Strategi ini terutama memanfaatkan prinsip-prinsip moving average untuk menemukan peluang countertrend ketika saham oversold dalam jangka pendek. Ketika moving average cepat berada di bawah moving average lambat, ini menunjukkan bahwa saham berada dalam tren penurunan. Ketika harga melanggar moving average cepat dengan margin tertentu, downside terbatas dan bounce mungkin. Strategi ini bertujuan untuk menangkap bouncing oversold seperti itu dengan pergi panjang ketika harga melintasi kembali di atas moving average cepat.
Atur rata-rata bergerak cepat seperti 8EMA dan rata-rata bergerak lambat seperti 20SMA.
Ketika SMA berada di atas EMA, itu menunjukkan tren naik. Ketika SMA berada di bawah EMA, itu menunjukkan tren turun.
Ketika harga melanggar EMA dengan margin tertentu (misalnya 2-10%), saham terjual terlalu banyak dan bouncing lebih mungkin.
Ketika harga kembali melintasi EMA, itu memicu sinyal beli.
Atur stop loss di dekat EMA, ambil keuntungan di dekat SMA tengah (misalnya 50SMA) atau gunakan persentase ambil keuntungan.
Likuidasi saat harga kembali di bawah EMA.
Menggunakan prinsip yang dapat diandalkan dari rata-rata bergerak.
EMA yang cepat dan margin oversold meningkatkan kemungkinan bounce.
Stop loss yang dapat disesuaikan dan mengambil keuntungan mengendalikan risiko.
Ukuran posisi yang fleksibel sesuai dengan selera risiko yang berbeda.
Bouncing gagal masih bisa terjadi meskipun oversold margin.
Rata-rata bergerak memiliki lag dan mungkin melewatkan bouncing lokal.
Stop loss di dekat EMA bisa dihentikan dengan mudah pada volatilitas.
Beberapa pengaturan parameter manual diperlukan yang sangat mempengaruhi hasil.
Hasilnya berkorelasi dengan pengambilan stok.
Tambahkan filter tren untuk menghindari perdagangan kontra-tren.
Tambahkan volume filter untuk meningkatkan probabilitas.
Pertimbangkan stop loss yang dinamis dan tidak statis.
Riset set parameter optimal untuk mengurangi ketergantungan.
Sertakan pengambilan stok untuk seleksi yang lebih baik.
Strategi ini memiliki logika yang jelas dan mudah dipahami sebagai sistem reversi rata-rata bergerak yang khas. Keuntungannya adalah stabilitas dan pengendalian risiko, membuatnya cocok untuk pemula. Tetapi masih membawa risiko salah menilai titik pembalikan. Peningkatan melalui filter tambahan, berhenti dinamis, optimasi parameter dll dapat meningkatkan ketahanan. Secara keseluruhan ini merupakan contoh kerangka reversi rata-rata jangka pendek yang baik yang layak dipelajari.
/*backtest start: 2022-10-22 00:00:00 end: 2022-12-14 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ //@version=4 // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © MakeMoneyCoESTB2020 //*********************Notes for continued work*************** //************************************************************ //I. Intro //This strategy is designed to allow you to catch the bounce or "SNAP Back" of a equity that has been in a downward trend. //Once the moving averages are in the order of 200SMA > 50 SMA > 34EMA > 20SMA > 8EMA, the strategy is setup. //Next you wait for a trigger of the closing price crossing over the 8EMA, while there is a desired gap size between the 8EMA and the 20SMA (2-10% of stock value preferred). //Exit position based on target profit reached (conservative sell half at 34EMA and engage a trailing stop loss for remainder or set static limit) or price crosses 8EMA or stop loss% //*)This code also allows you to determine your desired backtesting date compliments of alanaster //This code is the product of many hours of hard work on the part of the greater tradingview community. The credit goes to everyone in the community who has put code out there for the greater good. //The idea for the coding came from video I watched on YouTube presented by TradeStation called Snap Back - thank you guys for the inspiration. //UPDATE: I have coded the other side of the strategy to allow you to take advantage of the same set-up in an uptrend for Short plays. You can turn the up or downsides on, off, or both. //Happy Hunting! //II. Table Of Contents // 1. Define Strategy Variables // 2. Perform Calculations // 3. Display Chart Information // 4. Determine Entry Conditions // 5. Determine Exit Conditions // 1. Define Strategy Variables************************************************************************************************************************************************************************* //Title // strategy("SNAP BACK 2.0 Strategy", shorttitle="SNAP Back 2.0", default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=5, initial_capital=20000,slippage=2, currency=currency.USD, overlay=true) //Define calculations price source price = input(title="Price Source", defval=close) //Define Trade Agression Level aggro=input(title="Aggressive = 0, Conservative = 1", defval=0, options=[0, 1]) //Define Gap percentage allowed between 8EMA and 20SMA GAP=input(title="Gap% between 8EMA & 20SMA", defval=2, minval=0, maxval=25, step=1)/100 //Does user want to run the Strategy for Trending Up or Trending Down RunTrend=input(title="Run Strategy Trending Up, Down, or Both", defval="Up", options=["Up", "Down", "Both"]) //Initialize 8/34EMA 20/50/200/200SMA SH_EMA_length= input(title="SH EMA Length", defval=8) //short EMA length MD_EMA_length= input(title="MD EMA Length", defval=34) //medium EMA length SH_SMA_length= input(title="SH SMA Length", defval=20) //short SMA length MD_SMA_length= input(title="LG SMA Length", defval=50) //medium SMA length LG_SMA_length= input(title="SH SMA Length", defval=200) //long SMA length SH_EMA=ema(price, SH_EMA_length) //short EMA MD_EMA=ema(price, MD_EMA_length) //medium EMA SH_SMA=sma(price, SH_SMA_length) //short SMA MD_SMA=sma(price, MD_SMA_length) //medium SMA LG_SMA=sma(price, LG_SMA_length) //long SMA // 2. Perform Calculations************************************************************************************************************************************************************************* // ************************************ INPUT BACKTEST RANGE ******************************************=== coutesy of alanaster fromMonth = input(defval = 4, title = "From Month", type = input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 12) fromDay = input(defval = 1, title = "From Day", type = input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 31) fromYear = input(defval = 2020, title = "From Year", type = input.integer, minval = 1970) thruMonth = input(defval = 1, title = "Thru Month", type = input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 12) thruDay = input(defval = 1, title = "Thru Day", type = input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 31) thruYear = input(defval = 2112, title = "Thru Year", type = input.integer, minval = 1970) // === INPUT SHOW PLOT === showDate = input(defval = true, title = "Show Date Range", type = input.bool) // === FUNCTION EXAMPLE === start = timestamp(fromYear, fromMonth, fromDay, 00, 00) // backtest start window finish = timestamp(thruYear, thruMonth, thruDay, 23, 59) // backtest finish window window() => true // create function "within window of time" bgcolor(color = showDate and window() ? color.gray : na, transp = 90) // 3. Display Chart Information************************************************************************************************************************************************************************* //plot EMAs plot(SH_EMA, title = "SH EMA", color = color.blue) plot(MD_EMA, title = "MD EMA", color = color.yellow) //plot SMAs plot(SH_SMA, title = "SH SMA", color = color.green) plot(MD_SMA, title = "MD SMA", color = color.orange) plot(LG_SMA, title = "LG SMA", color = color.red, linewidth = 4, transp = 70) // 4. Determine Entry Conditions************************************************************************************************************************************************************************* //Determine if SNAP Back (SB) setup is present: SB_RB_Up= false //SB_RB_Up = Snap Back RainBow for an Uptrend Swing SB_RB_Up:= iff(LG_SMA>MD_SMA and MD_SMA>MD_EMA and MD_EMA>SH_SMA and SH_SMA>SH_EMA, true, false) //is the 200SMA > 50 SMA > 34EMA > 20SMA > 8EMA // plotshape(SB_RB, title= "SB_RB", color=color.black, style=shape.cross, text="Rainbow") //for testing only SB_RB_DWN= false //SB_RB_DWN = Snap Back RainBow for a Downtrend Swing SB_RB_DWN:= iff(LG_SMA<MD_SMA and MD_SMA<MD_EMA and MD_EMA<SH_SMA and SH_SMA<SH_EMA, true, false) //is