La estrategia de tendencia dinámica de media móvil múltiple es una estrategia de negociación cuantitativa que utiliza múltiples tipos de indicadores de media móvil para determinar la tendencia del mercado y ajusta dinámicamente la posición de la línea de stop loss.
Esta estrategia implementa principalmente 8 tipos diferentes de promedios móviles a través de funciones personalizadas, incluidos promedio móvil simple (SMA), promedio móvil exponencial (EMA), promedio móvil ponderado (WMA), promedio móvil triangular (TMA), promedio dinámico de índice variable (VIDYA), promedio móvil de Wilder (WWMA), promedio móvil exponencial de retraso cero (ZLEMA) e índice de fuerza verdadera (TSI).
La estrategia primero calcula el tipo seleccionado de media móvil, y luego calcula dinámicamente la posición de los carriles superior e inferior en función del parámetro de porcentaje establecido. Una señal de compra se activa cuando el precio rompe el carril superior, y una señal de venta se activa cuando el precio rompe el carril inferior. Además, la estrategia también rastrea los cruces entre el promedio móvil y el precio como señales de juicio auxiliares.
Durante el cálculo, la estrategia también juzga la dirección de la tendencia del mercado, ajustando así dinámicamente la posición de los rieles superior e inferior. Específicamente, cuando se determina una tendencia alcista, el rieles inferior se moverá hacia arriba siguiendo el precio en aumento para que la línea de stop loss pueda rastrear de manera óptima el precio en aumento. Cuando se determina una tendencia bajista, el rieles superior se moverá hacia abajo siguiendo el precio en caída para reducir el punto de stop loss y minimizar las pérdidas.
Soluciones:
Todavía hay mucho espacio para optimizar esta estrategia:
La estrategia de tendencia dinámica de media móvil múltiple determina las tendencias del mercado mediante la combinación de múltiples indicadores de media móvil, e inicia operaciones basadas en señales de ruptura de precios mientras se ajustan dinámicamente las posiciones de la línea de stop loss para una rentabilidad eficiente. Esta estrategia integra con éxito los tres conceptos principales de estrategia cuantitativa de seguimiento de tendencia, comercio de ruptura de precios y paradas dinámicas, exhibiendo una fuerte estabilidad y rentabilidad.
/*backtest start: 2022-11-16 00:00:00 end: 2023-11-22 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //@version=4 // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © KivancOzbilgic //created by: @Anil_Ozeksi //developer: ANIL ÖZEKŞİ //author: @kivancozbilgic strategy("Optimized Trend Tracker","OTTEx", overlay=true) src = input(close, title="Source") length=input(2, "OTT Period", minval=1) percent=input(1.4, "OTT Percent", type=input.float, step=0.1, minval=0) showsupport = input(title="Show Support Line?", type=input.bool, defval=true) showsignalsk = input(title="Show Support Line Crossing Signals?", type=input.bool, defval=true) showsignalsc = input(title="Show Price/OTT Crossing Signals?", type=input.bool, defval=false) highlight = input(title="Show OTT Color Changes?", type=input.bool, defval=false) showsignalsr = input(title="Show OTT Color Change Signals?", type=input.bool, defval=false) highlighting = input(title="Highlighter On/Off ?", type=input.bool, defval=true) mav = input(title="Moving Average Type", defval="VAR", options=["SMA", "EMA", "WMA", "TMA", "VAR", "WWMA", "ZLEMA", "TSF"]) Var_Func(src,length)=> valpha=2/(length+1) vud1=src>src[1] ? src-src[1] : 0 vdd1=src<src[1] ? src[1]-src : 0 vUD=sum(vud1,9) vDD=sum(vdd1,9) vCMO=nz((vUD-vDD)/(vUD+vDD)) VAR=0.0 VAR:=nz(valpha*abs(vCMO)*src)+(1-valpha*abs(vCMO))*nz(VAR[1]) VAR=Var_Func(src,length) Wwma_Func(src,length)=> wwalpha = 1/ length WWMA = 0.0 WWMA := wwalpha*src + (1-wwalpha)*nz(WWMA[1]) WWMA=Wwma_Func(src,length) Zlema_Func(src,length)=> zxLag = length/2==round(length/2) ? length/2 : (length - 1) / 2 zxEMAData = (src + (src - src[zxLag])) ZLEMA = ema(zxEMAData, length) ZLEMA=Zlema_Func(src,length) Tsf_Func(src,length)=> lrc = linreg(src, length, 0) lrc1 = linreg(src,length,1) lrs = (lrc-lrc1) TSF = linreg(src, length, 0)+lrs TSF=Tsf_Func(src,length) getMA(src, length) => ma = 0.0 if mav == "SMA" ma := sma(src, length) ma if mav == "EMA" ma := ema(src, length) ma if mav == "WMA" ma := wma(src, length) ma if mav == "TMA" ma := sma(sma(src, ceil(length / 2)), floor(length / 2) + 1) ma if mav == "VAR" ma := VAR ma if mav == "WWMA" ma := WWMA ma if mav == "ZLEMA" ma := ZLEMA ma if mav == "TSF" ma := TSF ma ma MAvg=getMA(src, length) fark=MAvg*percent*0.01 longStop = MAvg - fark longStopPrev = nz(longStop[1], longStop) longStop := MAvg > longStopPrev ? max(longStop, longStopPrev) : longStop shortStop = MAvg + fark shortStopPrev = nz(shortStop[1], shortStop) shortStop := MAvg < shortStopPrev ? min(shortStop, shortStopPrev) : shortStop dir = 1 dir := nz(dir[1], dir) dir := dir == -1 and MAvg > shortStopPrev ? 