Strategi ini menggunakan gabungan isyarat pelbagai penunjuk teknikal untuk berdagang secara dinamik aset asas seperti saham dan mata wang kripto. Strategi ini dapat mengenal pasti trend pasaran secara automatik dan melacaknya.
Strategi ini terutamanya memanfaatkan purata bergerak, indeks kekuatan relatif (RSI), julat sebenar purata (ATR) dan indeks pergerakan arah (ADX) untuk menjana isyarat perdagangan.
Secara khusus, ia mula-mula mengguna crossover purata bergerak berganda untuk membentuk isyarat. Garis pantas mempunyai panjang 10 hari dan garis perlahan mempunyai panjang 50 hari. Golden crossovers (garis pantas memecahkan di atas garis perlahan dari bawah) menjana isyarat beli manakala crossovers mati menjana isyarat jual. Sistem ini dapat mengenal pasti pembalikan dalam trend jangka panjang dengan berkesan.
Di atas MAs berganda, RSI diperkenalkan untuk mengesahkan isyarat trend dan mengelakkan pecah palsu. RSI menilai kekuatan pasaran dengan perbezaan antara garis cepat dan perlahan. Apabila RSI melanggar di atas 30, isyarat beli dihasilkan. Apabila melanggar di bawah 70, isyarat jual dihasilkan.
Selain itu, ATR digunakan untuk menyesuaikan tahap stop loss secara automatik. ATR dapat mencerminkan secara berkesan turun naik pasaran. Apabila turun naik meningkat, stop loss yang lebih luas akan ditetapkan untuk mengurangkan kebarangkalian berhenti.
Akhirnya, ADX mengukur kekuatan trend. ADX menggunakan perbezaan antara penunjuk positif DI + dan penunjuk negatif DI- untuk mengukur kekuatan trend. Hanya apabila ADX memecahkan di atas 20, trend dianggap telah ditubuhkan dan isyarat perdagangan sebenar dihasilkan.
Dengan menggabungkan isyarat dari pelbagai penunjuk, strategi boleh lebih berhati-hati dalam menghantar isyarat perdagangan, mengelakkan gangguan dari isyarat palsu dan dengan itu mencapai kadar kemenangan yang lebih tinggi.
Kelebihan strategi ini termasuk:
Gabungan MA, RSI, ATR, ADX dan banyak lagi boleh meningkatkan ketepatan dan mengelakkan penilaian yang salah kerana satu penunjuk.
Penyesuaian stop loss berdasarkan turun naik pasaran boleh mengurangkan kebarangkalian berhenti dan menguruskan risiko dengan berkesan.
Dengan menilai kekuatan trend dengan ADX sebelum dagangan sebenar, kerugian daripada dagangan terhadap trend dapat dikurangkan.
Parameter seperti panjang MA, panjang RSI, tempoh ATR dan tempoh ADX semua boleh diselaraskan dan dioptimumkan untuk pasaran yang berbeza.
Mengenali trend jangka panjang menggunakan sistem MA cepat dan perlahan dan mengurangkan bunyi jangka pendek dengan penunjuk seperti RSI, memegang trend jangka panjang menjadi mungkin untuk keuntungan yang lebih tinggi.
Terdapat juga beberapa risiko yang berkaitan dengan strategi ini:
Lebih banyak parameter bermakna kesukaran yang lebih besar dalam pengoptimuman. Set parameter yang tidak sesuai boleh merosot prestasi strategi. Ujian balik dan penyesuaian parameter yang lebih mencukupi dapat mengurangkan risiko ini.
Semua penunjuk teknikal mempunyai keadaan pasaran yang berlaku. Apabila pasaran memasuki keadaan yang pelik, penunjuk yang digunakan mungkin gagal secara serentak. Risiko dari peristiwa BLACK SWAN seperti itu memerlukan perhatian.
Strategi ini membolehkan perdagangan pendek. Posisi pendek secara semula jadi mempunyai risiko kerugian tanpa had. Ini boleh dikurangkan dengan menetapkan stop loss yang betul.
Indikator tidak dapat bertindak balas dengan segera terhadap pembalikan. Kedudukan arah yang salah sering menimbulkan kerugian semasa pembalikan. Memendekkan parameter beberapa indikator boleh meningkatkan kepekaan.
