EMA/ADX/VOL - 暗号通貨キラー


作成日: 2023-12-05 11:03:37 最終変更日: 2023-12-05 11:03:37
コピー: 0 クリック数: 371
1
フォロー
1141
フォロワー

EMA/ADX/VOL - 暗号通貨キラー

EMA均線システムを使用してトレンドの方向性を判断し,ADX指標はトレンドの強さを判断し,取引量フィルターと組み合わせた入場のための量的な取引戦略

原則

この戦略は,まず,5つの異なる周期のEMA平均線を使用して価格トレンドの方向を判断します. 5つのEMA平均線がすべて上昇すると,多頭トレンドを形成すると判断し,5つのEMA平均線がすべて下落すると,空頭トレンドを形成すると判断します.

ADX指標を使用してトレンドの強さや弱さを判断し,DI+ラインがDI-ラインより高く,ADX値が設定値を超えると強気多頭行情と判断し,DI-ラインがDI+ラインより高く,ADX値が設定値を超えると空頭行情と判断する.

同時に,取引量突破を利用して追加確認を行うため,現在のK線取引量が一定周期平均の倍数より大きいことを要求し,低量位置で誤入場を避ける.

トレンドの方向,トレンドの強さ,取引量の総合的な判断を組み合わせて,この戦略の多頭と空頭開設ロジックを形成する.

利点

  1. EMA平均線システムを使用してトレンドの方向を判断することは,単一のEMA平均線判断よりも信頼性があります.

  2. ADX指標でトレンドの強さや弱さを判断し,明確なトレンドがない場合の誤入場を避ける.

  3. 取引量フィルタリングメカニズムにより,十分な取引量のサポートを確保し,戦略の信頼性を高めます.

  4. 複数の条件の総合判断により,開場シグナルがより正確で信頼性が高い.

  5. 戦略のパラメータが多く,パラメータを最適化することで戦略の効果を継続的に向上させることができる.

リスクと解決

  1. 震動状況では,EMA平均線,ADXなどの判断が誤信号を発し,不必要な損失を生じさせ,パラメータを適切に調整するか,または他の指標を補助判断のために追加することができます.

  2. 取引量フィルタリング条件が過度に厳格で,市場機会が逃れている可能性があるため,取引量フィルタリングのパラメータを適切に低下させることができます.

  3. 策略によって発生する取引頻度は高く,資金管理に注意し,単位のポジションの規模を適切に制御する必要があります.

最適化の方向

  1. 異なるパラメータの組み合わせをテストし,最適のパラメータを探し,戦略の効果を高める.

  2. MACD,KDJなどの他の指標をEMAとADXと組み合わせ,より強力な総合的な開設判断を形成する.

  3. リスクのコントロールをさらに進めるためのストップ・ロスの策略を追加します.

  4. ポジション管理戦略を最適化し,より科学的資金管理を実現する.

要約する

この戦略は,価格トレンドの方向,トレンドの強さ,取引量情報を総合的に考慮して,開場ルールを形成し,ある程度は誤った一般的な罠を回避し,強力な信頼性を有する.しかし,パラメータ最適化,指標最適化,リスク制御による戦略システムの改善をさらに進めて,効果をさらに向上させる必要がある.全体として,この戦略の枠組みは,広げる可能性と最適化の余地がある.

ストラテジーソースコード
/*backtest
start: 2022-11-28 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-04 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © BabehDyo


//@version=4


strategy("EMA/ADX/VOL-CRYPTO KILLER [15M]", overlay = true, pyramiding=1,initial_capital = 10000, default_qty_type= strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 100, calc_on_order_fills=false, slippage=0,commission_type=strategy.commission.percent,commission_value=0.03)

//SOURCE =============================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

src                 =                   input(open,                             title="  Source")

// Inputs ========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

//ADX --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ADX_options         =                   input("MASANAKAMURA",                   title="  Adx Type",                                       options = ["CLASSIC", "MASANAKAMURA"],                                            group="ADX")
ADX_len             =                   input(21,                               title="  Adx Length",                                     type=input.integer, minval = 1,                                                   group="ADX")
th                  =                   input(20,                               title="  Adx Treshold",                                   type=input.float, minval = 0, step = 0.5,                                         group="ADX")