1 : dir == 1 and MAvg < longStopPrev ? -1 : dir MT = dir==1 ? longStop: shortStop OTT=MAvg>MT ? MT*(200+percent)/200 : MT*(200-percent)/200 plot(showsupport ? MAvg : na, color=#0585E1, linewidth=2, title="Support Line") OTTC = highlight ? OTT[2] > OTT[3] ? color.green : color.red : #B800D9 pALL=plot(nz(OTT[2]), color=OTTC, linewidth=2, title="OTT", transp=0) alertcondition(cross(OTT[2], OTT[3]), title="Color ALARM", message="OTT Has Changed Color!") alertcondition(crossover(OTT[2], OTT[3]), title="GREEN ALERT", message="OTT GREEN BUY SIGNAL!") alertcondition(crossunder(OTT[2], OTT[3]), title="RED ALERT", message="OTT RED SELL SIGNAL!") alertcondition(cross(MAvg, OTT[2]), title="Cross Alert", message="OTT - Support Line Crossing!") alertcondition(crossover(MAvg, OTT[2]), title="Crossover Alarm", message="Support Line BUY SIGNAL!") alertcondition(crossunder(MAvg, OTT[2]), title="Crossunder Alarm", message="Support Line SELL SIGNAL!") alertcondition(cross(src, OTT[2]), title="Price Cross Alert", message="OTT - Price Crossing!") alertcondition(crossover(src, OTT[2]), title="Price Crossover Alarm", message="PRICE OVER OTT - BUY SIGNAL!") alertcondition(crossunder(src, OTT[2]), title="Price Crossunder Alarm", message="PRICE UNDER OTT - SELL SIGNAL!") buySignalk = crossover(MAvg, OTT[2]) plotshape(buySignalk and showsignalsk ? OTT*0.995 : na, title="Buy", text="Buy", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) sellSignallk = crossunder(MAvg, OTT[2]) plotshape(sellSignallk and showsignalsk ? OTT*1.005 : na, title="Sell", text="Sell", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) buySignalc = crossover(src, OTT[2]) plotshape(buySignalc and showsignalsc ? OTT*0.995 : na, title="Buy", text="Buy", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) sellSignallc = crossunder(src, OTT[2]) plotshape(sellSignallc and showsignalsc ? OTT*1.005 : na, title="Sell", text="Sell", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) mPlot = plot(ohlc4, title="", style=plot.style_circles, linewidth=0,display=display.none) longFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg>OTT ? color.green : na) : na shortFillColor = highlighting ? (MAvg<OTT ? color.red : na) : na fill(mPlot, pALL, title="UpTrend Highligter", color=longFillColor) fill(mPlot, pALL, title="DownTrend Highligter", color=shortFillColor) buySignalr = crossover(OTT[2], OTT[3]) plotshape(buySignalr and showsignalsr ? OTT*0.995 : na, title="Buy", text="Buy", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labelup, size=size.tiny, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) sellSignallr = crossunder(OTT[2], OTT[3]) plotshape(sellSignallr and showsignalsr ? OTT*1.005 : na, title="Sell", text="Sell", location=location.absolute, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.tiny, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, transp=0) showscr = input(true, title="Show Screener Label") posX_scr = input(20, title="Pos. Label x-axis") posY_scr = input(1, title="Pos. Size Label y-axis") colinput = input(title="Label Color", defval="Blue", options=["White", "Black", "Red", "Green", "Yellow", "Blue"]) col = color.gray if colinput=="White" col:=color.white if colinput=="Black" col:=color.black if colinput=="Red" col:=color.red if colinput=="Green" col:=color.green if colinput=="Yellow" col:=color.yellow if colinput=="Blue" col:=color.blue dummy0 = input(true, title = "=Backtest Inputs=") FromDay = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) FromMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "From Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) FromYear = input(defval = 2005, title = "From Year", minval = 2005) ToDay = input(defval = 1, title = "To Day", minval = 1, maxval = 31) ToMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "To Month", minval = 1, maxval = 12) ToYear = input(defval = 9999, title = "To Year", minval = 2006) Start = timestamp(FromYear, FromMonth, FromDay, 00, 00) Finish = timestamp(ToYear, ToMonth, ToDay, 23, 59) Timerange() => true if buySignalk strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long,when=Timerange()) if sellSignallk strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short,when=Timerange()) // t1=input('EURUSD', title='Symbol 01',type=input.symbol) // t2=input('XAUUSD', title='Symbol 02',type=input.symbol) // t3=input('AMZN', title='Symbol 03',type=input.symbol) // t4=input('TSLA', title='Symbol 04',type=input.symbol) // t5=input('BTCUSDT', title='Symbol 05',type=input.symbol) // t6=input('ETHBTC', title='Symbol 06',type=input.symbol) // t7=input('XBTUSD', title='Symbol 07',type=input.symbol) // t8=input('XRPBTC', title='Symbol 08',type=input.symbol) // t9=input('THYAO', title='Symbol 09',type=input.symbol) // t10=input('GARAN', title='Symbol 10',type=input.symbol) // t11=input('', title='Symbol 11',type=input.symbol) // t12=input('', title='Symbol 12',type=input.symbol) // t13=input('', title='Symbol 13',type=input.symbol) // t14=input('', title='Symbol 14',type=input.symbol) // t15=input('', title='Symbol 15',type=input.symbol) // t16=input('', title='Symbol 16',type=input.symbol) // t17=input('', title='Symbol 17',type=input.symbol) // t18=input('', title='Symbol 18',type=input.symbol) // t19=input('', title='Symbol 19',type=input.symbol) // t20=input('', title='Symbol 20',type=input.symbol) // OTTs(percent, length) => // Up=MAvg-MAvg*percent*0.01 // Dn=MAvg+MAvg*percent*0.01 // TrendUp = 0.0 // TrendUp := MAvg[1]>TrendUp[1] ? max(Up,TrendUp[1]) : Up // TrendDown = 0.0 // TrendDown := MAvg[1]<TrendDown[1]? min(Dn,TrendDown[1]) : Dn // Trend = 0.0 // Trend := MAvg > TrendDown[1] ? 