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AlphaTradingBot 交易策略

Author: ChaoZhang, Date: 2024-04-28 13:48:51
Tags: MAEMAATRRSI

AlphaTradingBot 交易策略

概述

AlphaTradingBot是一款基于Zigzag指标和fibonacci数列的日内交易策略。该策略通过识别市场的高点(HH)和低点(LL)来判断趋势,并结合fibonacci回撤和扩张来设置入场点位、止盈和止损。该策略只在设定的日期区间内运行,可以分别做多和做空,具有一定的趋势把握能力和盈亏比把控。

策略原理

  1. 通过Zigzag指标识别市场的高点(HH)、低点(LL)、较高低点(HL)和较低高点(LH)。
  2. 当出现HH时,视为上升趋势开始,开始寻找做多机会;当出现LL时,视为下降趋势开始,开始寻找做空机会。
  3. 在上升趋势中,如果出现HL,则以HL和之前的LL形成的区间作为多头的fibonacci回撤区间。若价格突破前高,则在回撤23.6%-38.2% (可设置)之间的区域开多单,止损设在回撤61.8%处,止盈以RR值(可设置)计算。
  4. 在下降趋势中,如果出现LH,则以LH和之前的HH形成的区间作为空头的fibonacci回撤区间。若价格突破前低,则在回撤61.8%-76.4% (可设置)之间的区域开空单,止损设在回撤38.2%处,止盈以RR值(可设置)计算。
  5. 订单管理:每次信号只开一单,直到该单平仓。如果单笔亏损达到账户总额的X%(可设置),则策略停止运行。

优势分析

  1. 趋势跟踪能力强。通过Zigzag有效识别趋势,可以在趋势初期介入。
  2. 回撤逻辑清晰。利用fibonacci回撤设置进场区间,在趋势回撤时介入,胜率相对较高。
  3. 风险可控。通过设置单笔最大亏损比例来控制每笔交易风险,同时严格的止损制度也保证了总风险可控。
  4. 盈亏比可优化。可根据市场特点和个人偏好,调整RR值来优化策略的盈亏比。

风险分析

  1. 频繁交易。由于Zigzag灵敏度较高,可能会频繁产生信号,导致过度交易。
  2. 趋势把握不精准。Zigzag判断的趋势仍可能出现偏差,导致入场时机不够理想。
  3. 震荡行情表现欠佳。在震荡市中,该策略可能产生较多的亏损交易。
  4. 运行周期有限。策略只在指定日期区间内运行,可能错失部分行情。

优化方向

  1. 引入更多技术指标,如MA、MACD等,提高趋势判断的精确度。
  2. 优化仓位管理,如根据ATR等指标动态调整头寸。
  3. 优化止盈止损逻辑,如根据市场波动率动态调整止损位。
  4. 引入市场情绪指标,在极度乐观或悲观时避免入场。
  5. 放宽日期限制,增加策略的普适性。

总结

AlphaTradingBot是一款基于zigzag指标和fibonacci回撤的趋势跟踪日内策略。它通过高低点判断趋势,并在趋势回撤时入场,以追求更高的胜率和盈亏比。该策略的优势在于趋势把握能力强,回撤逻辑清晰,风险可测,但同时也存在过度交易、趋势判断偏差、震荡行情表现欠佳等风险。未来可从技术指标、仓位管理、止盈止损、市场情绪等方面对该策略进行优化,以提升策略的稳健性和盈利性。


/*backtest
start: 2024-04-20 00:00:00
end: 2024-04-27 00:00:00
period: 1h
basePeriod: 15m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © javierfish

//@version=5
strategy(title = 'Augusto Bot v1.2', shorttitle='🤑 🤖 v1.2', overlay = true, pyramiding=0, initial_capital=100000, default_qty_value=1)
lb = input.int(5, title='Pivot Bars Count', minval=1)
rb = lb

var color supcol = color.lime
var color rescol = color.red
// srlinestyle = line.style_dotted
srlinewidth = 1
changebarcol = true
bcolup = color.blue
bcoldn = color.black

intDesde = input(timestamp('2023-01-01T00:00:00'), 'Desde', group='Rango de fechas')
intHasta = input(timestamp('2023-12-31T23:59:59'), 'Hasta', group='Rango de fechas')
blnFechas = true

