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Strategi Pembalikan Bawah

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2023-12-15 11:07:41
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Ringkasan

Strategi ini adalah berdasarkan bahagian bawah pasaran untuk perdagangan pembalikan. Ia menggunakan titik terendah EMA 200 hari digabungkan dengan tahap sokongan / rintangan Camarilla untuk menentukan bahagian bawah pasaran.

Logika Strategi

Hitung harga terendah EMA200Lows dari EMA 200 hari. Apabila harga ditutup di bawah EMA ini, pasaran dianggap hampir ke bawah.
Mengira EMA 9 hari tahap sokongan Camarilla 3 (S3), ema_s3_9, sebagai tahap sokongan penting.
Juga mengira EMA 9 hari titik tengah Camarilla ema_center_9 sebagai isyarat untuk pembalikan.
Apabila ema_center_9 melintasi ema200Lows, dan 3 bar terakhir lebih rendah daripada ema200Lows, pergi panjang.
Gunakan ATR untuk mengunci keuntungan, mengesan harga terendah.
Sasaran keuntungan ialah ema_h4_9 (Tahap Ketahanan Camarilla 4) dan ema_s3_9.

Analisis Kelebihan

EMA harga terendah 200 hari mengelakkan mengambil kedudukan sebelum bahagian bawah sebenar.
Tahap Camarilla digabungkan dengan titik tengah mengenal pasti pembalikan dengan boleh dipercayai.
ATR stop loss lebih munasabah. Mengesan harga yang lebih rendah membolehkan keuntungan yang lebih besar.

Analisis Risiko

Tempoh memegang yang panjang meningkatkan risiko. Strategi ini memihak kepada perdagangan jangka pendek.
Pergerakan pasaran yang besar boleh mengakibatkan kerugian berhenti yang besar.
Isyarat pembalikan Camarilla tidak selalu tepat.

Arahan pengoptimuman

Pertimbangkan untuk menambah penunjuk seperti RSI untuk menambah isyarat pembalikan.
Penyelidikan parameter optimum untuk produk yang berbeza.
meneroka pembelajaran mesin untuk kehilangan hentian ATR dinamik.

Ringkasan

Strategi ini mengenal pasti bahagian bawah pasaran dan pembalikan menggunakan tahap rendah EMA dan Camarilla. Ia mengunci keuntungan dengan hentian ATR. Secara keseluruhan ia agak lengkap dengan nilai praktikal. Pengoptimuman lanjut akan meningkatkan ketahanan.

/*backtest
start: 2023-12-07 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-14 00:00:00
period: 1m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © mohanee

//Using the lowest of low of ema200, you can find the bottom
//wait for price to close below ema200Lows line
//when pivot

//@version=4
strategy(title="PickingupFromBottom Strategy", overlay=true )  //default_qty_value=10, default_qty_type=strategy.fixed, 

//HMA
HMA(src1, length1) =>  wma(2 * wma(src1, length1/2) - wma(src1, length1), round(sqrt(length1)))


//variables BEGIN
length1=input(200,title="EMA 1 Length")   
length2=input(50,title="EMA 2 Length")   
length3=input(20,title="EMA 3 Length")   

sourceForHighs= input(hlc3, title="Source for Highs", type=input.source)
sourceForLows = input(hlc3, title="Source for Lows" , type=input.source)

hiLoLength=input(7, title="HiLo Band Length")

atrLength=input(14, title="ATR Length")
atrMultiplier=input(3.5, title="ATR Multiplier")

//takePartialProfits = input(true, title="Take Partial Profits (if this selected, RSI 13 higher reading over 80 is considered for partial closing ) ")


ema200=ema(close,length1)
hma200=HMA(close,length1)


////Camarilla pivot points
//study(title="Camarilla Pivots", shorttitle="Camarilla", overlay=true)
t = input(title = "Pivot Resolution", defval="D", options=["D","W","M"])

//Get previous day/week bar and avoiding realtime calculation by taking the previous to current bar
sopen = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, open[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
shigh = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, high[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
slow = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, low[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
sclose = security(syminfo.tickerid, t, close[1], barmerge.gaps_off, barmerge.lookahead_on)
r = shigh-slow

//Calculate pivots
//center=(sclose)
//center=(close[1] + high[1] + low[1])/3
center=sclose - r*(0.618)

h1=sclose + r*(1.1/12)
h2=sclose + r*(1.1/6)
h3=sclose + r*(1.1/4)
h4=sclose + r*(1.1/2)
h5=(shigh/slow)*sclose
l1=sclose - r*(1.1/12)
l2=sclose - r*(1.1/6)
l3=sclose - r*(1.1/4)
l4=sclose - r*(1.1/2)
l5=sclose - (h5-sclose)