Terdapat ruang untuk pengoptimuman lanjut:
Menganalisis korelasi antara penunjuk/keadaan pasaran dan mekanisme reka bentuk untuk menyesuaikan secara dinamik berat penunjuk berdasarkan perubahan keadaan pasaran untuk meningkatkan keputusan.
Menggunakan model pembelajaran mendalam untuk meramalkan arah pergerakan harga dan meningkatkan sistem berasaskan peraturan untuk meningkatkan ketepatan.
Merancang modul penyesuaian adaptif untuk parameter penunjuk berdasarkan data sejarah tetingkap bergerak supaya strategi dapat menyesuaikan diri dengan lebih baik.
Mengintegrasikan analisis tempoh pembolehubah seperti Teori Gelombang Elliott untuk membantu menilai trend jangka menengah dan panjang dan meningkatkan keuntungan.
Ringkasnya, strategi ini mengintegrasikan MA, RSI, ATR, ADX dan banyak lagi ke dalam sistem yang agak komprehensif, yang dapat mengenal pasti trend jangka panjang melalui sistem MA dan mengurangkan gangguan bunyi dengan penunjuk jangka pendek seperti RSI.
/*backtest start: 2023-01-28 00:00:00 end: 2024-02-03 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code to my testing // © sgb //@version=5 strategy(title='Soren test 2', overlay=true, initial_capital=100, pyramiding=1, calc_on_order_fills=true, calc_on_every_tick=true, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=50, commission_value=0.04) //SOURCE ============================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================= src = input(open) // INPUTS ============================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================ //ADX -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ADX_options = input.string('MASANAKAMURA', title='Adx Type', options=['CLASSIC', 'MASANAKAMURA'], group='ADX') ADX_len = input.int(38, title='Adx lenght', minval=1, group='ADX') th = input.float(23, title='Adx Treshold', minval=0, step=0.5, group='ADX') // Volume ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ volume_f = input.float(1.2, title='Volume mult.', minval=0, step=0.1, group='Volume') sma_length = input.int(35, title='Volume lenght', minval=1, group='Volume') //RSI---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- len_3 = input.int(25, title='RSI lenght', group='Relative Strenght Indeks') src_3 = input.source(low, title='RSI Source', group='Relative Strenght Indeks') RSI_VWAP_length = input(25, title='Rsi vwap lenght') // Range Filter --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- per_ = input.int(26, title='SAMPLING PERIOD', minval=1, group='Range Filter') mult = input.float(2.3, title='RANGE MULTIPLIER', minval=0.1, step=0.1, group='Range Filter') // Cloud -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- len = input.int(1, title='Cloud Length', group='Cloud') //RMI ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RMI_len = input.int(26, title='Rmi Lenght', minval=1, group='Relative Momentum Index') mom = input.int(17, title='Rmi Momentum', minval=1, group='Relative Momentum Index') RMI_os = input.int(33, title='Rmi oversold', minval=0, group='Relative Momentum Index') RMI_ob = input.int(68, title='Rmi overbought', minval=0, group='Relative Momentum Index') // Indicators Calculations ======================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================== // Range Filter ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- var bool L_RF = na var bool S_RF = na Range_filter(_src, _per_, _mult) => var float _upward = 0.0 var float _downward = 0.0 wper = _per_ * 2 - 1 avrng = ta.ema(math.abs(_src - _src[1]), _per_) _smoothrng = ta.ema(avrng, wper) * _mult _filt = _src _filt := _src > nz(_filt[1]) ? _src - _smoothrng < nz(_filt[1]) ? nz(_filt[1]) : _src - _smoothrng : _src + _smoothrng > nz(_filt[1]) ? nz(_filt[1]) : _src + _smoothrng _upward := _filt > _filt[1] ? nz(_upward[1]) + 1 : _filt < _filt[1] ? 