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Strategi Pemecahan Momentum Order Block

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tanggal: 2024-02-26 11:54:02
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Gambaran umum

Strategi ini mengidentifikasi blok pesanan dalam aksi harga untuk menemukan ledakan momentum dan memasuki pasar ketika sinyal beli / jual muncul.

Logika Strategi

Mengidentifikasi Blok Urutan

Ada dua jenis blok order - bullish dan bearish. Blok order bullish didefinisikan sebagai lilin merah terakhir diikuti oleh lilin hijau berturut-turut. Blok order bearish adalah lilin hijau terakhir diikuti oleh lilin merah berturut-turut.

Untuk mengidentifikasi blok order, kriteria berikut harus dipenuhi secara bersamaan:

  1. Perubahan warna lilin - Warna lilin berubah dari lilin sebelumnya ke yang saat ini (misalnya dari merah ke hijau, atau hijau ke merah).

  2. Arah konsisten setelahnya - Lilin berikutnya mempertahankan arah warna yang sama untuk jumlah periode yang ditentukan dalam parameter (misalnya semua lilin hijau setelah blok bullish potensial).

  3. Breakout melebihi ambang - Perubahan persentase harga dari pembukaan lilin blok order hingga penutupan lilin konfirmasi akhir melebihi parameter ambang (default 0). Ini memastikan momentum yang cukup kuat.

Ketika ketiga kriteria benar, sinyal order block diidentifikasi.

Membuat Sinyal Perdagangan

Sinyal beli dihasilkan ketika mendeteksi blok order bullish. Sinyal jual muncul ketika blok order bearish diidentifikasi.

Mengingat ketidakpastian sinyal aliran pesanan, strategi ini tidak segera masuk ke pasar. Ini memberi peringatan kepada pedagang dan memungkinkan pesanan batas harga ditempatkan di dekat tingkat blok pesanan. Ini memberikan entri terkontrol dan manajemen risiko.

Keuntungan

Menangkap momentum tersembunyi

Blok order mewakili aliran uang institusional dan volume yang substansial. Mereka menunjukkan pergeseran kekuatan pasar dan memberikan petunjuk awal ke arah potensi breakout. Ini memfasilitasi tren mengikuti dengan waktu yang tepat.

Parameter yang dapat disesuaikan

Parameter yang mengontrol jumlah lilin, persentase breakout dll dapat disesuaikan untuk mengoptimalkan perubahan kondisi pasar dan gaya perdagangan.

Risiko terkontrol

Dengan tidak memasukkan sinyal secara otomatis dan menggunakan pesanan batas, pedagang dapat mendefinisikan tingkat masuk dan mengendalikan risiko.

Risiko

Probabilitas uji ulang yang tinggi

Karena blok order menandakan zona, harga yang kembali ke level adalah hal yang umum. Sinyal tidak harus dilihat sebagai entri langsung. Penghakiman waktu lebih lanjut diperlukan.

Parameter tidak cocok menyebabkan sinyal buruk

Jika parameter tidak ditetapkan dengan benar, sinyal palsu dapat muncul di pasar yang terikat rentang. Pedagang perlu menggunakan kebijaksanaan dalam menerapkan sinyal. Optimasi buta harus dihindari.

Periksa manual diperlukan

Dengan setiap sinyal yang membutuhkan validasi lebih lanjut, upaya manual yang signifikan terlibat.

Peluang Peningkatan

Penyaringan sinyal dengan indikator lain

Menggabungkan indikator tambahan seperti MACD dan RSI ketika sinyal tampaknya mengukur kondisi pasar. Ini menyaring sinyal buruk dari pengaturan parameter yang buruk.

Optimasi parameter

Parameter dapat diuji dan disesuaikan agar sesuai dengan pasar dan instrumen yang berbeda untuk kecocokan yang lebih baik.

Masuk/keluar otomatis

Saat ini strategi hanya berfungsi sebagai peringatan sinyal. Logika dapat ditambahkan untuk mengotomatiskan entri perintah batas pada sinyal dan menerapkan berhenti untuk keluar. Ini meningkatkan otomatisasi dan mengurangi ketergantungan pada penilaian manusia.

Kesimpulan

Dengan mendeteksi konvergensi aliran pesanan, strategi ini mengungkapkan gerak momentum tersembunyi yang berkembang di bawah permukaan. Dibandingkan dengan mengikuti tren sederhana, strategi ini memiliki kemampuan prediktif dalam menemukan titik balik. Ketika dikombinasikan dengan teknik optimasi dan pengendalian risiko, strategi ini dapat menjadi sistem perdagangan tren yang efektif. Namun demikian, pedagang harus berhati-hati terhadap sinyal buruk dan menilai kualitas setiap sinyal. Upaya lebih lanjut harus berfokus pada peningkatan otomatisasi untuk meminimalkan bias dari kebijaksanaan subjektif.


