动量指标驱动的三重确认趋势跟踪策略


创建日期: 2024-01-05 15:46:21 最后修改: 2024-01-05 15:46:21
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动量指标驱动的三重确认趋势跟踪策略

概述

本策略采用三重确认机制生成交易信号,即动量指标确认市场趋势强劲,超级趋势指标确认趋势方向,以及EMA指标作为确认趋势方向的额外验证。只有当这三个指标都满足条件时,策略才会生成做多或做空的交易信号,从而确保只选择高概率的交易机会。

策略原理

  1. 动量指标(Momentum RSI)

    • 动量RSI指标用于判断市场趋势的力度。当读数大于60时表示市场趋势强劲。

    • 只有在剧烈的牛市和熊市中才产生交易信号。

  2. 超级趋势分析

    • 超级趋势线代表市场趋势的方向。只在价格突破超级趋势线时才考虑建仓。

    • 当价格从下向上突破超级趋势线时,转换为多头趋势;当价格从上向下突破时,转换为空头趋势。

  3. EMA策略

    • EMA及其辅助趋势线用于确认趋势方向。买入信号仅在EMA向上突破辅助趋势线时出现,空头信号则相反。

只有当这三个指标同时符合建仓条件时,才会发出真正的交易信号。这就大大减少了假信号的数量,提高了策略的稳定性。

优势分析

该策略具有极高的稳定性和盈利概率。主要优势有:

  1. 多重确认机制,有效过滤噪音,只选择高概率交易。

  2. 超级趋势线动态跟踪止损,有效控制风险。

  3. 结合趋势力度判定,只在强劲趋势中交易,避免额外风险。

  4. EMA指标额外验证确保交易方向正确。

  5. 完全参数化,各类交易者都可以按需自定义。

风险分析

该策略主要风险来自异常突破造成的错误交易信号。 主要风险及解决方法包括:

  1. 假突破风险:增加突破验证机制。

  2. 震荡范围变大风险:适当调整止损范围。

  3. 趋势反转风险:缩短持仓周期,及时止损。

优化方向

该策略主要可以从以下几个方向进行优化:

  1. 优化参数:调整指标参数,适应更多品种。

  2. 增加过滤:结合更多指标,提升信号质量。

  3. 复合策略:与其他策略组合,利用优势互补。

  4. 动态调参:根据市场环境自动调整参数。

  5. 机器学习:使用算法自动寻找最优参数。

总结

本策略通过动量指标、超级趋势以及EMA的有效结合,实现了多重确认的高概率交易策略。严格的突破验证机制也使其拥有极强的稳定性。同时也具备非常高的可定制性和优化空间。总的来说,该策略融合了趋势跟踪和断裂型交易的优点,是一种非常有前景的算法交易策略。

策略源码
/*backtest
start: 2022-12-29 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-04 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=5
strategy('The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)', shorttitle='The Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR)', overlay=true,initial_capital = 1000)
//// author -  Baby_whale_to_moon

// MOM Rsi indicator 
group_mom_rsi = "Rsi Of Momentum "
len = input.int(10, minval=1, title="Length Mom-Rsi", group =group_mom_rsi ,tooltip = 'This ind calculate Rsi value of Momentum we use this ind to determine power of trend')
src2 = close
mom = src2 - src2[len]
rsi_mom = ta.rsi(mom, len)
mom_rsi_val = input.int(60, minval=1, title="Mom-Rsi Limit Val", group =group_mom_rsi, tooltip = "When our Mom-Rsi value more then this we open LONG or Short, with help of this indicator we we determine the status of the trend")

// Super Trend Ind
group_supertrend = "SuperTrend indicator"
atrPeriod = input(10, "ATR Length SuperTrend", group = group_supertrend)
factor = input.float(3.0, "Factor SuperTrend", step = 0.01, group = group_supertrend)

[supertrend, direction] = ta.supertrend(factor, atrPeriod)

// Ema Indicator
group_most = "Ema indicator"
src = input(close, 'Source Ema Ind',group = group_most)
AP2 = input.int(defval=12, title='Length Ema Ind', minval=1,group = group_most)
Trail1 = ta.ema(src, AP2) //Ema func
AF2 = input.float(defval=1, title='Percent Ema Ind', minval=0.1,group = group_most) / 100
SL2 = Trail1 * AF2  // Stoploss Ema
Trail2 = 0.0
iff_1 = Trail1 > nz(Trail2[1], 0) ? Trail1 - SL2 : Trail1 + SL2
iff_2 = Trail1 < nz(Trail2[1], 0) and Trail1[1] < nz(Trail2[1], 0) ? math.min(nz(Trail2[1], 0), Trail1 + SL2) : iff_1
Trail2 := Trail1 > nz(Trail2[1], 0) and Trail1[1] > nz(Trail2[1], 0) ? math.max(nz(Trail2[1], 0), Trail1 - SL2) : iff_2

//Bull = ta.barssince(Trail1 > Trail2 and close > Trail2 and low > Trail2) < ta.barssince(Trail2 > Trail1 and close < Trail2 and high < Trail2)