0 : nz(_upward[1]) _downward := _filt < _filt[1] ? nz(_downward[1]) + 1 : _filt > _filt[1] ? 0 : nz(_downward[1]) [_smoothrng, _filt, _upward, _downward] [smoothrng, filt, upward, downward] = Range_filter(src, per_, mult) hband = filt + smoothrng lband = filt - smoothrng L_RF := high > hband and upward > 0 S_RF := low < lband and downward > 0 //ADX------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- calcADX(_len) => up = ta.change(high) down = -ta.change(low) plusDM = na(up) ? na : up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0 minusDM = na(down) ? na : down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0 truerange = ta.rma(ta.tr, _len) _plus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(plusDM, _len) / truerange) _minus = fixnan(100 * ta.rma(minusDM, _len) / truerange) sum = _plus + _minus _adx = 100 * ta.rma(math.abs(_plus - _minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), _len) [_plus, _minus, _adx] calcADX_Masanakamura(_len) => SmoothedTrueRange = 0.0 SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus = 0.0 SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus = 0.0 TrueRange = math.max(math.max(high - low, math.abs(high - nz(close[1]))), math.abs(low - nz(close[1]))) DirectionalMovementPlus = high - nz(high[1]) > nz(low[1]) - low ? math.max(high - nz(high[1]), 0) : 0 DirectionalMovementMinus = nz(low[1]) - low > high - nz(high[1]) ? math.max(nz(low[1]) - low, 0) : 0 SmoothedTrueRange := nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) - nz(SmoothedTrueRange[1]) / _len + TrueRange SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus := nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1]) - nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus[1]) / _len + DirectionalMovementPlus SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus := nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) - nz(SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus[1]) / _len + DirectionalMovementMinus DIP = SmoothedDirectionalMovementPlus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100 DIM = SmoothedDirectionalMovementMinus / SmoothedTrueRange * 100 DX = math.abs(DIP - DIM) / (DIP + DIM) * 100 adx = ta.sma(DX, _len) [DIP, DIM, adx] [DIPlusC, DIMinusC, ADXC] = calcADX(ADX_len) [DIPlusM, DIMinusM, ADXM] = calcADX_Masanakamura(ADX_len) DIPlus = ADX_options == 'CLASSIC' ? DIPlusC : DIPlusM DIMinus = ADX_options == 'CLASSIC' ? DIMinusC : DIMinusM ADX = ADX_options == 'CLASSIC' ? ADXC : ADXM L_adx = DIPlus > DIMinus and ADX > th S_adx = DIPlus < DIMinus and ADX > th // Volume ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Volume_condt = volume > ta.sma(volume, sma_length) * volume_f //RSI------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ up_3 = ta.rma(math.max(ta.change(src_3), 0), len_3) down_3 = ta.rma(-math.min(ta.change(src_3), 0), len_3) rsi_3 = down_3 == 0 ? 100 : up_3 == 0 ? 0 : 100 - 100 / (1 + up_3 / down_3) L_rsi = rsi_3 < 70 S_rsi = rsi_3 > 30 RSI_VWAP = ta.rsi(ta.vwap(close), RSI_VWAP_length) RSI_VWAP_overSold = 13 RSI_VWAP_overBought = 68 L_VAP = ta.crossover(RSI_VWAP, RSI_VWAP_overSold) S_VAP = ta.crossunder(RSI_VWAP, RSI_VWAP_overBought) //Cloud -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PI = 2 * math.asin(1) hilbertTransform(src) => 0.0962 * src + 0.5769 * nz(src[2]) - 0.5769 * nz(src[4]) - 0.0962 * nz(src[6]) computeComponent(src, mesaPeriodMult) => hilbertTransform(src) * mesaPeriodMult computeAlpha(src, fastLimit, slowLimit) => mesaPeriod = 0.0 mesaPeriodMult = 0.075 * nz(mesaPeriod[1]) + 0.54 smooth = 0.0 smooth := (4 * src + 3 * nz(src[1]) + 2 * nz(src[2]) + nz(src[3])) / 10 detrender = 0.0 detrender := computeComponent(smooth, mesaPeriodMult) I1 = nz(detrender[3]) Q1 = computeComponent(detrender, mesaPeriodMult) jI = computeComponent(I1, mesaPeriodMult) jQ = computeComponent(Q1, mesaPeriodMult) I2 = 0.0 Q2 = 0.0 I2 := I1 - jQ Q2 := Q1 + jI I2 := 0.2 * I2 + 0.8 * nz(I2[1]) Q2 := 0.2 * Q2 + 0.8 * nz(Q2[1]) Re = I2 * nz(I2[1]) + Q2 * nz(Q2[1]) Im = I2 * nz(Q2[1]) - Q2 * nz(I2[1]) Re := 0.2 * Re + 0.8 * nz(Re[1]) Im := 0.2 * Im + 0.8 * nz(Im[1]) if Re != 0 and Im != 0 mesaPeriod := 2 * PI / math.atan(Im / Re) mesaPeriod if mesaPeriod > 1.5 * nz(mesaPeriod[1]) mesaPeriod := 1.5 * nz(mesaPeriod[1]) mesaPeriod if mesaPeriod < 0.67 * nz(mesaPeriod[1]) mesaPeriod := 0.67 * nz(mesaPeriod[1]) mesaPeriod if mesaPeriod < 6 mesaPeriod := 6 mesaPeriod if mesaPeriod > 50 mesaPeriod := 50 mesaPeriod mesaPeriod := 0.2 * mesaPeriod + 0.8 * nz(mesaPeriod[1]) phase = 0.0 if I1 != 0 phase := 180 / PI * math.atan(Q1 / I1) phase deltaPhase = nz(phase[1]) - phase if deltaPhase < 1 deltaPhase := 1 deltaPhase alpha = fastLimit / deltaPhase if alpha < slowLimit alpha := slowLimit alpha [alpha, alpha / 2.0] er = math.abs(ta.change(src, len)) / math.sum(math.abs(ta.change(src)), len) [a, b] = computeAlpha(src, er, er * 0.1) mama = 0.0 mama := a * src + (1 - a) * nz(mama[1]) fama = 0.0 fama := b * mama + (1 - b) * nz(fama[1]) alpha = math.pow(er * (b - a) + a, 2) kama = 0.0 kama := alpha * src + (1 - alpha) * nz(kama[1]) L_cloud = kama > kama[1] S_cloud = kama < kama[1] // RMI ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RMI(len, m) => up = ta.ema(math.max(close - close[m], 0), len) dn = ta.ema(math.max(close[m] - close, 0), len) RMI = dn == 0 ? 0 : 100 - 100 / (1 + up / dn) RMI L_rmi = ta.crossover(RMI(RMI_len, mom), RMI_os) S_rmi = ta.crossunder(RMI(RMI_len, mom), RMI_ob) //STRATEGY ========================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================== L_1 = L_VAP and L_RF and not S_adx S_1 = S_VAP and S_RF and not L_adx L_2 = L_adx and Volume_condt and L_rsi and L_cloud S_2 = S_adx and Volume_condt and S_rsi and S_cloud L_3 = L_rmi and L_RF and not S_adx S_3 = S_rmi and S_RF and not L_adx L_basic_condt = L_1 or L_2 or L_3 S_basic_condt = S_1 or S_2 or S_3 var bool longCondition = na var bool shortCondition = na var float last_open_longCondition = na var float last_open_shortCondition = na var int last_longCondition = 0 var int last_shortCondition = 0 longCondition := L_basic_condt shortCondition := S_basic_condt last_open_longCondition := longCondition ? close : nz(last_open_longCondition[1]) last_open_shortCondition := shortCondition ? close : nz(last_open_shortCondition[1]) last_longCondition := longCondition ? time : nz(last_longCondition[1]) last_shortCondition := shortCondition ? time : nz(last_shortCondition[1]) in_longCondition = last_longCondition > last_shortCondition in_shortCondition = last_shortCondition > last_longCondition // SWAP-SL --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- var int last_long_sl = na var int last_short_sl = na sl = input.float(2, 'Swap % period', minval=0, step=0.1, group='strategy settings') long_sl = ta.crossunder(low, (1 - sl / 100) * last_open_longCondition) and in_longCondition and not longCondition short_sl = ta.crossover(high, (1 + sl / 100) * last_open_shortCondition) and in_shortCondition and not shortCondition last_long_sl := long_sl ? time : nz(last_long_sl[1]) last_short_sl := short_sl ? time : nz(last_short_sl[1]) var bool CondIni_long_sl = 0 CondIni_long_sl := long_sl ? 1 : longCondition ? -1 : nz(CondIni_long_sl[1]) var bool CondIni_short_sl = 0 CondIni_short_sl := short_sl ? 