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Método de negociação multi-EMA cruzado com estratégia de volume-preço

Autora:ChaoZhang, Data: 2025-01-06 16:07:59
Tags:EMAVWAPSMASLORSIHLC3MOL

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Trata-se de uma estratégia de negociação de momento abrangente baseada em múltiplos crossovers de média móvel exponencial (EMA) e indicadores de preço de volume. A estratégia gera sinais de negociação combinando vários indicadores, incluindo EMAs rápidos e lentos, preço médio ponderado por volume (VWAP) e SuperTrend, ao mesmo tempo em que incorpora janelas de negociação intradiárias e limiares de movimento de preços para controlar pontos de entrada e saída.

Princípios de estratégia

A estratégia utiliza EMAs de 5 dias e 13 dias como indicadores primários de tendência. As posições longas são acionadas quando a EMA rápida cruza acima da EMA lenta com preço de fechamento acima do VWAP, enquanto as posições curtas são acionadas quando a EMA rápida cruza abaixo da EMA lenta com preço de fechamento abaixo do VWAP. A estratégia também incorpora o indicador SuperTrend para confirmação de tendência e determinação de stop-loss. Diferentes condições de entrada são definidas para diferentes dias de negociação, incluindo o movimento do preço em relação ao fechamento do dia anterior e ao intervalo alto-baixo do dia.

Vantagens da estratégia

  1. Os múltiplos indicadores técnicos aumentam a fiabilidade dos sinais de negociação
  2. Condições de entrada diferenciadas para diferentes dias de negociação melhor adaptadas às características do mercado
  3. Mecanismos dinâmicos de obtenção de lucros e de stop-loss para controlar eficazmente o risco
  4. Restrições da janela de negociação intradiária evitam períodos de elevada volatilidade
  5. Os pontos altos e baixos anteriores e as restrições do movimento dos preços reduzem o risco de perseguir altos e baixos

Riscos estratégicos

  1. Podem ocorrer sinais falsos em mercados com flutuações rápidas
  2. Retardo potencial durante as inversões iniciais da tendência
  3. A otimização de parâmetros pode enfrentar riscos de sobreajuste
  4. Os custos de negociação podem afetar os retornos da estratégia
  5. Possíveis saques significativos durante períodos de alta volatilidade do mercado

Orientações para a otimização da estratégia

  1. Considerar a incorporação de indicadores de análise de volume para confirmar ainda mais a força da tendência
  2. Otimizar os parâmetros para diferentes dias de negociação para melhorar a adaptabilidade da estratégia
  3. Adicionar mais indicadores de sentimento de mercado para melhorar a precisão da previsão
  4. Refinar os mecanismos de obtenção de lucros e de suspensão de perdas para melhorar a eficiência do capital
  5. Considerar a adição de indicadores de volatilidade para otimizar a gestão das posições

Resumo

Esta estratégia alcança uma combinação de tendência seguindo e negociação de momento através do uso abrangente de múltiplos indicadores técnicos. O design da estratégia considera plenamente a diversidade do mercado através da adoção de regras de negociação diferenciadas para diferentes dias de negociação. Através de controle de risco rigoroso e mecanismos flexíveis de captação de lucro e stop-loss, a estratégia demonstra bom valor de aplicação prática. Melhorias futuras podem melhorar a estabilidade da estratégia e a lucratividade através da introdução de indicadores técnicos adicionais e otimização de configurações de parâmetros.


/*backtest
start: 2019-12-23 08:00:00
end: 2025-01-04 08:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1d
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
//@version=6
strategy("S1", overlay=true)
fastEMA = ta.ema(close, 5)
slowEMA = ta.ema(close,13)
ema9 = ta.ema(close, 9)
ema100 = ta.ema(close, 100)
ema5 = ta.ema(close, 5)
ema200 = ta.ema(close, 200)

ma = ta.sma(close, 50)

mult = input.float(defval=3)
len = input.int(defval=11)
[superTrend, dir] = ta.supertrend(mult, len)
vwap1= ta.vwap(hlc3)

plot(slowEMA,color = color.green)
plot(fastEMA,color = color.black)
plot(vwap1, color = color.blue)

var dailyTaskDone = false
var gapdown = false
var gapup = false
var runup = 0.0
var biggapdown = false
var biggapup = false
var prevDayClose = 0.0
var todayLow = 0.0
var todayHigh = 0.0
var noBuyNow = false
var noSellNow = false
var buyPrice = 0.0
var sellPrice = 0.0
var todayBuyDone = false
var todaySellDone = false
var dragonflyDoji = false
var candleCount = 0
var candleCount1 = 0
var lastTrade = 9
var lastFiveCandles = false
var lastSevenCandlesS = false
var fiveEMACC = 0
candleCount := candleCount + 1
candleCount1 := candleCount1 + 1

if fiveEMACC > 0
    fiveEMACC := fiveEMACC + 1

if fiveEMACC == 6
    fiveEMACC := 0

if strategy.openprofit == 0
    candleCount := 0

if hour == 9 and minute ==15
    prevDayClose := close[1]
    todayLow := low
    todayHigh := high
    lastTrade := 9
    