//EMA--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Length_ema1 = input(8,  title="  1-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema2 = input(13, title="  2-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema3 = input(21, title="  3-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema4 = input(34, title="  4-EMA Length", minval=1)
Length_ema5 = input(55, title="  5-EMA Length", minval=1)


// Range Filter ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

per_                =                   input(15,                               title="  Period",                                             minval=1,                                                                       group = "Range Filter")
mult                =                   input(2.6,                              title="  mult.",                                              minval=0.1, step = 0.1,                                                         group = "Range Filter")


// Volume ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

volume_f            =                   input(3.2,                              title="  Volume mult.",                                       minval = 0, step = 0.1,                                                         group="Volume")
sma_length          =                   input(20,                               title="  Volume lenght",                                      minval = 1,                                                                     group="Volume")

volume_f1            =                   input(1.9,                              title="  Volume mult. 1",                                       minval = 0, step = 0.1,                                                         group="Volume")
sma_length1          =                   input(22,                               title="  Volume lenght 1",                                      minval = 1,                                                                     group="Volume")


//TP PLOTSHAPE -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

tp_long0            =                   input(0.9,                              title="  % TP Long",                                        type = input.float,     minval = 0,     step = 0.1,                           group="Target Point") 
tp_short0           =                   input(0.9,                              title="  % TP Short",                                       type = input.float,     minval = 0,     step = 0.1,                           group="Target Point") 

// SL PLOTSHAPE ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

sl0                 =                   input(4.2,                              title="  % Stop loss",                                        type = input.float,     minval = 0,     step = 0.1,                             group="Stop Loss")

//INDICATORS =======================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

//ADX-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

calcADX(_len) =>
    up              =                                                                                                                       change(high)
	down            =                                                                                                                      -change(low)
	plusDM          =                                                                                                                       na(up)   ? na : (up > down and up > 0   ? up   : 0)
    minusDM         =                                                                                                                       na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
	truerange       =                                                                                                                       rma(tr, _len)
	_plus           =                                                                                                                       fixnan(100 * rma(plusDM, _len)  / truerange)
	_minus          =                                                                                                                       fixnan(100 * rma(minusDM, _len) / truerange)
	sum             =                                                                                                                       _plus + _minus
	_adx            =                                                                                                                       100 * rma(abs(_plus - _minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), _len)
    [_plus,_minus,_adx]
calcADX_Masanakamura(_len) =>
    SmoothedTrueRange                   =                                                                                                   0.0
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus     =                                                                                                   0.0
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus    =                                                                                                   0.0
    TrueRange                           =                                                                                                   max(max(high - low, abs(high - nz(close[1]))), abs(low - nz(close[1])))
    DirectionalMovementPlus             =                                                                                                   high - nz(high[1]) > nz(low[1]) - low ? max(high - nz(high[1]), 0) : 0
    DirectionalMovementMinus            =                                                                                                   nz(low[1]) - low > high - nz(high[1]) ? max(nz(low[1]) - low, 0)   : 0
    SmoothedTrueRange                   :=                                                                                                  nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) - (nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) /_len) + TrueRange
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus     :=                                                                                                  nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1])  - (nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1])  / _len) + DirectionalMovementPlus
    SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus    :=                                                                                                  nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) - (nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) / _len) + DirectionalMovementMinus
    DIP                                 =                                                                                                   SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus  / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
    DIM                                 =                                                                                                   SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100
    DX                                  =                                                                                                   abs(DIP-DIM) / (DIP+DIM)*100
    adx                                 =                                                                                                   sma(DX, _len)
    [DIP,DIM,adx]
[DIPlusC,DIMinusC,ADXC] =                                                                                                                   calcADX(ADX_len) 
[DIPlusM,DIMinusM,ADXM] =                                                                                                                   calcADX_Masanakamura(ADX_len)

DIPlus                  =                                                                                                                   ADX_options == "CLASSIC" ? DIPlusC    : DIPlusM
DIMinus                 =                                                                                                                   ADX_options == "CLASSIC" ? DIMinusC   : DIMinusM
ADX                     =                                                                                                                   ADX_options == "CLASSIC" ? ADXC       : ADXM
L_adx                   =                                                       DIPlus > DIMinus and ADX > th
S_adx                   =                                                       DIPlus < DIMinus and ADX > th