blnShorts = input.bool(false, " Shorts", group="Trading", tooltip = 'Checked = Shorts. No Checked = Longs')
blnLongs = not blnShorts
pctRisk = input.float(1, 'Riesgo %', 0.1, 100,step = .1, group='Trading', tooltip = 'Porcentaje del total de su cuenta que está dispuesto a arriesgar en cada trade')
RR = input.float(2, 'Ratio de Ganancia X', 1, 10, .5, tooltip = 'Proporción de Take Profit contra Stop Loss', group='Trading')

retro = input.float(40, 'Retroceso %', 1, 100, 10, tooltip = 'Porcentaje de Fibonacci que debe alcanzar el precio para considerar un retroceso', group='Fibonacci')
fibSL = input.float(72, 'Stop Loss %', 1, 100, 5, tooltip = 'Porcentaje de Fibonacci que debe alcanzar el precio para considerar perdido un trade', group='Fibonacci')

blnDebug = input.bool(false, 'Debug', tooltip = 'Mostrar información de depuración como estatus y línea de tendencia')
showsupres = blnDebug

blnEnLong = strategy.position_size > 0
blnEnShort = strategy.position_size < 0
blnEnTrade = blnEnLong or blnEnShort

ph = ta.pivothigh(lb, rb)
pl = ta.pivotlow(lb, rb)

iff_1 = pl ? -1 : na  // Trend direction
hl = ph ? 1 : iff_1
iff_2 = pl ? pl : na  // similar to zigzag but may have multiple highs/lows
zz = ph ? ph : iff_2
valuewhen_1 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_2 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
zz := pl and hl == -1 and valuewhen_1 == -1 and pl > valuewhen_2 ? na : zz
valuewhen_3 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_4 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
zz := ph and hl == 1 and valuewhen_3 == 1 and ph < valuewhen_4 ? na : zz

valuewhen_5 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_6 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
hl := hl == -1 and valuewhen_5 == 1 and zz > valuewhen_6 ? na : hl
valuewhen_7 = ta.valuewhen(hl, hl, 1)
valuewhen_8 = ta.valuewhen(zz, zz, 1)
hl := hl == 1 and valuewhen_7 == -1 and zz < valuewhen_8 ? na : hl
zz := na(hl) ? na : zz

findprevious() =>  // finds previous three points (b, c, d, e)
    float loc1 = na
    float loc2 = na
    float loc3 = na
    float loc4 = na
    if not na(hl)
        ehl = hl == 1 ? -1 : 1
        loc1 := 0.0
        loc2 := 0.0
        loc3 := 0.0
        loc4 := 0.0
        xx = 0
        for x = 1 to 1000 by 1
            if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
                loc1 := zz[x]
                xx := x + 1
                break
        ehl := hl
        for x = xx to 1000 by 1
            if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
                loc2 := zz[x]
                xx := x + 1
                break
        ehl := hl == 1 ? -1 : 1
        for x = xx to 1000 by 1
            if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
                loc3 := zz[x]
                xx := x + 1
                break
        ehl := hl
        for x = xx to 1000 by 1
            if hl[x] == ehl and not na(zz[x])
                loc4 := zz[x]
                break
    [loc1, loc2, loc3, loc4]

[loc1, loc2, loc3, loc4] = findprevious()
a = fixnan(zz)
b = loc1
c = loc2
d = loc3
e = loc4

_hh = zz and a > b and a > c and c > b and c > d
_ll = zz and a < b and a < c and c < b and c < d
_hl = zz and (a >= c and b > c and b > d and d > c and d > e or a < b and a > c and b < d)
_lh = zz and (a <= c and b < c and b < d and d < c and d < e or a > b and a < c and b > d)

plotshape(blnDebug and _hl, text='HL', title='Higher Low', style=shape.labelup, color=color.lime, textcolor=color.new(color.black, 0), location=location.belowbar, offset=-rb)
plotshape(blnDebug and _hh, text='HH', title='Higher High', style=shape.labeldown, color=color.lime, textcolor=color.new(color.black, 0), location=location.abovebar, offset=-rb)
plotshape(blnDebug and _ll, text='LL', title='Lower Low', style=shape.labelup, color=color.red, textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.belowbar, offset=-rb)
plotshape(blnDebug and _lh, text='LH', title='Lower High', style=shape.labeldown, color=color.red, textcolor=color.new(color.white, 0), location=location.abovebar, offset=-rb)