/*backtest
start: 2024-01-01 00:00:00
end: 2024-01-31 23:59:59
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © TradingSecrets and wugamlo


// This experimental Indicator helps identifying instituational Order Blocks. 
// Often these blocks signal the beginning of a strong move, but there is a significant probability that these price levels will be revisited at a later point in time again. 
// Therefore these are interesting levels to place limit orders (Buy Orders for Bullish OB / Sell Orders for Bearish OB). 
//
// A Bullish Order block is defined as the last down candle before a sequence of up candles. (Relevant price range "Open" to "Low" is marked)  / Optionally full range "High" to "Low"
// A Bearish Order Block is defined as the last up candle before a sequence of down candles. (Relevant price range "Open" to "High" is marked) / Optionally full range "High" to "Low"
//
// In the settings the number of required sequential candles can be adjusted. 
// Furthermore a %-threshold can be entered. It defines which %-change the sequential move needs to achieve in order to identify a relevant Order Block. 
// Channels for the last Bullish/Bearish Block can be shown/hidden.
//
// In addition to the upper/lower limits of each Order Block, also the equlibrium (average value) is marked as this is an interesting area for price interaction.
//
// Alerts added: Alerts fire when an Order Block is detected. The delay is based on the "Relevant Periods" input. Means with the default setting "5" the alert will trigger after the 
// number of consecutive candles is reached.



//@version=4
strategy("[Backtest] Order Block Finder", overlay = true)               

colors    = input(title = "Color Scheme", defval="DARK", options=["DARK", "BRIGHT"])
periods   = input(5,     "Relevant Periods to identify OB")                // Required number of subsequent candles in the same direction to identify Order Block
threshold = input(0.0,   "Min. Percent move to identify OB", step = 0.1)   // Required minimum % move (from potential OB close to last subsequent candle to identify Order Block)
usewicks  = input(false, "Use whole range [High/Low] for OB marking?" )    // Display High/Low range for each OB instead of Open/Low for Bullish / Open/High for Bearish
showbull  = input(false,  "Show latest Bullish Channel?")                   // Show Channel for latest Bullish OB?
showbear  = input(false,  "Show latest Bearish Channel?")                   // Show Channel for latest Bearish OB?
showdocu  = input(false, "Show Label for documentation tooltip?")          // Show Label which shows documentation as tooltip?
info_pan  = input(false, "Show Latest OB Panel?")                          // Show Info Panel with latest OB Stats
//strategy inputs
plot_offset = input( type=input.bool,defval = false, title = 'Plot Offset?')
stoploss_percent = input(type=input.float, defval = 1, title = 'Stop Loss [%]')
takeprofit_percent = input(type=input.float, defval = 2, title = 'Take Profit [%]')
pyramiding = input( type=input.bool,defval = true, title = 'Pyramiding')

ob_period = periods + 1                                                    // Identify location of relevant Order Block candle
absmove   = ((abs(close[ob_period] - close[1]))/close[ob_period]) * 100    // Calculate absolute percent move from potential OB to last candle of subsequent candles
relmove   = absmove >= threshold                                           // Identify "Relevant move" by comparing the absolute move to the threshold

// Color Scheme
bullcolor = colors == "DARK"? color.white : color.green
bearcolor = colors == "DARK"? color.blue : color.red

// Bullish Order Block Identification
bullishOB = close[ob_period] < open[ob_period]                             // Determine potential Bullish OB candle (red candle)

int upcandles  = 0
for i = 1 to periods
    upcandles := upcandles + (close[i] > open[i]? 1 : 0)                   // Determine color of subsequent candles (must all be green to identify a valid Bearish OB)

OB_bull      = bullishOB and (upcandles == (periods)) and relmove          // Identification logic (red OB candle & subsequent green candles)
OB_bull_high = OB_bull? usewicks? high[ob_period] : open[ob_period] : na   // Determine OB upper limit (Open or High depending on input)
OB_bull_low  = OB_bull? low[ob_period]  : na                               // Determine OB lower limit (Low)
OB_bull_avg  = (OB_bull_high + OB_bull_low)/2                              // Determine OB middle line


// Bearish Order Block Identification
bearishOB = close[ob_period] > open[ob_period]                             // Determine potential Bearish OB candle (green candle)

int downcandles  = 0
for i = 1 to periods
    downcandles := downcandles + (close[i] < open[i]? 1 : 0)               // Determine color of subsequent candles (must all be red to identify a valid Bearish OB)