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (open - close[1]) >  close*0.01
    gapup := true
    
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (open - close[1]) <  close*0.005*-1
    gapdown := true

if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (close - close[1]) > 200
    biggapup := true
    
if hour == 9 and minute ==15 and (close - close[1]) < 200
    biggapdown := true

if low < todayLow
    todayLow := low
    candleCount1 := 0
if high > todayHigh
    todayHigh := high

if close > todayLow + 200
    noBuyNow := true
    
if close < todayHigh - 200//0.01*close
    noSellNow := false

lastFiveCandles := (close[4]<open[4] or close[3]<open[3] or close[2] < open[2] or close[1]<open[1])
lastSevenCandlesS := (close[6]>open[6] or close[5]>open[5] or close[4]>open[4] or close[3]>open[3] or close[2] > open[2] or close[1]>open[1])
if hour == 15
    dailyTaskDone := false
    gapdown := false
    gapup := false
    biggapup := false
    biggapdown := false
    noBuyNow := false
    noSellNow := false
    todayLow := 0.0
    todayHigh := 0.0
    buyPrice  := 0.0
    sellPrice := 0.0
    todayBuyDone := false
    todaySellDone := false
    dragonflyDoji := false
    lastTrade := 9

// if fastEMA < slowEMA and lastTrade == 1 and strategy.openprofit==0
//     lastTrade := 9


if fastEMA > slowEMA and lastTrade == 0 and strategy.openprofit==0
    lastTrade := 9
    
buy =  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.011) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and lastFiveCandles  and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001))and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and (hour!=9 or minute>=35))
       
sell=  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1  and lastSevenCandlesS and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.008 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01 ) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and  (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and (open - low < 2*(high-close)) and (close-open<10)  and not dragonflyDoji  and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]  and prevDayClose-close<close*0.012 and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday  and  (hour!=9 or minute>=40) and close<open and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (close-todayLow>30 or candleCount1<1) ) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (hour!=9 or minute>=55) ) 

// buy =  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.011) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and lastFiveCandles  and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA > slowEMA) and close > vwap1 and close-prevDayClose < close*0.015 and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and close-todayLow < close*0.012) or
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((fastEMA > slowEMA))and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and (hour!=9 or minute>=35))
       
// sell=  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1  and lastSevenCandlesS and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.008 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01 ) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and  (hour!=9 or minute>=35) and (open - low < 2*(high-close)) and (close-open<10)  and not dragonflyDoji  and (slowEMA > fastEMA) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]  and prevDayClose-close<close*0.012 and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday  and  (hour!=9 or minute>=40) and close<open and (slowEMA > fastEMA) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (close-todayLow>30 or candleCount1<1) ) or 
//        (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and ((slowEMA > fastEMA)) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and (hour!=9 or minute>=55) ) 

dragonflyDoji:= false

// (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00089 or (slowEMA-fastEMA>close*0.00049 and (high[2]>vwap or high[1]>vwap)))
if sellPrice != 0 and runup < sellPrice - low
    runup := sellPrice - low


if buyPrice != 0 and runup < high - buyPrice
    //ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(runup), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
    runup := high - buyPrice
    
        
NoBuySellTime = (hour == 15) or ((hour==14 and minute>=25)) or (hour==9 and minute<=35) or hour >= 14
//(fiveEMACC > 0 and low < fastEMA and close < vwap1)
buyexit     =  fastEMA<slowEMA or (close<superTrend and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000
sellexit =  slowEMA<fastEMA or (close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close>superTrend) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000

exitPosition =  (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > 50) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 80) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and buyPrice !=0.0 and high-buyPrice > 30) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 30) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday  and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > 30) or  (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday  and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > 30)
//code such that 2 fastema is > than 2 slowema
//exitPosition =  (sellPrice!=0 and runup >21 and strategy.openprofit < -2000) or (candleCount > 18 and strategy.openprofit > 50 and strategy.openprofit < 1000) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > buyPrice * 0.007) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > sellPrice * 0.007) or (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and buyPrice !=0.0 and high-buyPrice > 30) or (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday and dayofweek!=dayofweek.monday  and buyPrice!=0.0 and (high - buyPrice) > buyPrice * 0.002) or  (dayofweek!=dayofweek.thursday  and sellPrice!=0.0 and (sellPrice - low) > sellPrice * 0.002)
//(runup >21 and strategy.openprofit < -2000) or
if  buy and fastEMA>vwap1 and (not todayBuyDone or lastTrade != 1) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (close-prevDayClose)<150)//and not biggapup
    strategy.entry("buy", strategy.long)
    //dailyTaskDone := true
    if buyPrice == 0.0 
        fiveEMACC := 1

    buyPrice := close
    //ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(todayLow + 500), yloc=yloc.belowbar9
    todayBuyDone := true
    lastTrade := 1
    runup := 0.0

if  sell and (not todaySellDone or lastTrade != 0) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone // and dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (prevDayClose-close)<150)//and not biggapdown
    strategy.entry("sell", strategy.short)
    //dailyTaskDone := true
    if sellPrice == 0.0 
        fiveEMACC := 1
    sellPrice := close
    todaySellDone := true
    lastTrade := 0
    runup := 0.0

