Ide inti dari strategi ini adalah untuk memprediksi tren harga dengan menganalisis tren masa depan indikator MacD. Strategi ini memanfaatkan sepenuhnya sinyal perdagangan yang dihasilkan oleh persilangan rata-rata bergerak cepat dan lambat yang membentuk indikator MacD.
Sementara memberikan permainan penuh untuk keuntungan indikator MacD untuk menentukan tren, strategi ini juga menggabungkan prediksi tren indikator masa depan. Membangun pada menangkap tren, ia juga merebut titik balik kritis. Dibandingkan dengan hanya mengejar tren, strategi ini memiliki prospektifitas dan potensi keuntungan yang lebih besar. Tentu saja, ada juga risiko tertentu yang perlu dioptimalkan dan ditingkatkan lebih lanjut. Secara keseluruhan, strategi layak penelitian dan aplikasi yang mendalam.
/*backtest start: 2023-12-05 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-12 00:00:00 period: 5m basePeriod: 1m exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // @version=4 // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © x11joe strategy(title="MacD (Future Known or Unknown) Strategy", overlay=false, precision=2,commission_value=0.26, initial_capital=10000, currency=currency.USD, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=100) //OPTIONAL:: Allow only entries in the long or short position allowOnlyLong = input(title="Allow position ONLY in LONG",type=input.bool, defval=false) allowOnlyShort = input(title="Allow position ONLY in SHORT",type=input.bool, defval=false) strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(allowOnlyLong ? strategy.direction.long : allowOnlyShort ? strategy.direction.short : strategy.direction.all) // There will be no short entries, only exits from long. // Create MacD inputs fastLen = input(title="MacD Fast Length", type=input.integer, defval=12) slowLen = input(title="MacD Slow Length", type=input.integer, defval=26) sigLen = input(title="MacD Signal Length", type=input.integer, defval=9) // Get MACD values [macdLine, signalLine, _] = macd(close, fastLen, slowLen, sigLen) hist = macdLine - signalLine useFuture = input(title="Use The Future?",type=input.bool,defval=true) macDState(resolutionType) => hist_from_resolution = security(syminfo.tickerid, resolutionType, hist,barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on) Green_IsUp = hist_from_resolution > hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution > 0 Green_IsDown = hist_from_resolution < hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution > 0 Red_IsDown = hist_from_resolution < hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution <= 0 Red_IsUp = hist_from_resolution > hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution <= 0 result=0 if(Green_IsUp) result := 1 if(Green_IsDown) result := 2 if(Red_IsDown) result := 3 if(Red_IsUp) result := 4 result macDStateNonFuture(resolutionType) => hist_from_resolution = security(syminfo.tickerid, resolutionType, hist,barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_off) Green_IsUp = hist_from_resolution > hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution > 0 Green_IsDown = hist_from_resolution < hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution > 0 Red_IsDown = hist_from_resolution < hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution <= 0 Red_IsUp = hist_from_resolution > hist_from_resolution[1] and hist_from_resolution <= 0 result=0 if(Green_IsUp) result := 1 if(Green_IsDown) result := 2 if(Red_IsDown) result := 3 if(Red_IsUp) result := 4 result // === INPUT BACKTEST RANGE === FromMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) FromDay = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) FromYear = input(defval = 2019, title = "From Year", minval = 2017) ToMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "To Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) ToDay = input(defval = 1, title = "To Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) ToYear = input(defval = 9999, title = "To Year", minval = 2017) start = timestamp(FromYear, FromMonth, FromDay, 00, 00) // backtest start window finish = timestamp(ToYear, ToMonth, ToDay, 23, 59) // backtest finish window window() => time >= start and time <= finish ? true : false // create function "within window of time" // === INPUT BACKTEST RANGE END === //Get FUTURE or NON FUTURE data macDState240=useFuture ? macDState("240") : macDStateNonFuture("240") //1 is green up, 2 if green down, 3 is red, 4 is red up //Fill in the GAPS if(macDState240==0) macDState240:=macDState240[1] //Plot Positions plot(close,color= macDState240==1 ? color.green : macDState240==2 ? color.purple : macDState240==3 ? color.red : color.yellow,linewidth=4,style=plot.style_histogram,transp=50) if(useFuture) strategy.entry("buy_1",long=true,when=window() and (macDState240==4 or macDState240==1)) strategy.close("buy_1",when=window() and macDState240==3 and macDState240[1]==4) strategy.entry("sell_1",long=false,when=window() and macDState240==2) else strategy.entry("buy_1",long=true,when=window() and (macDState240==4 or macDState240==1))//If we are in a red macD trending downwards MacD or in a MacD getting out of Red going upward. strategy.close("buy_1",when=window() and macDState240==3 and macDState240[1]==4)//If the state is going upwards from red but we are predicting back to red... strategy.entry("sell_1",long=false,when=window() and macDState240==2)//If we are predicting the uptrend to end soon.