float res = na
float sup = na
res := _lh ? zz : res[1]
sup := _hl ? zz : sup[1]

int trend = na
iff_3 = close < sup ? -1 : nz(trend[1])
trend := close > res ? 1 : iff_3

res := trend == 1 and _hh or trend == -1 and _lh ? zz : res
sup := trend == 1 and _hl or trend == -1 and _ll ? zz : sup
rechange = res != res[1]
suchange = sup != sup[1]

var line resline = na
var line supline = na
if showsupres
    if rechange
        line.set_x2(resline, bar_index)
        line.set_extend(resline, extend=extend.none)
        resline := line.new(x1=bar_index - rb, y1=res, x2=bar_index, y2=res, color=rescol, extend=extend.right,  width=srlinewidth)
        resline

    if suchange
        line.set_x2(supline, bar_index)
        line.set_extend(supline, extend=extend.none)
        supline := line.new(x1=bar_index - rb, y1=sup, x2=bar_index, y2=sup, color=supcol, extend=extend.right,  width=srlinewidth)
        supline

iff_4 = trend == 1 ? bcolup : bcoldn
barcolor(color=changebarcol and blnDebug ? iff_4 : na)

usdCalcRisk = strategy.equity * pctRisk / 100
usdRisk = usdCalcRisk > 0 ? usdCalcRisk : 0
blnOrder = strategy.opentrades > 0
var entryPrice = close
var hhVal = high
var lhVal = high
var hlVal = low
var llVal = low
var longTP  = high
var longSL  = low
var shortTP = low
var shortSL = high
var lowest = low
var highest = high
var status = 0
var closedTrades = strategy.closedtrades
var currSignal = ''
var prevSignal = currSignal

if _hh
    hhVal := a
    prevSignal := currSignal
    currSignal := 'HH'
else if _lh
    lhVal := a
    prevSignal := currSignal
    currSignal := 'LH'
else if _hl
    hlVal := a
    prevSignal := currSignal
    currSignal := 'HL'
else if _ll
    llVal := a
    prevSignal := currSignal
    currSignal := 'LL'

fibo(fibTop, fibLow) =>
    diff = fibTop - fibLow
    fib50 = 0.0
    if status % 2 == 1 // Estatus pares son longs
        fib50 := fibLow + (diff * (1 - (retro / 100)))  // Longs
    else 
        fib50 := fibLow + (diff * (retro / 100))
    fib70UP = fibLow + (diff * (1 - (fibSL / 100))) // Fibo 61.8% up
    fib70DW = fibLow + (diff * (fibSL / 100)) // Fibo 61.8% down
    [fib50, fib70UP, fib70DW]

currLowest = ta.lowest(low, lb + 1)  // El menor low de las últimas n barras
currHighest = ta.highest(high, lb + 1) // El mayor high de las últimas n barras