// if ((fastEMA-slowEMA>18 and close>vwap and close[1]>vwap[1] and (not todayBuyDone or candleCount>12)) or (slowEMA-fastEMA>10 and close < vwap and close[1]<vwap[1] and (not todaySellDone or candleCount > 12))) and strategy.openprofit==0
// ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(abs(prevDayClose-close)), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
    
IntraDay_SquareOff = minute >=15 and hour >= 15
if true and (IntraDay_SquareOff or exitPosition)
    strategy.close("buy")
    strategy.close("sell")
    buyPrice := 0
    sellPrice := 0
    runup := 0.0
if  buyexit
    strategy.close("buy")
    buyPrice := 0
if sellexit
    strategy.close("sell")
    sellPrice := 0

buy1 =  ((dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.001) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and not gapup) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close-prevDayClose < close*0.0085) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and (fastEMA - slowEMA > close*0.0013) and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close - todayLow < close*0.012))
       and dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday and (not todayBuyDone or lastTrade != 1) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone //and (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday or (close-prevDayClose)<150)//and not biggapup


       
sell1=  ((dayofweek==dayofweek.thursday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1]) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.monday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.01 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.01) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.tuesday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not gapdown and not dragonflyDoji and todayHigh-close < close*0.009 and todayHigh-close[1] < close * 0.009) or
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.wednesday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and prevDayClose-close < 0.005*close) or 
       (dayofweek==dayofweek.friday and (slowEMA - fastEMA > close*0.00079) and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and not dragonflyDoji and prevDayClose-close < 0.005*close)) and 
       dayofweek!=dayofweek.friday and (not todaySellDone or lastTrade != 0) and not NoBuySellTime// and not dailyTaskDone
        
// if buy1 and strategy.openprofit==0
//     ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(fastEMA - slowEMA), yloc=yloc.belowbar)
// if sell1 and strategy.openprofit==0
//     ourlabel = label.new(x=bar_index, y=na, text=tostring(slowEMA - fastEMA), yloc=yloc.belowbar)

// buy =  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 10) or  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 20) 
// sell=  ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] ) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 10) or ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] > slowEMA[2]) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 20)

// buy =  (fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) 
// sell=  (fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] )


// buy =  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 10) or  ((fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]) and (fastEMA - slowEMA) > 1) 
// sell=  ((fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] ) and (slowEMA - fastEMA) > 5)


// buy =  fastEMA > slowEMA and fastEMA[1] > slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] < slowEMA[2]
// sell=  fastEMA < slowEMA and fastEMA[1] < slowEMA[1] and fastEMA[2] > slowEMA[2]

//Daily chart
// buyexit = (close + 40 < slowEMA)//rsi > 65 and fastEMA > ema9 // fastEMA > ema9// close < fastEMA//(rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA and fastEMA > ema3 and close > ema200)  //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and slowEMA > ema3 and slowEMA[1] < ema3[1] and 1==2
// sellexit = (close - 40  > slowEMA)//rsi < 35 // and close > ema200) or (rsi < 35 and close < ema200 and fastEMA < ema3) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and fastEMA < ema3 and fastEMA[1] > ema3[1] and 1==2


// buyexit = (close < superTrend)// and (close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and close < close[1])//and close[2] < vwap1[2]//rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA// fastEMA > ema9// close < fastEMA//(rsi > 65 and close < fastEMA and fastEMA > ema3 and close > ema200)  //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and slowEMA > ema3 and slowEMA[1] < ema3[1] and 1==2
// sellexit = (close > superTrend)// and (close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close > close[1]) //and close[2] > vwap1[2]//rsi < 35// and close > ema200) or (rsi < 35 and close < ema200 and fastEMA < ema3) //strategy.openprofit < -10000 and fastEMA < ema3 and fastEMA[1] > ema3[1] and 1==2

// buyexit = (close < superTrend and close < vwap1 and close[1] < vwap1[1] and close[1] < superTrend[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000
// sellexit =  (close > superTrend and close > vwap1 and close[1] > vwap1[1] and close[1] > superTrend[1]) //or strategy.openprofit > 400 or strategy.openprofit < -5000



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