//Colors (<ternary conditional operator> expression prevents continuous lines on history)
c5=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.red
c4=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.purple
c3=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.fuchsia
c2=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.blue
c1=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.gray
cc=sopen != sopen[1] ? na : color.blue

//Plotting
//plot(center, title="Central",color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
//plot(h5, title="H5",color=c5, linewidth=1)
//plot(h4, title="H4",color=c4, linewidth=2)
//plot(h3, title="H3",color=c3, linewidth=1)
//plot(h2, title="H2",color=c2, linewidth=1)
//plot(h1, title="H1",color=c1, linewidth=1)
//plot(l1, title="L1",color=c1, linewidth=1)
//plot(l2, title="L2",color=c2, linewidth=1)
//plot(l3, title="L3",color=c3, linewidth=1)
//plot(l4, title="L4",color=c4, linewidth=2)
//plot(l5, title="L5",color=c5, linewidth=1)////Camarilla pivot points

ema_s3_9=ema(l3, 9)
ema_s3_50=ema(l3, 50)
ema_h4_9=ema(h4, 9)

ema_center_9=ema(center, 9)




plot(ema_h4_9, title="Camariall R4 Resistance EMA 9", color=color.fuchsia)
plot(ema_s3_9, title="Camarilla S3 support EMA 9", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)

//plot(ema_s3_50, title="Camarilla S3 support EMA 50", color=color.green, linewidth=2)

plot(ema_center_9, title="Camarilla Center Point EMA 9", color=color.blue)




plot(hma200, title="HULL 200", color=color.yellow,  transp=25)
plotEma200=plot(ema200, title="EMA 200",  style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=2 , color=color.orange)

ema200High = ema(highest(sourceForHighs,length1), hiLoLength)
ema200Low= ema(lowest(sourceForLows,length1), hiLoLength)

ema50High = ema(highest(sourceForHighs,length2), hiLoLength)
ema50Low= ema(lowest(sourceForLows,length2), hiLoLength)

ema20High = ema(highest(sourceForHighs,length3), hiLoLength)
ema20Low= ema(lowest(sourceForLows,length3), hiLoLength)

//plot(ema200High, title="EMA 200 Highs", linewidth=2, color=color.orange, transp=30)
plotEma200Low=plot(ema200Low, title="EMA 200 Lows", linewidth=2, color=color.green, transp=30, style=plot.style_linebr)

//plot(ema50High, title="EMA 50 Highs", linewidth=2, color=color.blue, transp=30)
//plotEma50Low=plot(ema50Low, title="EMA 50 Lows", linewidth=2, color=color.blue, transp=30)


fill(plotEma200, plotEma200Low, color=color.green )


// Drawings /////////////////////////////////////////





//Highlight when centerpont crossing up ema200Low a
ema200LowBuyColor=color.new(color.green, transp=50)
bgcolor(crossover(ema_center_9,ema200Low) and (close[1]<ema200Low or close[2]<ema200Low or close[3]<ema200Low)? ema200LowBuyColor : na)
//ema200LowBuyCondition= (close[1]<ema200Low or close[2]<ema200Low or close[3]<ema200Low)
strategy.entry(id="ema200Low Buy", comment="LE2", qty=2, long=true,  when= crossover(ema_center_9,ema200Low) and (close[1]<ema200Low or close[2]<ema200Low or close[3]<ema200Low) )  //or (close>open and low<ema20Low and close>ema20Low) ) )     //  // aroonOsc<0


//Trailing StopLoss
////// Calculate trailing SL
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
sl_val = atrMultiplier * atr(atrLength)


trailing_sl = 0.0
//trailing_sl :=   max(low[1]  - sl_val, nz(trailing_sl[1])) 
trailing_sl :=   strategy.position_size>=1 ?  max(low  - sl_val, nz(trailing_sl[1])) :  na

//draw initil stop loss
//plot(strategy.position_size>=1 ? trailing_sl : na, color = color.blue , style=plot.style_linebr,  linewidth = 2, title = "stop loss")
plot(trailing_sl, title="ATR Trailing Stop Loss", style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, color=color.red, transp=30)
//Trailing StopLoss
////// Calculate trailing SL
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////



strategy.close(id="ema200Low Buy", comment="TP1="+tostring(close - strategy.position_avg_price, "####.##"), qty=1, when=abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and crossunder(close, ema_h4_9)  )  //close<ema55 and rsi5Val<20 //ema34<ema55  //close<ema89
strategy.close(id="ema200Low Buy", comment="TP2="+tostring(close - strategy.position_avg_price, "####.##"),  qty=1, when=abs(strategy.position_size)>=1 and crossunder(close, ema_s3_9)  )  //close<ema55 and rsi5Val<20 //ema34<ema55  //close<ema89

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