//EMA-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

xPrice = close
EMA1 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema1)
EMA2 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema2)
EMA3 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema3)
EMA4 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema4)
EMA5 = ema(xPrice, Length_ema5)
L_ema			=							EMA1 < close and  EMA2 < close and  EMA3  < close and  EMA4  < close and  EMA5  < close
S_ema			=							EMA1 > close and  EMA2 > close and  EMA3  > close and  EMA4  > close and  EMA5  > close


// Range Filter ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

var bool L_RF = na,  var bool S_RF = na

Range_filter(_src, _per_, _mult)=>
    var float _upward   =                                                                                                                   0.0
    var float _downward =                                                                                                                   0.0
    wper                =                                                                                                                   (_per_*2) - 1
    avrng               =                                                                                                                   ema(abs(_src - _src[1]), _per_)
    _smoothrng          =                                                                                                                   ema(avrng, wper)*_mult
    _filt               =                                                                                                                   _src
    _filt               :=                                                                                                                  _src > nz(_filt[1]) ? ((_src-_smoothrng) < nz(_filt[1]) ? nz(_filt[1]) : (_src-_smoothrng)) : ((_src+_smoothrng) > nz(_filt[1]) ? nz(_filt[1]) : (_src+_smoothrng))
    _upward             :=                                                                                                                  _filt > _filt[1] ? nz(_upward[1]) + 1 : _filt < _filt[1] ? 0 : nz(_upward[1])
    _downward           :=                                                                                                                  _filt < _filt[1] ? nz(_downward[1]) + 1 : _filt > _filt[1] ? 0 : nz(_downward[1])
    [_smoothrng,_filt,_upward,_downward]
[smoothrng, filt, upward, downward] = Range_filter(src, per_, mult)
hband                   =                                                                                                                   filt + smoothrng
lband                   =                                                                                                                   filt - smoothrng
L_RF                    :=                                                      high > hband and upward > 0
S_RF                    :=                                                      low < lband and downward > 0


// Volume -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Volume_condt            =                                                       volume > sma(volume,sma_length)*volume_f
Volume_condt1           =                                                       volume > sma(volume,sma_length1)*volume_f1


//STRATEGY ==========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

var bool longCond = na, var bool shortCond = na
var int CondIni_long = 0, var int CondIni_short = 0
var bool _Final_longCondition = na, var bool _Final_shortCondition = na
var float last_open_longCondition = na, var float last_open_shortCondition = na
var int last_longCondition = na, var int last_shortCondition = na
var int last_Final_longCondition = na, var int last_Final_shortCondition = na
var int nLongs = na, var int nShorts = na

L_1     =                                                                       L_adx and Volume_condt  and L_RF and L_ema
S_1     =                                                                       S_adx and Volume_condt  and S_RF and S_ema

L_2     =                                                                       L_adx and  L_RF and L_ema and Volume_condt1
S_2     =                                                                       S_adx and  S_RF and S_ema and Volume_condt1

L_basic_condt       =         L_1 or L_2
S_basic_condt       =         S_1 or S_2

longCond                :=                                                      L_basic_condt
shortCond               :=                                                      S_basic_condt

CondIni_long                := longCond[1]              ? 1 :                   shortCond[1] ? -1 :                             nz(CondIni_long[1]                                          )
CondIni_short               := longCond[1]              ? 1 :                   shortCond[1] ? -1 :                             nz(CondIni_short[1]                                         )
longCondition               = (longCond[1]              and                                                                     nz(CondIni_long[1])                 == -1                   )
shortCondition              = (shortCond[1]             and                                                                     nz(CondIni_short[1])                ==  1                   )

