O recurso está a ser carregado... Carregamento...

Estratégia de negociação quantitativa de Supertrend Multi Timeframe

Autora:ChaoZhang, Data: 14 de setembro de 2023 20:21:39
Tags:

Este artigo explica em detalhes uma estratégia quantitativa de negociação usando o indicador Supertrend em vários prazos.

I. Lógica da estratégia

Os principais componentes da estratégia incluem:

  1. Calcular a Supertrend no período atual para determinar a direção da tendência do preço.

  2. Calcular a Supertendência num período de tempo mais longo (por exemplo, diário) para avaliar a tendência principal.

  3. Formação de sinais comerciais com base na consistência entre as direções da Supertrend nos dois prazos.

  4. Definir o stop loss e o take profit adequados com base nos sinais.

  5. A escalada com porções fixas para garantir lucros.

Quando a Supertrend concorda em prazos altos e baixos, uma tendência principal é identificada e sinais de compra/venda são gerados com base na relação do indicador.

II. Vantagens da Estratégia

A maior vantagem reside no uso de vários prazos para filtrar sinais falsos e melhorar a confiabilidade.

Além disso, as configurações razoáveis de stop loss e take profit garantem um risco controlado por transação, evitando perdas excessivas.

Por último, a ampliação de partes dos lucros é também uma característica definidora da estratégia.

III. Deficiências potenciais

Contudo, devem também ser reconhecidos os seguintes riscos:

Em primeiro lugar, o próprio Supertrend tem problemas atrasados que podem causar pontos de entrada ótimos perdidos.

Em segundo lugar, o risco de um stop loss demasiado agressivo ser interrompido prematuramente.

Por último, a ampliação pode introduzir custos adicionais de deslizamento.

IV. Resumo

Em resumo, este artigo explicou uma estratégia quantitativa usando Supertrend em vários prazos. melhora a qualidade do sinal através da combinação de análise de período alto e baixo, e gerencia riscos através de stop loss, take profit e escalado.


/*backtest
start: 2023-09-06 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-13 00:00:00
period: 10m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © ranga_trading

//@version=5
// strategy(title='SuperTrend Multi Time Frame Long and Short Trading Strategy with Take Profit, Stop Loss and in build alerts V01', shorttitle='SuperTrend Multi Time Frame Long and Short Trading Strategy with Take Profit, Stop Loss and in build alerts V01 ', overlay=true, default_qty_value=60, initial_capital=2000, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, pyramiding=0, process_orders_on_close=true)

tf1 = input.timeframe('D', title='Timeframe 1')
tf2 = input.timeframe('W', title='Timeframe 2')

length = input(title='ATR Period', defval=22)
mult = input.float(title='ATR Multiplier', step=0.1, defval=3.0)
showLabels = input(title='Show Buy/Sell Labels ?', defval=true)
useClose = input(title='Use Close Price for Extremums ?', defval=true)
highlightState = input(title='Highlight State ?', defval=true)


atr = mult * ta.atr(length)

longStop = (useClose ? ta.highest(close, length) : ta.highest(length)) - atr
longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop)
longStop := close[1] > longStopPrev ? math.max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop

shortStop = (useClose ? ta.lowest(close, length) : ta.lowest(length)) + atr
shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop)
shortStop := close[1] < shortStopPrev ? math.min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop

var int dir = 1
dir := close > shortStopPrev ? 1 : close < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir

var color longColor = color.green
var color shortColor = color.red

longStopPlot = plot(dir == 1 ? longStop : na, title='Long Stop', style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.new(longColor, 0))
buySignal = dir == 1 and dir[1] == -1
plotshape(buySignal ? longStop : na, title='Long Stop Start', location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=color.new(longColor, 0))

shortStopPlot = plot(dir == 1 ? na : shortStop, title='Short Stop', style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2, color=color.new(shortColor, 0))
sellSignal = dir == -1 and dir[1] == 1
plotshape(sellSignal ? shortStop : na, title='Short Stop Start', location=location.absolute, style=shape.circle, size=size.tiny, color=color.new(shortColor, 0))

midPricePlot = plot(ohlc4, title='', style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=0, display=display.none, editable=false)

longFillColor = highlightState ? dir == 1 ? longColor : na : na
shortFillColor = highlightState ? dir == -1 ? shortColor : na : na
fill(midPricePlot, longStopPlot, title='Long State Filling', color=longFillColor, transp=90)
fill(midPricePlot, shortStopPlot, title='Short State Filling', color=shortFillColor, transp=90)


// CE Function
ce() =>
    atr2 = mult * ta.atr(length)

    longStop2 = (useClose ? ta.highest(close, length) : ta.highest(length)) - atr2
    longStop2Prev = nz(longStop2[1], longStop2)
    longStop2 := close[1] > longStop2Prev ? math.max(longStop2, longStop2Prev) : longStop2

    shortStop2 = (useClose ? ta.lowest(close, length) : ta.lowest(length)) + atr2
    shortStop2Prev = nz(shortStop2[1], shortStop2)
    shortStop2 := close[1] < shortStop2Prev ? math.min(shortStop2, shortStop2Prev) : shortStop2

    var int dir2 = 1
    dir2 := close > shortStop2Prev ? 1 : close < longStop2Prev ? -1 : dir2

    ce = dir2 == 1 ? longStop2 : shortStop2

    [dir2, ce]