//TS1 = plot(Trail1, 'ExMov', style=plot.style_line, color=Trail1 > Trail2 ? color.rgb(33, 149, 243, 100) : color.rgb(255, 235, 59, 100), linewidth=2)
//TS2 = plot(Trail2, 'ema', style=plot.style_line, color=Trail1 > Trail2 ? color.rgb(76, 175, 79, 30) : color.rgb(255, 82, 82, 30), linewidth=2)
//fill(TS1, TS2, Bull  ? color.green : color.red, transp=90)


// Strategy Sett
group_strategy = "Settings of Strategy"
Start_Time = input(defval=timestamp('01 January 2000 13:30 +0000'), title='Start Time of BackTest', group =group_strategy)
End_Time = input(defval=timestamp('30 April 2030 19:30 +0000'), title='End Time of BackTest', group =group_strategy)
dollar = input.float(title='Dollar Cost Per Position* ', defval=50000, group =group_strategy)
trade_direction = input.string(title='Trade_direction', group =group_strategy, options=['LONG', 'SHORT', 'BOTH'], defval='BOTH')
v1 = input(true, title="Version 1 - Uses SL/TP Dynamically ", group =group_strategy ,tooltip = 'With this settings our stoploss price increase or decrease with price to get better PNL score')

v2 = input(false, title="Version 2 -  Uses SL/TP Statically", group =group_strategy)
v2stoploss_input = input.float(5, title='Static Stop.Loss % Val', minval=0.01, group =group_strategy)/100
v2takeprofit_input = input.float(10, title='Static Take.Prof % Val', minval=0.01, group =group_strategy)/100

v2stoploss_level_long = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - v2stoploss_input)
v2takeprofit_level_long = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + v2takeprofit_input)

v2stoploss_level_short = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + v2stoploss_input)
v2takeprofit_level_short = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - v2takeprofit_input)

group_line = "Line Settings"
show_sl_tp = input.bool(title='  Show StopLoss - TakeProf Lines',inline = "1", defval=true, group =group_line)
show_trend_line = input.bool(title='  Show Trend Line',inline = '3' ,defval=true, group =group_line)
stoploss_colour = input.color(title='StopLoss Line Colour',inline = '2' ,defval=color.rgb(255, 255, 0), group =group_line)
up_trend_line_colour = input.color(title='Up Trend line Colour',inline = '4' ,defval=color.rgb(0, 255, 0, 30), group =group_line)
down_trend_line_colour = input.color(title='Down Trend line Colour',inline = '4' ,defval=color.rgb(255, 0, 0, 30), group =group_line)

//plot(supertrend ,color = strategy.position_size > 0 and show_sl_tp ? color.rgb(255, 0, 0) :show_sl_tp ? color.rgb(0, 255, 0) : na , style = plot.style_steplinebr,linewidth = 2)
// plot(supertrend ,color = show_sl_tp and v1 ? stoploss_colour : na , style = plot.style_steplinebr,linewidth = 2)

// plot(v2stoploss_level_long ,color = strategy.position_size > 0 and show_sl_tp and v2 ? stoploss_colour : na , style = plot.style_steplinebr,linewidth = 2)
// plot(v2stoploss_level_short ,color = strategy.position_size < 0 and show_sl_tp and v2 ? stoploss_colour : na , style = plot.style_steplinebr,linewidth = 2)
// plot(v2takeprofit_level_long  ,color = strategy.position_size > 0 and show_sl_tp and v2 ? up_trend_line_colour : na , style = plot.style_steplinebr,linewidth = 2)
// plot(v2takeprofit_level_short ,color = strategy.position_size < 0 and show_sl_tp and v2 ? up_trend_line_colour : na , style = plot.style_steplinebr,linewidth = 2)


TS2 = plot(Trail2, 'Ema Strategy', style=plot.style_line, color=show_trend_line and Trail1 < Trail2 ? down_trend_line_colour : show_trend_line ? up_trend_line_colour  : na, linewidth=2)

// bgcolor(buy_signal ? color.rgb(0, 230, 119, 80) : na)
// bgcolor(sell_signal ? color.rgb(255, 82, 82, 80) : na)

Time_interval = true
buy_signal = Trail1 > Trail2 and direction < 0 and rsi_mom > mom_rsi_val and Time_interval
sell_signal =Trail1 < Trail2 and direction > 0 and rsi_mom > mom_rsi_val and Time_interval


// Strategy entries 
if strategy.opentrades == 0 and buy_signal and ( trade_direction == 'LONG' or trade_direction == 'BOTH')
    strategy.entry('Long_0', strategy.long, qty=dollar / close)

if strategy.opentrades == 0 and sell_signal and ( trade_direction == 'SHORT' or trade_direction == 'BOTH')
    strategy.entry('Short_0', strategy.short, qty=dollar / close)


if close < supertrend and v1
    strategy.exit('Long_Close',from_entry = "Long_0", stop=supertrend, qty_percent=100)
if  v2 and strategy.position_size > 0
    strategy.exit('Long_Close',from_entry = "Long_0", stop=v2stoploss_level_long,limit= v2takeprofit_level_long  , qty_percent=100)
    
if close > supertrend and v1
    strategy.exit('Short_Close',from_entry = "Short_0", stop=supertrend, qty_percent=100)
if  v2 and strategy.position_size < 0
    strategy.exit('Short_Close',from_entry = "Short_0", stop=v2stoploss_level_short,limit= v2takeprofit_level_short ,qty_percent=100)