OB_bear      = bearishOB and (downcandles == (periods)) and relmove        // Identification logic (green OB candle & subsequent green candles)
OB_bear_high = OB_bear? high[ob_period] : na                               // Determine OB upper limit (High)
OB_bear_low  = OB_bear? usewicks? low[ob_period] : open[ob_period] : na    // Determine OB lower limit (Open or Low depending on input)
OB_bear_avg  = (OB_bear_low + OB_bear_high)/2                              // Determine OB middle line

//@TradingSecrets: Option to disable the offset in order to allign signals with Backtest
if not plot_offset
    ob_period := 0
// Plotting
plotshape(OB_bull, title="Bullish OB", style = shape.triangleup,   color = bullcolor, textcolor = bullcolor, size = size.tiny, location = location.belowbar, offset = -ob_period, text = "Bullish OB")     // Bullish OB Indicator
bull1 = plot(OB_bull_high, title="Bullish OB High", style = plot.style_linebr, color = bullcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                               // Bullish OB Upper Limit
bull2 = plot(OB_bull_low,  title="Bullish OB Low",  style = plot.style_linebr, color = bullcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                               // Bullish OB Lower Limit
fill(bull1, bull2, color=bullcolor, transp = 0, title = "Bullish OB fill")                                                                                                          // Fill Bullish OB
plotshape(OB_bull_avg, title="Bullish OB Average", style = shape.cross,   color = bullcolor, size = size.normal, location = location.absolute, offset = -ob_period)                 // Bullish OB Average


plotshape(OB_bear, title="Bearish OB", style = shape.triangledown, color = bearcolor, textcolor = bearcolor,  size = size.tiny, location = location.abovebar, offset = -ob_period, text = "Bearish OB")     // Bearish OB Indicator
bear1 = plot(OB_bear_low,  title="Bearish OB Low",  style = plot.style_linebr, color = bearcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                                // Bearish OB Lower Limit
bear2 = plot(OB_bear_high, title="Bearish OB High", style = plot.style_linebr, color = bearcolor, offset = -ob_period, linewidth = 3)                                                // Bearish OB Upper Limit
fill(bear1, bear2, color=bearcolor, transp = 0, title = "Bearish OB fill")                                                                                                           // Fill Bearish OB
plotshape(OB_bear_avg, title="Bearish OB Average", style = shape.cross,   color = bearcolor, size = size.normal, location = location.absolute, offset = -ob_period)                  // Bullish OB Average

var line linebull1 = na       // Bullish OB average 
var line linebull2 = na       // Bullish OB open
var line linebull3 = na       // Bullish OB low
var line linebear1 = na       // Bearish OB average
var line linebear2 = na       // Bearish OB high
var line linebear3 = na       // Bearish OB open


if OB_bull and showbull
    line.delete(linebull1)
    linebull1 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bull_avg, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bull_avg, extend = extend.left, color = bullcolor, style = line.style_solid, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebull2)
    linebull2 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bull_high, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bull_high, extend = extend.left, color = bullcolor, style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebull3)
    linebull3 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bull_low, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bull_low, extend = extend.left, color = bullcolor, style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)

if OB_bear and showbear
    line.delete(linebear1)
    linebear1 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bear_avg, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bear_avg, extend = extend.left, color = bearcolor,  style = line.style_solid, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebear2)
    linebear2 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bear_high, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bear_high, extend = extend.left, color = bearcolor,  style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)
    
    line.delete(linebear3)
    linebear3 := line.new(x1 = bar_index, y1 = OB_bear_low, x2 = bar_index - 1, y2 = OB_bear_low, extend = extend.left, color = bearcolor,  style = line.style_dashed, width = 1)


// Alerts for Order Blocks Detection

alertcondition(OB_bull, title='New Bullish OB detected', message='New Bullish OB detected - This is NOT a BUY signal!')
alertcondition(OB_bear, title='New Bearish OB detected', message='New Bearish OB detected - This is NOT a SELL signal!')