[side, ce_plot] = ce()

ce1_plot = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, tf1, ce_plot[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
ce2_plot = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, tf2, ce_plot[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)


ce1 = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, tf1, side[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
ce2 = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, tf2, side[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)

long = buySignal and ce1 > 0 and ce2 > 0
short = sellSignal and ce1 < 0 and ce2 < 0

tradeType = input.string('BOTH', title='What trades should be taken : ', options=['LONG', 'SHORT', 'BOTH'])


// Position Management Tools
pos = 0.0

if tradeType == 'BOTH'
    pos := long ? 1 : short ? -1 : pos[1]
    pos
if tradeType == 'LONG'
    pos := long ? 1 : pos[1]
    pos
if tradeType == 'SHORT'
    pos := short ? -1 : pos[1]
    pos

longCond = long and (pos[1] != 1 or na(pos[1]))
shortCond = short and (pos[1] != -1 or na(pos[1]))


plot(ce1_plot, title='Timeframe 1 CE', color=ce1 > 0 ? #008000 : #800000, linewidth=2)
plot(ce2_plot, title='Timeframe 2 CE', color=ce2 > 0 ? color.green : color.red, linewidth=2)


// EXIT FUNCTIONS //
i_sl = input.float(5.0, title='Stop Loss %', minval=0, group='Trades')
sl = i_sl > 0 ? i_sl / 100 : 99999

long_entry = ta.valuewhen(longCond, close, 0)
short_entry = ta.valuewhen(shortCond, close, 0)


// Simple Stop Loss + 2 Take Profits
sl_long = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - sl)
sl_short = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + sl)


// Position Adjustment
long_sl = low < sl_long and pos[1] == 1
short_sl = high > sl_short and pos[1] == -1

if long_sl or short_sl
    pos := 0
    pos


long_exit = sellSignal and pos[1] == 1
short_exit = buySignal and pos[1] == -1

if long_exit or short_exit
    pos := 0
    pos

tp1percent = input.int(5, title='TP1 %', group='Trades') / 100.0
tp2percent = input.int(10, title='TP2 %', group='Trades') / 100.0
tp3percent = input.int(15, title='TP3 %', group='Trades') / 100.0

tp1amt = input.int(10, title='TP1 Amount %', group='Trades')
tp2amt = input.int(15, title='TP2 Amount %', group='Trades')
tp3amt = input.int(20, title='TP3 Amount %', group='Trades')

//  Strategy Backtest Limiting Algorithm
i_startTime = input(defval=timestamp('01 Jun 2021 13:30 +0000'), title='Backtesting Start Time')
i_endTime = input(defval=timestamp('30 Sep 2099 19:30 +0000'), title='Backtesting End Time')
timeCond = true

KeepLastPosition = input(false)

// Make sure we are within the bar range, Set up entries and exit conditions
strategy.entry('long', strategy.long, when=longCond == true and tradeType != 'SHORT' and timeCond)
strategy.entry('short', strategy.short, when=shortCond == true and tradeType != 'LONG' and timeCond)

var float Qty1 = na
var float Qty2 = na
var float Qty3 = na
var float Qty4 = na

if strategy.position_size == 0
    equity_q = (50000 + strategy.netprofit) / close
    Qty1 := equity_q * tp1amt / 100.0
    Qty2 := equity_q * tp2amt / 100.0
    Qty3 := equity_q * tp3amt / 100.0
    Qty4 := equity_q - Qty1 - Qty2 - Qty3
    Qty4

strategy.exit('Exit1', qty=Qty1, stop=sl_long, limit=strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp1percent), when=strategy.position_size > 0)
strategy.exit('Exit2', qty=Qty2, stop=sl_long, limit=strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp2percent), when=strategy.position_size > 0)
strategy.exit('Exit3', qty=Qty3, stop=sl_long, limit=strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp3percent), when=strategy.position_size > 0)
strategy.exit('Exit4', qty=Qty4, stop=sl_long, when=strategy.position_size > 0 and KeepLastPosition == false)
strategy.close('long', when=long_exit, comment='CE Exit')

strategy.exit('Exit1', qty=Qty1, stop=sl_short, limit=strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - tp1percent), when=strategy.position_size < 0)
strategy.exit('Exit2', qty=Qty2, stop=sl_short, limit=strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - tp2percent), when=strategy.position_size < 0)
strategy.exit('Exit3', qty=Qty3, stop=sl_short, limit=strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - tp3percent), when=strategy.position_size < 0)
strategy.exit('Exit4', qty=Qty4, stop=sl_short, when=strategy.position_size < 0 and KeepLastPosition == false)
strategy.close('short', when=short_exit, comment='CE Exit')

plot(strategy.position_size > 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp1percent) : na, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size > 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp2percent) : na, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size > 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp3percent) : na, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size > 0 ? sl_long : na, color=color.new(color.red, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size > 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price : na, color=color.new(color.gray, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)

plot(strategy.position_size < 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - tp1percent) : na, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size < 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - tp2percent) : na, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size < 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - tp3percent) : na, color=color.new(color.green, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size < 0 ? sl_short : na, color=color.new(color.red, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(strategy.position_size < 0 ? strategy.position_avg_price : na, color=color.new(color.gray, 0), style=plot.style_linebr)



Mais.