the 200SMA < 50 SMA < 34EMA < 20SMA < 8EMA SB_Gap=false SB_Gap:= iff(abs(SH_SMA-SH_EMA)>(price*GAP), true, false) //is there a greater than "GAP"% of the price gap between the 8EMA and 20SMA SB_SetUp_Up=false SB_SetUp_Up:= iff(SB_RB_Up and SB_Gap, true, false)//Uptrend Setup both conditions must be true //plotshape(SB_SetUp, title= "SB_SetUp", color=color.white, style=shape.diamond, text="Set Up") //for testing SB_SetUp_DWN=false SB_SetUp_DWN:= iff(SB_RB_DWN and SB_Gap, true, false)//Downtrend Setup both conditions must be true //Determine trigger (TGR) for entry SB_TGR_Up=false SB_TGR_Up:= iff(iff(aggro==0, crossover(price, SH_EMA), true) and iff(aggro==1, crossover(price[aggro],SH_EMA) and price>open[aggro], true), true, false) //if the price crosses over the 8EMA that is our entry signal, aggro determines how aggressively we enter the position (wait for a confirmaiton bar or not) SB_TGR_DWN=false SB_TGR_DWN:= iff(iff(aggro==0, crossunder(price, SH_EMA), true) and iff(aggro==1, crossunder(price[aggro],SH_EMA) and price<open[aggro], true), true, false) //if the price crosses under the 8EMA that is our entry signal, aggro determines how aggressively we enter the position (wait for a confirmaiton bar or not) //Determine when to run the strategy based on user input for uptrend or downtrend RunTrendUp=false //Varibile for running the Strategy in an UpTrend RunTrendUp:= iff(RunTrend == "Up" or RunTrend == "Both", true, false) RunTrendDWN=false //Varibile for running the Strategy in a DownTrend RunTrendDWN:= iff(RunTrend == "Down" or RunTrend == "Both", true, false) //Determine full buy conditions MAbuy=false//long entry variable MAbuy := iff(SB_SetUp_Up and SB_TGR_Up and RunTrendUp, true, false) //when both the setup, the trigger, and RunTrend are true return true plotshape(MAbuy, title= "HC-LB", color=color.lime, style=shape.circle, text="HC-LB") strategy.entry("HC-Long", strategy.long, comment="HC-Long", when = MAbuy and window()) MAsell=false//short entry variable MAsell := iff(SB_SetUp_DWN and SB_TGR_DWN and RunTrendDWN, true, false) //when both the setup, the trigger, and RunTrend are true return true plotshape(MAsell, title= "HC-SB", color=color.purple, style=shape.circle, text="HC-SB") strategy.entry("HC-Short", strategy.short, comment="HC-Short", when = MAsell and window()) // 5. Submit Profit and Loss Exit Calculations Orders************************************************************************************************************************************************************************* //Stop Criteria StpCri=input(title="Stop Criteria: SL or SH_EMA", defval="SL", options=["SL", "SH_EMA"]) //Profit Criteria ProCri=input(title="Profit Criteria: TGT% or MD_EMA", defval="TGT%", options=["TGT%", "MD_EMA"]) // User Options to Change Inputs (%) TrailPerc = input(title="Trail Loss %", type=input.float, minval=0, step=1, defval=6) /100 stopPer = input(4, title='Stop Loss %', type=input.float) / 100 takePer = input(6, title='Take Profit %', type=input.float) / 100 //Percent of SH_EMA to use for StopLoss SH_EMA_percent = input(96, title="% of SH_EMA for Stop")/100 //Percent of MD_EMA to use for Take Profit MD_EMA_percent = input(100, title="% of MD_EMA for Profit")/100 //calculate Trail stop price for MD_EMA TGT% condition longStopPrice=0.0//long side entry stop variable longStopPrice := if (strategy.position_size > 0) stopValue = close * (1 - TrailPerc) max(stopValue, longStopPrice[1]) else 0 shortStopPrice=0.0//short side entry stop variable shortStopPrice := if (strategy.position_size < 0) shortStopValue = close * (1 + TrailPerc) min(shortStopValue, shortStopPrice[1]) else 999999 // Determine where you've entered and in what direction longStop = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stopPer) shortStop = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stopPer) shortTake = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - takePer) longTake = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + takePer) //exit position conditions and orders if strategy.position_size > 0 //long side exit conditions if StpCri=="SL" and ProCri=="TGT%" strategy.exit(id="Close Long", when = window(), stop=longStop, limit=longTake)// sell