Exponential Moving Average and Relative Strength Index Combination Trend Following Strategy

Overview

This strategy combines the EMA and RSI indicators to identify trend direction and enter positions after trend confirmation, avoiding overbuying and overselling by incorporating the RSI indicator. The strategy is simple and practical for medium to long term trend trading.

Strategy Logic

The strategy utilizes the 5-day EMA, 13-day EMA and 50-day EMA moving averages. When the 5-day EMA crosses above the 13-day EMA, it is viewed as a profit opportunity to go long. When the 5-day EMA crosses below the 13-day EMA, it is viewed as a stop loss opportunity to go short. In addition, long positions can only be opened when the price is above the 50-day EMA, and short positions can be opened only when the price is below the 50-day EMA, ensuring the trading direction is consistent with the major trend.

After entering a position, if the RSI becomes overbought (above 70) or the 5-day EMA crosses back below the 13-day EMA, long positions will be closed for profit taking. If the RSI becomes oversold (below 30) or the 5-day EMA crosses back above the 13-day EMA, short positions will be closed for profit.

Advantage Analysis

This strategy combines trend following signals and overbought/oversold indications, which can effectively capture profit opportunities along the main trend direction while avoiding being trapped in range-bound markets. The smoothness of EMAs helps reduce false signals. Also, the RSI settings prevent chasing gains and cutting losses excessively before trend reversals.

Risk Analysis

The strategy relies mainly on moving averages, which can generate more closing signals in winding consolidation markets, failing to hold longer-term positions. If a trend reversal occurs, the trader may not be able to follow the new opportunity promptly. In addition, the parameters of moving averages and RSI can impact strategy performance.

Risks can be reduced by loosening holding conditions, optimizing parameter combinations, incorporating more indicators, etc.

Optimization Directions

The strategy can be optimized in the following aspects:

1. Add position sizing mechanisms like fixed percentage to control single trade risk.

2. Optimize EMA and RSI parameters to find the best combination, testing more cycle lengths.

3. Incorporate more indicators like BO IntegerField to determine trends and reversals based on more factors.

4. Add automatic stop loss price setting.

Conclusion

The strategy is simple and practical overall. The use of only EMA and RSI requires less parameter optimization and market judgment, making it easy to grasp and backtest. However, flexibility and robustness may be slightly compromised, requiring further enhancements to adapt to more complex market environments. Still, for medium to long term trend trading, it provides a sound approach.