//POSITION PRICE-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

var float sum_long = 0.0, var float sum_short = 0.0
var float Position_Price = 0.0

last_open_longCondition     :=                      longCondition               ? close[1]      : nz(last_open_longCondition[1]                     )
last_open_shortCondition    :=                      shortCondition              ? close[1]      : nz(last_open_shortCondition[1]                    )
last_longCondition          :=                      longCondition               ? time          : nz(last_longCondition[1]                          )
last_shortCondition         :=                      shortCondition              ? time          : nz(last_shortCondition[1]                         )
in_longCondition            =                       last_longCondition          >           last_shortCondition
in_shortCondition           =                       last_shortCondition         >           last_longCondition
last_Final_longCondition    :=                      longCondition               ? time                                                  :    nz(last_Final_longCondition[1]                 )
last_Final_shortCondition   :=                      shortCondition              ? time                                                  :    nz(last_Final_shortCondition[1]                )
nLongs                      :=                      nz(nLongs[1]                                                                                                                            )
nShorts                     :=                      nz(nShorts[1]                                                                                                                           )
if longCondition
    nLongs                  :=                      nLongs                      + 1
    nShorts                 := 0
    sum_long                :=                      nz(last_open_longCondition) +           nz(sum_long[1])
    sum_short               := 0.0
if shortCondition
    nLongs                  := 0
    nShorts                 :=                      nShorts + 1
    sum_short               :=                      nz(last_open_shortCondition)+ nz(sum_short[1])
    sum_long                := 0.0
    
Position_Price              :=                      nz(Position_Price[1])

Position_Price              :=                      longCondition               ?       sum_long/nLongs         :       shortCondition      ?       sum_short/nShorts       :       na

//TP---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

var bool long_tp = na, var bool short_tp = na
var int last_long_tp = na, var int last_short_tp = na
var bool Final_Long_tp = na, var bool Final_Short_tp = na
var bool Final_Long_sl0 = na, var bool Final_Short_sl0 = na
var bool Final_Long_sl = na, var bool Final_Short_sl = na
var int last_long_sl = na, var int last_short_sl = na

tp_long             =       ((nLongs  > 1)              ?                       tp_long0  / nLongs              :           tp_long0)                       / 100
tp_short            =       ((nShorts > 1)              ?                       tp_short0 / nShorts             :           tp_short0)                      / 100
long_tp             := high                             >                       (fixnan(Position_Price)         *           (1 + tp_long))                  and                 in_longCondition
short_tp            := low                              <                       (fixnan(Position_Price)         *           (1 - tp_short))                 and                 in_shortCondition
last_long_tp        :=      long_tp                     ?                       time : nz(last_long_tp[1])
last_short_tp       :=      short_tp                    ?                       time : nz(last_short_tp[1])
Final_Long_tp       :=      (long_tp                    and                     last_longCondition              >           nz(last_long_tp[1])             and                 last_longCondition  > nz(last_long_sl[1]))
Final_Short_tp      :=      (short_tp                   and                     last_shortCondition             >           nz(last_short_tp[1])            and                 last_shortCondition > nz(last_short_sl[1]))
L_tp                 =      iff(Final_Long_tp,                                  fixnan(Position_Price)          *           (1 + tp_long)                   ,                   na) 
S_tp                 =      iff(Final_Short_tp,                                 fixnan(Position_Price)          *           (1 - tp_short)                  ,                   na) 

//TP SIGNALS--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

tplLevel            = (in_longCondition                 and 
                      (last_longCondition               >                       nz(last_long_tp[1]))            and 
                      (last_longCondition               >                       nz(last_long_sl[1]))            and not Final_Long_sl[1])                   ? 
                      (nLongs > 1)                      ? 
                      (fixnan(Position_Price)           *                       (1 + tp_long))                  :               (last_open_longCondition    *              (1 + tp_long)) : na
tpsLevel            = (in_shortCondition                and 
                      (last_shortCondition              >                       nz(last_short_tp[1]))           and 
                      (last_shortCondition              >                       nz(last_short_sl[1]))           and not Final_Short_sl[1])                  ? 
                      (nShorts > 1)                     ? 
                      (fixnan(Position_Price)           *                       (1 - tp_short))                 :               (last_open_shortCondition   *             (1 - tp_short)) : na

//SL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Risk                = sl0
Percent_Capital     = 99

sl                  =  in_longCondition  ?  min(sl0,(((Risk) * 100) / (Percent_Capital *  max(1, nLongs))))  : 
                       in_shortCondition ?  min(sl0,(((Risk) * 100) / (Percent_Capital *  max(1, nShorts)))) : sl0
                       