when either the TGT or the SL is hit if StpCri=="SL" and ProCri=="MD_EMA" strategy.exit(id="Close Long (50%)", when = window(), stop=longStop, limit=MD_EMA_percent*MD_EMA, qty_percent=50)// sell 50% when MD_EMA hit or SL then transition to a trailing stop loss strategy.exit(id="Close Long Trailing Stop", when = window(), stop=longStopPrice, qty_percent=100) if StpCri=="SH_EMA" and ProCri=="MD_EMA" strategy.exit(id="Close Long (50%)", when = window(), stop=SH_EMA*SH_EMA_percent, limit=MD_EMA_percent*MD_EMA, qty_percent=50)// sell 50% when MD_EMA hit or SH_EMA hit then transition to a trailing stop loss strategy.exit(id="Close Long Trailing Stop", when = window(), stop=longStopPrice, qty_percent=100) if StpCri=="SH_EMA" and ProCri=="TGT%" strategy.exit(id="Close Long", when = window(), stop=SH_EMA*SH_EMA_percent, limit=longTake)// sell when either the TGT or the SH_EMA is hit if strategy.position_size < 0 //short side exit conditions if StpCri=="SL" and ProCri=="TGT%" strategy.exit(id="Close Short", when = window(), stop=shortStop, limit=shortTake)// sell when either the TGT or the SL is hit if StpCri=="SL" and ProCri=="MD_EMA" strategy.exit(id="Close Short (50%)", when = window(), stop=shortStop, limit=(2-MD_EMA_percent)*MD_EMA, qty_percent=50)// sell 50% when MD_EMA hit or SL then transition to a trailing stop loss strategy.exit(id="Close Short Trailing Stop", when = window(), stop=shortStopPrice, qty_percent=100) if StpCri=="SH_EMA" and ProCri=="MD_EMA" strategy.exit(id="Close Short (50%)", when = window(), stop=SH_EMA*(2-SH_EMA_percent), limit=(2-MD_EMA_percent)*MD_EMA, qty_percent=50)// sell 50% when MD_EMA hit or SH_EMA hit then transition to a trailing stop loss strategy.exit(id="Close Short Trailing Stop", when = window(), stop=shortStopPrice, qty_percent=100) if StpCri=="SH_EMA" and ProCri=="TGT%" strategy.exit(id="Close Short", when = window(), stop=SH_EMA*(2-SH_EMA_percent), limit=shortTake)// sell when either the TGT or the SH_EMA is hit // Plot stop trailing loss values for confirmation plot(series=(strategy.position_size > 0 and (ProCri == "MD_EMA")) ? longStopPrice : na, color=color.fuchsia, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Long Trail Stop") //plot the trailing stop on the chart for an uptrend plot(series=(strategy.position_size < 0 and (ProCri == "MD_EMA")) ? shortStopPrice : na, color=color.fuchsia, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the trailing stop on the chart for a downtrend //plot fixed stop loss value plot(series=(strategy.position_size > 0 and (StpCri == "SL")) ? longStop : na, color=color.fuchsia, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Long Trail Stop") //plot the stop on the chart for an uptrend plot(series=(strategy.position_size < 0 and (StpCri == "SL")) ? shortStop : na, color=color.fuchsia, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the stop on the chart for a downtrend //plot highlight of SH_EMA% used for stop exit condition plot(series=(strategy.position_size > 0 and (StpCri == "SH_EMA")) ? SH_EMA*SH_EMA_percent : na, color=color.fuchsia, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the SH_EMA based stop on the chart for a uptrend plot(series=(strategy.position_size < 0 and (StpCri == "SH_EMA")) ? SH_EMA*(2-SH_EMA_percent) : na, color=color.fuchsia, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the SH_EMA based stop on the chart for a downtrend //plot the TGT profit points plot(series=(strategy.position_size > 0 and (ProCri == "TGT%")) ? longTake : na, color=color.lime, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the TGT% for long position plot(series=(strategy.position_size > 0 and (ProCri == "MD_EMA")) ? MD_EMA_percent*MD_EMA : na, color=color.lime, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the MD_EMA % TGT for long position plot(series=(strategy.position_size < 0 and (ProCri == "TGT%")) ? shortTake : na, color=color.lime, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the TGT% for short position plot(series=(strategy.position_size < 0 and (ProCri == "MD_EMA")) ? (2-MD_EMA_percent)*MD_EMA : na, color=color.lime, style=plot.style_cross, linewidth=2, title="Short Trail Stop") //plot the MD_EMA % TGT for short position