// status 0. En espera de un LL para longs o un HH para shorts
if status == 0 and blnFechas
    closedTrades := strategy.closedtrades
    if _ll and blnLongs
        status := 1
    else if _hh and blnShorts
        status := 2
// -------- LONGS --------
// status 1. Longs. En espera de un nuevo nivel superior (HH o LH)
else if status == 1
    closedTrades := strategy.closedtrades
    if _hh or _lh
        highest := currHighest
    else if _hl
        lowest := currLowest
        if high > highest
            status := 5
            highest := high
            [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
            entryPrice := fib50
            if low <= entryPrice and close <= open  // Si la vela roja que rebasó el reciente nivel superior también cruzó el precio de entrada se ingresa a un trade inmediatamente
                entryPrice := close
            longSL := fibUP // Reajuste de SL para long
            diff = entryPrice - longSL
            longTP := entryPrice + diff * RR // Reajuste de TP para long
            lotSize = usdRisk / diff
            if entryPrice > longSL
                strategy.entry('🚀 1', strategy.long, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'long ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(longTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(longSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
                strategy.exit('lx', '🚀 1', limit = longTP, stop = longSL, comment_loss = '💥', comment_profit = '✅', alert_message = 'bal')
        else
            status := 3
        [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
        entryPrice := fib50
    else if low < llVal
        status := 0
// status 3. Longs. En espera de que aparezca un HL
else if status == 3
    if _hl
        lowest := currLowest
    if _lh or _ll or low < hlVal
        strategy.cancel_all()
        status := _ll ? 1 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo LL comienza a formarse un nuevo setup alcista
    else if high > highest
        status := 5
        highest := high
        [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
        entryPrice := fib50
        if low <= entryPrice
            entryPrice := close 
        longSL := fibUP // Reajuste de SL para long
        diff = entryPrice - longSL
        longTP := entryPrice + diff * RR // Reajuste de TP para long
        lotSize = usdRisk / diff
        if not blnEnLong and entryPrice > longSL
            strategy.cancel_all()
            strategy.entry('🚀 3', strategy.long, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'long ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(longTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(longSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
            strategy.exit('lx', '🚀 3', limit = longTP, stop = longSL, comment_loss = '💥', comment_profit = '✅', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 5. Longs. Crecimiento del fibo en espera de que se rebase el nivel superior y se toque el entry price para entrar a un trade
else if status == 5
    if strategy.closedtrades > closedTrades // Caso trade abre y cierra en una misma vela
        status := 0
    else if blnEnLong
        status := 7
    else if _lh or _ll or low < llVal // Caso invalidación por nuevo bajo nivel
        strategy.cancel_all()
        status := _ll ? 1 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo LL comienza a formarse un nuevo setup alcista
    else if high > highest // Caso de rebase de niveles superiores
        highest := high
        [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
        entryPrice := fib50
        longSL := fibUP // Reajuste de SL para long
        diff = entryPrice - longSL
        longTP := entryPrice + diff * RR // Reajuste de TP para long
        lotSize = usdRisk / diff
        if not blnEnLong and entryPrice > longSL // Orden limit de long con su TP y SL
            strategy.cancel_all()
            strategy.entry('🚀 5', strategy.long, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'long ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(longTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(longSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
            strategy.exit('lx', '🚀 5', limit = longTP, stop = longSL, comment_loss = '💥', comment_profit = '✅', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 7. Longs. En espera que finalice el trade
else if status == 7    
    blnOrder := false
    if not blnEnLong
        strategy.cancel_all()
        if currSignal == 'HH' and blnShorts // Si se finaliza un trade e inmediatamente se presenta un HH debe comenzarse la formación de un setup bajista
            status := 2
        else
            status := 0
// -------- SHORTS --------
// status 2. Shorts. En espera de un nuevo nivel inferior (LL o HL)
else if status == 2
    closedTrades := strategy.closedtrades
    if _ll or _hl
        lowest := currLowest
    else if _lh
        highest := currHighest
        if low < lowest
            status := 6
            lowest := low
            [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
            entryPrice := fib50
            if high >= entryPrice and close > open  // Si la vela verde que rebasó el reciente nivel inferior tambien cruzó el precio de entrada se ingresa a un trade inmediatamente
                entryPrice := close
            shortSL := fibDW
            diff = shortSL - entryPrice
            shortTP := entryPrice - diff * RR
            lotSize = usdRisk / diff
            if entryPrice < shortSL
                strategy.entry('🐻 2', strategy.short, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'short ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(shortTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(shortSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
                strategy.exit('sx', '🐻 2', limit = shortTP, stop = shortSL, comment_loss = '☠️', comment_profit = '❎', alert_message = 'bal')
        else
            status := 4
        [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
        entryPrice := fib50
    else if high > hhVal
        status := 0
// status 4. Shorts. En espera de que aparezca un LH
else if status == 4
    if _lh
        highest := currHighest
    if _hl or _hh or high > lhVal
        strategy.cancel_all()
        status := _hh ? 2 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo HH comienza a formarse un nuevo setup bajista
    else if low < lowest
        status := 6
        lowest := low
        [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
        entryPrice := fib50
        if high >= entryPrice
            entryPrice := close
        shortSL := fibDW
        diff = shortSL - entryPrice
        shortTP := entryPrice - diff * RR
        lotSize = usdRisk / diff
        if not blnEnShort and entryPrice < shortSL
            strategy.cancel_all()
            strategy.entry('🐻 4', strategy.short, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'short ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(shortTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(shortSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
            strategy.exit('sx', '🐻 4', limit = shortTP, stop = shortSL, comment_loss = '☠️', comment_profit = '❎', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 6. Shorts. Crecimiento del fibo en espera de que se rebase el nivel inferior y se toque el entry price para entrar a un trade
else if status == 6
    if strategy.closedtrades > closedTrades // Caso trade abre y cierra en una misma vela
        status := 0
    else if blnEnShort
        status := 8
    else if _hl or _hh or high > hhVal
        strategy.cancel_all()
        status := _hh ? 2 : 0 // Si fue un nuevo HH comienza a formarse un nuevo setup bajista
    else if low < lowest // Caso de rebase de niveles inferiores
        lowest := low
        [fib50, fibUP, fibDW] = fibo(highest, lowest)
        entryPrice := fib50
        shortSL := fibDW
        diff = shortSL - entryPrice
        shortTP := entryPrice - diff * RR
        lotSize = usdRisk / diff
        if entryPrice < shortSL
            strategy.cancel_all()
            strategy.entry('🐻 6', strategy.short, limit = entryPrice, qty = lotSize, alert_message = 'short ' + ' ' + syminfo.ticker + ' p=' + str.tostring(entryPrice) + ' tp=' + str.tostring(shortTP) + ' sl=' + str.tostring(shortSL) + ' q=' + str.tostring(pctRisk) + '%')
            strategy.exit('sx', '🐻 6', limit = shortTP, stop = shortSL, comment_loss = '☠️', comment_profit = '❎', alert_message = 'bal')
// status 8. Shorts. En espera que finalice el trade
else if status == 8    
    blnOrder := false
    if not blnEnShort
        strategy.cancel_all()
        if currSignal == 'LL' and blnLongs // Si inmediatamente después de finalizar un trade existe un LL debe comenzarse un setup alcista
            status := 1
        else
            status := 0