1: MAvg< TrendUp[1]? -1: nz(Trend[1],1) // Tsl = Trend==1? TrendUp: TrendDown // S_Buy = Trend == 1 ? 1 : 0 // S_Sell = Trend != 1 ? 1 : 0 // [Trend, Tsl] // [Trend, Tsl] = OTTs(percent, length) // TrendReversal = Trend != Trend[1] // [t01, s01] = security(t1, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t02, s02] = security(t2, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t03, s03] = security(t3, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t04, s04] = security(t4, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t05, s05] = security(t5, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t06, s06] = security(t6, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t07, s07] = security(t7, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t08, s08] = security(t8, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t09, s09] = security(t9, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t010, s010] = security(t10, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t011, s011] = security(t11, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t012, s012] = security(t12, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t013, s013] = security(t13, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t014, s014] = security(t14, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t015, s015] = security(t15, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t016, s016] = security(t16, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t017, s017] = security(t17, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t018, s018] = security(t18, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t019, s019] = security(t19, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // [t020, s020] = security(t20, timeframe.period, OTTs(percent, length)) // tr01 = t01 != t01[1], up01 = t01 == 1, dn01 = t01 == -1 // tr02 = t02 != t02[1], up02 = t02 == 1, dn02 = t02 == -1 // tr03 = t03 != t03[1], up03 = t03 == 1, dn03 = t03 == -1 // tr04 = t04 != t04[1], up04 = t04 == 1, dn04 = t04 == -1 // tr05 = t05 != t05[1], up05 = t05 == 1, dn05 = t05 == -1 // tr06 = t06 != t06[1], up06 = t06 == 1, dn06 = t06 == -1 // tr07 = t07 != t07[1], up07 = t07 == 1, dn07 = t07 == -1 // tr08 = t08 != t08[1], up08 = t08 == 1, dn08 = t08 == -1 // tr09 = t09 != t09[1], up09 = t09 == 1, dn09 = t09 == -1 // tr010 = t010 != t010[1], up010 = t010 == 1, dn010 = t010 == -1 // tr011 = t011 != t011[1], up011 = t011 == 1, dn011 = t011 == -1 // tr012 = t012 != t012[1], up012 = t012 == 1, dn012 = t012 == -1 // tr013 = t013 != t013[1], up013 = t013 == 1, dn013 = t013 == -1 // tr014 = t014 != t014[1], up014 = t014 == 1, dn014 = t014 == -1 // tr015 = t015 != t015[1], up015 = t015 == 1, dn015 = t015 == -1 // tr016 = t016 != t016[1], up016 = t016 == 1, dn016 = t016 == -1 // tr017 = t017 != t017[1], up017 = t017 == 1, dn017 = t017 == -1 // tr018 = t018 != t018[1], up018 = t018 == 1, dn018 = t018 == -1 // tr019 = t019 != t019[1], up019 = t019 == 1, dn019 = t019 == -1 // tr020 = t020 != t020[1], up020 = t020 == 1, dn020 = t020 == -1 // pot_label = 'Potential Reversal: \n' // pot_label := tr01 ? pot_label + t1 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr02 ? pot_label + t2 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr03 ? pot_label + t3 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr04 ? pot_label + t4 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr05 ? pot_label + t5 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr06 ? pot_label + t6 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr07 ? pot_label + t7 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr08 ? pot_label + t8 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr09 ? pot_label + t9 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr010 ? pot_label + t10 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr011 ? pot_label + t11 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr012 ? pot_label + t12 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr013 ? pot_label + t13 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr014 ? pot_label + t14 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr015 ? pot_label + t15 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr016 ? pot_label + t16 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr017 ? pot_label + t17 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr018 ? pot_label + t18 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr019 ? pot_label + t19 + '\n' : pot_label // pot_label := tr020 ? pot_label + t20 + '\n' : pot_label // scr_label = 'Confirmed Reversal: \n' // scr_label := tr01[1] ? scr_label + t1 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr02[1] ? scr_label + t2 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr03[1] ? scr_label + t3 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr04[1] ? scr_label + t4 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr05[1] ? scr_label + t5 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr06[1] ? scr_label + t6 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr07[1] ? scr_label + t7 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr08[1] ? scr_label + t8 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr09[1] ? scr_label + t9 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr010[1] ? scr_label + t10 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr011[1] ? scr_label + t11 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr012[1] ? scr_label + t12 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr013[1] ? scr_label + t13 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr014[1] ? scr_label + t14 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr015[1] ? scr_label + t15 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr016[1] ? scr_label + t16 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr017[1] ? scr_label + t17 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr018[1] ? scr_label + t18 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr019[1] ? scr_label + t19 + '\n' : scr_label // scr_label := tr020[1] ? scr_label + t20 + '\n' : scr_label // up_label = 'Uptrend: \n' // up_label := up01[1] ? up_label + t1 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up02[1] ? up_label + t2 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up03[1] ? up_label + t3 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up04[1] ? up_label + t4 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up05[1] ? up_label + t5 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up06[1] ? up_label + t6 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up07[1] ? up_label + t7 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up08[1] ? up_label + t8 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up09[1] ? up_label + t9 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up010[1] ? up_label + t10 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up011[1] ? up_label + t11 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up012[1] ? up_label + t12 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up013[1] ? up_label + t13 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up014[1] ? up_label + t14 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up015[1] ? up_label + t15 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up016[1] ? up_label + t16 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up017[1] ? up_label + t17 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up018[1] ? up_label + t18 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up019[1] ? up_label + t19 + '\n' : up_label // up_label := up020[1] ? up_label + t20 + '\n' : up_label // dn_label = 'Downtrend: \n' // dn_label := dn01[1] ? dn_label + t1 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn02[1] ? dn_label + t2 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn03[1] ? dn_label + t3 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn04[1] ? dn_label + t4 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn05[1] ? dn_label + t5 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn06[1] ? dn_label + t6 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn07[1] ? dn_label + t7 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn08[1] ? dn_label + t8 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn09[1] ? dn_label + t9 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn010[1] ? dn_label + t10 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn011[1] ? dn_label + t11 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn012[1] ? dn_label + t12 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn013[1] ? dn_label + t13 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn014[1] ? dn_label + t14 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn015[1] ? dn_label + t15 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn016[1] ? dn_label + t16 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn017[1] ? dn_label + t17 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn018[1] ? dn_label + t18 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn019[1] ? dn_label + t19 + '\n' : dn_label // dn_label := dn020[1] ? dn_label + t20 + '\n' : dn_label // f_colorscr (_valscr ) => // _valscr ? #00000000 : na // f_printscr (_txtscr ) => // var _lblscr = label(na), // label.delete(_lblscr ), // _lblscr := label.new( // time + (time-time[1])*posX_scr , // ohlc4[posY_scr], // _txtscr , // xloc.bar_time, // yloc.price, // f_colorscr ( showscr ), // textcolor = showscr ? col : na, // size = size.normal, // style=label.style_label_center // ) // f_printscr ( scr_label + '\n' + pot_label +'\n' + up_label + '\n' + dn_label)