基于EMA和累积成交量的多空交易策略


创建日期: 2023-09-20 11:48:34 最后修改: 2023-09-20 11:48:34
复制: 0 点击次数: 515
1
关注
1223
关注者

概述

该策略结合EMA和累积成交量指标,根据两者的交叉情况判断行情趋势,产生买入和卖出信号。属于典型的跟踪趋势策略,追踪较长线级别的市场方向。

策略原理

计算50日EMA均线,以及100日累积成交量指标。当EMA从下向上突破累积成交量时,产生买入信号做多;当EMA从上向下跌破累积成交量时,产生卖出信号做空。

在持仓过程中,设置固定止损和止盈 exiting 策略。止损设定为入场价格的 8% 下方;止盈设定为入场价格的8%上方,并在价格触及止盈点时平仓一部分仓位。

优势分析

该策略结合趋势指标EMA和资金流指标累积成交量,充分利用价格和成交量信息,可以有效识别中长线趋势。固定止盈止损策略直接高效,有利锁定部分利润并控制风险。

可自由调整EMA周期参数,适应不同品种。可做多做空,实现线性交易。回测数据显示,在趋势行情中,策略表现良好。

风险分析

该策略过于依赖均线指标,在区间震荡行情中容易产生误信号被套牢。固定止盈止损也可能造成过早离场或止损过大。仅考虑价格和成交量信息,而未考虑其他因素。

可以适当扩大均线参数,减少误信号。也可以引入波动率、RSI等指标辅助判断。优化止盈止损机制,例如引入追踪止损、动态止盈等方式。

优化方向

  1. 测试优化EMA参数组合,寻找最优参数。

  2. 引入其他技术指标,形成指标组合策略。

  3. 应用机器学习预测价格趋势,提高EMA效果。

  4. 优化止盈止损策略,结合追踪止损、动态止盈等机制。

  5. 引入资金管理模块,动态调整仓位。

  6. 针对品种特性调整参数,形成策略组合。

总结

该策略整合EMA和成交量指标,判断中长线趋势的思路清晰。但过度依赖均线和固定止盈止损也存在问题。加入更多指标判断并优化止盈止损策略,可以提高策略稳定性和盈利空间。总体来说,其提供了利用价格和成交量信息进行趋势跟踪的思路。

策略源码
/*backtest
start: 2023-08-20 00:00:00
end: 2023-09-19 00:00:00
period: 2h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © mohanee

//@version=4
strategy("EMA_cumulativeVolume_crossover[Strategy]", overlay=true, pyramiding=1, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity,  default_qty_value=20, initial_capital=10000)


emaLength= input(50, title="EMA Length", minval=1, maxval=200)
cumulativePeriod = input(100,  title="cumulative volume Period", minval=1, maxval=200)


riskCapital = input(title="Risk % of capital", defval=10, minval=1)
stopLoss=input(8,title="Stop Loss",minval=1)
takePartialProfits=input(false, title="take partial profits  (percentage same as stop loss)")

tradeDirection=input(title="Trade Direction", defval="LONG", options=["LONG", "SHORT"])

avgPrice = (high + low + close) / 3
avgPriceVolume = avgPrice * volume

cumulPriceVolume = sum(avgPriceVolume, cumulativePeriod)
cumulVolume = sum(volume, cumulativePeriod)

vwapValue = cumulPriceVolume / cumulVolume

emaVal=ema(close, emaLength)

plot(emaVal, title="EMA", color=color.green,  transp=25)
plot(vwapValue, title="Cumulate Volumne / VWAP", color=color.orange,  linewidth=2, transp=25)

bgcolor(emaVal>vwapValue?color.blue:color.purple)    

//Entry--
//Echeck how many units can be purchased based on risk manage ment and stop loss
qty1 = (strategy.equity  * riskCapital / 100 ) /  (close*stopLoss/100)  

//check if cash is sufficient  to buy qty1  , if capital not available use the available capital only
qty1:= (qty1 * close >= strategy.equity ) ? (strategy.equity / close) : qty1

strategy.entry(id="LE",comment="LE", long=true, qty=qty1, when=crossover(emaVal, vwapValue)  and (tradeDirection=="LONG") )    //emaVal>vwapValue and crossover(close , emaVal)

//stoploss
stopLossVal=  strategy.position_size>=1 ?  (strategy.position_avg_price * (1-(stopLoss*0.01) )) : 0.00

//draw initil stop loss
plot(strategy.position_size>=1 ? stopLossVal : na, color = color.purple , style=plot.style_linebr,  linewidth = 2, title = "stop loss")

//partial exits
takeProfit=  strategy.position_size>=1 ?  (strategy.position_avg_price * (1+(stopLoss*0.01) )) : ( close[1] * 2 )
if(takePartialProfits==true)
    strategy.close(id="LE", comment="Partial"+tostring(close-strategy.position_avg_price, "###.##") , qty=strategy.position_size/3 , when = (tradeDirection=="LONG" ) and close>takeProfit and crossunder(close, emaVal) )    //close<close[1] and close[1]<close[2] and close[2]<close[3])
    
strategy.close(id="LE" , comment="LE Exit Points="+tostring(close-strategy.position_avg_price, "###.##"), when=crossunder(emaVal, vwapValue) and (tradeDirection=="LONG") )

strategy.close(id="LE" , comment="SL Exit Loss="+tostring(close-strategy.position_avg_price, "###.##"), when= close < stopLossVal   and (tradeDirection=="LONG") )


//for short  you dont have to wait crossodown of ema, falling is speed , so just check if close crossing down vwapVal
strategy.entry(id="SE",comment="SE", long=false, qty=qty1, when=(close<vwapValue and close<open  and close[1] < vwapValue  and close[1]<open[1] and close<close[1])  and emaVal>=vwapValue and (tradeDirection=="SHORT") )    //emaVal>vwapValue and crossover(close , emaVal)

//stoploss
stopLossValUpside=  abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and tradeDirection=="SHORT" ?  (strategy.position_avg_price * (1+(stopLoss*0.01) )) : 0.00

//draw initil stop loss
plot(abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and tradeDirection=="SHORT" ? stopLossValUpside : na, color = color.purple , style=plot.style_linebr,  linewidth = 2, title = "stop loss")

//partial exits
shortTakeProfit=  abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and tradeDirection=="SHORT" ?  (strategy.position_avg_price * (1-(stopLoss*0.01) )) : 0.00
if(takePartialProfits==true)
    strategy.close(id="SE", comment="Partial" , qty=strategy.position_size/3 , when = (tradeDirection=="SHORT"   ) and  close<shortTakeProfit )  //close<takeProfit and (emaVal - close)>8 )
  
//strategy.close(id="SE" , comment="SE Exit Points="+tostring(close-strategy.position_avg_price, "###.##"), when=crossover(emaVal, vwapValue) and (tradeDirection=="SHORT") )
strategy.close(id="SE" , comment="SE Exit Points="+tostring(close-strategy.position_avg_price, "###.##"), when= abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and ( (emaVal<vwapValue and close>vwapValue and open>vwapValue and close>open )   or (crossover(emaVal,vwapValue))  ) and (tradeDirection=="SHORT") )

strategy.close(id="SE" , comment="SL Exit Loss="+tostring(close-strategy.position_avg_price, "###.##"), when= abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and  close > stopLossValUpside   and (tradeDirection=="SHORT"   ) )


更多内容