plotchar(blnDebug and status == 0 and blnFechas, '0', '0', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 1 and blnFechas, '1', '1', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 2 and blnFechas, '2', '2', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 3 and blnFechas, '3', '3', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 4 and blnFechas, '4', '4', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 5 and blnFechas, '5', '5', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 6 and blnFechas, '6', '6', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 7 and blnFechas, '7', '7', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)
plotchar(blnDebug and status == 8 and blnFechas, '8', '8', location.abovebar, color.yellow, size = size.tiny)

plot(highest, 'highest', (status == 5 or status[1] == 5) and blnLongs ? color.new(color.orange, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(entryPrice, 'entryPrice', (status == 5 or status[1] == 5) and blnLongs ?color.new(color.white, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(lowest, 'lowest', (status == 3 or status == 5 or status[1] == 5) and blnLongs ? color.new(color.yellow, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)

plot(lowest, 'currLowest', (status == 6 or status[1] == 6) and blnShorts ? color.new(color.orange, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(entryPrice, 'currEntryPrice', (status == 6 or status[1] == 6) and blnShorts ?color.new(color.white, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)
plot(highest, 'currHighest', (status == 4 or status == 6 or status[1] == 6) and blnShorts ?color.new(color.yellow, 50) : na, 1, plot.style_stepline)

exitLong = barstate.isconfirmed and blnEnLong and time >= intHasta
exitShort = barstate.isconfirmed and blnEnShort and time >= intHasta

if exitLong
    strategy.cancel_all()
    strategy.close_all(comment = close > strategy.position_avg_price ?  '✅' : '💥') 
    status := 0

if exitShort
    strategy.cancel_all()
    strategy.close_all(comment = close < strategy.position_avg_price ? '❎' : '☠️')
    status := 0

plot(zz, 'Zigzag', blnDebug ? color.white : na, offset = lb * -1)

rayaTradeLong = strategy.position_size == strategy.position_size[1] and (strategy.position_size > 0) and blnLongs
tpPlLong = plot(longTP, color = rayaTradeLong ? color.teal : na)
epPlLong = plot(entryPrice, color= rayaTradeLong ? color.white : na)
slPlLong = plot(longSL, color = rayaTradeLong ? color.maroon : na)
fill(tpPlLong, epPlLong, color= rayaTradeLong ? color.new(color.teal, 85) : na)
fill(epPlLong, slPlLong, color= rayaTradeLong ? color.new(color.maroon, 85) : na)

rayaTradeShort = strategy.position_size == strategy.position_size[1] and strategy.position_size < 0 and blnShorts
tpPlShort = plot(shortTP, color = rayaTradeShort ? color.teal : na)
epPlShort = plot(entryPrice, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.white : na)
slPlShort = plot(shortSL, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.maroon : na)
fill(tpPlShort, epPlShort, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.new(color.teal, 85) : na)
fill(epPlShort, slPlShort, color=rayaTradeShort ? color.new(color.maroon, 85) : na)

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