1 : shortCondition ? -1 : nz(CondIni_short_sl[1]) Final_Long_sl = long_sl and nz(CondIni_long_sl[1]) == -1 and in_longCondition and not longCondition Final_Short_sl = short_sl and nz(CondIni_short_sl[1]) == -1 and in_shortCondition and not shortCondition var int sectionLongs = 0 sectionLongs := nz(sectionLongs[1]) var int sectionShorts = 0 sectionShorts := nz(sectionShorts[1]) // RE-ENTRY --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- if longCondition or Final_Long_sl sectionLongs += 1 sectionShorts := 0 sectionShorts if shortCondition or Final_Short_sl sectionLongs := 0 sectionShorts += 1 sectionShorts var float sum_long = 0.0 var float sum_short = 0.0 if longCondition sum_long := nz(last_open_longCondition) + nz(sum_long[1]) sum_short := 0.0 sum_short if Final_Long_sl sum_long := (1 - sl / 100) * last_open_longCondition + nz(sum_long[1]) sum_short := 0.0 sum_short if shortCondition sum_short := nz(last_open_shortCondition) + nz(sum_short[1]) sum_long := 0.0 sum_long if Final_Short_sl sum_long := 0.0 sum_short := (1 + sl / 100) * last_open_shortCondition + nz(sum_short[1]) sum_short var float Position_Price = 0.0 Position_Price := nz(Position_Price[1]) Position_Price := longCondition or Final_Long_sl ? sum_long / sectionLongs : shortCondition or Final_Short_sl ? sum_short / sectionShorts : na //TP_1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- tp = input.float(1.2, 'Tp-1 ', minval=0, step=0.1, group='strategy settings') long_tp = ta.crossover(high, (1 + tp / 100) * fixnan(Position_Price)) and in_longCondition and not longCondition short_tp = ta.crossunder(low, (1 - tp / 100) * fixnan(Position_Price)) and in_shortCondition and not shortCondition var int last_long_tp = na var int last_short_tp = na last_long_tp := long_tp ? time : nz(last_long_tp[1]) last_short_tp := short_tp ? time : nz(last_short_tp[1]) Final_Long_tp = long_tp and last_longCondition > nz(last_long_tp[1]) Final_Short_tp = short_tp and last_shortCondition > nz(last_short_tp[1]) fixnan_1 = fixnan(Position_Price) ltp = Final_Long_tp ? fixnan_1 * (1 + tp / 100) : na fixnan_2 = fixnan(Position_Price) stp = Final_Short_tp ? fixnan_2 * (1 - tp / 100) : na if Final_Short_tp or Final_Long_tp sum_long := 0.0 sum_short := 0.0 sectionLongs := 0 sectionShorts := 0 sectionShorts if Final_Long_tp CondIni_long_sl == 1 if Final_Short_tp CondIni_short_sl == 1 // COLORS & PLOTS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ADX_COLOR = L_adx ? color.lime : S_adx ? color.red : color.orange barcolor(color=ADX_COLOR) hbandplot = plot(hband, title='RF HT', color=ADX_COLOR, transp=50) lbandplot = plot(lband, title='RF LT', color=ADX_COLOR, transp=50) fill(hbandplot, lbandplot, title='RF TR', color=ADX_COLOR, transp=90) plotshape(longCondition, title='Long', style=shape.triangleup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.blue, 0), size=size.tiny) plotshape(shortCondition, title='Short', style=shape.triangledown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.red, 0), size=size.tiny) plot(ltp, style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=5, color=color.new(color.fuchsia, 0), editable=false) plot(stp, style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=5, color=color.new(color.fuchsia, 0), editable=false) //BACKTESTING-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Q = 50 SL = input.float(0.4, 'StopLoss ', minval=0, step=0.1) strategy.entry('long', strategy.long, when=longCondition) strategy.entry('short', strategy.short, when=shortCondition) strategy.exit('TP', 'long', qty_percent=Q, limit=fixnan(Position_Price) * (1 + tp / 100)) strategy.exit('TP', 'short', qty_percent=Q, limit=fixnan(Position_Price) * (1 - tp / 100)) strategy.exit('SL', 'long', stop=fixnan(Position_Price) * (1 - SL / 100)) strategy.exit('SL', 'short', stop=fixnan(Position_Price) * (1 + SL / 100)) // // // // // // // By SGB