// Print latest Order Blocks in Data Window

var latest_bull_high = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bull OB high
var latest_bull_avg  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bull OB average
var latest_bull_low  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bull OB low
var latest_bear_high = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bear OB high
var latest_bear_avg  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bear OB average
var latest_bear_low  = 0.0         // Variable to keep latest Bear OB low

// Assign latest values to variables
if OB_bull_high > 0
    latest_bull_high := OB_bull_high

if OB_bull_avg > 0
    latest_bull_avg := OB_bull_avg

if OB_bull_low > 0
    latest_bull_low := OB_bull_low

if OB_bear_high > 0
    latest_bear_high := OB_bear_high
    
if OB_bear_avg > 0
    latest_bear_avg := OB_bear_avg
    
if OB_bear_low > 0
    latest_bear_low := OB_bear_low

// Plot invisible characters to be able to show the values in the Data Window
plotchar(latest_bull_high, char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bull High")
plotchar(latest_bull_avg,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bull Avg")
plotchar(latest_bull_low,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bull Low")
plotchar(latest_bear_high, char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bear High")
plotchar(latest_bear_avg,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bear Avg")
plotchar(latest_bear_low,  char = ' ', location = location.abovebar, color = #777777, transp = 100, size = size.tiny, title = "Latest Bear Low")


//InfoPanel for latest Order Blocks

draw_InfoPanel(_text, _x, _y, font_size)=>
    var label la_panel = na
    label.delete(la_panel)
    la_panel := label.new(
         x=_x, y=_y, 
         text=_text, xloc=xloc.bar_time, yloc=yloc.price, 
         color=color.new(#383838, 5), style=label.style_label_left, textcolor=color.white, size=font_size)

info_panel_x = time_close + round(change(time) * 100)
info_panel_y = close

title = "LATEST ORDER BLOCKS"
row0 = "-----------------------------------------------------"
row1 = ' Bullish - High: ' + tostring(latest_bull_high, '#.##')
row2 = ' Bullish - Avg: ' + tostring(latest_bull_avg, '#.##')
row3 = ' Bullish - Low: ' + tostring(latest_bull_low, '#.##')
row4 = "-----------------------------------------------------"
row5 = ' Bearish - High: ' + tostring(latest_bear_high, '#.##')
row6 = ' Bearish - Avg: ' + tostring(latest_bear_avg, '#.##')
row7 = ' Bearish - Low: ' + tostring(latest_bear_low, '#.##')

panel_text = '\n' + title + '\n' + row0 + '\n' + row1 + '\n' + row2 + '\n' + row3 + '\n' + row4 + '\n\n' + row5 + '\n' + row6 + '\n' + row7 + '\n'

if info_pan
    draw_InfoPanel(panel_text, info_panel_x, info_panel_y, size.normal)


// === Label for Documentation/Tooltip ===
chper = time - time[1]
chper := change(chper) > 0 ? chper[1] : chper

// === Tooltip text ===

var vartooltip = "Indicator to help identifying instituational Order Blocks. Often these blocks signal the beginning of a strong move, but there is a high probability, that these prices will be revisited at a later point in time again and therefore are interesting levels to place limit orders. \nBullish Order block is the last down candle before a sequence of up candles. \nBearish Order Block is the last up candle before a sequence of down candles. \nIn the settings the number of required sequential candles can be adjusted. \nFurthermore a %-threshold can be entered which the sequential move needs to achieve in order to validate a relevant Order Block. \nChannels for the last Bullish/Bearish Block can be shown/hidden."

// === Print Label ===
var label l_docu = na
label.delete(l_docu)

if showdocu
    l_docu := label.new(x = time + chper * 35, y = close, text = "DOCU OB", color=color.gray, textcolor=color.white, style=label.style_label_center, xloc = xloc.bar_time, yloc=yloc.price, size=size.tiny, textalign = text.align_left, tooltip = vartooltip)

// @TradingSecrets: Generate entry and exit orders based on the signals
entryLongSignal = OB_bull
entryShortSignal = OB_bear

if not pyramiding
    entryLongSignal := entryLongSignal and not strategy.position_size
    entryShortSignal := entryShortSignal and not strategy.position_size
if entryLongSignal
    strategy.entry("Long Entry", strategy.long)
    //strategy.exit("Long Exit Loss", "Long Entry", stop = close * (1 - stoploss_percent*0.01))

if entryShortSignal
    strategy.entry("Short Entry", strategy.short)
    //strategy.exit("Short Exit Loss", "Short Entry", stop = close * (1 + stoploss_percent*0.01))
strategy.initial_capital = 50000        
//Close Position by market order
if strategy.position_size > 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) >= takeprofit_percent*0.01
    //If I m in a long position and my take profit got hit close it by market order
    strategy.close("Long Entry", comment = "Long Exit Profit")
if strategy.position_size < 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) >= takeprofit_percent*0.01
    strategy.close("Short Entry", comment = "Short Exit Profit")

if strategy.position_size > 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) <= -stoploss_percent*0.01
    //If I m in a long position and my take profit got hit close it by market order
    strategy.close("Long Entry", comment = "Long Exit Loss")
if strategy.position_size < 0 and strategy.openprofit/nz(strategy.initial_capital + strategy.netprofit) <= -stoploss_percent*0.01
    strategy.close("Short Entry", comment = "Short Exit Loss")

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