA')
ema1= ta.ema(src1,len1)
plot(ema1,title='EMA',color= color.blue ,linewidth=2)
// signals
LongVal= input(20,title='Stoch below/cross this value for Long signals',group='Signal Options')
scegliLong= input.string('Stoch Below Value', options= ['Stoch Below Value' , 'K&D Cross Below Value' , 'Stoch CrossUp the Value'] , title='Long Signal Type')
long1= scegliLong == 'Stoch Below Value' ? k < LongVal and d < LongVal and close > ema1 : na
long2= scegliLong == 'K&D Cross Below Value' ? ta.cross(k,d) and k < LongVal and d < LongVal and close > ema1 : na
long3= scegliLong == 'Stoch CrossUp the Value' ? ta.crossover(k,LongVal) and close > ema1 : na
shortVal= input(80,title='Stoch above/cross this value for Short signals',group='Signal Options')
scegliShort= input.string('Stoch Above Value', options= ['Stoch Above Value' , 'K&D Cross Above Value' , 'Stoch CrossDown the Value'] , title='Short Signal Type' )
short1= scegliShort == 'Stoch Above Value' ? k > shortVal and d > shortVal and close < ema1 : na
short2= scegliShort == 'K&D Cross Above Value' ? ta.cross(k,d) and k > shortVal and d > shortVal and close < ema1 : na
short3= scegliShort == 'Stoch CrossDown the Value' ? ta.crossunder(k,shortVal) and close < ema1 : na
// Strategy Backtest Limiting Algorithm/
i_startTime = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2014 00:00 +0000"), title = "Backtesting Start Time", inline="timestart", group='Backtesting')
i_endTime = input(defval = timestamp("01 Jan 2100 23:59 +0000"), title = "Backtesting End Time", inline="timeend", group='Backtesting')
timeCond = true
pv_ex = input.string("deribit-testnet", title="Exchange", group='PV Settings')
pv_sym = input.string("btc-perpetual", title="Symbol", group='PV Settings')
pv_acc = input.string("", title="Account", group='PV Settings')
pv_alert_long = input.string("", title="PV Alert Name Longs", group='PV Settings')
pv_alert_short = input.string("", title="PV Alert Name Shorts", group='PV Settings')
pv_alert_cancel = input.string("", title="PV Alert Name TP/SL", group='PV Settings')
profit_abs = (close * (TakeProfitPercent / 100))
stop_abs = (close * (StopLossPercent / 100))
ProfitTarget = TakeProfitPercent > 0 ? profit_abs / syminfo.mintick : na
LossTarget = StopLossPercent > 0 ? stop_abs / syminfo.mintick : na
// Make sure we are within the bar range, Set up entries and exit conditions
var entryprice = 0.0
var profitprice = 0.0
var stopprice = 0.0
exsym = pv_ex == "" ? "" : "ex=" + pv_ex + ","
exsym := pv_sym == "" ? exsym : exsym + "sym=" + pv_sym
if ((long1 or long2 or long3) and timeCond and strategy.position_size <= 0)
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, when=barstate.isconfirmed)
entryprice := close
profitprice := entryprice+profit_abs
stopprice := entryprice-stop_abs
tpsl_str = TakeProfitPercent > 0 ? ",mytp=" + str.tostring(profitprice) : ""
tpsl_str := StopLossPercent > 0 ? tpsl_str + ",mysl=" + str.tostring(stopprice) : tpsl_str
alert(pv_alert_long + "(" + exsym + ",acc=" + pv_acc + tpsl_str + ")", alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)
if ((short1 or short2 or short3) and timeCond and strategy.position_size >= 0)
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, when=barstate.isconfirmed)
entryprice := close
profitprice := entryprice-profit_abs
stopprice := entryprice+stop_abs
tpsl_str = TakeProfitPercent > 0 ? ",mytp=" + str.tostring(profitprice) : ""
tpsl_str := StopLossPercent > 0 ? tpsl_str + ",mysl=" + str.tostring(stopprice) : tpsl_str
alert(pv_alert_short + "(" + exsym + ",acc=" + pv_acc + tpsl_str + ")", alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)
tpsl_hit_long = (strategy.position_size[1] > 0 and ((TakeProfitPercent > 0 and high > profitprice[1]) or (StopLossPercent > 0 and low < stopprice[1])))
tpsl_hit_short = (strategy.position_size[1] < 0 and ((TakeProfitPercent > 0 and low < profitprice[1]) or (StopLossPercent > 0 and high > stopprice[1])))
if (tpsl_hit_long or tpsl_hit_short)
alert(pv_alert_cancel + "(" + exsym + ",acc=" + pv_acc + ")", alert.freq_once_per_bar)
strategy.exit("Exit Long (TP/SL)", from_entry = "Long" , profit = ProfitTarget, loss = LossTarget)
strategy.exit("Exit Short (TP/SL)", from_entry = "Short", profit = ProfitTarget, loss = LossTarget)
plot(entryprice, title="Entry Price", color=strategy.opentrades > 0 ? color.gray : color.new(color.gray, 100))
plot(profitprice, title="Profit Price", color=strategy.opentrades > 0 and TakeProfitPercent > 0 ? color.green : color.new(color.green, 100))
plot(stopprice, title="Stop Price", color=strategy.opentrades > 0 and StopLossPercent > 0? color.red : color.new(color.red, 100))