Strategi ini menggunakan penunjuk Kadar Perubahan (ROC) untuk menentukan arah pasaran dan menjana isyarat perdagangan.
Stop loss 6% ditetapkan. Apabila stop loss dicetuskan, posisi terbalik. Ini menunjukkan kita mungkin berada di sisi yang salah pasaran jadi kita keluar dengan segera.
Jika ROC melebihi 200, pasaran dianggap gelembung. Apabila ROC jatuh semula di bawah wilayah gelembung, isyarat pergi pendek dicetuskan. Memandangkan gelembung berterusan sekurang-kurangnya 1 minggu.
Menggunakan saiz kedudukan tetap + kaedah tambahan. Meningkatkan / mengurangkan kedudukan sebanyak $ 200 untuk setiap $ 400 keuntungan / kerugian. Ini membolehkan kita untuk keuntungan piramid tetapi juga meningkatkan pengeluaran.
Kelebihan strategi ini:
Terdapat juga beberapa risiko:
Beberapa cara untuk mengoptimumkan strategi:
Ringkasnya, ini adalah trend jangka panjang mengikuti strategi yang berpusat di sekitar penunjuk ROC. Ia bertujuan untuk menjana alpha dengan mengambil risiko yang lebih tinggi. Pengoptimuman lanjut dapat meningkatkan daya tahannya. Kuncinya adalah mencari toleransi risiko yang sesuai.
/*backtest start: 2022-12-05 00:00:00 end: 2023-12-11 00:00:00 period: 1d basePeriod: 1h exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}] */ // This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/ // © gsanson66 //This strategy use the Rate of Change (ROC) of the closing price to send enter signal. //@version=5 strategy("RATE OF CHANGE BACKTESTING", shorttitle="ROC BACKTESTING", overlay=false, precision=3, initial_capital=1000, default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=950, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.18) //--------------------------------FUNCTIONS-----------------------------------// //@function Displays text passed to `txt` when called. debugLabel(txt, color, loc) => label.new(bar_index, loc, text = txt, color=color, style = label.style_label_lower_right, textcolor = color.black, size = size.small) //@function which looks if the close date of the current bar falls inside the date range inBacktestPeriod(start, end) => (time >= start) and (time <= end) //----------------------------------USER INPUTS----------------------------------// //Technical parameters rocLength = input.int(defval=365, minval=0, title='ROC Length', group="Technical parameters") bubbleValue = input.int(defval=200, minval=0, title="ROC Bubble signal", group="Technical parameters") //Risk management stopLossInput = input.float(defval=10, minval=0, title="Stop Loss (in %)", group="Risk Management") //Money management fixedRatio = input.int(defval=400, minval=1, title="Fixed Ratio Value ($)", group="Money Management") increasingOrderAmount = input.int(defval=200, minval=1, title="Increasing Order Amount ($)", group="Money Management") //Backtesting period startDate = input(title="Start Date", defval=timestamp("1 Jan 2017 00:00:00"), group="Backtesting Period") endDate = input(title="End Date", defval=timestamp("1 July 2024 00:00:00"), group="Backtesting Period") //-------------------------------------VARIABLES INITIALISATION-----------------------------// roc = (close/close[rocLength] - 1)*100 midlineConst = 0 var bool inBubble = na bool shortBubbleCondition = na equity = strategy.equity - strategy.openprofit strategy.initial_capital = 50000 var float capital_ref = strategy.initial_capital var float cashOrder = strategy.initial_capital * 0.95 bool inRange = na //------------------------------CHECKING SOME CONDITIONS ON EACH SCRIPT EXECUTION-------------------------------// //Checking if the date belong to the range inRange := true //Checking if we are in a bubble if roc > bubbleValue and not inBubble inBubble := true //Checking if the bubble is over if roc < 0 and inBubble inBubble := false //Checking the condition to short the bubble : The ROC must be above the bubblevalue for at least 1 week if roc[1]>bubbleValue and roc[2]>bubbleValue and roc[3]>bubbleValue and roc[4]>bubbleValue and roc[5]>bubbleValue and roc[6]>bubbleValue and roc[7]>bubbleValue shortBubbleCondition := true //Checking performances of the strategy if equity > capital_ref + fixedRatio spread = (equity - capital_ref)/fixedRatio nb_level = int(spread) increasingOrder = nb_level * increasingOrderAmount cashOrder := cashOrder + increasingOrder capital_ref := capital_ref + nb_level*fixedRatio if equity < capital_ref - fixedRatio spread = (capital_ref - equity)/fixedRatio nb_level = int(spread) decreasingOrder = nb_level * increasingOrderAmount cashOrder := cashOrder - decreasingOrder capital_ref := capital_ref - nb_level*fixedRatio //Checking if we close all trades in case where we exit the backtesting period if strategy.position_size!=0 and not inRange debugLabel("END OF BACKTESTING PERIOD : we close the trade", color=color.rgb(116, 116, 116), loc=roc) strategy.close_all() //-------------------------------LONG/SHORT CONDITION-------------------------------// //Long condition //We reduce noise by taking signal only if the last roc value is in the same side as the current one if (strategy.position_size<=0 and ta.crossover(roc, midlineConst)[1] and roc>0 and inRange) //If we were in a short position, we pass to a long position qty = cashOrder/close strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty) stopLoss = close * (1-stopLossInput/100) strategy.exit("Long Risk Managment", "Long", stop=stopLoss) //Short condition //We take a short position if we are in a bubble and roc is decreasing if (strategy.position_size>=0 and ta.crossunder(roc, midlineConst)[1] and roc<0 and inRange) or (strategy.position_size>=0 and inBubble and ta.crossunder(roc, bubbleValue) and shortBubbleCondition and inRange) //If we were in a long position, we pass to a short position qty = cashOrder/close strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty) stopLoss = close * (1+stopLossInput/100) strategy.exit("Short Risk Managment", "Short", stop=stopLoss) //--------------------------------RISK MANAGEMENT--------------------------------------// //We manage our risk and change the sense of position after SL is hitten if strategy.position_size == 0 and inRange //We find the direction of the last trade id = strategy.closedtrades.entry_id(strategy.closedtrades-1) if id == "Short" qty = cashOrder/close strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty) stopLoss = close * (1-stopLossInput/100) strategy.exit("Long Risk Managment", "Long", stop=stopLoss) else if id =="Long" qty = cashOrder/close strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty) stopLoss = close * (1+stopLossInput/100) strategy.exit("Short Risk Managment", "Short", stop=stopLoss) //---------------------------------PLOTTING ELEMENTS---------------------------------------// //Plotting of ROC rocPlot = plot(roc, "ROC", color=#7E57C2) midline = hline(0, "ROC Middle Band", color=color.new(#787B86, 25)) midLinePlot = plot(0, color = na, editable = false, display = display.none) fill(rocPlot, midLinePlot, 40, 0, top_color = strategy.position_size>0 ? color.new(color.green, 0) : strategy.position_size<0 ? color.new(color.red, 0) : na, bottom_color = strategy.position_size>0 ? color.new(color.green, 100) : strategy.position_size<0 ? color.new(color.red, 100) : na, title = "Positive area") fill(rocPlot, midLinePlot, 0, -40, top_color = strategy.position_size<0 ? color.new(color.red, 100) : strategy.position_size>0 ? color.new(color.green, 100) : na, bottom_color = strategy.position_size<0 ? color.new(color.red, 0) : strategy.position_size>0 ? color.new(color.green, 0) : na, title = "Negative area")