Normal_long_sl      =               ((in_longCondition                and low                             <= ((1 - (sl / 100))    *               (fixnan(Position_Price)))))
Normal_short_sl     =               ((in_shortCondition               and high                            >= ((1 + (sl / 100))    *               (fixnan(Position_Price)))))  
last_long_sl        :=              Normal_long_sl      ? time : nz(last_long_sl[1])
last_short_sl       :=              Normal_short_sl     ? time : nz(last_short_sl[1])
Final_Long_sl       :=              Normal_long_sl      and last_longCondition              > nz(last_long_sl[1])               and last_longCondition  > nz(last_long_tp[1])  and not Final_Long_tp
Final_Short_sl      :=              Normal_short_sl     and last_shortCondition             > nz(last_short_sl[1])              and last_shortCondition > nz(last_short_tp[1]) and not Final_Short_tp

//RE-ENTRY ON TP-HIT-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

if Final_Long_tp                    or                                          Final_Long_sl
    CondIni_long    :=                                                          -1
    sum_long        :=                                                          0.0
    nLongs          :=                                                          na
    
if Final_Short_tp                   or                                          Final_Short_sl
    CondIni_short   :=                                                          1
    sum_short       :=                                                          0.0
    nShorts         :=                                                          na


// Colors ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bar_color = in_longCondition ? #009688 : in_shortCondition ? #f06292 : color.orange
barcolor                                                                        (color = Bar_color)

//PLOTS==============================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

plot(L_tp,                                                  title = "TP_L",                 style = plot.style_cross,                                                                 color = color.fuchsia,                          linewidth = 7   )
plot(S_tp,                                                  title = "TP_S",                 style = plot.style_cross,                                                                 color = color.fuchsia,                          linewidth = 7   )

//Price plots ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

plot((nLongs > 1) or (nShorts > 1) ? Position_Price : na, title = "Price", color = in_longCondition ? color.aqua : color.orange, linewidth = 2, style = plot.style_cross)
plot(tplLevel,                      title="Long TP ",               style = plot.style_cross,                                                                   color=color.fuchsia,                                                                                      linewidth = 1               )
plot(tpsLevel,                      title="Short TP ",              style = plot.style_cross,                                                                   color=color.fuchsia,                                                                                        linewidth = 1               )

//PLOTSHAPES----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


plotshape(Final_Long_tp,            title="TP Long Signal",         style = shape.triangledown,                     location=location.abovebar,                         color=color.red,            size=size.tiny ,          text="TP",             textcolor=color.red,               transp = 0                  ) 
plotshape(Final_Short_tp,           title="TP Short Signal",        style = shape.triangleup,                     location=location.belowbar,                         color=color.green,          size=size.tiny ,            text="TP",           textcolor=color.green,             transp = 0                  ) 

plotshape(longCondition,            title="Long",                   style=shape.triangleup,                 location=location.belowbar,                         color=color.blue,           size=size.tiny ,                                                           transp = 0                  )
plotshape(shortCondition,           title="Short",                  style=shape.triangledown,               location=location.abovebar,                         color=color.red,            size=size.tiny ,                                                           transp = 0                  )


// Backtest  ==================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

if                                                                              L_basic_condt
    strategy.entry                                                              ("LONG", strategy.long )
if                                                                              S_basic_condt
    strategy.entry                                                              ("SHORT", strategy.short )
    
    
strategy.exit("TP_L", "LONG", profit = (abs((last_open_longCondition  * (1 + tp_long)) - last_open_longCondition) / syminfo.mintick), limit = nLongs >= 1 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp_long) : na, loss = (abs((last_open_longCondition*(1-(sl/100)))-last_open_longCondition)/syminfo.mintick))

strategy.exit("TP_S", "SHORT", profit = (abs((last_open_shortCondition * (1 - tp_short)) - last_open_shortCondition) / syminfo.mintick), limit = nShorts >= 1 ? strategy.position_avg_price*(1-(tp_short)) : na, loss     = (abs((last_open_shortCondition*(1+(sl/100)))-last_open_shortCondition)/syminfo.mintick))



//By BabehDyo